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NAPERVILLE, Illinois, Nov 28 (Reuters) - It is rare that U.S. corn supplies build in a marketing year while soybean supplies slip, but that is exactly what is happening in 2023-24, keeping soybean prices relatively elevated versus corn. The U.S. Department of Agriculture pegs total U.S. corn supplies in 2023-24 to rise 10% on the year, while soybean inventory is seen shrinking 3%. U.S. corn versus soybean supply: Year-on-yearThe 2007-08 rise in corn and fall in soybean supplies was policy-driven, and the only other recent, directionally similar year was 2003-04, when the U.S. soybean crop fell victim to rare, widespread pest issues as well as dry weather. USDA’s long-term projections issued earlier this month suggest just that, pegging 2024 U.S. corn acres at 91 million and soybeans at 87 million versus 83.6 million in 2023. Interestingly, USDA in the couple of years leading up to 2007-08 had also overestimated U.S. soybean acres in March and undershot corn.
Persons: Karen Braun, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S . Department, Agriculture, USDA, Crop Watch, Reuters, Thomson Locations: NAPERVILLE , Illinois, U.S, Chicago, North Dakota
The 2.7 million individual trades were far lower than the 5.2 million trades from the Friday a week prior. In fact, the options market itself is saying there is only a 10% chance these calls expire in the money. Call spread risk reversal: Bought MSTR Dec. $600 call $15.40 Sold MSTR Dec. $650 call $8.85 Sold MSTR Dec. $430 put $7.20 Net credit = 65 cents When one sells a downside put one is taking the risk of purchasing the underlying at the strike of the put that is sold. The options flow in these ETFs suggests traders are betting on lower oil and gas prices. Several big names will be reporting earnings, here is a table of those that have weekly options, their earnings-related implied moves, and our options sentiment score.
Persons: Crypto, MARA, outpacing, ProShares UltraShort Organizations: Coinbase Global Inc, Marathon Digital Holdings, Microstrategy Inc, Bollinger Bands, Bloomberg, Oil, ProShares, Gas, ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg, United States Oil Fund, Hecla Mining Co, Royal, Inc, Intuit, Marvell Technology Locations: United States, Opec, Hecla, Kroger
I'm going to look at a low cost way to bet on a year-end continuation in the comeback in the shares. That $100 million expenditure is on top of the $1 billion per year Amazon (AMZN) is already paying to broadcast 15 or 16 Thursday Night Football games annually until 2033. Amazon revenue for the 12 months ending September 30, 2023 was not too shabby at $554 billion, a 10 percent increase year-over-year. AMZN mountain 2020-12-31 Amazon since 2020 It is also imperative to remember that Amazon has a vast business with multiple categories from e-commerce to cloud computing. DISCLOSURES: (Long the 1x2 vertical spread and AMZN stock) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: AMZN Organizations: NFL, Miami Dolphins, New York Jets, Football, New York Yankees, Seattle Storm, League, English Premier League, behemoth, Amazon, Amazon's AWS, Microsoft, Google Locations: Italy, Germany, India
U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Deutsche Bank's CVIX (.DBCVIX) - the currency market's version of Wall St's "fear index" of stock volatility and a weighted average of implied "vol" in nine major pairings - has basically imploded. By driving short-term dollar cash rates and U.S. bond yields higher over the past 20 months, the Fed basically sucked cash from the wider investment world and supercharged dollar exchange rates everywhere. Now that it looks done, the buck's finally on the back foot - plumbing levels not seen since August. With implied volatility directionally biased, the dollar index and the CVIX are typically well correlated and both peaked in tandem in same month of September last year.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Deutsche Bank's, Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole, BOJ, BOE, Marcelli, Morgan Stanley, Matthew Hornbach, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Deutsche, U.S, ING, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Bank of England, ECB, UBS Global Wealth, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, U.S . Federal, Japan, U.S
Novo Nordisk on Thursday said 80% of U.S. patients with insurance coverage who take its highly popular weight loss treatment Wegovy are paying less than $25 a month for the drug. He estimated that about 50 million Americans with obesity could be eligible for Wegovy coverage under their health plans. Most patients have to take Wegovy for several months to see — and sustain — significant weight loss. Wegovy, for example, leads to 15% weight loss after 68 weeks, according to clinical trials on the drug. But Novo Nordisk is hoping that new data demonstrating the heart health benefits of Wegovy will put more pressure on insurers to cover the medication and similar weight loss treatments.
Persons: Doug Langa, Langa, Eli Lilly, Karsten Munk Knudsen, Wegovy Organizations: Novo Nordisk, balk, Novo Nordisk's, North, Nordisk, CNBC, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, National Institutes of Health Locations: U.S, Novo, North America
It's true the operating margin is expected to contract a bit from Tuesday's results. Latin America sales fell 31% due to lower sales volume that was only partially offset by higher prices. Higher prices also aided profitability, despite the dual headwinds of lower volumes and an unfavorable product mix. The adjusted operating profit margin for the fourth quarter is expected to be lower versus the third quarter result. All told, we believe the operating margin consensus on Wall Street needs an upward revision.
Persons: we've, James Umpleby, Umpleby, nonresidential, I've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Caterpillar, Revenue, CAT, U.S, North, Energy, SG, Dealers, Guidance Management, CNBC, Peterson Locations: North America, America, Europe, Africa, Asia, China, San Leandro , California
How can you not keep the federal funds rate higher for longer when you get a U.S. GDP number that surpasses the real GDP of China. He sees the three Oreos taken out of the bag and the higher price nonetheless. The average person hurt by higher rates is collateral damage to the greater anti-inflation mission. All the market has to do is reach a price level that is too darned compelling. And who says we won't see higher rates until the horizon is at last upon us?
Persons: aren't, Estee Lauder, Jerome Powell, Powell, it's, He's, calvary, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: Treasury, Signature Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, First, Bank, Federal Reserve, Disney, Fed, Costco, Homes, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: U.S, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia
Hamilton and Leclerc disqualified from U.S. Grand Prix
  + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/2] Oct 22, 2023; Austin, Texas, USA; Mercedes AMG Petronas Motorsport driver Lewis Hamilton (44) of Team Great Britain drives during the 2023 United States Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports Acquire Licensing RightsAUSTIN, Texas, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Mercedes accepted their punishment after Formula One stewards disqualified Lewis Hamilton from second place in Sunday's U.S. Grand Prix along with sixth-placed Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc. Mercedes had brought an upgraded car to Texas and Hamilton, whose team mate George Russell moved up to fifth, had looked more competitive. "We can take a lot of positives from the car performance today," said Wolff. Reporting by Alan Baldwin in London, editing by Christian Schmollinger and Michael PerryOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Lewis Hamilton, Jerome Miron, Mercedes, Charles Leclerc, COTA, Toto Wolff, Red Bull's Max Verstappen, George Russell, Wolff, Carlos Sainz, Alan Baldwin, Christian Schmollinger, Michael Perry Organizations: Mercedes, Petronas Motorsport, Great, Prix, Circuit, Ferrari, FIA, Austin's Circuit, Thomson Locations: Austin , Texas, USA, Americas, , Texas, Sunday's U.S, Texas, Hamilton, London
A decline in transportation stocks is sending a worrying signal about the broader stock market. Transportation stocks are viewed as a leading indicator because they point to the movement of goods around the country. AdvertisementAdvertisementA steady decline in transportation stocks is sending a worrying signal about the broader stock market and its chances to stage a year-end rally. If companies are seeing a slowdown in growth and their stock prices fall, it could be a grim warning for the rest of the economy and stock market. AdvertisementAdvertisementAnd if the latter happens, crucial support levels would be broken and investors' highly anticipated year-end rally in the stock market, partly explained by bullish seasonals, would be on thin ice.
Persons: , Hunt, Dow Jones, bullish seasonals, J.B, Shelley Simpson, Robert Isom, We're, Isom, Joe Hinrichs, Hinrich, Dow, Manuel Blay, TheDowTheory.com, Dow Industrials Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Transportation, United Airlines, American Airlines, CSX Transportation, Dow, Industrial, CNBC, CSX Locations: Israel
Morning Bid: MidEast tension keeps markets on edge
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAlthough price moves remain contained in the absence of a dramatic weekend escalation, world markets are still on edge as Middle East tension builds without obvious resolution. Disputed reports of a temporary ceasefire in southern Gaza partly stabilised jittery macro prices first thing on Monday. Yet the extent to which the backup in oil prices over recent months can impact wider economic sentiment was clear from the University of Michigan's household survey on Friday. That appeared to be the case last week as oil prices, gold, the dollar and Treasuries gained into the close while stocks fell back.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Israel, Treasuries, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, Poland's, Patrick Harker, Christine Lagarde, Fabio Panetta, Mike Dolan, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, University of Michigan's, U.S, Treasury, Wall, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Netflix, Federal Reserve, European Union ., York Fed, Bank of Canada, Philadelphia Federal, European Central Bank, ECB, Global, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, Wells Fargo, Luxembourg, LSEG, CHINA
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce whether it will raise interest rates again or implement a pause. AdvertisementAdvertisementHatzius also said at the NYU forum that "we've seen a very substantial rebalancing of the labor market." "We have seen clear evidence that inflation is moving down to the Fed's target, or strongly in the direction of the Fed's target, without a substantial deterioration in the real economy," Hatzius said. "We're entering a period where consumers are returning to an environment where they're much more dependent on the path of the labor market, on the flow of income creation," Meyer said. Goldman Sachs predicted those events could stunt economic growth — and complicate the Fed's job in the months to come.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, we've, Hatzius, Nick Bunker, it's, Bunker, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Michelle Meyer, Meyer Organizations: Service, Federal, Economic, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NYU, Jackson, Mastercard, Politico, of Labor Statistics, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon
Market volatility (bottom half) spiked during the downturn but has steadily receded during the rebound despite a late-summer hiccup. Tim Hayes, Ned Davis ResearchHayes believes that a healthy reset shook out much of that euphoria without leaving lasting damage. History says this market rally has plenty of room to runThe final three months of the year have historically been the friendliest to stocks, Hayes said. Tim Hayes, Ned Davis Research"It doesn't follow the script precisely," Hayes said. The forthcoming market rally should broaden out, the strategist said, which should boost parts of the market that haven't participated as well, including economically sensitive small companies and sectors.
Persons: Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, who's, Ned Davis Research Hayes, " Hayes, Hayes, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson's, David Lundgren, they've, There's, He's, haven't, they're Organizations: Ned, Ned Davis Research, Technology Locations: China, United Kingdom, Canada, Japan
Disney is in talks to sell ABC to Nexstar, Bloomberg first reported. But the reported talks are another sign that Iger means business when it comes to Disney's streaming future. The company's direct-to-consumer business reported a loss of $2.2 billion in the first nine months of the year — 12% less than during the same period last year. But even if he does sell ABC — and manages to get a good price for it, despite its ominous future — his challenges are far from over. AdvertisementAdvertisementSo, then, what does the deal to sell ABC mean?
Persons: Bob Iger's, Bob Iger, Iger, Peter Csathy, he's, ABC's, Brian Roberts, there's, it's Organizations: Disney, ABC, Nexstar, Bloomberg, Service, Nexstar Media Group, Walt Disney Company, CNN, ESPN, Hulu, Hollywood, Magic Locations: Wall, Silicon, Sun, Iger, Hulu —, Hollywood, Magic Kingdom
SLB said it expects to add about $5 billion in revenue in 2023, compared with its previous estimate to increase revenue by 15%, which worked out to a $4.2 billion growth. It also expects to grow earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) by $1.5 billion this year. It had previously forecast adjusted EBITDA percentage growth in the mid-20s, which at its midpoint translated to $1.6 billion. "Directionally, we see the potential to repeat this by adding similar revenue and EBITDA dollar growth in 2024," Le Peuch said at a Barclays energy conference. International core revenue is projected to exceed $23 billion in 2023, representing growth in the high teens, Le Peuch added.
Persons: Olivier Le Peuch, SLB, Le Peuch, Arathy Somasekhar, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS Acquire, Schlumberger, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Houston , Texas, Handout, North America, Houston
Managed money net position in CBOT corn futures and optionsAn increase in gross corn shorts was the dominant theme for a third consecutive week, though funds also cut longs in the latest two weeks. Most-active CBOT corn futures had dropped 4.7% in the week ended Aug. 15. Managed money net position in CBOT soybean futures and optionsOpen interest in CBOT corn and soybean futures and options has not fluctuated much in the last couple of months. But open interest in CBOT wheat futures and options has surged 29% over the last seven weeks, directionally seasonal but more than double the recent average rate during the period. Most-active corn futures on Wednesday had hit their lowest levels since Dec. 31, 2020, though soybeans on Friday traded to their highest levels since July 31.
Persons: Daniel Acker, bearishness, ’ bullish, Wheat, Karen Braun, Matthew Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Crop, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tiskilwa , Illinois, U.S, Rights NAPERVILLE , Illinois
Seed funding valuations sprout a bubble
  + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Anita Ramaswamy | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Their need for new cash was nearly three times higher than the available supply last quarter, according to the report. Companies raising seed rounds in today’s market might command higher prices in part because they are better prepared. But it’s unlikely that today’s cohort of seed-stage startups is so markedly superior to predecessors that it warrants record high prices. A newfound focus on seed companies could just be VCs’ latest justification for keeping the tech bubble afloat. Median valuations for venture rounds in startups at all other stages captured by the report have fallen this year relative to their 2022 levels.
Persons: PitchBook, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Venture, National Venture Capital Association, Carta, Tiger Global, Thomson
Seksan Mongkhonkhamsao | Moment | Getty ImagesThe Supreme Court struck down the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness plan Friday. "The Supreme Court decision to strike down loan forgiveness should have no meaningful impact on the economy," said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics. The fight against inflation gets a boostIt's challenging to judge the economic effect of a sweeping policy such as student loan forgiveness. However, the resumption of monthly student loan payments in October, after a three-year pause, will likely have a bigger effect. That said, there are student loan policies that have already been enacted by the Biden administration that will likely help borrowers affected by Friday's Supreme Court ruling, economists said.
Persons: Seksan, , Mark Zandi, Shai Akabas, Zandi, Tim Quinlan, Quinlan, Biden Organizations: Biden, Moody's, Finance, Supreme, Reserve, Center, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, Friday's Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
This set of reports is associated with the largest average CBOT corn and soy moves of the 15 major USDA report days per year. Directionally, corn and soy futures on June 30 tend to react to acres far more often than stocks, though U.S. weather forecasts often add to the chaos. In the six sessions ended Thursday, CBOT December corn futures plunged 15.9%, June’s biggest six-session loss in at least three decades. Analysts basically nailed both corn acres and June 1 corn stocks last year, which was unprecedented, but December futures fell more than 5% on report day. Trade biases for June 30 U.S. stocks, acres versus pricesTrade biases on June 30 U.S. soy stocks, acres versus pricesKaren Braun is a market analyst for Reuters.
Persons: Corn, Karen Braun, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S . Department, Reuters, Thomson Locations: NAPERVILLE , Illinois, U.S
Wendy's will pilot its new AI drive-thru tech this month at some locations in the Columbus, Ohio, area. The hesitancy to discuss any generative AI implementation is understandable. That said, we think that generative AI opportunities at Starbucks are still worth considering. This is where we think there's a clear opportunity for margin improvement as generative AI adoption goes mainstream. There are going to be a lot of opportunities to invest in to play the adoption of generative AI outside of tech.
Persons: hasn't, WEN, Jack, JACK, we've, Todd Penegor, Jim Cramer, Wendy's, Darin Harris, Jim, Harris, It's, , China's, Jim Cramer's, Scott Mlyn Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Club, Del, Starbucks, AIs, chatbots, Global, Companies, CNBC Locations: Columbus , Ohio, U.S, QSRs, Wendy's, Glassdoor, Dana Point , California
Bernstein reiterates Target as outperform Bernstein said investors should buy the weakness in Target shares. UBS reiterates Chipotle as buy UBS said the Mexican chain is "well positioned w/ drivers to support transaction and sales growth." RBC reiterates Tesla as outperform RBC raised its price target to $305 per share from $212 and said it's bullish on Tesla's autonomy future. " TD Cowen reiterates Netflix as outperform TD Cowen raised its price target on the stock to $500 per share from $440 and says it's well-positioned. UBS reiterates Chevron as buy UBS said it sees "balance sheet strength & dividend growth" for Chevron.
Persons: Evercore, it's bullish, Emerson, Bernstein, Mizuho, Coinbase, Moody's, Guggenheim, McDonald's, Chipotle, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wells, Wells Fargo, Tesla, it's, Oppenheimer, SoFi, Uber, Jefferies, TD Cowen, NFLX, Cowen, Stifel Organizations: ISI, Energy & Materials, Livent, HSBC, Emerson, " Bank of America, P, Bank of America, Citi, American Express Citi, American, Citi Credit Card, Travel & Entertainment, RBC, Nvidia, UBS, Mobile, Diageo, Spirits, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, Microsoft, Netflix, Corning, Chevron, Meta, DR Locations: Mexican, Allegiant, Edgewater
These companies are winners in the debt ceiling deal
  + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —The debt ceiling deal in Washington did not set off a celebration in the stock market. The Sierra Club called on Congress to reject the deal and pass a clean bill to raise the debt ceiling. Wall Street is also betting lending company SoFi will cash in from the debt ceiling deal because it calls for borrowers to start paying back federal student loans at the end of the summer. IRS funding cuts, defense spending intactMeanwhile, the debt ceiling deal would shift a total of $20 billion in IRS funding from fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025 to be used in non-defense areas. The defense industry is also emerging largely unscathed from the debt ceiling battle, unlike in 2011 when Washington agreed to significant defense spending cuts.
ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, TROY, MICHIGAN“It's definitely telling you that the job market is still hot. PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK“It was a hotter than expected report, it certainly didn’t show any cooling in the labor market. Hourly earnings were a little higher than I was looking for.”“Bottom line, this is a strong report and shows that the labor market is resilient. So I think the real focus is on the inflation numbers, and what's happening with wage growth. We are hopeful the continued strength of the jobs market and signs of slowing inflation will ease market volatility in the coming months.
With the Federal Reserve's rate decision now in the rear view mirror, the next major test for markets will come from Apple 's March quarter earnings, scheduled for release postmarket Thursday. The largest tech companies so far this earnings season appear to be faring better-than-feared, despite expectations for broad earnings declines compared to a year ago. Some of those "dissimilarities" include stabilizing growth rates "more evident for other Big Tech companies versus Apple's set up for revenue and earning declines," he said. However, "fundamental drivers" for Apple and its stock differ from most of its Big Tech rivals, Chatterjee noted. Apple reports fiscal second quarter results Thursday covering the calendar first quarter, as Apple's fiscal year ends on Sept. 30.
The S&P 500 was flat, and tech stocks pushed through rising bond yields. The Dow industrials were hurt in part as Disney shares fell. Meanwhile, Netflix shares fell after mixed results from the streaming service. Morgan Stanley shares fell as the investment bank posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit but dealmaking at the firm slowed. In the bond market, yields rose along with UK sovereign yields after British inflation unexpectedly held above 10% as food prices rose in March.
April 18 (Reuters) - Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG.O) beat estimates for first-quarter sales on Tuesday as the surgical robot maker recorded a rise in total procedure volumes. The company reported quarterly sales of $1.70 billion, beating analysts' estimates of $1.60 billion, according to IBES Refinitiv data. The medical device maker posted a 26% growth in procedure volumes of its surgical robot da Vinci in the first quarter through March from a year earlier. Investors are eyeing the launch of company's new multiport surgical robot, which could be a potential near-term catalyst, analysts said after Intuitive in January told its next generation system is not expected to be launched this year. Excluding items, Intuitive earned $1.23 per share in the first quarter, above analysts' average estimate of $1.20 per share, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
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