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☆ A fund manager beating 98% of his peers over the last 10 years breaks down why the stock market resembles the 'Nifty 50' bubble of the 1970s, when the market's biggest names got crushed as inflation s
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Disco is backOthers have also started to compare today's market and the 1970s' "Nifty Fifty." AdvertisementJPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist Marko Kolanovic also said in a note on Wednesday that fiscal spending and inflation could resemble the 1970s landscape. Similar to the 1970s, there are currently 3 active geopolitical conflict zones – eastern Europe, Middle East, and South China Sea," Kolanovic said. Kolanovic included in his note the chart below, which shows the correlation between inflation and the performance of the S&P 500.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, Jeffrey Gundlach, Cole Smead, Smead, Sears Roebuck, Alphabet's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's, Jeremy Siegel, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, " Rosenberg, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Bank of America's, Treasury, Nasdaq, DoubleLine, Investments, Business, Morningstar, Microsoft, Nvidia, Xerox Locations: Europe, Middle East, South China

☆ A trusted indicator is fueling recession warnings from Jeremy Grantham and other gurus. What you should know about the Leading Economic Index.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Leading Economic Index fell for the 22nd consecutive month in January. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The Leading Economic Index brings all of those together to gauge the future state of the economy across multiple dimensions, from growth and unemployment to consumer demand and homebuilding. Here's a screenshot showing the index's historic decline, from The Conference Board's latest release:AdvertisementThe Leading Economic Index has consistently declined ahead of previous recessions. There's no guarantee these four market veterans are right about the Leading Economic Index.

Persons: —, Here's, joblessness, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Jeremy Grantham, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gary Shilling, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Conference Board, Treasury, Manufacturers, Institute, Supply, The Conference, Board, Rosenberg Research, North, DoubleLine, Conference Locations: North American

☆ Investors need to consider market repricing in fixed income market: DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need to consider market repricing in fixed income market: DoubleLine's Jeffrey ShermanJeffrey Sherman, DoubleLine Capital deputy CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why there's an equity market repricing ahead, the recent spate of economic data to cross the tape, and more.

Persons: DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman Jeffrey Sherman Organizations: DoubleLine

☆ Watch the Closing Bell market panel's reaction to January's hot CPI report
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch the Closing Bell market panel's reaction to January's hot CPI reportSoFi's Liz Young, DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach and Wells Fargo's Sameer Samana, join 'Closing Bell' to react to stocks tumbling on the hot CPI report and what it means for the market.

Persons: Liz Young, DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach, Wells, Sameer Samana Organizations: Bell

☆ The CPI report came back to bite the Fed, says DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe CPI report came back to bite the Fed, says DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey GundlachJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to react to stocks tumbling on the hotter-than-expected CPI report.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach Jeffrey Gundlach

☆ DoubleLine's Jeff Gundlach warns that stocks are as 'overvalued' as early 2022
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

So there's a totally different valuation metric now," Gundlach said at the Exchange ETF conference. The prior bull market for stocks peaked about two years ago, with the S & P 500 hitting a record high on Jan. 3, 2022. .SPX 5Y mountain The S & P 500's previous bull market rally topped out in early 2022. Gundlach also said he would allocate 10% or so in real assets, such as gold. Gundlach has warned repeatedly that a soft landing or " goldilocks " outcome for the U.S. economy is unlikely.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, DoubleLine, Morgan Stanley, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Exchange ETF, CNBC, Tesla, Vanguard, Berkshire Locations: Japan, India, U.S

☆ India is the new Asia growth story. Here’s why investors are bullish on the outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

As China's property market and deflation woes continue to rattle investors, India's growth outlook appears all the more impressive. Last year's annual report attributed strong revenue growth partially to expansion in the Middle East, India, and Asia, Krishna wrote. "More than revenue, India is an important area for sourcing talent" as well, Krishna wrote. Growth potential For investors looking to gain exposure to the domestic stock market, Indian equities themselves aren't especially cheap though. "You're paying for the growth potential in India, certainly.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Bernstein, —, Narendra Modi, Bill Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, Quincy Krosby, Venu Krishna, Aecom, Krishna, Tim Long, Long, Simon Coles, Krosby, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment, Logan Capital Management, Modi, Infrastructure Pipeline, Aecom, Barclays, Cisco Systems, Juniper Networks, India —, Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Qualcomm, Logan Capital Locations: India, China, Asia, Philadelphia, South Carolina . U.S, Dallas, East, Asia Pacific, Japan, Coles , U.S, U.S, IShares

☆ Jeffrey Gundlach says all the 'Goldilocks' talk makes him nervous, thinks recession is still likely
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach believes the Federal Reserve poured cold water on hopes for a "Goldilocks" economic scenario benefiting risk assets, and the bond king stuck to his call for a likely recession this year. "When I hear the word 'goldilocks,' I get nervous," Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC's "Closing Bell." But Gundlach believes the market's faith was blindly optimistic and that Powell's message on Wednesday crushed the "Goldilocks" theory. "I think you want cash to be able to get into emerging market trade once the economy slows and perhaps goes into recession," Gundlach said. If we go into the United States recession, I think we will see a buying opportunity and you want cash for that."

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Jay Powell, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Powell Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, CNBC PRO Locations: United States

☆ DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach: Risk to economic growth could build as we move into this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach: Risk to economic growth could build as we move into this yearDoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market reaction to the first FOMC meeting of the year, why the Fed left interest rates unchanged, and more.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach

☆ It's a make-or-break week for the stock market. Here's why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at why this is such a big week for the stock market . The big storyA week to rememberThree trends in the stock market are bound to vault equities higher in 2024, Wall Street strategists say. Getty ImagesWe're less than a month into 2024, but this week could determine the market's trajectory for the rest of the year. Tim Cook AppleThe information overload comes amid an uncertain time for Big Tech and the broader stock market.

Persons: —, Netflix's, it's, Matthew Fox, Jerome Powell's, Tim Cook, Tesla, haven't, we'll, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Read, Jamie Dimon, Larry Downing, Jennifer Piepszak, Marianne Lake, Troy Rohrbaugh, Jeffrey Gundlach, Buckle, Mohamed El, isn't, Erian, Lyra, Maven, Tyler Le, Liquidators, Max Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Big Tech, Microsoft, Fed, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Google, optimist, JPMorgan, DoubleLine, Prime, Comcast, Warner Bros, Lyra Health, Hong, Alaska Airlines Locations: India, Japan, Hong Kong, China, Alaska

☆ The S&P 500 looks risky, there's a 75% chance of recession this year, and a firing frenzy is looming, elite investor Jeffrey Gundlach says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Jeffrey Gundlach says the S&P 500 is a bad bet now and the Magnificent Seven will probably falter. Gundlach expects inflation, interest rates, and unemployment to be higher than most expect. "Rich enough for sure is the S&P 500. It's going to be hard to sustain that double top in the S&P 500 with this type of expectation of earnings growth." So in the next recession, interest rates are not going to fall precipitously."

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, —, Rich, We've, we're, We're, They've, Gundlach Organizations: Service, DoubleLine

☆ DoubleLine's Gundlach sees ‘very painful’ economic downturn, S&P 500 may be forming ‘double top’
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Tuesday that he sees the chance of a severe recession coming in 2024 and that the S & P 500 , possibly in anticipation, may be forming a particularly bearish technical trading pattern. Other than the yield curve, Gundlach said leading economic indicators have been flashing contractionary signals for a long time, especially manufacturing. Gundlach pointed out that the S & P 500 has almost returned to its record level set in January 2022, forming a "double top" price chart. At the end of 2023, after a 24% rally, the S & P 500 was less than 1% from its all-time high of 4796.56 reached in January 2022. Gundlach said the greenback is losing its momentum and the S & P 500 should underperform its international counterparts in the next recession.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Carter, We're, we've Organizations: DoubleLine

☆ 'We are at the very onset of a recession right now': A top Wall Street strategist shares a 'huge red flag' signaling the economy is heading into a downturn — sending stocks tumbling as much as 20%
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Right now, it's up 7.7% year-over-year and continues to rise, prompting Kantrowitz to say it's a "huge red flag for me." Still, while the unemployment rate is up to 3.9% from its 3.4% low earlier this year, unemployment claims have not spiked meaningfully. Piper Sandler"Regarding employment – I see enough data that has me convinced that we are at the very onset of a recession right now," Kantrowitz said. If the unemployment rate continues to tick upward, even slightly, it will likely trigger the Sahm rule mentioned above. Plenty of market onlookers see a recession in 2024, including DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffery Gundlach and Citadel founder Ken Griffin.

Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Sahm's, It's, Claudia Sahm, Jon Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Jeffery Gundlach, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Federal, Business, Institute for Supply Management's, Investor, Federal Reserve, National Federal, Independent, Treasury, Conference, DoubleLine Capital, Citadel, Bank of America

☆ Now that inflation is slowing, here's when 10 experts think we'll see a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

High interest rates could slow consumer spending and lead to layoffs. Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates 10 consecutive times to fight inflation as the country emerged from its pandemic recovery. Here's how experts are feeling about the economy headed into the new year, and whether they think a recession is on the horizon. Some think a recession is likely in 2024Some experts predict high interest rates will take a toll on the economy, making a recession likely sometime next year. AdvertisementOthers think a recession is unlikely in 2024Other experts don't see a recession hitting the US economy in the next year.

Persons: —, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, he's, Ken Griffin, we're, Griffin, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, Marc Lasry, Lasry, Rob Arnott, Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Adams, Raphael Bostic, Brian Moynihan, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Goldman, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Citadel, UBS, Capital, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNBC, DoubleLine, Comerica Bank, Atlanta Federal Reserve, UCLA, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: United States, Dallas, Atlanta

☆ Stocks look pricey, the economy is showing cracks, and the Fed is an enemy to markets, says deputy chief investor of a $96 billion money manager
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Jeffrey Sherman touted bonds over stocks and flagged signs of weakness in the US economy. DoubleLine's deputy chief investor told Insider the Federal Reserve is an "enemy to everything." NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementBonds are more enticing than stocks, the US economy is showing cracks, and the Federal Reserve is an enemy to investors, according to Jeffrey Sherman. He warned investors against trusting the central bank to balance inflation and growth while also shoring up asset prices.

Persons: Jeffrey Sherman, Sherman, —, Jeffrey Gundlach's, TCW, scrambles Organizations: Reserve, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank, Fed

☆ All the signs are pointing to a recession that'll cost Americans their jobs, veteran bond investor Jeff Gundlach says: 'Layoffs are coming'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US economy is clearly headed toward a recession, veteran bond investor Jeff Gundlach has warned. "The shape of the yield curve is extremely unstable at this time," Gundlach told CNBC's "Closing Bell". AdvertisementAdvertisementRecessions typically happen when the yield curve de-inverts after being inverted for around a year, Gundlach noted. The US Treasury bond curve inverted back in mid-2022, but has pared much of that move since the middle of this year. AdvertisementAdvertisement"I really believe that layoffs are coming," Gundlach told CNBC.

Persons: Jeff Gundlach, —, Gundlach, CNBC's, what's, October's Organizations: DoubleLine, Service, US Treasury, Big Tech, CNBC

☆ Here’s where billionaire investor Jeffrey Gundlach sees income opportunities as recession risk looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Jeffrey Gundlach sees an economic downturn on the horizon, but he also sees an opportunity emerging for income investors. Gundlach, founder of DoubleLine Capital, sees interest rates falling as the U.S. economy moves into a recession in the first part of 2024 . However, investors seeking income may do well to step out a little further on the yield curve, rather than hiding in 6-month Treasury bills and cash-like investments. Investors in holdings that are too short-dated may find themselves exposed to reinvestment risk as rates decline. He said investors could buy "the entire yield curve at this point."

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Stanley Druckenmiller's Organizations: DoubleLine Locations: U.S

☆ This would be a poor trade location to be a seller, says Jeffrey Gundlach
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis would be a poor trade location to be a seller, says Jeffrey GundlachJosh Brown, Ritholtz Wealth, and Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, join 'Closing Bell' with reaction to today's Fed meeting and the market reaction to Fed Chair Powell.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach Josh Brown, Jeffrey Gundlach, Powell Organizations: Fed

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Ritholtz's Josh Brown and DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Ritholtz's Josh Brown and DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey GundlachJosh Brown, Ritholtz Wealth, and Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, join 'Closing Bell' with reaction to today's Fed meeting and the market reaction to Fed Chair Powell.

Persons: Ritholtz's Josh Brown, Jeffrey Gundlach Josh Brown, Jeffrey Gundlach, Powell Organizations: Fed

☆ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says interest rates are going to fall as recession arrives early 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach believes interest rates are about to trend lower as the economy deteriorates further and tips into a recession next year. "I do think rates are going to fall as we move into a recession in the first part of next year," Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC's "Closing Bell." The Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee unanimously agreed Wednesday to hold the key federal funds rate in a target range between 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has been since July. "One thing that the market is going to have to confront is we cannot sustain these interest rates and this deficit any longer," Gundlach said. "We can't afford this government that we're running at today's interest rate level.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Stanley Druckenmiller, Jerome Powell, hasn't Organizations: DoubleLine, Billionaire, Social Security, CNBC PRO Locations: New York, U.S

☆ No big news from the Fed allows the markets to rally, says Ritholtz's Josh Brown
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo big news from the Fed allows the markets to rally, says Ritholtz's Josh BrownJosh Brown, CEO at Ritholtz Wealth Management, and Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, join 'Closing Bell' to react to today's Fed meeting and the market reaction to Fed Chair Powell.

Persons: Ritholtz's Josh Brown Josh Brown, Jeffrey Gundlach, Powell Organizations: Fed, Ritholtz Wealth Management

☆ Layoffs are coming, warns DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLayoffs are coming, warns DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey GundlachJosh Brown, Ritholtz Wealth, and Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, join 'Closing Bell' with reaction to today's Fed meeting and the market reaction to Fed Chair Powell.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach Josh Brown, Jeffrey Gundlach, Powell Organizations: Fed

☆ 3Q GDP may be strong, but likely slowing into 4Q: DoubleLine Capital's Jeff Sherman
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email3Q GDP may be strong, but likely slowing into 4Q: DoubleLine Capital's Jeff ShermanJeff Sherman, DoubleLine Capital deputy CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the strategy around fixed income right now, what ultimately will turn the tide on the recent bond selloff, and more.

Persons: Jeff Sherman Jeff Sherman Organizations: DoubleLine

☆ Relentless climb in Treasury yields may have further to run after surging to 5%
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( David Randall | Davide Barbuscia | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Still, some traders interpreted his comments as an endorsement of keeping rates around current levels through most of next year. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury, which move inversely to bond prices, rose briefly to 5% late on Thursday, a closely watched level not seen since 2007. “That gives people the go ahead to take rates above 5%.”Whiteley said that he sees 10-year yields moving as high as 5.5% before peaking. An extended climb in Treasury yields risks exacerbating the pressures that have dogged a broad array of assets in recent months. Still, even if the Fed cuts rates over the next few years, yields could stay above 5% if inflation and growth remain high, he said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Stocks, ’ ”, Greg Whiteley, ” Whiteley, ”, Gennadiy Goldberg, ” Goldberg, Powell, Sameer Samana, Alan Rechtschaffen, Rechtschaffen, Robert Tipp, “ Organizations: YORK, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, Economic, of New, REUTERS, New York Economic, Fed, TD Securities, Wells, Investment Institute, UBS Global Wealth Management, Tipp Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, DoubleLine

Still, some traders interpreted his comments as an endorsement of keeping rates around current levels through most of next year. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury, which move inversely to bond prices, rose briefly to 5% late on Thursday, a closely watched level not seen since 2007. "That gives people the go ahead to take rates above 5%.”Whiteley said that he sees 10-year yields moving as high as 5.5% before peaking. An extended climb in Treasury yields risks exacerbating the pressures that have dogged a broad array of assets in recent months. Still, even if the Fed cuts rates over the next few years, yields could stay above 5% if inflation and growth remain high, he said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Stocks, ”, Greg Whiteley, ” Whiteley, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, Powell, Sameer Samana, Alan Rechtschaffen, Rechtschaffen, Robert Tipp, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies Organizations: Economic, of New, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, New York Economic, Fed, TD Securities, Wells, Investment Institute, UBS Global Wealth Management, Tipp, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, DoubleLine

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