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☆ Fed's inflation fight isn't done yet despite good progress, says former Fed governor
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's inflation fight isn't done yet despite good progress, says former Fed governorFrederic Mishkin, former Federal Reserve governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Mishkin's thoughs on the next Federal Reserve meeting, what the Federal Reserve is aiming to do in September, and what's keeping the economy afloat.

Persons: Frederic Mishkin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve

☆ The strong economic data may mean another year-end rate hike, says former Fed Governor Kroszner
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe strong economic data may mean another year-end rate hike, says former Fed Governor KrosznerRandy Kroszner, former Federal Reserve governor and economics professor at the University of Chicago Booth of School Business, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether the Fed will need to raise rates further, macro headwinds impacting the downward trajectory of inflation, and tracking the pace of long invariable lags.

Persons: Kroszner Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth Organizations: Federal Reserve, University of Chicago, University of Chicago Booth of School Business

☆ Don't count out more rate hikes due to strong jobs market, former Fed governor Kroszner suggests
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Natalie Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Don't count out additional interest rate hikes, according to former Federal Reserve governor Randall Kroszner. Kroszner, who's now a University of Chicago economics professor, believes rates are staying high into well next year. "I don't see how they can be comfortable to say, 'okay we're not going to be raising anymore' if the labor market is as strong as it is now," Kroszner told CNBC's "Fast Money" on Wednesday. Kroszner, who helped lead the response during the global financial crisis, thinks the Fed won't officially put the brakes on rate hikes until they "see some of the heat coming out of the labor market." He also believes Fed members will be at odds at what they need to see.

Persons: Randall Kroszner, who's, we're, Kroszner, CNBC's Organizations: Federal, University of Chicago, Fed

☆ I don't think the Fed can say it's done raising rates if job market stays strong: Fmr. Fed Governor
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI don't think the Fed can say it's done raising rates if job market stays strong: Fmr. Fed GovernorRandall Kroszner, Former Fed Governor, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what to expect from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell next week at Jackson Hole, what's ahead for the central bank, the impact of the labor market on rate hikes and more.

Persons: Randall Kroszner, Jerome Powell, Jackson Organizations: Fed, Former Fed Governor, Federal

☆ Thursday's inflation data may be low, but don't expect the Fed to declare 'mission accomplished' yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

But history has shown that inflation is stubborn and can last longer than expected once it becomes elevated and entrenched. "We can feel confident that inflation is moving in the right direction," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. For instance, housing-related costs, which make up about one-third of the inflation index weighting, are dropping. In particular, they don't want to declare 'mission accomplished' too soon," he said Wednesday during an interview on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street." watch nowAt the macro level, the Fed rate hikes have appeared to do minimal damage.

Persons: Mandel Ngan, Dow Jones, Mark Zandi, Zandi, they're, Richard Clarida isn't, Clarida, Joe Biden, Patrick Reilly, Banks, Reilly, John Williams of, Patrick Harker Organizations: AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, CPI, Moody's, Federal, of Labor Statistics, AAA, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, America Economic Survey Locations: Bethesda , Maryland, John Williams of New York, Philadelphia

☆ Americans are being pinched by rising prices and grueling debt - and the pain isn't going away soon, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Higher prices and interest rates are pressuring consumers and companies, Stephanie Pomboy says. Meanwhile, businesses are suffering a "migraine" in the form of higher debt costs, the Macro Mavens founder and president said. She pointed to the pressure on consumer spending, the limited supply of labor, and striking workers raising companies' costs by driving up wages and securing settlements. Inflation surged to a 40-year high of 9.1% last summer, spurring the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates from nearly zero to north of 5.25% today — a 22-year high. Higher rates can ease upward pressure on prices by encouraging saving over spending, hiring, and investing.

Persons: Stephanie Pomboy, Robert Heller, Pomboy, Paul Krugman, aren't, Heller Organizations: Fed, Service, Fox Business, Federal Reserve, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, Pomboy

☆ Recession in the US is 'absolutely' possible, says former Fed governor
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession in the US is 'absolutely' possible, says former Fed governorRobert Heller, former federal governor discusses the Fed's decision to raise 25 bps in July, and the outlook for the U.S. economy.

Persons: Robert Heller Locations: U.S

☆ Small rate hike 'baked in the cake' at next Fed meeting, says former Fed governor
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall rate hike 'baked in the cake' at next Fed meeting, says former Fed governorRandy Kroszner, former Fed governor, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what to expect at the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, how investors square the divergence between market expectations and the Federal Reserve's, and more.

Persons: Randy Kroszner Organizations: Federal

☆ The Fed isn't going to quit until the labor market quits, says former Fed Governor Randy Kroszner
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed isn't going to quit until the labor market quits, says former Fed Governor Randy KrosznerRandy Kroszner, University of Chicago economics professor, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the Federal Reserve's next move after June's pause in rate hikes.

Persons: Randy Kroszner Randy Kroszner Organizations: University of Chicago

☆ Economists weigh in on Mike Pence suggestion to eliminate the Fed’s employment mandate
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Mike Pence, who served as Donald Trump’s vice president and is vying to helm the White House, is campaigning on eliminating the Fed’s employment mandate. And what would change if the employment mandate is done away with, if anything? Lawmakers on Capitol Hill, with the sitting president’s approval, can simply amend the Federal Reserve Act to eliminate the employment mandate or even add another one. In CNN’s town hall with Pence earlier this month, the former vice president again floated the idea of eliminating the employment mandate. It seems clear that Democrats would take issue with any attempts to rid the Fed of its employment mandate.

Persons: Mike Pence, Donald Trump’s, Jerome Powell’s, Jimmy Carter, Powell, ”, Peter Ireland, Laurence Meyer, ” Adriana Kugler, Joe Biden, “, ” Meyer, Ben Bernanke, Pence, we’ve, ” Pence, Maxine Waters Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Reserve, Boston College, Relief, Economic Security, Fed’s, of Governors, Committee, Lawmakers, Capitol, ”, Financial Locations: Washington, Ireland, CNN’s

☆ The Fed pause represents a compromise among the committee, says Harvard's Daniel Tarullo
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed pause represents a compromise among the committee, says Harvard's Daniel TarulloDaniel Tarullo, former Fed governor and Harvard Law School professor, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the use of dot plots as a signaling device, the Fed's hawkish pause, and expectations for additional rate increases in July.

Persons: Harvard's Daniel Tarullo Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Harvard Law School

It was a subtly optimistic message that tempered otherwise hawkish projections that see the policy rate rising higher than market participants anticipated. In fact, investors in contracts tied to the Fed's policy rate see the central bank delivering only one quarter-percentage-point increase by the end of the year. They see about a 65% chance of a rate hike next month, up only slightly from before this week's meeting. A dovish decision, a hawkish statement, and very hawkish dots," wrote economists at the analytics firm of Larry Meyer, a former Fed governor. Fed officials at the median more than doubled their outlook for 2023 economic growth to 1%, from 0.4% in the March projections.

Persons: Fed's Powell, Jerome Powell, Powell, Subadra Rajappa, Larry Meyer, Howard Schneider, Bansari Mayur, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Societe Generale, Fed, Market, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wednesday, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S

☆ The Fed is still a long way away from its 2% inflation target, says former Fed Governor Mishkin
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is still a long way away from its 2% inflation target, says former Fed Governor MishkinJason Furman, former CEA chairman and Frederic Mishkin, former Federal Reserve governor, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' with reaction to the Federal Reserve's decision to pause rate hikes this month.

Persons: Mishkin Jason Furman, Frederic Mishkin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal

☆ The message top corporate CFOs are sending directly to Fed presidents isn't a bullish one
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The Fed remains focused on the labor market and cooling wage growth while raising unemployment as the key to bringing hot services inflation down. "I shared with him [a regional Fed president] that they should stop, not pause," said another CFO on the call. "The consumer is being smart," the CFO said, but the Fed focus on bringing unemployment up can break the consumer. "I gave this message to him [a Fed president]: we can manage through this with unemployment below 4%." CFOs said the labor market remains tight and the wage gains, while slowing, have created a higher wage base which can't be turned back.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Drew Angerer, That's, Wall, Randy Kroszner, CFOs, Sara Eisen, Kroszner, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Market, Fed, CNBC, CNBC Fed Survey, Chatham House, Corporations, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Washington ,

☆ Why the new bull market is headed for more Fed stress after a rate hike pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-11 | by ( Natalie Rose Goldberg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

And even if the Fed does pause, Ferguson says it doesn't mean that more rate hikes aren't coming over the rest of the year. He isn't alone in the view that a Fed pause won't last long. This view is underpinned by, among other things, a labor market that continues to be tight. Others see recent cooling the labor market as a signal the Fed may soon have more need to moderate its rate hike strategy. "The broad picture here is the labor market is cooling in a sustainable way.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Roger Ferguson, That's, Ferguson, CNBC's, isn't, Michelle Girard, Steve Liesman, Dennis Lockhart, Lockhart, Fed's, Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, — Ferguson, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell's, Rucha Vankudre, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon —, Solomon, Goldman, Frederic Mishkin, it's, Mishkin, we've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, NASDAQ, Bank of America, Fed, NatWest Markets, Atlanta Fed, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Conference Board, Labor, Lightcast, Former Fed, Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: U.S

☆ Former Fed Governor Frederic Mishkin explains why the Fed shouldn't pause rate hikes next week
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Frederic Mishkin explains why the Fed shouldn't pause rate hikes next weekFrederic Mishkin, former Federal Reserve Governor and Columbia University professor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's rate hike campaign, and why he doesn't think the Fed should pause at next week's policy meeting.

Persons: Frederic Mishkin Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve Governor, Columbia University

☆ Former Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo: A 'hawkish pause' is the most likely outcome
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo: A 'hawkish pause' is the most likely outcomeDaniel Tarullo, former Federal Reserve Governor and Harvard Law School professor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest on the Fed's hate hike path, and whether the strong May jobs report will have an impact on the central bank's decision.

Persons: Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve Governor, Harvard Law School

Since the release of their last economic projections in March, the unemployment rate has fallen and inflation has largely moved sideways. She expects the Fed to keep its policy rate steady this month "while hinting at potential further hikes," a way to compromise among different views and keep pressure on financial conditions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and others insist that sort of erratic path is not their base case. The intent, rather, is to reach a "sufficiently restrictive" policy rate and remain at that level until it is clear inflation is falling towards the Fed's 2% target. "I do think they are done" with rate increases, he said, but "I cannot rule out another hike in June."

Persons: they've, Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Larry Meyer, Ian Shepherdson, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Market Committee, Reuters Graphics Reuters, North, Fed, Consumer, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Labor Department, Pantheon, Thomson Locations: U.S, North American, Washington

☆ Debt ceiling crisis: How a US default would ricochet around the world
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

But if it does, it could make the 2008 global financial crisis feel like a walk in the park. The consequences are frightful.”The belief that America’s government will pay its creditors on time underpins the smooth functioning of the global financial system. During the 2011 standoff over raising the US debt ceiling, the S&P 500 index of leading US shares plunged more than 15%. “It’s unclear in a Treasury default crisis whether the Fed could do enough even with the types of efforts it deployed in March 2020,” Obstfeld said. “A default would be a message to investors all around the world of eroding confidence in America,” he added.

☆ We need to rethink the entire bank funding model, says former Fed Governor Randy Kroszner
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe need to rethink the entire bank funding model, says former Fed Governor Randy KrosznerRandy Kroszner, former Federal Reserve governor and economics professor at University of Chicago Booth of School Business, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the market expectation for the Fed's next rate move.

Signature Bank's failure took only marginally longer. "The number 36 has just been, you know, branded in my brain," Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told Reuters earlier this month. "I think that any time you have a bank failure like this, bank management clearly failed, supervisors failed and our regulatory system failed," Barr told U.S. lawmakers in a hearing in March. "It's how do we allow a bank whose failure threatened the financial system to persist without being subject to more aggressive intervention?" "One thing for certain ... this was a very significant supervisory failure," Tarullo said at the Peterson Institute for International Economics event on Wednesday.

Her comments were echoed by others who feel the narrative shared by three top central banks of relatively cost-free disinflation rests on shaky ground. Among the Fed, ECB and BoE, only the British central bank projects a recession will be needed to slow inflation - only a mild one at that. U.S. central bank officials have split the difference, projecting a modest one-percentage-point rise in the unemployment rate this year from its near-historic low of 3.5%, and slow, but continued, economic growth. Martins Kazaks, Latvia's central bank chief, said the risk of a recession was still "non-trivial," with a host of factors still putting pressure on prices. For the Fed, different policymakers offer different ideas about the forces that will lower inflation as high interest rates slowly cool demand.

☆ The business model of regional mid-size banks is under a lot of strain: Harvard's Daniel Tarullo
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe business model of regional mid-size banks is under a lot of strain: Harvard's Daniel TarulloDaniel Tarullo, former Fed governor and Harvard Law School professor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss what went wrong with Silicon Valley Bank, if de-regulation had any impact on the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and who is at fault.

☆ Premarket stocks: Banking chaos has been bittersweet for crypto and wine
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

But it also gave the fine wine and crypto industry a big boost as panicking investors rushed out of the financial sector and into alternative assets. Bittersweet banking: SVB lent over $4 billion to winery clients since 1994, with over 400 wine industry clients (including wineries, vineyards and vendors) working with the bank’s premium wine division, according to the bank’s website. Recent SEC filings, meanwhile, indicated SVB had about $1.2 billion in outstanding loans to high-end wine clients when the bank collapsed. Circle, the company behind popular stablecoin USDC, said it had about $3.3 billion of its $40 billion in reserves at SVB. The collapse of Signature Bank, a major crypto lender, also had serious implications for the industry.

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