DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ Risk of a global recession is minimal, IMF economist says — would take 'a lot to derail'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"When we do the risk assessment around that baseline, the chances that we would have something like a global recession is fairly minimal. The Washington DC-based institute this week nudged its global growth outlook slightly higher to 3.2% in 2024 and projects the same rate in 2025. One of the International Monetary Fund's top economists signals little risk of a global recession, despite the ongoing rumblings of geopolitical uncertainty. That has all combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, which had its biggest wider impact on energy prices in Europe in 2022. And that's one of the big risks that we do see, the implications that could have for oil prices could be substantial.

Persons: Gourinchas, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath, we're Organizations: U.S, IMF, Washington DC, International Monetary, Palestinian, Hamas, CNBC Locations: Europe, New York, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, Gaza, Red, Yemeni, Russia, Ukraine, Asia, Israel, Iran

☆ Fiscal policy must stay the course to manage rising debt, IMF's Gaspar says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal policy must stay the course to manage rising debt, IMF's Gaspar saysVitor Gaspar, director of the IMF's fiscal affairs department, discusses the importance of fiscal and monetary policy working in tandem to tackle inflation.

Persons: IMF's Gaspar, Vitor Gaspar

☆ IMF's Gourinchas: See Fed cutting three times in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Gourinchas: See Fed cutting three times in 2024Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, economic counsellor and director of the Research Department at the IMF, weighs in on the fund's global outlook on growth and inflation, and why economies are beginning to see such divergence.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: Research Department, IMF

☆ IMF upgrades global growth forecast as economy proves 'surprisingly resilient' despite downside risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday slightly raised its global growth forecast, saying the economy had proven "surprisingly resilient" despite inflationary pressures and monetary policy shifts. The IMF now expects global growth of 3.2% in 2024, up by a modest 0.1 percentage point from its earlier January forecast, and in line with the growth projection for 2023. The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, said the findings suggest the global economy is heading for a "soft landing," following a string of economic crises, and that the risks to the outlook were now broadly balanced. "Despite gloomy predictions, the global economy remains remarkably resilient, with steady growth and inflation slowing almost as quickly as it rose," he said in a blog post. But dimmer prospects in China and other large emerging market economies could weigh on global trade partners, the report said.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, U.S Locations: Nanjing, China

☆ IMF's Adrian: Do worry that some segments of the market are looking stretched
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Adrian: Do worry that some segments of the market are looking stretchedTobias Adrian, the director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department at the IMF, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso at the IMF's Spring Meetings.

Persons: Adrian, Tobias Adrian, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary, Capital Markets Department, IMF

☆ A spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita Gopinath
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita GopinathSpeaking to CNBC's Karen Tso at the International Monetary Fund's Spring Meetings, Gita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the IMF, discusses the major geopolitical risks facing markets and the world.

Persons: Gopinath, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath Organizations: International

☆ It's prudent for the Fed to 'wait and see' before cutting rates, says IMF's Gita Gopinath
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's prudent for the Fed to 'wait and see' before cutting rates, says IMF's Gita GopinathGita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, tells CNBC's Karen Tso that it makes sense for the Federal Reserve to "wait and see" before starting to cut rates given the strength of the U.S. economy and stronger-than-expected inflation.

Persons: Gita Gopinath, Karen Tso Organizations: Fed, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ The Russian economy is in for very tough times, IMF's Kristalina Georgieva says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Russian economy is in for very tough times, IMF's Kristalina Georgieva saysKristalina Georgieva, managing director at the IMF, says the Russian economy is in for very tough times, after President Vladimir Putin's recent attempt to justify the war in Ukraine.

Persons: IMF's Kristalina Georgieva, Kristalina Georgieva, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: IMF Locations: Russian, Ukraine

☆ IMF's Georgieva Says She's Confident on Economic Outlook Despite Uncertainties
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Feb. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: 1 min

DUBAI (Reuters) - The managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, said on Sunday she was confident about the economic outlook despite uncertainties because the global economy has remained resilient. In a speech at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, Georgieva said the IMF would publish a paper on Monday that shows phasing out explicit energy subsidies could save $336 billion in the Middle East, equivalent to the economies of Iraq and Libya combined. (Reporting by Maha El Dahan and Federico Maccioni; Writing by Rachna Uppal; Editing by William Mallard)War in Israel and Gaza View All 206 Images

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, Maha El Dahan, Federico Maccioni, Rachna Uppal, William Mallard Organizations: Reuters, International Monetary Fund, World Governments Locations: DUBAI, Dubai, Iraq, Libya, Israel, Gaza

☆ IMF expects new housing demand in China to drop by around 50% in the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Demand for new housing in China is set to drop by around 50% over the next decade, making it harder for Beijing to quickly bolster the country's overall growth. China's real estate sector and related industries have accounted for about a quarter of the country's gross domestic product. Zhang said China's housing demand would remain large, and policy support would gradually kick in. "Therefore, a significant decline in housing demand is very unlikely to happen," he said. The IMF report compared housing demand and new starts from the 2012 to 2021 period with estimates for 2024 to 2033.

Persons: Zhengxin Zhang, Zhang, Evergrande, Sonali Jain, Chandra, Nir Klein Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, International Monetary Fund's, IMF, U.S ., People's Bank of China Locations: Huai'an, China, BEIJING, Beijing, Evergrande, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific

☆ IMF upgrades global growth forecast, citing U.S. resilience and policy support in China
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Buildings in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Monday, Jan. 29, 2024. The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday nudged its global growth forecast higher, citing the unexpected strength of the U.S. economy and fiscal support measures in China. It now sees global growth in 2024 at 3.1%, up 0.2 percentage points from its prior October projection, followed by 3.2% expansion in 2025. It forecasts growth this year of 2.1% in the U.S., 0.9% in both the euro zone and Japan, and 0.6% in the United Kingdom. "What we've seen is a very resilient global economy in the second half of last year, and that's going to carry over into 2024," the IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, told CNBC's Karen Tso on Tuesday.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, U.S, Brazil, India, Russia, Japan, United Kingdom

Worldwide, the IMF thinks inflation will ease from 6.8% in 2023 to 5.8% in 2024 and 4.4% in 2025. The IMF expects the 20 countries that share the euro currency to collectively grow a meager 0.9% this year. The IMF also modestly downgraded the outlook for the Japanese economy, to 0.9%, a drop from 1.9% growth in 2023. The IMF expects oil prices, which plunged 16% in 2023, to fall a further 2.3% this year and 4.8% in 2025. The IMF expects world trade to grow just 3.3% this year and 3.6% in 2025, below the historical average of 4.9%.

Persons: ’ Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, ’ Gourinchas, Joe Biden’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, IMF, Trade Organization Locations: United States, Yemen, Red, Asia, Europe, Suez, Africa, U.S, Brazil, India, Southeast Asia, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, China

☆ Vladimir Putin's war with Ukraine is boosting Russia's economy, IMF says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The International Monetary Fund raised its 2024 forecast for Russia's economy. AdvertisementVladimir Putin's ongoing war with Ukraine is boosting Russia's economy, the International Monetary Fund said. In an update to its World Economic Outlook issued Tuesday, the IMF raised its 2024 growth forecast for Russia from 1.1% to 2.6%. The IMF flagged Russia's high military spending as one factor powering growth. Russia's tight labor market has also helped boost the economy by pushing up wages and consumer spending, according to the IMF.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin's, Dmitry Peskov, Pierre, Olivier Gourrinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, Service, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Russia Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, China, India, Brazil

☆ US commercial real estate is suffering one of the steepest price declines in at least half a century, IMF warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Commercial real estate prices are in the midst of one of the biggest drops in the past half-century, the IMF said. AdvertisementUS commercial real estate prices are enduring one of the sharpest drop-offs in the last half-century, easily topping losses seen in previous rate-hike cycles, the International Monetary Fund said. Since the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in March 2022, US commercial property prices have slumped by over 11%, the agency outlined in a blog post. "Some of the earlier rate hikes, though, such as in 2004-06, were subsequently followed by a recession during which commercial property prices recorded notable declines as demand fell." In one worst-case scenario, that could as much as $1 trillion in commercial real estate equity, according to Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick.

Persons: —, Andrea Deghi, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Federal, International Monetary, IMF

☆ AI will affect about 40% of global jobs: IMF
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva says AI will impact roughly 40% of global employment. She expects advanced economies to be more affected than emerging markets and developing economies. AdvertisementIMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva predicts that AI will affect roughly 40% of jobs worldwide. This is because of AI's "ability to impact high-skilled jobs," Georgieva said. In comparison, Georgieva expects emerging markets and developing economies to "face fewer immediate disruptions from AI."

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, —, Georgieva, Goldman Sachs, Annesh Raman, Raman, Molly Wood Organizations: Service, IMF, Business Insider

☆ IMF says Sri Lanka debt deal could help board clear first bailout review
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo is seen outside the headquarters building in Washington, U.S., September 4, 2018. The deal comes about a month after Sri Lanka's agreement with the Export-Import Bank of China covering about $4.2 billion of outstanding debt, while clearing the IMF review could trigger a second tranche of about $334 million in funds. "These understandings pave the way for the IMF Executive Board to consider completion of the first review of Sri Lanka's four-year Extended Fund Facility Arrangement," Peter Breuer, IMF's mission chief for Sri Lanka, said in a statement. "We look forward to the Executive Board taking up this review by mid-December and the continuation of our productive collaboration with Sri Lanka in the period ahead." Sri Lanka plunged into its worst financial crisis in seven decades last year after its foreign exchange reserves dwindled to record lows.

Persons: Yuri Gripas, Lanka's, Peter Breuer, IMF's, Nandalal Weerasinghe, Uditha Jayasinghe, Sudipto Ganguly, Clarence Fernandez, Steohen Coates Organizations: Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, International Monetary Fund, Sri, Export, Import Bank of, IMF, Asian Development Bank, World Bank, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Import Bank of China, Sri Lanka's, Sri Lanka

Argentine President-elect Javier Milei departs the Eisenhower Executive Office Building after meeting with Biden administration staff at the White House complex in Washington, U.S., November 28, 2023. His foreign policy, meanwhile, is unabashedly pro-United States and pro-Israel, with a cooler stance on top trade partners Brazil and China. 2 Gita Gopinath and other fund officials, the fund said separately. The IMF has said in the past that dollarization is not a substitute for sound macroeconomic policy. Milei and IMF officials had a first virtual meeting on Friday, which Georgieva called a "very constructive engagement".

Persons: Javier Milei, Kevin Lamarque, Milei, Jake Sullivan, Juan Gonzalez, Benjamin Gedan, Alberto Fernandez, Vladimir Putin, Kristalina Georgieva, Posse, Luis Caputo, Gita Gopinath, Georgieva, Jason Lange, Rodrigo Campos, Rosalba O'Brien, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Argentine, Biden, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, White, National Security, Western, United, Israel, America, Wilson, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Washington, Argentina, United States, Brazil, China, U.S, Moscow, Ukraine, Beijing, Argentine, New York

☆ Argentina's Milei to meet Biden aide after lunch with Bill Clinton
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON, Nov 27 (Reuters) - Argentina's President-elect Javier Milei will meet with a top security aide to U.S. President Joe Biden in Washington, the White House confirmed on Monday, after the far-right libertarian lunched with former U.S. President Bill Clinton in New York. Upon arriving in the United States, Milei first visited the tomb of a well-known orthodox Jewish rabbi before having lunch with Clinton, according to a statement from the president-elect's office. On Tuesday, Milei will meet with U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, while his economic advisers are scheduled to meet with senior U.S. finance officials to discuss the president-elect's economic priorities. Argentina is the IMF's largest debtor nation as it struggles to tame inflation approaching 150%. Milei will take office on Dec. 10 at a time when over two-fifths of Argentina's population is in poverty and a recession looms for South America's second-largest economy.

Persons: Javier Milei, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, Milei, Luis Caputo, Karina Milei, Clinton, Jake Sullivan, Donald Trump, Jarrett Renshaw, David Lawder, Jorge Otoala, Brendan O'Boyle, David Alire Garcia, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: White House, U.S, Democrat, Argentine, U.S . National, International Monetary Fund, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington, New York, Milei, New Jersey, United States, Argentina, Buenos Aires

☆ IMF reaches deal with Kenya to raise current financing by $938 million
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

A view shows the Nairobi Expressway undertaken by the China Road and Bridge Corporation (CRBC) on a public-private partnership (PPP) basis, in Nairobi, Kenya May 8, 2022. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNAIROBI, Nov 16 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund has reached a staff-level agreement with Kenya for immediate access of $682.3 million and an increase in its current program's funding by $938 million, the fund said on Thursday. That will include a new augmentation to Kenya's access under the financing program by an equivalent amount of $938 million. The facility was bumped up in May by an extra $1 billion, including $544 million under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), and a new arrangement under the same RSF. Writing by George Obulutsa; Additional reporting by Bangalore Newsroom; Editing by Duncan Miriri and Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Thomas Mukoya, George Obulutsa, Duncan Miriri Organizations: China, Bridge Corporation, REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund, East, Fund, Resilience, Sustainability, Bangalore, Thomson Locations: Nairobi, Kenya, Rights NAIROBI

☆ IMF approves $35 bln credit line for Mexico
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

[1/3] Employees work at a stall in an outdoor market dedicated to the sale of fruits and vegetables, in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico July 27, 2023. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMEXICO CITY, Nov 16 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund's executive board has approved a two-year, $35 billion flexible credit line for Mexico, it said in a statement on Thursday, noting the Latin American country's economy is undergoing a broad-based expansion. This is Mexico's tenth flexible credit line arrangement since 2009, and the country has reduced amounts of the lines granted in recent years, the IMF said. In 2017, the IMF granted Mexico a credit line worth around $88 billion, which by 2021 was reduced to $50 billion. Authorities will reassess the external risk outlook and their implications on access under the agreement in November 2024, the IMF added.

Persons: Jose Luis Gonzalez, Gita Gopinath, Gopinath, Kylie Madry, Valentine Hilaire, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, MEXICO CITY, Monetary Fund's, IMF, Thomson Locations: Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, MEXICO

☆ China retail sales, industrial data grow faster than expected in October
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

(Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China on Wednesday reported better-than-expected retail sales and industrial data for October, while the real estate drag worsened. Retail sales grew by 7.6% last month from a year ago, above the 7% growth forecast by a Reuters poll. watch nowWithin retail sales, sports and other leisure entertainment products saw sales surge by 25.7% in October from a year ago, the data showed. The International Monetary Fund last week cited Beijing's policy announcements as a reason to raise its China growth forecast for the year to 5.4%. Real estate and related sectors have accounted for about a quarter of China's gross domestic product.

Persons: Gita Gopinath Organizations: Getty, Nurphoto, Retail, Reuters, Investment, National Bureau of Statistics, Catering, Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC, UBS Locations: CHONGQING, CHINA, Chongqing, China, BEIJING, Beijing

☆ Exclusive: Inside IMF, stance hardens on Argentina as $44 bln deal skids off track
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Jorgelina Do Rosario | Thomson Reuters | Jorgelina Do Rosario Is Emerging Markets Correspondent At Reuters Based In London | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

With "depleted reserves and an overvalued currency, recent economic measures are not aligned with the programme," a second source added. In an August report, the IMF said that Argentina's programme had gone off track, but allowed for changes in some goals - such as easing reserves targets - to put it back on course. It also comes at a sensitive time for the cash-strapped country, which has a review of the programme scheduled for early November. During the Oct. 30 meeting, a representative for Argentina said that the country was committed to remain current with IMF payments, one source added. Reporting by Jorgelina do Rosario in London Editing by Karin Strohecker and Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Sergio Massa, Javier Milei, Mauricio Macri's, Jorgelina, Karin Strohecker, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Argentine, REUTERS, Monetary Fund, JPMorgan, IMF, Argentina's, Farmers, Peronist Economy, Argentina, Peronist, Thomson Locations: Argentina, Rosario, Washington, London

☆ ECB must keep rates at or near 4% through 2024 to get inflation down -IMF
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"Monetary policy is appropriately tight and needs to remain so in 2024," Kammer told a news conference. "For all intents and purposes, (the deposit rate) should be held at that level or close to that level throughout 2024." Kammer warned the ECB against cutting rates too soon because that would require even more costly policy tightening later on. While the IMF sees price growth back at target in 2025, an exceptionally tight labour market could push this date back to 2026, it warned. Real wages also have some way to go catch up with inflation and this could also keep up the price pressure, the IMF said.

Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alfred Kammer, Kammer, Balazs Koranyi, Mark Potter Organizations: European Union, European Central Bank, REUTERS, Rights, International Monetary Fund, ECB, IMF's European Department, IMF, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Gaza

☆ ECB policy rates should stay tight to see disinflation through, IMF's Berger says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB policy rates should stay tight to see disinflation through, IMF's Berger saysThe IMF's Deputy Director of the European Department, Helge Berger, discusses its latest European regional outlook.

Persons: IMF's Berger, Helge Berger Organizations: European Department

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — The European Central Bank and other policymakers across Europe need to keep interest rates at current elevated levels until they're sure inflation is under control despite sluggish growth, the International Monetary Fund said Wednesday, warning against “premature celebration” as inflation declines from its peak. Alfred Kammer, director of the IMF's Europe department, warned against “premature celebration" as he spoke to journalists in connection with the outlook. The European Central Bank has raised its benchmark deposit rate by fully 4.5 percentage points between July 2022 and September 2023, from minus 0.5% to 4%. If inflation falls faster than expected, it will boost consumer real income and spending and growth might improve. But an escalation of Russia's war against Ukraine and accompanying increased sanctions and disruptions to trade could mean weaker growth.

Persons: Alfred Kammer, Kammer, “, ” Organizations: European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund, ECB, IMF, Ukraine Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Europe, Washington, Israel, Gaza

Search resuls for: "IMF's"

25 mentions found