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American policy is at a crossroads, but that won’t necessarily translate to a turning point in peace negotiations, analysts say. That’s because nothing suggests Russia is ready to come to the table, regardless of who ends up in the White House. The scope of the war is also too large for a simple negotiation between Moscow and Kyiv, experts say. Attritional war playing into Putin’s handsUkraine is already outmanned, and Putin appears ready to accept a high number of casualties. European nations are scrambling to increase ammunition production for Ukraine to prevent backsliding, in the event that US support drops off.

Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky’s, ”, Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Trump, Thomas Graham, Putin, ” Graham, … Putin, John Lough, what’s, ” Lough, Oleh Shiryaev, Ivan Antypenko, that’s, “, Vitaliy Milovidov, don’t, Volodymyr Zelensky, Micah Garen, Harris, Zelensky Organizations: CNN, Council, Foreign Relations, NATO, West, Eurasia Program, Ukrainian Armed Forces, Separate Assault, Reuters, Security Service, Ukraine’s, National Security Council, 15th Brigade National Guard, Russian, Nordic Locations: Russia, Kyiv, United States, Ukraine, Russian, Hungary, Slovakia, Moscow, London, China, Beijing, Kursk, Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Iceland, ” Chatham, Bucha

☆ How Russian ‘dirty money’ risks rigging this European country’s presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Christian Edwards | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

If other Kremlin-friendly parties swing their support behind him, the second round will be extremely close. Both the Kremlin and Shor have denied interference, but Moldovan officials have warned the second vote could also be targeted by similar schemes. He has called for a “reset” of relations with Moscow and said he would be willing to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin, while maintaining he is committed to joining the EU. As a result, his platform is a mix of contradictory policies, said Samurokov: “You either support European integration, or you want to promote cooperation with Moscow. Evgenia Novozhenina/ReutersStill, Moldovan officials are braced for a second round of voting marred by pro-Russian meddling.

Persons: Maia Sandu, Sandu, Alexandr Stoianoglo, Sandu –, Moscow –, Stoianoglo, Vladislav Culiomza, Reuters Sandu, Valeriu Pasha, Ilan Shor, Shor, ” Maksim Samorukov, Sandu’s, ”, Vladimir Putin, Evgenia Novozhenina, ” Pasha, Volodymyr Zelensky, “ Organizations: CNN, European Union, EU, Russian Party of Socialists, World Bank, Moscow, Reuters, Reuters Analysts, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Communist Locations: Soviet, Europe, Moldova, European, Ukraine, Harvard, Chisinau, Russian, Russia, Moscow, Transnistria, Georgian, ”, Georgia

☆ The U.S. has a new strategy for combating foreign election interference, but will it work?
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Dan De Luce | Dan De Luce Is A Reporter For The Nbc News Investigative Unit. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

Last week, a video popped up on social media falsely claiming to show someone ripping up ballots in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. Instead of relying on flagging suspected foreign disinformation posts to social media companies, U.S. authorities are declassifying information about foreign election interference in an unprecedented way, seizing web domains and issuing indictments that have exposed the mechanics of Russian and Iranian information warfare, officials and researchers said. U.S. intelligence officials later said Russian “influence actors” were behind the false story. And social media companies, under intense legal and political pressure from Republican critics, have scaled back or scrapped teams in recent years that used to take down inflammatory or conspiratorial content. The combination of homegrown falsehoods about “stolen” election conspiracies, surging foreign disinformation campaigns and a laissez-faire approach by tech firms threatens to undermine the foundations of American democracy, experts and lawmakers said.

Persons: “, ”, Paul Kolbe, ” Kolbe, haven’t, Biden, Yuri Kadobnov, Donald Trump’s, Matthew Olsen, — we’ve, Bret Schafer, ” Schafer, Esteban Ponce de, Tim Walz, Walz, Trump, Kathleen Hall Jamieson, ” Jamieson Organizations: FBI, Justice Department, Central Eurasia, CIA, Media, Russia, Getty, Kremlin, Alliance, Securing Democracy, NBC, Atlantic Council, Forensic Research, Democratic, Gallup, Republican, Democracies, University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg School for Communication Locations: Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Russia, Iran, China, Cuba, Moscow, Tehran, Tennessee, United States, AFP, Esteban Ponce de León, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Russian, Vietnam

It is clear what Russia stands to gain from an influx of some 10,000 North Korean troops to aid its war in Ukraine. North Korean troops are expected to help with that. North Korea, for its part, needs a partner that will shield it from the United Nations Security Council as it pursues its nuclear ambitions. “North Korea is trying to get as many benefits as it can from this relationship,” said Edward Howell, an expert on North Korea at the Chatham House think tank. “If thousands of North Korean troops learn how to survive on a battlefield full of drones,” Gabuev said, “that is a lesser problem than North Korea having quieter nuclear-capable submarines.

Persons: Kim Jong, Kim, Vladimir Putin, ” Alexander Gabuev, Russia —, Mark Rutte, NBC’s Keir Simmons, Putin, ” Putin, didn’t, ” Gabuev, Kim Jong Un, Mikhail Metzel, ”, Edward Howell, —, Gabuev Organizations: West, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, NBC News, Pentagon, Ukraine, NATO, Vostochny, Getty, Yonhap News Agency, United Nations Security Council, Chatham House, . Security Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Europe, Asia, United States, North Korea, Berlin, “, West, Russia’s Kursk, Moscow, Ukrainian, Kursk, Washington, Kazan, Pyongyang, Korea, North Korean, AFP, South Korea, Seoul

☆ A Russian court hit Google with a fine larger than the world's GDP, stretching credulity
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Joshua Nelken-Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A Russian court fined Google for not restoring YouTube accounts linked to Russian TV channels. AdvertisementA legal dispute between Google and Russia over suspended YouTube accounts has led to a fine so large that it exceeds all the money on Earth. Ivan Morozov, a Moscow-based lawyer, told the state-run TASS newswire that a Russian court ordered the tech giant to restore Russian media accounts on YouTube, a Google-owned company. To put this into perspective, the world's GDP is equivalent to about $105 trillion, a minuscule fraction of the fine. In 2022, Google's Russian legal arm, Google LLC, filed for bankruptcy, and authorities seized its bank accounts, though free services continue to operate in the country.

Persons: —, Ivan Morozov, Donald Trump, Morozov, Nigel Gould, Davies, Gould Organizations: Google, Service, YouTube, Business, Bloomberg, International Institute for Strategic Studies Locations: Russian, Russia, Moscow, Eurasia

☆ Japan election is a 'boxing match', the LDP party is 'bruised' but still standing: Analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan election is a 'boxing match', the LDP party is 'bruised' but still standing: AnalystDavid Boling of Eurasia Group discusses Japan's political instability following the elections and says campaign finance reform talks are critical for the formation of a coalition government.

Persons: David Boling Organizations: Japan, LDP, Eurasia Group

☆ Japan's central bank to remain undeterred on rate hikes despite LDP's electoral shock, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Japan's longtime ruling Liberal Democratic Party may have suffered an election shock, but analysts said that's unlikely to deter the Bank of Japan from its interest rate hike cycle. In Sunday's elections, the LDP lost its majority in Japan's lower house for the first time since 2009. Besides its junior coalition partner Komeito, the LDP will need to work with other parties to form a government. The political turmoil comes ahead of a Bank of Japan meeting this week. Roughly 86% of economists polled by Reuters expect the central bank to leave its rates unchanged when it announces its decision Thursday.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Japan's, Komeito, David Boling, CNBC's, they're, Izumi Devalier, Devalier, you've Organizations: Japan, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of Japan, LDP, Eurasia Group, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington , U.S, Japan

☆ China's muted response to the Russia-North Korea alliance could come at a cost
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Hannah Abraham | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementWith North Korean forces believed to be moving toward Russia's front lines, fears are growing that the Ukraine war is about to enter a new phase. Around 3,000 North Korean soldiers arrived in Russia last week, according to US, South Korean, and Ukrainian intelligence. The reports signaled a deepening military alliance between Russia and North Korea — an alliance that has been met with a muted response from China. AdvertisementThe bland statement may have been aimed at balancing its influence over North Korea and Russia with its relationship with Ukraine's Western allies. For North Korea, China has long been its most important ally, providing trade, diplomatic support, and military aid to Kim Jong Un.

Persons: —, Ukraine's, Bruce Klingner, Kim Jong Un, Ali Wyne, Sari Arho Havrén, Trump, Ann Marie Dailey Organizations: Service, Council, Foreign Relations, European Union, EU, Bank, China, Heritage Foundation, North, Royal United Services Institute, RAND Locations: China, Russia, Ukraine, South, North Korea, EU, Beijing, North, Eurasia, Korea

“If the North Koreans are actually sending troops to fight with the Russians, then clearly the level of Russian willingness to support North Korea, to help defend North Korea, is going to be equivalent,” he told NBC News in an interview Thursday. “And that really, in many ways, supplants China as North Korea’s most important protector.”Ukraine says 12,000 North Korean troops in Russia, could join fight starting SundayThe U.S. and its ally South Korea say 3,000 North Korean troops have been deployed to Russia, with the total expected to reach 12,000. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Friday in a post on X that the first North Korean soldiers were expected to be deployed in combat zones as early as Sunday. The entry of North Korean troops into the Ukraine war could also lead to even further escalation of the conflict. “I think that the North Korea move is a big part of that, frankly,” Bremmer said.

Persons: Kim Jong, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, ”, Ian Bremmer, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Kim, Putin didn’t, We’ll, “, Kim Yong, Lloyd Austin, Bremmer, Xi Jinping, ” Bremmer, Lin Jian, Wang Yi, Xi, Putin Organizations: U.S, North, Getty, Eurasia Group, NBC News, Korean, Ukrainian Defense Ministry’s, Directorate of Intelligence, Ukrainian, Centre, Strategic Communication, Security, Putin, United Nations, South Korean Defense, U.S ., South Korea’s National Intelligence Service, South Korean National Intelligence Service, AFP, Foreign Ministry, Foreign, Kremlin Locations: HONG KONG — North, Ukraine, Washington, Korea, Russia, China, Pyongyang, Beijing, New York, Koreans, North Korea, North, ” Ukraine, South Korea, Vietnam, Russian, Kursk, Russia’s Far, Kazan, U.S, Korean, Washington . South, Moscow, North Korean, Japan

☆ Russia's central bank hikes interest rate to 21% to fight stubborn inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Nathan Rennolds | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Russian central bank raised its key interest rate to 21% on Friday. Inflation in Russia hit 8.6% year-on-year in September, well above the central bank's 4% target. It has largely been driven by heavy defense spending amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. AdvertisementRussia's central bank raised its key interest rate to a record high on Friday as inflationary pressure continues in the country. The Bank of Russia raised the benchmark rate by 200 basis points to 21%, saying inflation was "running considerably above" its July forecast.

Persons: —, Alexandra Prokopenko, Prokopenko Organizations: Service, Bank of Russia, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Times Locations: Russian, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Europe

☆ Xi undercut the West by negotiating a truce in China's long feud with India
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Tom Porter | Hannah Abraham | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

China's Xi Jinping negotiated a truce with India's leader, Narendra Modi. AdvertisementAt the BRICS summit in Russia this week, China's leader Xi Jinping and India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi shook hands for the first time in five years. AdvertisementAfter their meeting at the summit hosted by Russia's President Vladimir Putin, Xi and Modi said they would continue discussions on resolving the issue. AdvertisementIn any case, its a setback in US attempts to include India in a deeper security alliance, he said. "For a long time, the US has tried to develop security and defense ties with India," said Panda.

Persons: China's Xi Jinping, Narendra Modi, that's, —, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Xi, Modi, Jagannath Panda, Putin, Zhiqun Zhu, Zhu, Yawar Nazir, Praveen Donthi, there's, Rahul Bhatia, Donthi, it's Organizations: Service, India's, Russia's, US, Stockholm Center, South, Pacific Affairs, Bucknell University, America, Reuters, Quad Alliance, Getty, Eurasia Group Locations: China, Russia, Washington ,, India, Japan, Australia, United States, Beijing, Asia, Pacific, Indian, Leh, South Asia, Europe, Ukraine, Taiwan

☆ Elon Musk's secret talks with Putin ramped up during his Twitter takeover: WSJ report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Lora Kolodny | In Lorakolodny | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

watch nowTesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has engaged in secret talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin since late 2022, according to reporting published Thursday by The Wall Street Journal. Currently, the SpaceX website says that a "service date is unknown at this time," for Starlink in Taiwan for general customers. Musk and representatives for X, SpaceX and Tesla did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The conversations between Musk and Putin, who once ran the KGB, reportedly occurred as Musk was in the midst of a leveraged buyout and takeover of Twitter. He continued to promote the idea, via X (formerly Twitter) that some Ukraine citizens would prefer to join Russia.

Persons: Elon Musk, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Musk, withold, Xi Jinping, Bill Nelson, Donald Trump's, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Mike Gallagher, StarShield, Tesla, NASA's, Joe Raedle, Ian Bremmer, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Sen, Lindsay Graham, Garry Kasparov, Lisi Niesner, Yuri Milner, Dana Rohrabacher, Rohrabacher, Rohrabacher's Organizations: SpaceX, Wall Street, Republican, Pentagon, NASA, Department of Defense, CNBC, ., NBC, X, KGB, Twitter, Polaris, NASA's Kennedy Space Center, Eurasia Group, NATO, Kremlin, Eastern Economic, Reuters, SXSW, Roscosmos, Russian Space Locations: U.S, Russia, Ukraine, Taiwan, Beijing, Washington, Butler , Pennsylvania, China, Starlink, Cape Canaveral , Florida, Crimea, Ukrainian, Sevastopol, Vladivostok, Bakhmut, Donetsk region, Silicon, Russian, Orange County , California, Moscow

☆ North Korea is cozying up to Russia. For China, that may be no bad thing.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Hannah Abraham | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

North Korea is solidifying ties with Russia, a change from its usual focus on China. AdvertisementRussian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday appeared to confirm reports that North Korea had sent thousands of troops to eastern Russia. "But the Chinese are waiting for an opportunity where North Korea, Russia, and China can come stronger together, and I think North Korea sending the troops to Russia is a testimony to that." AdvertisementFor North Korea, China has long been its most important ally, providing trade, diplomatic support, and military aid to Kim Jong Un. Jim Hoare, a former UK diplomat who was posted to North Korea, told BI that even if China was frustrated by North Korea's increasing closeness to Russia, it should bide its time.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin, Victor Cha, Jagannath Panda, Sari Arho Havrén, Kim Jong, Havrén, Ali Wyne, Jim Hoare, Hoare Organizations: Analysts, Service, Center for Strategic, International Studies, New York Times, Experts, Stockholm Center, South, Pacific Affairs, Royal United Services Institute, NATO Locations: Korea, Russia, China, North Korea, Ukraine, Washington, Beijing, South Korea, Japan, Eurasia, Pyongyang

☆ If South Korea decides to get involved in Ukraine, it has powerful options
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But South Korea remains wary of getting involved in the Ukraine war. GAVRIIL GRIGOROV via Getty ImagesSouth Korea hesitatesSignificant obstacles stand in the way of South Korea arming Ukraine, though. Chan said South Korea's President Yoon Suk-yeol was domestically unpopular and would encounter difficulties repealing the law via South Korea's center-left-dominated National Assembly. AdvertisementBut the escalating alliance between Russia and North Korea may soon reach a point where South Korea feels it needs to act. Because of Russia's increasing reliance on North Korea, Kim finds himself in a powerful position to negotiate sophisticated technology in return.

Persons: —, Yonhap, Jeremy Chan, Chan, Ellen Kim, Kim, Lloyd Austin, Kim Jong, Russia's Vladimir Putin, GAVRIIL GRIGOROV, Yoon Suk, yeol, Kim Jong Un, Joon Cho, Yoon, Sean McFate Organizations: Russia, Service, Security Council, South, Eurasia Group, Center for Strategic, International Studies, North, US, Getty Images, National, National Assembly, Kremlin, Georgetown University Locations: Korea, Ukraine, South Korea, North Korea, Russia, Seoul, Korean, China, Asia, Poland, Washington ,, Kyiv, Pyongyang, South Korea's, South, Moscow

☆ Putin once asked Elon Musk to not activate Starlink over Taiwan as a favor to Xi Jinping: report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Vladimir Putin asked Elon Musk to withhold Starlink from Taiwan as a favor to China, per The Wall Street Journal. Musk has been in regular contact with Putin since 2022, the Journal reported, citing officials. AdvertisementRussian leader Vladimir Putin once asked Elon Musk to withhold Starlink access from Taiwan as a favor to China's Xi Jinping, The Wall Street Journal reported. AdvertisementThe Journal reported that in late 2023, Musk received his first request from the Kremlin to refrain from activating Starlink over Taiwan. Musk, SpaceX, the Pentagon, and NASA also did not respond to similar comment requests.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Elon Musk, Musk, Putin, —, Xi, Defense Department —, Ian Bremmer, Per Bremmer, Dmitry Peskov, Peskov, Musk's, Donald Trump, Karoline Leavitt, there's, it's President Trump, Leavitt, Trump Organizations: Street, Service, Street Journal, SpaceX, Pentagon, NASA, The New York Times, Defense Department, Business, New York Times, Eurasia Group, Kremlin, Putin, Trump, it's, Republican Locations: Starlink, Taiwan, China, Moscow, Beijing, Europe, Russia, Russian, Washington, Ukraine, Crimea

☆ TSMC chips reportedly ended up at Huawei. It raises concerns about 'shadow networks' bypassing US sanctions.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Huileng Tan | Beatrice Nolan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

TSMC halted shipments to a client after its chips were found in Huawei products, per reports. Min-yen Chiang, a researcher, told BI it raises the questions about a "shadow network" of chip supply. TSMC, Huawei, and the Commerce Department did not immediately respond to Business Insider's requests for comments. Related storiesA 'shadow network' of chipsThe report adds to US concerns that Huawei is potentially obtaining advanced chips despite being blacklisted since 2020. "This question is slightly different than whether Huawei got restricted chips from TSMC through illegal channels," she told GZERO Media, a subsidiary of the Eurasia Group.

Persons: Chiang, —, TSMC, John Moolenaar, Moolenaar, Kate Leaman, Leaman, JW Kuo, Xiaomeng Lu, Lu Organizations: Huawei, Service, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Huawei Technologies, AFP, Bloomberg, Chinese Communist Party, CCP, BIS, Commerce Department, US Commerce Department, Apple, Nvidia, Export, US Commerce, agency's Bureau of Industry, Security, Eurasia Group, GZERO Media Locations: Taipei

☆ As North Korea, Iran and China support Russia’s war, is a ‘new axis’ emerging?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Simone Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

The remains of an unidentified missile, which Ukrainian authorities claimed to be made in North Korea, is seen at a site of a Russian strike in Kharkiv, Ukraine on January 2. China, Russia and Iran have also held four joint naval drills since 2019, and China is by far Iran’s largest energy buyer. Beijing also carefully manages its relationship with North Korea – which is almost wholly economically and diplomatically dependent on China. “Russia, North Korea, Iran is the type of grouping that China least wants to openly associate itself with,” said Tong Zhao, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. An Iranian military boat patrols ahead of the start of a joint naval drill of Iran, Russia and China in the Indian Ocean in May.

Persons: They’ve, Lloyd Austin, George W, Bush’s, ”, Kim Jong, Kim, there’s, what’s, Bashar al, Assad, Israel –, Xi Jinping, Putin, Alex Gabuev, Sofiia Gatilova, Xi, Loup, “, Tong Zhao, Zhao, Sydney Seiler Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Korean, Moscow’s, US, North, West, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, China’s, National University of Singapore’s Middle East Institute, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Iranian Army, AP, UN, National Defense Strategy, NATO, Center for Strategic, International Studies Locations: Hong Kong, Russia, Ukraine, United States, Tehran, China, Iran, North Korea, Washington, Europe, Pacific, Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy, Imperial Japan, Iraq, South Korea, Pyongyang, Syria, Beijing, Moscow, Berlin, Kharkiv, Kazan, Israel, Jean, South, Taiwan, “ Russia, ”, Iranian, Asia, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, North Asia, Sydney

☆ BRICS: The West wants Putin isolated. A major summit he’s hosting shows he’s far from alone
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Simone Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva was expected to join but canceled his trip after suffering an injury at home. “This BRICS summit is really a gift (for Putin),” said Alex Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin. Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese leader Xi Jinping, then-Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi pose as they arrive for the BRICS summit in Brasilia in November 2019. While BRICS is primarily geared toward economic collaboration, its meeting last year took place in the shadow of the war in Ukraine. The gathering in Kazan also gives Putin ample opportunity for one-on-one facetime with his fellow BRICS leaders and other friendly dignitaries in attendance.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, –, Xi, India’s Narendra Modi, Iran’s Masoud, Cyril Ramaphosa, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Putin –, Xi –, Putin, BRICS, Donald Trump, ”, Alex Gabuev, …, BRICS “, ” Gabuev, Xi Jinping, Jair Bolsonaro, Narendra Modi, Adriano Machado, Mahmoud Abbas, Israel –, Jonathan Fulton, Volodymyr Zelensky, Yevhen Titov, they’ll, Manoj Kewalramani Organizations: CNN, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Indian, Reuters, International, Israel, Atlantic Council, United Nations General Assembly, US, New Development Bank, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, BRICS, Kremlin, Takshashila Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Russian, Kazan, Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran, Beijing, Tehran, United States, Berlin, Brasilia, Johannesburg, Israel, Gaza, Hezbollah, Lebanon, Abu Dhabi, “, Gabuev, BRICS, Kharkiv, Indian, Bangalore

☆ Moldova faces a tug of war between Russia and the West in two crucial votes
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Christian Edwards | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —Voters in Moldova will cast their ballots Sunday in two crucial votes, which have been billed as the most consequential in the country’s post-Soviet history. Alongside a more sophisticated misinformation campaign, Shor has resorted to cruder methods to meddle with Moldovan politics. Home to a Romanian-speaking majority and large Russian-speaking minority, many Moldovans had long viewed Russia as a benign big brother. “It reflects the loss of the national allure of Russia in Moldovan society,” he said. “There’s limits (to what can be achieved).”But even if Sandu prevails in both the presidential vote and the EU referendum, he expects the Kremlin’s campaign to continue.

Persons: Ilan Shor, Shor, ”, Dumitru Doru, Maia Sandu –, –, She’s, ” Vadim Pistrinciuc, Maia Sandu, Ursula von der Leyen, Elena Covalenco, Sandu, Nicu Popescu, Moldova’s, ” Popescu, “ Moldova can’t, ‘, Sandu’s, Daniel Mihailescu, Alexandr Stoianoglo, Stoianoglo, Maksim Samorukov, ” Samorukov, “, Viorel Cernauteanu, ” Cernauteanu, Dmitry Peskov, Pistrinciuc, ” Pistrinciuc, Lenin, Peter Dench, Samorukov Organizations: CNN — Voters, eventual, Union, Kremlin, Authorities, Western, World Bank, Party, Action, Solidarity, Communist, Institute for Strategic Initiatives, CNN, Getty, European Council, Foreign Relations, Gazprom, “, CBS, AXA, Russian Party of Socialists, EU, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Reuters Locations: Moldova, Russian, Moldovan, Russia, Chisinau, Shutterstock Moldova, Romania, Ukraine, Transnistria, Soviet Union, Harvard, Romanian, Odesa, Moldova’s, Europe, AFP, Western Europe, Gazprom, “ Moldova, Bardar, ”, Moscow, Tiraspol

CNN —Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s Kursk region is now entering its third month, with scores of settlements still firmly under its control. Displaced people in an undisclosed location in the Kursk region are housed in a shelter on August 29, 2024, following Ukraine's cross-border incursion. Russia is trying to avoid diverting any resources from the frontlines of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine to fight in Kursk. Ukraine has maintained control of about 300 square miles in Russia's Kursk region, according to the latest assessment by ISW. Oleg Palchyk/Global Images Ukraine/Getty ImagesYet Ukraine’s goal of diverting troops from the eastern frontline to Kursk has so far failed.

Persons: CNN —, Vladimir Putin, Dmytro –, “, Mark Galeotti, Tatyana Makeyeva, ” Galeotti, Putin, it’s, John Lough, ”, “ Kholod ”, ISW, Oleg Palchyk Organizations: CNN, Institute for, Royal United Services Institute, Getty, Kremlin, Chatham House’s, Eurasia Program, Russian Locations: Russia’s Kursk, Ukraine, Kursk, Washington ,, Ukrainian, Sudzha, Veseloe, Russia, British, Moscow, AFP, Chatham House’s Russia, what’s, Russian, Russia's Kursk, Donbas, Pokrovsk, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Odesa, Kherson

☆ Ukraine is eroding Russia's military advantage with strikes on its ammo depots
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Military experts said it's partly down to Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian ammo depots. AdvertisementUkraine is reducing Russia's artillery advantage on the battlefield, and recent attacks on ammo depots have likely sped that up. According to military experts, these developments are likely due in part to Ukraine's recent long-range strikes on Russian ammunition depots. Taking out the ammoUkraine damaged several rear Russian ammo depots using long-range weapons in a string of long-range strikes that began last month. But Kastehelmi said that in the long run, Russia will "most likely" be able to adapt to Ukraine's long-range strikes.

Persons: it's, —, Ivan Havryliuk, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, John Hardie, Hardie, Emil Kastehelmi, Zelenskyy, Mark Temnycky, Kastehelmi Organizations: Service, CNN, Russia, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Maxar, Security Service, Ukraine, Technologies, Black Bird Group, Council's Eurasia Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kursk, Oktyabrsky, Toropets, Russia's, Tver, —, Tikhoretsk, Krasnodar Krai, Republic, Adygea, Finnish

☆ Sanctions have put the production of Russia's most advanced stealth fighter in jeopardy, research group says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Western sanctions have impacted Russia's production of Su-57 fighter jets, according to a research group. AdvertisementWestern sanctions are threatening Russia's production of its prized Su-57 fighter jet, according to a research group. "It's clear that Russia's military industry heavily depends on Western components, particularly in electronics," it said, adding that sanctions have put Russia's Su-57 production "in jeopardy." "There's no question that Western sanctions are having an impact on Russia's ability to generate its most sophisticated military systems," Spurling told BI. Western sanctions and the war in Ukraine have damaged Russia's economy, but their exact impact is difficult to quantify.

Persons: —, Russia's Su, Bryden Spurling, Spurling, Su, Justin Bronk, Anders Åslund, Alexandra Prokopenko, Putin, Jay Zagorsky Organizations: Frontelligence, Telegraph, Service, EA, RAND Europe, NATO, UK Ministry of Defence, Royal United Services Institute, Project Syndicate, Carnegie, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial, Boston University's Questrom School of Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Astrakhan, Swedish, Carnegie Russia

☆ Russia's economy faces an 'unsolvable trilemma' but can survive for several more years, think tank expert says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia faces mounting economic issues that could prove "unsolvable," a think tank expert says. This will exacerbate economic imbalances at home, Alexandra Prokopenko wrote in the FT.Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "Instead of hoping that Russia's economic combat power will soon be exhausted, the West must focus on a long-term strategy that will further constrain Putin's war machine and boost Ukraine's own economic resilience." In boosting spending to such heights, Russian President Vladimir Putin is effectively dismissing brewing economic imbalances as other parts of the budget become squeezed. By pouring more money into defense, the Kremlin is exacerbating existing economic imbalances," Prokopenko wrote, adding: "Putin faces an unsolvable trilemma of simultaneously maintaining a balanced financial system, meeting social obligations and sustaining defense spending at current levels."

Persons: Alexandra Prokopenko, —, Prokopenko, Prokopeko, Vladimir Putin, Putin, bode Organizations: Service, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Times, Defense, Putin, Kremlin Locations: Russia, Europe, Ukraine, Soviet, Moscow, stagflation

☆ Russia's defense industry has a massive labor shortage. Rules on what jobs women can do are part of the issue.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Russia's defense industry is short some tens of thousands of skilled laborers. Demographic trends and policies further strain Russia's labor force and defense industry. AdvertisementRussia does have one largely untapped source of labor for the defense industry: women. AdvertisementThe decline in Russia's labor force is forecast to continue until 2040, Massicot wrote. This would make bringing women into defense manufacturing a hard cultural and political pivot, Massicot said on X.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin, Dara Massicot, Massicot, Putin, El País, Health Mikhail Murashko Organizations: Service, BBC, Carnegie Endowment, International, Workers, American Welding Society, Russian Academy of Science's Institute of Economics, Reuters, Russia's, Health Locations: Ukraine, Russia, BBC Russia, Eurasia, El

☆ Ukrainian F-16 fighter pilots have had to dramatically change the way they fly after long flying Soviet jets, and it's a lot to overcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Sinéad Baker | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Ukraine's F-16 pilots have had to get up to speed on a different fighter jet quickly. And more broadly, Ukraine's air force is having to rapidly undergo a wider transition that its international partners took significantly longer to do. Those older jets have hydraulic systems, while F-16 jets are fly-by-wire, which means computers process the input by pilots. A Ukrainian air force F-16 fighter jet flies in an undisclosed location in Ukraine. A farewell ceremony for Ukrainian F-16 pilot Oleksiy Mes in Shepetivka on August 29.

Persons: Ukraine's, —, Michael Bohnert, Bohnert, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Vitalii, Tom Richter, James Hecker, Mitchell, David Deptula, Christopher Bowie, Oleksiy Mes, Oleksiy, they're, Valentyn, Keir Giles, Michael Clarke, Gordon, Skip, Davis Organizations: Service, RAND Corporation, Associated Press, Getty, Nokia, US Marine, National Guard, Politico, US Air Forces, NATO Allied Air Command, AP, Air Force, Pentagon, Ukrainian Air Force, Libkos, REUTERS, Chatham House's, West, Ukraine, US Army, Defense Investment Division Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Soviet, Europe, Ukrainian, Shepetivka, Denmark, Norway, Belgium, Netherlands, Chatham House's Russia, Eurasia, British

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