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Plenty of bond investors have been burned calling a bottom in a selloff that has taken Treasuries to the cusp of an unprecedented third straight year of losses. One potential near-term pitfall is Friday’s U.S. payrolls data, which could revive expectations of Fed hawkishness if they come in stronger than expected. The rise in Treasury yields has reached far beyond the bond market. The S&P 500 is down nearly 8% from its July high, as rising bond yields offer investment competition to equities while threatening to raise the cost of capital for companies. “The market is running with the idea that the Fed is done hiking, which they may or may not be,” he said.
Persons: Jerome Powell nodded, Bonds, , Jack McIntyre, , ” McIntyre, Stanley Druckenmiller, Duquesne, Bond, Josh Emanuel, Powell, We've, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, ” Wilensky, Noah Wise, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed, U.S . Treasury, Brandywine, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wilshire
Druckenmiller said that prior to quantitative easing, which began as part of the government's response to the 2008 financial crisis, stock valuations were typically at about 15-times earnings. The recent spike in Treasury yields have put market interest rates near their highest levels since 2007. A lot do — a stock picker's market," Druckenmiller said. "A lot of people made money in the stock market in the '70s. Not, frankly, unlike what has happened in the stock market in the last year."
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, I've, we're, Alex Karp, It's, George Soros Organizations: Duquesne Family, Quantum, Duquesne Capital Management Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Duquesne Family Office CEO Stanley DruckenmillerStanley Druckenmiller, Duquesne Family Office chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's 'big blunder' of not issuing more long-dated Treasurys when interest rates were low, government spending and the impact on the national debt, market outlook, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller Stanley Druckenmiller, Janet Yellen's Organizations: Duquesne Family Locations: U.S
"We are spending like drunken sailors," Druckenmiller said on CNBC's "Squawk Box" Wednesday. Now it's 25% of GDP ... My father told me if you're in a hole, stop digging Stan." Despite his calls to cut overall spending, the widely followed investor stressed that it's necessary for the U.S. to support Ukraine and disagrees with Republicans urging to stop funding in that region. "I was actually happy to see when the announcement the support for Ukraine and Israel $106 billion," Druckenmiller said. Druckenmiller once managed George Soros' Quantum Fund and shot to fame after helping make a $10 billion bet against the British pound in 1992.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, Stan, Putin, George Soros Organizations: Social, Duquesne Family Office, Social Security, Quantum Fund, Duquesne Capital Management Locations: Duquesne, Israel, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStanley Druckenmiller: The government needs to stop spending like ‘drunken sailors'Stanley Druckenmiller, Duquesne Family Office chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's 'big blunder' of not issuing more long-dated Treasurys when interest rates were low, government spending and the impact on the national debt, market outlook, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Janet Yellen's Organizations: Duquesne Family Locations: U.S
Olivier Douliery | Afp | Getty ImagesAuctions of government debt, normally routine events for the Treasury Department, have suddenly become very important to financial markets. That's why an announcement Wednesday on refunding, entailing the size of auctions as well as the duration mix of the debt that will be issued, is expected to draw even more market interest. Indeed, the two entities are both pivotal in determining how the U.S. is going to manage its mammoth debt load. That symbiotic relationship will be on full display this week when the Treasury Department makes its refunding announcement Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET, and the Fed follows with its decision on interest rates that same day at 2 p.m.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Olivier Douliery, Josh Emanuel, Emanuel, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, Alexander Hamilton, Paul Tudor Jones, she's, Dhingra, Thomas Simons Organizations: Treasury, Foreign Investment, United States, Treasury Department, Afp, Getty, Federal Reserve, Duquesne Capital, Robin Hood Foundation, Jefferies Locations: Washington ,, refunding, Wilshire, U.S
Georgetown women's basketball coach Tasha Butts died Monday after a two-year battle with breast cancer, the school's athletic director said. She exhibited these qualities both as a leader and in her fight against breast cancer. She joined the Georgia Tech women’s basketball staff as an assistant coach in April 2019, and was promoted to associate head coach two years later. While at Georgia Tech in 2021, Butts announced she had been diagnosed with advanced stage metastatic breast cancer. Before coaching at Georgia Tech, Butts was an assistant first at Duquesne, UCLA and LSU.
Persons: Tasha Butts, Tasha Tough, Kay, , , Lee Reed, Tasha, Butts, John J, DeGioia, “ Tasha, Darnell Haney, what’s, We’d, Pat Summitt, Spencer, Evelyn, Spencer , Jr, Marquis, ___ Organizations: Georgetown, Cancer, Georgia Tech, WNBA, Georgia Tech women’s, Duquesne, UCLA, LSU, Tigers, Hall of Fame, Lady Vols, NCAA, SEC, Minnesota Lynx, Minnesota, ___ AP, womens Locations: Georgetown, Georgia, Tennessee, Charlotte, Houston
Rainmakers find political hedge in Chris Christie
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] Republican presidential candidate and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie speaks at the New Hampshire Republican Party’s First in the Nation Leadership Summit in Nashua, New Hampshire, U.S., October 13, 2023. Several hedge fund rainmakers poured cash into Chris Christie’s campaign over the summer, according to filings released on Monday. But with legal woes hanging over Trump’s campaign, contributions to the most anti-Trump conservative could become a valuable call option for the group that knows something about hedging. It’s notable that Christie has been vocal about attacking Trump, whom he advised during the prior president’s first term. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie raised $3.8 million over the quarter, aided by donations from wealthy investors including Stanley Druckenmiller, David Tepper and Paul Tudor Jones.
Persons: Chris Christie, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump, hasn’t, Wall, Chris Christie’s, Christie, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, That’s, Stanley Druckenmiller, David Tepper, Tudor Investment’s Paul Tudor Jones maxed, Seth Klarman, Bruce Kovner, Trump, ” Christie, Ramaswamy, Tyler Winklevoss, Paul Tudor Jones, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: Republican, New, New Hampshire Republican Party’s, Nation Leadership Summit, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Republican Party, Trump, Duquesne Capital, Management, CAM, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal, Former New Jersey, Thomson Locations: New Jersey, Nashua , New Hampshire, U.S
The extraordinary activist-investor interest in Salesforce (CRM) eased further in the second quarter, according to the latest regulatory filings from influential Wall Street pros. His firm still owned about 2 million Salesforce shares as of June 30. Tepper also bought 2.3 million shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and 480,000 shares of Apple (AAPL) during the second quarter. As a result, Appaloosa's holdings as of mid-August may differ significantly from the conclusion of the second quarter. GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet YTD performance Bets on Google's parent company, Alphabet (GOOGL), varied in the second quarter.
Persons: Dan Loeb's, Jeff Smith's, Salesforce, Jeffrey, Starboard's Jeff Smith, Smith, he's, 13Fs, it's, Marc Benioff, Mason Morfit, Paul Singer's Elliott, Elliott, Elliott —, Nelson Peltz's, Bob Iger, Peltz, David Tepper, Tepper, Bill Ackman's, Seth Klarman, Loeb, Klarman, Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, Eli Lilly, That's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Kim Kulish Organizations: Inclusive Capital, CNBC, Paul Singer's Elliott Management, Constellation, Club, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, DIS, Disney, Management, Walt Disney Co, Peltz, Nvidia, Appaloosa Management, Microsoft, Micro Devices, Apple, AMD, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Capital Management, Oracle, Duquesne Family Office, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Corbis, Getty Locations: Salesforce, Tuesday's
Most Wall Street investors believe the best way to take advantage of the artificial intelligence boom is to buy Big Tech stocks, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. Forty-seven percent of respondents said big-cap tech companies are the best way to invest in AI, while 37% believe there's too much hype around the space. The chipmaker has been at the center of an AI craze on Wall Street. Investors piled into the AI enabler after the company recently made a shockingly strong forecast of future demand. Alphabet's AI capabilities and ambition attracted buying from big investors recently, including Stanley Druckenmiller 's Duquesne Family Office, Dan Loeb's Third Point and Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management.
Persons: Buzzy chatbot ChatGPT, Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb's, Bill Ackman's Organizations: Big Tech, CNBC Delivering Alpha, CNBC, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Google, Duquesne Family Office, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Capital Management
More than 100 million Americans were urged to limit prolonged outdoor activities, and, if needed, wear a mask if they suffer from pulmonary or respiratory diseases. People living in major U.S. cities such as New York, Chicago and Philadelphia may see murky skies and smell burning wood throughout the day. "The air quality in Chicago has been dreadful, giving me brutal migraines. The air-quality alerts were triggered by drifting smoke from wildfires burning in Canada, which is wrestling with its worst-ever start to wildfire season. An area of 8 million hectares (19.8 million acres), bigger than West Virginia, has already burned.
Persons: Quinn Glabicki CHICAGO, Eric Adams, Brendan O'Brien, Alison Williams, Mark Porter Organizations: U.S ., REUTERS, Midwest, National Weather Service, York City, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Mount Washington, U.S . Midwest, East, Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania, U.S, United States, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, New York, East Coast, Chicago, Philadelphia, York, Canada, West Virginia, Pacific, Atlantic, Midwest, South
Nvidia is worth holding for two to three years, Stanley Druckenmiller said in a Bloomberg conference. His bullishness comes as other investors have called Nvidia overvalued. His bullishness comes as other investors have called Nvidia overvalued after it briefly soared to a market cap of $1 trillion last month. During the Bloomberg interview, Druckenmiller also noted that even if a hard landing for the economy affects some AI development, he expects Nvidia to thrive in the long run. In the first quarter, his family office snapped up $220 million worth of the chipmaker's stock.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, , he'd, Bard, they're, Cathie Wood, Asmath Damodaran, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Bloomberg, Microsoft, Service, Privacy, Bloomberg Invest, Duquesne Family, Bank of America, ARK
NEW YORK, June 7 (Reuters) - U.S. investor Stanley Druckenmiller, chairman and Chief Executive Officer at Duquesne Family Office, said on Wednesday that he still expects a hard landing for the U.S. economy, as inflation persists, but offered a positive outlook for Nvidia. Still, the investor is bullish on artificial intelligence, mainly on chipmaker Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O). "Unlike crypto I think AI is real," he said. "If it's as big as I think it is, Nvidia is something we're going to want to own for at least two or three years. Reporting by Carolina Mandl and Davide Barbuscia in New YorkOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Carolina Mandl, Davide Barbuscia Organizations: YORK, Duquesne Family Office, Nvidia, Bloomberg, Nvidia Corp, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York
Szilagyi has the record for the fastest-ever Harvard Economics Ph.D. (2.5 years), studying under Ken Rogoff. In addition to his economics Ph.D., Szilagyi holds BA and MA degrees in mathematics and economics from Yale. Szilagyi: Toggle is a generative AI startup that sits squarely at the intersection of finance and artificial intelligence. Toggle AI was really born from observing the ever-mounting flow of financial data that we needed to track. Thanks to his support, Toggle AI took off with a mission to provide every investor and advisor with powerful AI tools in an easy-to-navigate, chat interface.
Persons: Jan Szilagyi, Szilagyi, Stanley Druckenmiller, Lombard Odier, Ken Rogoff, Giuseppe Sette, Druckenmiller Organizations: Duquesne Capital, Lombard, Harvard, Yale, CNBC, Summit, Microsoft, Duquesne Locations: Szilagyi, Lombard
Family offices are making major shifts in their portfolios, increasing their exposure to bonds and emerging-market equities, according to a UBS survey. The wealthy cohort plans to raise developed market fixed income investments in 2023, with more than one-third of family offices aiming at high-quality, short-duration bonds, according to the survey, which earlier this year polled 230 global family offices. "The shift that's going on is very telling," Charles Otton, head of UBS' global family and institutional wealth business, told CNBC. "Developed market fixed income and government bonds are strongly attractive to family offices as they look to 2023 in a very different rate environment." Duquesne Family Office's Stanley Druckenmiller, for one, has been calling for a recession for a while .
Persons: Charles Otton, Otton, Office's Stanley Druckenmiller Organizations: UBS, CNBC, Federal, Duquesne
Steve Cohen's hedge fund has likely made a $100 million gain on Nvidia after investing last quarter. Cohen recently urged investors to shrug off their fears and ride the "big wave" of AI. Steve Cohen's hedge fund has likely scored a $100 million gain on Nvidia in just two months, thanks to the chipmaker's stock surging on the back of the artificial-intelligence boom. Point72's largest positions included a $523 million stake in Meta Platforms, and more than $400 million worth of stock in both Broadcom and Amazon. He described the burgeoning technology as a "big wave," and predicted it would create new jobs as well as eliminate existing ones.
But it's not just Nvidia the smart money is betting on to power AI growth. Dan Loeb's Third Point also purchased Alphabet in the first quarter, making it the fund's fifth-biggest holding. Shares of Alphabet have rallied almost 40% this year as investors grew optimistic about the company's AI capabilities. AI software Druckenmiller revealed recently his Microsoft stake was also a bet on AI. Another AI software maker, Palantir, lately attracted buying from Ark Invest's Cathie Wood.
Persons: it's, Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb's, Bill Ackman's, Philippe Laffont’s Coatue, Stephen Mandel’s, Druckenmiller, David Tepper, Daniel Sundheim, Meta, Laffont’s Coatue, , Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Wall Street's, Billionaire, Duquesne, Office, Google, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Capital Management, Taiwan Semiconductor, Tiger Global Management, Coatue Management, Devices, Stephen Mandel’s Lone Pine Capital, Microsoft, Meta Locations: Wall
Hedge funds piled into Nvidia in the first quarter just in time for the chipmaker's eye-popping rally following a blowout forecast. The smart money hedge funds also loaded up on other tech stocks tied to artificial intelligence, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street investment bank analyzed the holdings of 740 hedge funds with $2.2 trillion of gross equity positions at the start of 2023, based on regulatory filings. Goldman then identified technology, media and telecom (TMT) stocks with the largest net changes in hedge fund popularity during the first quarter. A total of 34 hedge funds added Nvidia to their portfolio in the first quarter, according to Goldman.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jensen Huang, Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, David Tepper's Organizations: Nvidia, Wall, Billionaire, Duquesne, National Instruments, KLA Corp, Silicon Laboratories, Dynatrace
Securities filings released this week signaled that many hedge funds also appear to be catching the AI bug. Betting on AI heavyweights Alphabet popped up as one of the most common AI plays among big investors in the first quarter. Microsoft bet billions on AI capabilities, funneling another multibillion-dollar investment in January into ChatGPT maker OpenAI. Beyond Alphabet and Microsoft Outside heavyweight giants Alphabet and Microsoft, many hedge funds beefed up other AI-related holdings in the first quarter. His Nvidia bet equaled roughly $1.4 billion at the end of March.
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller bought into a few stocks tied to artificial intelligence last quarter, while piling into a handful of other names in the tech sector, according to a new regulatory filing. Druckenmiller said last week these two bets were his way of getting exposure to the booming AI space. He thinks that AI could be a fruitful opportunity for investors, especially when the economy comes out of what he thinks is an imminent downturn. The investor also built a sizable stake in Alphabet, another AI play, making it one of his top 10 holdings. Amazon was another new bet for Druckenmiller, who built an $84 million stake at the end of March.
Lots of Club holdings, including Nvidia (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOGL), were among the stocks traded by some of Wall Street's biggest investors and money managers in the first quarter. That firm, Jeffrey Ubben's Inclusive Capital, had owned 1.63 million Salesforce shares at the end of December, worth nearly $217 million at the time. Jeff Smith's Starboard Value also sold some Salesforce shares in Q1, leaving the firm with 2.5 million shares at the end of March. Mason Morfit's ValueAct Capital amplified its Salesforce stake in the first quarter, ending with 3.5 million shares, up from just 560,221 shares at the end of 2022. Loeb's Third Point amassed 4.75 million shares of Alphabet, worth $492.7 million at the end of the first quarter.
"It could be a beautiful opportunity in a hard landing just like '01, '02 ... a beautiful opportunity when the tech bubble bursts. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia "My firm has only been able to participate in AI by owning Nvidia and Microsoft," Druckenmiller said. "It's not even clear to me if we had a really bad recession, that Nvidia would even come down." And now we have a big hike in interest rates." The Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates for 10 times since last year, taking the fed funds rate to a target range of 5%-5.25%, the highest since August 2007.
Big-name investors and hedge funds made moves in Club holdings Disney (DIS), Nvidia (NVDA) and TJX Companies (TJX) in the fourth quarter. Starboard's position stood at 3.03 million shares — valued at $401.22 million — at the end of the fourth quarter, according to the firm's 13F. Inclusive's 1.63 million shares were worth $216.77 million and ValueAct's 560,221 shares carried a market value of $74.28 million. CRM YTD mountain Salesforce (CRM) YTD performance In addition to Salesforce, a number of other Club holdings appeared in hedge funds' quarterly disclosures. Some of the activists swarming at Salesforce have positions in other Club holdings and made changes to them during the fourth quarter.
BRACKENRIDGE, Pa. — The man suspected of fatally shooting a Pennsylvania police chief and wounding another officer in confrontations during a foot pursuit near Pittsburgh was killed by police after a chase, authorities said. The officers were shot blocks apart Monday in Brackenridge, an Allegheny County town northeast of Pittsburgh. The suspect carjacked a vehicle, and when Pittsburgh detectives later spotted it, he fled, Allegheny County Police Superintendent Christopher Kearns said. Authorities had identified the suspect as Aaron Lamont Swan, 28, of the nearby city of Duquesne. Allegheny County Police will investigate the shooting of the suspect, Kearns said.
Jon Wolfenbarger thinks stock-market investors are still too optimistic that a bear market bottom is coming sometime in the immediate-to-near future. When bear markets occur when valuations are relatively high, the bear markets tend to drag on longer. The median bear market length during periods of high valuation among those listed above is 17 months, Wolfenbarger said, compared to 13 months when valuations are attractive. Given that the current market sell-off began amid some of the highest valuations in history, Wolfenbarger said he expects the bear market to last 17 months or longer. Wolfenbarger's views in contextIn June, Societe Generale conducted a similar analysis to Wolfenbarger's and looked at bear markets over the last 150 years.
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