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They have also considered the impact of potential tariffs proposed by former President Donald Trump. Some on Wall Street view a Harris win as a potential obstacle for antitrust and megacap technology stocks. "Regulatory scrutiny will probably help a lot of M & A activity under Trump — Harris, it'll be a little more of the status quo," said Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets. This could "slow the pace of the AI revolution," he said in a recent post to X that also called a Harris win "more bullish" for the industry. Some investors also view Tesla as a likely winner under a Trump administration, given CEO Elon Musk's close ties to the former president.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Roger McNamee, Harris, Trump, Trump — Harris, it'll, Jay Woods, McNamee, Vivek Arya, Joe Rogan, Arya, Ed Mills, Raymond James, of America's Brad Sills, Raymond James ' Mills, Dan Ives, Trump's, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Capital's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek Organizations: Elevation Partners, Tech, Antitrust, Google, Justice Department, Trump, Freedom Capital, Bank of America, PHLX Semiconductor, Democrat, Republican, SOX, Devices, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, Texas Instruments, Intel, of America's, Microsoft, Oracle, Wedbush Securities, Investors Locations: stoke, Taiwan, China, Washington
In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock
For many Americans, the most important focus heading into a presidential election is how the winner will impact their wallet. Related storiesFor drug prices, Harris has promised to expand two provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, allowing Medicare to negotiate the prices of some drugs. HarrisHarris' planned policy includes the construction of 3 million new housing units, as well as an expansion to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit. TrumpTrump has also proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Harris, Trump, Trump's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Trump Trump, — Trump, Harris Harris, , Vance, hasn't Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, White, Trump Trump Locations: Americas
Here are 39 quality economically sensitive stocks to buy, according to Morgan Stanley. Economically sensitive stocks, including financials and industrials, took off in anticipation of that result and caught fire after it became official. Several parts of the stock market seem to be preparing for another Trump presidency, according to Morgan Stanley. "Markets generally welcomed a reflationary playbook in 2016," Wilson wrote. AdvertisementRegardless of who's in office, Morgan Stanley outlined a list of 39 economically sensitive stocks that should do well.
Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, , Trump, Kamala Harris, It's, Harris, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, it's Organizations: Service, Trump, Consumer, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Locations: Financials
Next week's presidential election could have a big impact on municipal bonds, according to Morgan Stanley. In that case, the federal tax exemption becomes worth more, said Dan Close, head of municipals at Nuveen. However, studies have shown a move of just a couple percentage points "doesn't really move the needle" for muni demand, Brandon said. The TCJA increased the AMT exemption and raised the income level at which the exemption would phase out. That's because banks and insurance companies in the U.S. own about a quarter of all outstanding muni bonds, he explained.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Craig Brandon, Harris, Dan Close, Brandon, MOrgan Stanley, munis, Nuveen's, , Close, Trump, Morgan Stanley's Brandon, Byron Anderson, He's Organizations: taxpers, AMT, Trump, muni, munis, Republican, Medicare, Democratic, AAA, Investments Locations: Nuveen, U.S
Electrical components and power systems company Eaton delivered mixed third-quarter results Thursday morning, and its stock paid the price. Eaton management raised its full-year guidance for both operating margin and earnings per share (EPS). However, we're increasing our price target to $375 per share from $350, implying over 9% upside from Wednesday's close. 2025 outlook Looking to next year, management didn't provide formal sales or earnings guidance, but they did provide growth assumptions for the company's key end markets. Industrial facilities (12% of sales), defense aerospace (6% of sales), and commercial and institutional (20% of sales) are expected to realize "modest growth."
Persons: Eaton, it's, we've, Oliveri Leonetti, Parker, wouldn't, Craig Arnold, Jefferies, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Boeing, Electrical, Aerospace, Hannifin, DuPont, Honeywell, CNBC, Eaton Corporation, NYSE Locations: Florida, Eaton, Americas, North America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMatthews Asia: Strength of the U.S. dollar will be the biggest headwind for Asia marketsMatthews Asia's Sean Taylor says the U.S. Dollar is likely set to strengthen, except in case of a tied congress and Harris victory
Persons: Matthews, Sean Taylor, Harris Organizations: Matthews, U.S Locations: Asia
With polling forecasting a close race in the U.S. presidential election , UBS is eyeing two baskets of stocks to prepare for either outcome. Overall, UBS said stocks within its Trump administration beneficiaries basket indicate a win for the former president next week. Here is a look at some of the stocks UBS has placed in each grouping. Also, a Trump administration could roll back some actions that were favorable to utilities with exposure to renewables. Other sectors that can benefit from a Harris win include homebuilding as well as child care and employment agencies, Garthwaite added.
Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Garthwaite, Harris, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Trump Organizations: U.S, UBS, Institute of International Finance, Trump, Citigroup, Goldman, Citi, Nike, Democratic Locations: U.S, China, Goldman Sachs, Beijing
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Then there were selloffs in Club stocks Eli Lilly and Advanced Micro Devices after their earnings releases. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, AMD's financials, Stanley Black, Decker, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Caterpillar, Devices, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Starbucks, MGM Resorts, Linde, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Roblox, Myers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Bristol
Organic revenue growth of 1% matched expectations. Management raised the midpoint of full-year earnings guidance despite the continued in weakness in China that has been hampering top-line organic growth. Bottom Line Results were mixed, but it comes as no surprise that the quarter was negatively impacted by weakness in China. The team continues to deliver for customers and we've seen PDx reports seven quarters of high-single-digit or double-digit organic revenue growth." Pharmaceutical Diagnostics (PDx) segment — used in radiology and nuclear medicine to deliver more precise diagnoses — was particularly strong, delivering segment revenue growth of 7% organically.
Persons: Peter Arduini, Arduini, We're, James Saccaro, Saccaro, GEHC, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Martin Schutt Organizations: GE Healthcare, Revenue, LSEG, Management, Pharmaceutical Diagnostics, General Electric, Philips, Siemens, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, GE Healthcare's, Care Solutions, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, U.S, Jena , Germany
CFRA trimmed its Amazon price target to $219 a share on October 21, indicating 13% upside ahead. The firm has a "buy" rating on the stock and a $210 price target, which implies an 8.3% gain from current levels. The firm said investors have toned down margin expectations due to Amazon's spending in new investment areas, such as Project Kuiper. AdvertisementWedbush reiterated its "outperform" rating and $225 price target, implying a 16% gain from current levels. Morgan Stanley has a $210 price target for the stock, representing upside of about 8% from Wednesday's share price.
Persons: , Arun Sundaram, Sundaram, Justin Post, BofA, Scott Devitt, Wedbush, Morgan Stanley, Bullish, Brian Nowak Organizations: Service, CFRA, Bank of America, Amazon Web Services, 3Q, JPMorgan, Wedbush Securities
Announced in August , and reported this way for the first time this week, Microsoft decided to change which revenue streams fall under its three main reporting segments. In Microsoft's upcoming report, search and news advertising revenue will move from the More Personal Computing (PCP) segment into the Intelligent Cloud (IC) segment. Another change includes Microsoft removing revenue from Power Business Intelligence data analytics and the Enterprise Mobility and Security group of products from the IC segment. MSFT YTD mountain Microsoft (MSFT) year-to-date performance Some Wall Street analysts are upbeat on the new reporting structure. He also touted Microsoft's AI prospects ahead of quarterly earnings — citing the company's first-mover advantage in integrating AI.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Brent Bracelin, Bracelin, Morgan Stanley, there's, Jim Cramer, I'm, Jim, Amy Hood's, Jim Cramer's, Satya Nadella, Dimas Ardian Organizations: Microsoft, Web Services, Power Business Intelligence, Enterprise Mobility, Security, Piper, CNBC, BI, Guggenheim, Big Tech, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: OpenAI, Jakarta, Indonesia
Stanley Black & Decker reported mixed quarterly results before Tuesday's opening bell, and the stock got whacked. SWK YTD mountain Stanley Black & Decker YTD Shares of Stanley Black & Decker consolidated around an 8% decline after the release. We upgraded Stanley Black & Decker on Tuesday morning back to our buy-equivalent 1 rating on the belief the stock reaction to the print was overdone. Stanley Black & Decker Why we own it: Stanley Black & Decker is in the later innings of a multi-year restructuring plan. To honor the occasion, Donald Allan, Jr., President & CEO of Stanley Black & Decker, joined by Chris Taylor, NYSE Global Head of Advisory, rings the Opening Bell®.
Persons: Stanley Black, Decker, Stanley, Donald Allan, we're, Allan, , Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Donald Allan , Jr, Chris Taylor Organizations: Revenue, Stanley Black, Treasury, Federal, Bosch, Techtronic Industries, Management, CNBC, The New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Global Locations: Dewalt, Europe
JetBlue's full-year revenue forecast misses estimates, shares fall
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
JetBlue Airways forecast a bigger-than-expected fall in 2024 revenue amid a moderation in domestic travel demand ahead of the upcoming U.S. elections, sending its shares down 4.5% before the bell on Tuesday. Election-related uncertainty is expected to weigh on travel demand as consumers prefer to be home and hold off on major discretionary spending. The New York-based carrier expects its 2024 revenue to fall between 4% and 5%, compared with analysts' average expectation of a 3.6% fall, according to data compiled by LSEG. JetBlue, however, managed to report a smaller-than-expected third-quarter loss on Tuesday, owing to improved demand and pricing in the quarter. The airline reported an adjusted loss of 16 cents per share, compared with estimates of a 25 cents loss.
Persons: Milton, LSEG Organizations: Jet Blue, Airbus, JFK International, JetBlue Airways, JetBlue, Pratt, Spirit Airlines Locations: New York, Florida, The New York, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAlphabet is not a 'favored' name among investors right now, says Oppenheimer's Jason HelfsteinJason Helfstein, Oppenheimer analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what Helfstein is looking for Alphabet to say about its spending on AI, the biggest headwind for Alphabet, and much more.
Persons: Jason Helfstein Jason Helfstein, Oppenheimer
Tech stocks could be in for a reckoning, this chart shows
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Since then, the XLK is down 6% relative to the broad market index. "The level it peaked at almost exactly coincides with where the Tech ETF peaked on a relative basis in 2000. Not exactly what you want to see if you're an investor putting new money to work within Tech," he wrote. The SMH closed Friday at $252.96, and the strategist expects the $233 level to be tested near term. "We still exercise some degree of caution when we view Technology stocks, as short term trends and near-term momentum appear to be stalling," O'Hara wrote.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Roth MKM, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tech ETF, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. Stock futures are muted Monday night as investors readied for employment data and closely followed corporate earnings releases. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also both little changed. Those moves come after a winning session on Wall Street for the three major indexes. Traders will keep an eye on earnings reports from major companies due on Tuesday as the busiest week of this earnings season continues.
Persons: Dow, Adam Crisafulli, McDonald's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Ford Motor, Corp, Traders, Pfizer Locations: New York City, Israel, Iran
Pairs trading is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves simultaneously buying one asset, such as a stock, and selling another related asset. We will review a pairs trade candidate and how to execute it with options. The idea with pairs trading is that, from time to time or over time, there may be a divergence or spread in their prices. Alternatively, another form of pairs trading takes a longer-term and more fundamental perspective. Nike vs. Lululemon Well-known athletic apparel companies Nike (NKE) and Lululemon Athletica (LULU) aren't direct competitors.
Persons: Jim Simons, shorting, Lululemon Athletica, LULU, aren't, Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods, Serena Williams, Lulu, DK Metcalf, Jordan Clarkson, Leylah Fernandez, Lululemon, Lulu hedged Organizations: Ford, General Motors, Technologies, Nike, Seattle Seahawks, NBA, LULU, Lululemon, mojo, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Lulu
Against this backdrop, Wolfe Research released a basket of stocks that might be impaired under a Trump presidency. These companies would be at risk either under a 10% universal duty or 60% China tariffs. Beauty and cosmetics manufacturer Estée Lauder , down about 40% this year, could also face repercussions under a Trump win. Analyst Angel Castillo's revised price target of $332, down from $349, is approximately 14% lower than where shares closed on Wednesday. Other than these stocks sensitive to tariffs, Wolfe Research also suggested a few other ways to play the election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Wolfe, Trump, Estée Lauder, Rambourg, Morgan Stanley, Angel, Goldman Sachs, Patterson, Kamala Harris, Wolfe's Organizations: Republican, Wolfe Research, Democratic, Eagle Outfitters, Eagle, Bank of America, Trump, HSBC, Caterpillar, UTI Energy, NextEra Energy, Centene, AES Corp Locations: China, Greater China
Coca-Cola on Wednesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped analysts' expectations, thanks to a boost from higher prices that offset sluggish demand. Unit case volume fell 1% in the quarter, driven by weakening demand in some international markets. Consumer companies, including Coke, have reported in recent months that customers are more price sensitive, leading to sluggish demand for its products as prices remain high. Pepsi said volume for its North American beverage business fell 3% in its third quarter, fueled by weakening demand for energy drinks. Coke is projecting a low-single-digit headwind for comparable revenue and a mid-single-digit headwind for earnings per share.
Persons: Coke, Quincey Organizations: LSEG, Consumer, PepsiCo, Quaker Foods, Pepsi, CPI Locations: U.S, North America, Chico, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia, Pacific, China, Turkey, Latin America, Argentina
Electricity and labor headwinds slow Amazon's data center buildout. AdvertisementAmazon is spending heavily on data centers to support booming AI workloads, putting it on pace to build 240 new facilities by 2040, one estimate found. David Cahn, a Sequoia Capital general partner, recently predicted data center delays across the sector. Bernstein Research recently estimated that electricity demand for AI data centers could exceed supply in just two years without action. An Amazon data center in Oregon.
Persons: , It's, David Cahn, Marc Wulfraat, MWPVL, we've, Bernstein, Amazon's, Matt Garman, JOSH EDELSON, Garman, Manuel Pineda, Pineda, Owens Corning Organizations: Service, Sequoia Capital, Energy, Amazon, Boston Consulting Group, Bernstein Research, Business, Web, San Francisco 49ers, BI, AWS, Uptime Institute, Center, Survey Locations: AMER, Americas, Oregon , Ohio, Northern Virginia, Amazon's Portland, Arizona, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Silicon Valley, Santa Clara , California, Santa Clara, Levi's, City, Santa, Oregon
Here are some of the ways Bank of America analysts think the upcoming election results could affect the stock market. Harris presidency, split government A victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the White House, plus a Republican-controlled Congress, could be "the best outcome" for online media companies, according to Bank of America analyst Justin Post. He noted that Harris is likely to enforce a potential ban on TikTok — which could boost Meta Platforms and Snapchat . Trump president, split government A win for Republican candidate Donald Trump and a split government would be the best-case scenario for bank stocks, per analyst Ebrahim Poonawala. On the other hand, a Trump presidency would be viewed positively by gig-economy companies, including Uber and Lyft, according to analyst Post.
Persons: , Harris, Kamala Harris, Justin Post, Lorraine Hutchinson, Donald Trump's, , Athletica, Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, Dick Durbin's, Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Republicans —, Dimple, Trump, Uber, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Rafe Jadrosich, Trump's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Bank of America, of America, Democratic, Republican, Democrat, Department of Justice, Eagle Outfitters, Urban Outfitters ., Health, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health Services, Democrats, Agilon, Humana, Big Tech, House, Trump, Republicans, Oscar Health, Centene, GOP, Securities, Exchange, Entertainment, Packaging Corporation of America, American Eagle Outfitters Locations: Hutchinson, U.S, China, Washington
The S&P 500 will see annualized returns of 3% over the next 10 years, says Goldman Sachs. By its calculation, the S&P 500 has about a 72% chance of trailing bonds, and a 33% probability of lagging inflation through 2034. These stocks include tech large-caps such as Nvidia and Alphabet, whose performance has driven the S&P 500 more than 20% higher year-to-date. The same issue plagues a highly concentrated index," Goldman said. According to Goldman, S&P 500 firms that have consistently generated over 20% revenue growth underwent a sharp drop off after 10 years.
Persons: annualized, Goldman Sachs, That's, , Goldman, that's Organizations: Service, Nvidia
Earnings drove the stock market higher — can they do it again in the week ahead? But he acknowledged that timing is key because our portfolio discipline mandates that we consider lightening up our stock exposure in an overbought market. In fact, AMD was our worst-performing stock for the entire week, losing more than 7% following the prior week's 1.8% slide. Energy was the worst sector of the week for the market as oil prices sank. In the week ahead, housing numbers are the main draw on the economic front.
Persons: Jim Cramer, ASML, Morgan Stanley, WTI, industrials, We're, Sartorius, Danaher, we're, Stanley Black, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, Clark, Baker Hughes, Lam, DOV, CARR, Davidson, Northrop, Edwards Lifesciences, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Stocks, Tuesday's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Netflix, Modelo, Corona, Constellation Brands, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Energy, Texas, Honeywell, Danaher, Federal Reserve, Treasury, SAP, Logitech, Verizon, General Motors, GE Aerospace, GE, Lockheed, Quest Diagnostics, Norfolk Southern, Polaris, Seagate Technology, Texas Instruments, Canadian National Railway Company, Boeing, GE Vernova, Fisher, Boston, General Dynamics, Hilton, Lam Research, Business Machines, IBM, Newmont, Viking Therapeutics, Vista Energy, Mattel, O'Reilly Automotive, Whirlpool, American Airlines, United Parcel Service, Southwest Airlines, Tractor Supply Company, Carrier Global, Dow Chemical, DOW, Harley, Union Pacific, Valero Energy, Hasbro, Northrop Grumman, Ryder, Boyd Gaming, Western, Boston Beer Company, York Community Bancorp, Colgate, Palmolive, Newell Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: BlackRock, CrowdStrike, U.S, Dover, Freeport, McMoRan, Kimberly, Norfolk, Las, ORLY, VALE, New York City
To be sure, a Bloomberg report earlier Tuesday that the U.S. government was considering a cap on AI chip exports to certain Persian Gulf nations may also have dampened industry sentiment. Investors are sensitive to any updates on AI chip demand, given the dramatic rise in the stocks of Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom and others over the past two years. Bottom line Artificial intelligence is alive and well, according to TSMC, which has emerged as the most valuable window into AI demand other than Nvidia itself. With Big Tech earnings in the coming weeks, it's particularly nice to see the AI chip trade stabilize after the ASML debacle. Jim said Thursday that AMD, which has way underperformed Nvidia, Broadcom and the broader market, is "still a bargain."
Persons: Wei, It's, Jensen Huang, TSMC, Jim, we're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, CNBC, Nvidia's, iShares Semiconductor, AMD, Bloomberg, Big Tech, Apple, Club, Getty Locations: U.S, Hsinchu, Taiwan
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