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☆ Gold holds steady as traders anticipate US economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold edged 0.1% lower to $2,026.39 per ounce by 0348 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.1% to $2,028.00. The odds of a Fed rate cut in March have dropped to 49% from about 71% two weeks ago, according to LSEG's interest-rate probability app IRPR. The U.S. dollar index fell 0.1%, while yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slipped from a more than a month high to 4.1111%. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $22.55 per ounce, platinum was steady at $898.95, and palladium fell 0.1% to $945.88.

Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, U.S, PMI Locations: Singapore, U.S

☆ UK inflation rate surprises with rise to 4%, led by alcohol and tobacco
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Andresr | E+ | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation unexpectedly nudged upwards to 4% year-on-year in December, fueled by a rise in alcohol and tobacco prices. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a modest decline in the annual headline CPI to 3.8%, after November's sharper-than-expected fall to 3.9%. The closely watched core CPI figure — which excludes volatile food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices — came in at an annual 5.1%, above a 4.9% Reuters forecast and unchanged from November. "This unexpected rise in inflation is a timely reminder that the struggle against soaring inflation is not yet over, particularly given stubbornly high core and services inflation," said Suren Thiru, economics director at ICAEW. "While inflation may rise again in January, following the increase in Ofgem's energy price cap, it should fall at a decent pace thereafter, aided by the expected drop in energy bills from April and lower food inflation."

Persons: Jeremy Hunt Organizations: Reuters, National Statistics, British, Bank of England Locations: U.S, France, Germany

☆ Retail sales rose 0.3% in November vs. expectations for a decline
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Retail sales rose 0.3% in November, stronger than the 0.2% decline in October and better than the Dow Jones estimate for a decrease of 0.1%, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.2%, also better than the forecast for no change. Stripping out autos and gas, sales rose 0.6%. Sales held up despite a 2.9% slide in receipts at gas stations, as energy prices broadly slumped during the month. Gas station sales were off 9.4% on a 12-month basis.

Persons: Dow Jones, Andrew Hunter Organizations: Commerce Department, Capital Economics, . Gas, Labor Department, Economists, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market, CNBC PRO

☆ Sterling eases after cooler British inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

British Pound and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Sterling eased on Wednesday after data showed British inflation cooled more than forecast in October, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will be cutting interest rates by the middle of next year. Sterling was last down 0.2% on the day at $1.2471 by 0724 GMT, compared with $1.2487 shortly before the data. The figures reinforced the view that the U.S. Federal Reserve has probably also finished raising interest rates. Money markets show traders believe there is a good chance the BoE could start cutting rates by May next year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, BoE, Richard Garland, Rishi Sunak, we’ve, Huw Pill, Amanda Cooper, Alun John, Robert Birsel Organizations: Pound, U.S, REUTERS, Bank of England, Office, National Statistics, Omnis Investments, government's Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: September's, Britain

☆ UK inflation falls by more than expected in October to 4.6%, lowest in two years
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Food and non-alcoholic beverages also contributed to the easing of inflation, with the annual rate falling to its lowest since June 2022. The largest downward contribution came from housing and household services, the Office for National Statistics revealed, where the annual rate for CPI hit the lowest since records began in January 1950. Core CPI — which excludes volatile food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices — fell to an annual 5.7% in October from 6.1% in September. LONDON — U.K. inflation fell sharply in October to 4.6% from 6.7% the previous month, hitting a two-year low. The drop was welcome news for Downing Street after Prime Minister Rishi Sunak committed to halving U.K. inflation back in January, when the annual CPI rate was running above 10%.

Persons: Rishi Sunak, Lindsay James Organizations: National Statistics, CPI, Reuters, LONDON, Bank of England, Downing, Bank of England's, Quilter Investors, Monetary

☆ Morning Bid: Inflation on the ropes, shutdown averted
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. Much like then, the sheer scale of the yield swoon has stoked bond volatility gauges (.MOVE) too. What's more, a quarter point rate cut by May is now 80% priced and 100bps of easing through 2024 is now baked in. U.S. corporate news stays on retail later as Target reports earnings, following a beat by Home Depot on Tuesday. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Xi Jinping's, Joe Biden, Russell, Austan Goolsbee, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett, Michael Barr, Thomas Barkin, Jonathan Haskel, Xi Jinping, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, Chicago Fed, Bank of America, Home Depot, Berkshire, General Motors, Procter, Gamble, Richmond Fed, Bank of England, APEC, Cisco Systems, Palo Alto Networks, Reuters, NFIB, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wall, UK's, York, San Francisco

☆ Inflation was flat in October from the prior month, core CPI hits two-year low
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The headline CPI had increased 0.4% in September. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI increased 0.2% and 4%, against the forecast of 0.3% and 4.1%. However, Fed officials have stressed that they want to see a series of declines in core readings, which has been the case since April. Traders also took any potential Fed rate hikes almost completely off the table, according to CME Group data. The flat reading on the headline CPI came as energy prices declined 2.5% for the month, offsetting a 0.3% increase in the food index.

Persons: Dow Jones, Bryce Doty Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Traders, Group Locations: U.S

☆ Stocks ripped higher Tuesday on new inflation data. Here's why we were sellers
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks rallied hard on Tuesday after new inflation data signaled a possible end to the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking campaign. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped nearly 500 points after the closely watched consumer price index (CPI) reading for October came in flat, softer than economists' estimate of 0.1% growth month over month. Wall Street took the news as a sign that inflation was coming down enough for the central bank to stop raising interest rates. Barring a surprise rebound in inflation, rates seem to have peaked and the "soft landing" for the economy is still in play. We like to buy stocks when the market is oversold, and sell stocks when there is too much buying.

Persons: Stocks, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Wall, CPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Xinhua News Agency, Getty Locations: Foster City , California, United States

Consumers continued to sour on the economic outlook in November while also growing more pessimistic about future inflation, according to the first estimate from the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey. The index of consumer sentiment fell 5% to a reading of 60.4, down from 63.8 in October. “Ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine weighed on many consumers as well.”“Overall, lower-income consumers and younger consumers exhibited the strongest declines in sentiment,” Hsu added. Various surveys measuring the minds of consumers have found them to be worried about inflation and the economy in general. “Consumer sentiment continues to trend downward at a moderate pace as consumers attempt to juggle inflation and higher interest rates,” said Damian McIntyre, Portfolio manager and head of multi asset solutions at Federated Hermes.

Persons: ”, Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, Joe Biden, Damian McIntyre, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Goldman Sachs Organizations: University of Michigan, “, Federated Hermes, Federal Reserve, Index, Louis Federal Reserve Bank Locations: Gaza, Ukraine, Kentucky, Ohio

☆ Wall Street will seek confirmation the Fed is done in next week's big inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Economists polled by FactSet expect U.S. inflation to have risen just 0.1% last month and 3.3% from the year-ago period. Cracks in consumer data Investors will also watch for the October retail sales data for insight into the consumer, who has thus far proven resilient even in the face of higher interest rates and inflation. Investors will also be watching for the October producer price index (PPI) data on Wednesday, as well as housing data on Friday. Monday Nov. 13 Earnings: Tyson Foods Tuesday Nov. 14 8:30 a.m. CPI (October) 8:30 a.m. Hourly Earnings final (October) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek final (October) Earnings: Home Depot , Charles Schwab Wednesday Nov. 15 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Amy Magnotta, It's, There's, Gregory Daco, he'll, Ned Davis Research's, Joe Kalish, NDR's Kalish, Jeff Klingelhofer, Magnotta, Tyson, Charles Schwab, John Williams Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Ategenos, FactSet, Thornburg Investment Management, Walmart, CPI, PPI, Retail, Palo Alto Networks, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, . New York Federal Reserve, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Body, Housing Locations: . New, NAHB, . Kansas, Bath

Looking ahead, the ongoing pass-through of the European Central Bank's monetary policy tightening, still no reversal of the inventory cycle and new geopolitical uncertainties will continue weighing on the German economy, Brzeski said. "The German economy looks set to remain in the twilight zone between minor contraction and stagnation not only this year but also next year," Brzeski said. The contraction in the third quarter is not seen as an outlier as Commerzbank expects the German economy to contract again in the winter half-year. Economists will pay close attention to national inflation data from Germany and Spain, as they are published one day before the euro zone inflation data release. Euro zone inflation is expected to ease to 3.2% in October from 4.3% in September, according to economists polled by Reuters.

Persons: Arnd, Carsten Brzeski, Brzeski, optimists, Joerg Kraemer, Claus Vistesen, Maria Martinez, Miranda Murray, Rachel More, Miral Fahmy, Angus MacSwan Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Gross, Reuters, ING, European Central, Macroeconomics, Thomson Locations: Konstanz, Germany, Spain

☆ Morning Bid: Fed's data-driven approach set for inflation test
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 29, 2023. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer prices report is expected to show inflation pressures were abating in September, if only marginally. Headline CPI is seen rising 0.3% on the month, down from 0.6% in August, which would take the annual rate to 3.6%. Core inflation, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, is expected to have also risen 0.3% in September. The threat of higher energy prices following the outbreak of a war between Israel and Palestinian militants is all too real, even if the immediate market reaction has been relatively muted.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Samuel Indyk, Klaas, Mark Potter Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Wednesday, Labor Statistics, CPI, U.S, Chevron, European Central, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Delta Air Lines, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Europe

☆ Brace for another Fed rate hike thanks to a 'problematic' surge in oil prices, billionaire investor Jeff Gundlach says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Expect another rate increase by the Fed at its next meeting due to a "problematic" surge in oil prices, billionaire investor Jeff Gundlach said. "I think the probability of rate hikes is higher than what I thought before this oil spike happened," Gundlach said. Oil prices have climbed past $90 a barrel after Saudi Arabia and Russia slashed production. "So I think the chance of a rate hike is higher because these oil prices are going to be a real problem," Gundlach said. Surging oil prices now threaten to spark a resurgence of US inflation, which the Fed has tried so hard to quell.

Persons: Jeff Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal, CNBC, Brent, US West Texas Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Wall, Silicon

☆ Stocks struggle as oil surge sets stage for hawkish Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Higher energy costs led to a bigger-than-expected spike in Canadian inflation, overnight data showed, lifting the loonie and triggering selling in the Treasury market. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2007 at 4.371% overnight and were last at 4.36%. The Fed meeting leads a week jammed with central bank meetings and data over the next few days. British inflation figures are due on Wednesday, followed by central bank meetings in Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Britain and Japan on Thursday. Rising yields have kept a lid on gold prices, with spot gold last trading at $1,929 an ounce.

Persons: Brent, presser, Jerome Powell's, Sam Rines, Powell presser, Masato Kanda, Kristina Clifton, Miral Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Brent, Nikkei, U.S, STERLING, OF CPI, Bank of, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: presser China, SINGAPORE, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Texas, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Britain, U.S, China, Australia, Argentina

☆ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says chance of more rate hikes is higher due to 'problematic' oil spike
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday the Federal Reserve is more likely to raise rates again in light of the recent jump in oil prices. "I think the probability of rate hikes is higher than what I thought before this oil spike happened," Gundlach said on CNBC's "Closing Bell. " Oil prices have jumped since July, with West Texas Intermediate crude topping $90 a barrel, as expectations of a tighter supplies grew. "So I think the chance of a rate hike is higher because these oil prices are going to be a real problem." "I think it's quite likely there's going to be rate cuts in the first half of next year.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Consumer, Fed Locations: Texas

☆ Inflation surprise puts a rate-hike pause back on the table for Bank of England
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In August, the Bank of England increased interest rates for the 14th time in a row. LONDON — The Bank of England's next monetary policy move is now wide open, following a significant downside surprise in the August inflation print out earlier on Wednesday. The goods rate rose slightly from 6.1% to 6.3%, but was more than offset by the services rate slowing significantly from 7.4% to 6.8%. Following the surprise, Goldman Sachs changed its projection for Thursday's critical rate decision and now expects the Bank of England to keep its main bank rate unchanged. Combined with their recent dovish commentary, we now expect the MPC to keep Bank Rate unchanged tomorrow and lower our forecast for the terminal policy rate to 5.25% (from 5.5% before).

Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank of England, of, Bank, MPC Locations: London

☆ Dollar steady as U.S. inflation data awaited, yen retraces gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

More broadly, the dollar held firm, though moves were subdued as traders awaited a closely watched U.S. inflation reading due later on Wednesday. Analysts attributed the slide to an unwinding of long dollar positions after a recent run of resilient U.S. economic data. Wednesday's U.S. consumer price index, or CPI, data for August comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. "In recent months, European inflation, core inflation in particular, has fallen more slowly than expected. "The high inflation rate warrants another rate hike, but the economic indicators ... signal that a recession is imminent."

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Alvin Tan, Ueda, Hiroshige Seko, Sterling, CME's, Tina Teng Organizations: Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S, Fed, CMC Markets, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Rabobank Locations: U.S, Asia

☆ Here are 3 trends to watch for in the key August inflation report, according to Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs expects August headline CPI to rise 3.58% annually, up from July's 3.2% gain. Strategists wrote Monday they expect to key trends to emerge, including a 3.1% decline in used car prices. CarsThe strategists said used car prices should fall 3.1% in August from July, reflecting lower auction prices. Goldman Sachs estimates used car prices to fall in August. Shelter inflation will remain roughly at its current pace in August, Goldman Sachs says.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Transportation Goldman, CPI Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Tech drags US stocks lower as Oracle drops and Apple slides after iPhone event
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Oracle stock plunged more than 13% to lead tech names lower on Tuesday. Apple stock fell more than 2.3% as investors watched the iPhone 15 debut event in California. Meanwhile, US oil prices climbed to their highest mark since November 2022. download the app Email address By clicking ‘Sign up’, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider as well as other partner offers and accept our Terms of Service and Privacy PolicyAdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks declined on Tuesday, with tech names leading the declines. Shares of Oracle declined more than 13% following a downbeat earnings report, while Apple also moved lower more than 2.3% on the same day as the company's iPhone 15 launch event.

Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: Oracle, Apple, Service, Apple Watch, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: California, Wall, Silicon, Cupertino , California

For months now, inflation has been steadily trending down to a 3% level after hitting 9% last summer. That will likely bring the annual rate to 3.6%. The Fed actually pays attention to a less well-known inflation metric and tends to focus on core inflation minus housing and those numbers are improving. We look for the monthly pace of core inflation to rebound to 0.2%-0.3% in Q4 and keep the annual rate closer to 4% than 3% through year end. The annual rate of headline CPI is also likely to remain stuck just above 3% through the end of 2023.

Persons: ”, Sam Bullard, Wells, ” Bullard, Janet Yellen Organizations: CPI, White, Fed, PPI Locations: India, U.S

☆ Here are 3 things for stock investors to watch in the market in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-09 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

It was a down week for the major stock market benchmarks as rumors of an iPhone ban for government employees in China sparked concerns over increasing tensions between Washington and Beijing. Here's a full rundown of all the important domestic earnings reports and economic data in the week ahead. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Apple —, Jim, we'll, Einstein, Stellantis, We'll, That's, Oracle's, LEN, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Apple, Dow, Nasdaq, Broadcom, DuPont, Huawei, Nvidia, Apple Watch, Vision, Club, Google, Justice Department, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, UAW, CPI, PPI, Oracle, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Microsoft, Costco, Caseys, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple Inc, Getty Locations: China, Washington, Beijing, U.S, People's Republic of China, San Francisco, Shanghai

But analysts say more policy support is needed to shore up consumer demand in the world's second-biggest economy, with a labour market recovery slowing and household income expectations uncertain. "In general the inflation (rate) still points to weak demand and requires more policy support for the foreseeable future." DEFLATION PRESSURESCompared with the previous month, CPI rose 0.3%, picking up from 0.2% in July, the statistics bureau said. Pork prices rose 11.4% month-on-month, versus no change in July, due to the impact of extreme weather in some areas. Factory-gate deflation moderated in August due to improving demand for some industrial products and rising international crude oil prices, the statistics bureau said.

Persons: Tingshu Wang, Zhou Hao, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang Lasalle, Premier Li Qiang, Kevin Yao, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes, William Mallard Organizations: REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, Guotai, ANZ, Jones, Premier, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, Ukraine

☆ UK headline inflation rate drops sharply to 6.8% in July, in line with expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In August, the Bank of England increased interest rates for the 14th time in a row. LONDON — U.K. headline inflation cooled sharply in July to an annual 6.8%, but the core consumer price index remained unchanged, posing a potential headache for the Bank of England. Analysts noted that the participation rate broadly held steady, while the employment rate declined, signaling a weakening in labor demand. U.K. Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said the drop in headline inflation showed the government's action to tackle inflation is "working," but "we're not at the finish line." Cost-of-living crisis 'far from over'With headline inflation falling to 6.8% and wages growing at record pace, the U.K.'s prolonged cost-of-living crisis may be showing signs of abating, said David Henry, investment manager at Quilter Cheviot.

Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Hunt, David Henry, Henry, Suren, Thiru Organizations: Bank of England, LONDON, Reuters, National Statistics, Monetary, Analysts, Office, Finance, Institute of Chartered Accountants Locations: CPIH, Cheviot, England, Wales

☆ China's core inflation is not as dire as headline CPI suggests: Deutsche Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's core inflation is not as dire as headline CPI suggests: Deutsche BankSameer Goel of Deutsche Bank says that "a big fiscal step" is needed from the Chinese government to restore investor confidence in the Chinese market.

Persons: Deutsche Bank Sameer Goel Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ Dollar gains, crosses key 145 yen level
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. In the 12 months through July, the PPI rose 0.8% after a 0.2% gain the prior month. Prior to the inflation data, that chance was already above 85%. The stronger dollar led the yen to briefly touch 145.03 in late afternoon trade, its highest since June 30. Japan intervened in currency markets last September when the dollar rose past 145 yen, which prompted the Finance Ministry to buy the yen and push the pair back to around 140 yen.

Persons: Florence Lo, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, Everyone's, Marvin Loh, Loh, Moh Siong Sim, Herbert Lash, Alun John, Ankur Banerjee, Kirsten Donovan, William Maclean, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal, PPI, Labor Department, Treasury, Singapore, Finance Ministry, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Macquarie, New York, Boston, Japan, London, Singapore

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