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☆ Analysis: Potential US government shutdown could dent investor confidence
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Investors might be more sensitive to a shutdown this time around, however. With only weeks to go before the deadline, the Republican-led House of Representatives has approved only one of those 12 bills. 'LESS FRIENDLY POLICY'If it occurs, the shutdown would be the fourth over the last decade and would furlough roughly three of out five federal civilian workers. The White House last month said it was working with Congress to hammer out a short-term funding measure to avoid a shutdown while longer-term spending talks continue. Analysts at Ned Davis Research said a shutdown could add to factors threatening to roil the economy into next year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Goldman Sachs, Fitch, ”, Jamie Cox, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Ned Davis, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, Goldman, Social, Federal, Harris Financial Group, Caucus, House Republican, Republican, Senate, Congressional, Office, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Democrats, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFRA Research, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ US stocks fall as Fed minutes show officials think hot inflation could still require more rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks closed lower on Wednesday after Fed minutes showed officials remain worried about inflation. Markets have been confident in their belief that the July rate hike was the last of the Fed's cycle. "The Fed wants to talk tough on inflation, but it's obvious they are done with rate hikes. "The July 26 rate hike was most likely not a one and done as the latest round of data suggests." The Fed will have another inflation report and another jobs report to sift through before it makes another policy decision.

Persons: Jamie Cox, Quincy Krosby Organizations: Service, Reserve, Harris Financial, LPL, Fed, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Hollywood is helping boost the economy as fans flock to 'Barbie,' 'Oppenheimer,' and Taylor Swift's Eras Tour
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-05 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Taylor Swift's Eras Tour and "Barbenheimer" have been key drivers of consumer spending this year. "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" has also boosted theaters that are still struggling post-pandemic. "'Barbenheimer' likely drove the continued surge in year-on-year entertainment spending growth," analysts Shruti Mishra and Aditya Bhave wrote in a note. Nintendo/Universal"The Super Mario Bros. Bringing some more optimism to global economies is "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" — an animated adaptation of the Nintendo video game.

Persons: Taylor, Mario, quieten, hasn't, Swift, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Taylor Swift, Taylor Hill, Jamie Cox, Covid, Cox, Shruti Mishra, Aditya Bhave, Greta Gerwig's, Zelda Organizations: Mario Bros, Service, Hollywood, Federal Reserve, Institute, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America, AMC, Nintendo Locations: Wall, Silicon, Cincinnati , Ohio, what's, Philadelphia

☆ Healthcare creating more opportunities for tech investors, says Harris Financial's Jamie Cox
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHealthcare creating more opportunities for tech investors, says Harris Financial's Jamie CoxJamie Cox, Harris Financial Group managing partner, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss investment opportunities in medical devices, the intersection of healthcare and technology, and top picks in the medical tech space.

Persons: Harris, Jamie Cox Jamie Cox Organizations: Healthcare, Harris Financial Group

☆ Cathie Wood's ARK fund hits 11-month high as inflation ebbs
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

NEW YORK, July 12 (Reuters) - The flagship fund of star stockpicker Cathie Wood hit an 11-month high Wednesday, extending a rally that has been powered by bets that inflation would fall rapidly and benefit the sort of speculative technology stocks she is known for. The $8.4 billion ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.P) rose 0.6% in morning trading Wednesday to its highest level since August 2022. Wood's fund was among the worst-performing U.S. equity funds overall in 2022 as she continued to downplay the impact of inflation and said that deflation would be the larger issue driving markets. Lower interest rates help unprofitable or other early-stage companies by lowering their borrowing costs and increasing the value of future profits. "Anything that puts interest rate hikes at bay is definitely positive for any small-cap or speculative tech stock," he said.

Persons: stockpicker Cathie Wood, Jamie Cox, David Randall Organizations: YORK, Coinbase Global Inc, Sciences, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial Group, Thomson

☆ A.I. could mean a 'decade of health care is upon us.' Here are some stock picks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors hoping to capture more upside from artificial intelligence could turn to a sector that's underperformed this year, and maybe not immediately associated with AI: Health care. Greater drug discovery The bull case for health care boils down to several factors including improvements made in drug discovery. Cox added that one overlooked health care and AI beneficiary would be Amazon , which he called a "sleeper" pick for investors. This year, it closed a $3.9 billion transaction for primary health care provider One Medical . The investor also called Rockwell Automation one of his stock picks that could benefit from AI in health care.

Persons: Jamie Cox, Morgan Stanley, Cox, Mizuho, Rockwell Organizations: Nvidia, Harris Financial, Johnson, Merck, Pfizer, Exscientia, Amazon, Rockwell Automation, . UnitedHealth Locations: U.S, U.K

☆ The AI-powered rally to start the year could broaden out in the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks markets are wrapping up a surprisingly strong start to the year, but whether it will continue is an open question as investors wade into a seasonally weak period for markets. Even the laggard Dow Jones Industrial Average, with few tech stocks, managed to eke out a 3.6% gain. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla account for 80% of the gains in the S & P 500, according to UBS. The S & P 500 health sector is down almost 3% this year. Next week marks the start of July and the third quarter of 2023.

Persons: didn't, Jamie Cox, Cox, John Lynch, Harris Financial's Cox, that's, Comerica's Lynch, Kim Forrest, Nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Spring, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Harris Financial, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS, Comerica Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Investors, Bokeh Capital Partners, Independence, P Global, PMI, Tuesday U.S

☆ Credit crunch will help Fed's job of financial tightening, says Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCredit crunch will help Fed's job of financial tightening, says Societe Generale's Subadra RajappaJamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, and Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the banking credit crunch tightening financial conditions, the potential for a gradual decline in 10-year Treasury yields, and concerns about a 2024 recession.

Persons: Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Harris Financial's Jamie Cox and Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Harris Financial's Jamie Cox and Societe Generale's Subadra RajappaJamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, and Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the banking credit crunch tightening financial conditions, the potential for a gradual decline in 10-year Treasury yields, and concerns about a 2024 recession.

Persons: Harris, Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: Societe, Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale

☆ With these many jobs, do we no longer have to worry about a recession?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

But for every recession alarm bell, the continued strength in the labor market seems to be an answer to those worries. “I think even in a recession environment, we’re going to have a relatively strong job market. “It’s still possible that the case of avoiding a recession is, in my view, more likely than that of having a recession. Jobs market still hot, but coolingThat’s not to say that the jobs market hasn’t slowed down. Powell said he’s not particularly worried about the cooling of the labor market over the last year.

Persons: That’s, ”, Jamie Cox, they’re, Mark Zandi, “, I’ve, we’ve, Dave Gilbertson, Jerome Powell, “ We’ve, ” Powell, It’s, Julia Pollock, Powell, he’s, —, ZipRecruiter’s Pollock, – CNN’s Bryan Mena Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Costco, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial Group, Moody’s Analytics, Target, Labor Locations: New York

The Commerce Department reported retail sales rose 0.4% in April, at half the pace against an expected increase of 0.8%. "The retail sales data has been positive in several months, but it's still weak," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. You are probably seeing the end of the decline in retail sales, but it's not going to be a smooth ride from here." Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) component Home Depot (HD.N) shed 1.4%, hitting its lowest level in over six months after the company lowered its annual sales forecast. Shares of Capital One Financial Corp (COF.N) jumped 2.4%, rising the most on the S&P 500, after Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRKa.N) on Monday disclosed it has begun investing in the consumer lender.

The Commerce Department reported retail sales rose 0.4% in April, at half the pace against an expected increase of 0.8%. "The retail sales data has been positive in several months, but it's still weak," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. You are probably seeing the end of the decline in retail sales, but it's not going to be a smooth ride from here." "There is little chance we will see a resolution to the U.S. debt ceiling issue today," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank. "The negotiations will likely remain tight as Republicans ask decent spending cuts to accept a debt ceiling relief, while Biden is not willing to compromise on spending into the election year."

The Commerce Department reported retail sales rose 0.4% in April, at half the pace against an expected increase of 0.8%. "The retail sales data has been positive in several months, but it's still weak," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. You are probably seeing the end of the decline in retail sales, but it's not going to be a smooth ride from here." The S&P 500 retail index (.SPXRT) lost 0.6%. Shares of Capital One Financial Corp (COF.N) jumped 5.4%, rising the most on the S&P 500, after Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRKa.N) on Monday disclosed it has begun investing in the consumer lender.

May 8 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) shares pared early gains on Monday, dragging down other U.S. regional banking stocks, as the Los Angeles-based lender's decision to slash its quarterly dividend failed to stem worries about its financial stability. Other U.S. regional banks also retreated. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo 1 2The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) fell 2.82% after gaining nearly 4.7%. But hedge funds, which often engage in short selling, pushed back on Monday, saying in a letter to Gensler that a ban would be counterproductive. Yellen said it is in the SEC's purview to regulate short selling although there is a high bar for any controls if evidence of market manipulation was found.

May 8 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) shares pared early gains on Monday, dragging down other U.S. regional banking stocks, as the Los Angeles-based lender's decision to slash its quarterly dividend failed to stem worries about its financial stability. "The dividend cut is not a good sign," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. Other U.S. regional banks also retreated. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) fell 1.5% after gaining nearly 4.7%. "I have a general fear that smaller banks are going to disappear, and we're going to end up with just a few large banks."

☆ Watch CNBC’s Fed panel full interview ahead of the Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s Fed panel full interview ahead of the Fed decisionHarris Financial Group's Jamie Cox, Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa and Milken Institute's William Lee, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the looming Fed meeting, where another 25bps rate hike is expected.

☆ There isn't a banking crisis, the problem is banking supervision, says Milken's William Lee
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere isn't a banking crisis, the problem is banking supervision, says Milken's William LeeHarris Financial Group's Jamie Cox, Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa and Milken Institute's William Lee, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the looming Fed meeting, where another 25bps rate hike is expected.

☆ Stock futures are down slightly as investors prepare for Fed meeting: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures are modestly lower Monday night as investors prepared for the Federal Reserve's May policy meeting to kick off. But the muted activity seen in Monday's regular session is typical in the days leading up to a Fed policy meeting, according to Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group. Members of the Federal Open Market Committee will begin their policy meeting Tuesday, with an announcement on interest rates and a subsequent press conference expected Wednesday. "Markets just sit around and wait until the Fed meeting begins, and then the positioning starts," Cox said. Beyond the start of the Fed meeting Tuesday, investors will watch for data on job openings, factory orders and light vehicle sales on the economic front.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Harris Financial Group's Jamie Cox and Manulife's Frances Donald
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Harris Financial Group's Jamie Cox and Manulife's Frances DonaldJamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, and Frances Donald, chief economist and strategist at Manulife Investment Management, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the accumulating effect of interest rate policy, indicators of a recession, and the rise in jobless claims.

☆ Nearly every data indicator suggests an impending recession, says Manulife's Jamie Cox
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNearly every data indicator suggests an impending recession, says Manulife's Jamie CoxJamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, and Frances Donald, chief economist and strategist at Manulife Investment Management, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the accumulating effect of interest rate policy, indicators of a recession, and the rise in jobless claims.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Consumer stocks' earnings may offer clues on U.S. economy’s resilience
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Companies in the consumer discretionary spending sector reporting next week include Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) and AutoNation Inc (AN.N). Reuters GraphicsGrowing recession fears over the last year have already prompted many consumer discretionary companies to cut costs to boost margins, which may lead to positive earnings surprises this quarter, Melson said. Part of that expected growth comes from a job market that has remained robust, helping buoy consumer spending, said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group. Meanwhile, U.S. consumer sentiment inched up in April, but households expected inflation to rise over the next 12 months. Sandy Villere, a portfolio manager at Villere & Co, has winnowed his holdings of consumer discretionary stocks in anticipation of a recession later this year.

☆ How the banking crisis clipped the Fed's wings
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The message was clear: Buckle up, America — we are going to keep raising rates and get inflation down, come hell or high water. Silicon Valley Bank collapsed, followed by Signature Bank, stirring fears of a 2008-like financial calamity. “We no longer state that we anticipate that ongoing rate increases will be appropriate to quell inflation,” Powell said. How’d Wall Street take the news? But the mood on Wall Street turned sour in response to both Powell’s comments and remarks from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who was testifying before Congress at the same time.

☆ Investors are still worried about a run on deposits of some ailing banks while massive lifelines buy more time
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-18 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Shares of First Republic and Credit Suisse continued to sell off despite massive lifelines. First Republic is receiving $30 billion in deposits from Wall Street giants and large regional banks. Meanwhile, Switzerland's central bank provided Credit Suisse with $54 billion in liquidity. In the case of Credit Suisse, depositors have been fleeing since well before SVB failed. Bank mergers could help, and UBS is in talks to acquire all or parts of Credit Suisse, according to reports.

☆ The CD Market Is Doing Something Strange—and It Could Have a Big Impact on Your Money
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +8 min

CD rates have been rising rapidly over the past year, thanks to the Federal Reserve’s efforts to fight inflation. And there’s potentially a bigger issue at play: Regardless of where you stick your cash, interest rates’ odd behavior suggests the economy may be out of whack. CD rates have climbed dramatically since the Federal Reserve embarked on its campaign to fight inflation, which peaked at nearly 10% late last year. But the Fed faces a conundrum: Hiking interest rates to fight inflation also slows economic growth. Short term rates remain high, while longer term rates—reflecting grim economic prospects in years to come—fall off.

☆ 'This is a warning to the Fed': Wall Street reacts to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the biggest bank failure since 2008
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Regulators shut down Silicon Valley Bank on Friday, putting it into FDIC receivership. I think doing nothing would've been negative, but getting involved stops things in their tracks," Wright told Insider. Nancy Tengler, chief executive and chief investment officer, Laffer Tengler Investments"Often what we get from regulators, they close the barn door after the horses are out of the barn," Tengler told Insider. It's not like interest rates haven't been rising for a year. Jamie Cox, managing partner, Harris Financial Group"When the Fed jacks up interest rates 500 basis points in a matter of months, things like SVB happen," Cox told Insider.

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