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Kikoncos | Getty ImagesIt's Sunday morning, and my kids are checking player reports to evaluate their fantasy football lineups. In many ways, the highs and lows of fantasy football remind me of how many people approach investing. But with your investment portfolio, the fantasy can only go so far and the stakes can be much higher. This may be a good time to think about the difference between speculating and long-term investing — and recognize that your investment decisions have real and lasting consequences. Your investment decisions should be based on a time horizon that matches your goals.
"Investors are seeking shelter in cash amid a volatile market and fears of a recession," Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said in a note to clients Tuesday morning. Haefele reminds everyone about the value of staying invested and the folly of market timing. Not being in the market on the 5 best days since 1970 reduces your return from $138,908 to $90,171. The takeaway: If you're not in the market on the most important up days, your returns are markedly lower. The message: The best strategy would be to determine a long-term plan and stick with it, and ignore the urge to "do something."
Michael Hartnett at Bank of America said that for the S & P 500, "we say nibble at SPX 3600, bite at 3300, gorge at 3000." The S & P 500 closed Friday at 3,873, and the June 16 bottom was 3,666, so 3,300 and 3,000 are a ways away. What about 3,000, the level Hartnett suggested investors should "gorge" on the S & P 500? A much lower multiple with a contraction in earnings: That is what you call a recessionary earnings picture. Bottom line: Lower mortgage rates definitely have been a factor in higher home prices for some time.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro Exclusive: David Booth and Bob Pisani discuss passive investing at Future Proof ConferenceCNBC Senior Markets Correspondent Bob Pisani sits down exclusively with Dimensional Fund Advisors Executive Chairman David Booth to discuss passive investing, the rise of ETFs, and the evolution of the investor.
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