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Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. But, as in other states, Democrats have been concerned about the risk of depressed turnout and some gains for Trump among Black voters in Philadelphia. Eight years later, the two states split again, when Roosevelt comfortably won Pennsylvania and Michigan narrowly went to Republican Wendell Willkie. This trio of states has arguably become the most consistent tipping point in American politics. In the nine elections since 1920 when they split their vote, the candidate who carried two of these three states won seven times.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Bob Shrum, Shrum, Tad Devine, , Biden, PRRI, William Frey, Tim Marema, don’t, Mason, Dixon, Barack Obama, Tony Evers, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Dane County, Ben Wikler, Pete Giangreco, , You’ve, That’s, Gene Ulm, Roe, Wade, Whitmer, Branden Snyder, It’s, Clinton, Dante Chinni, White, ” Chinni, they’ve, They’ve, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Ruffini, “ I’m, ” Ruffini, Geoff Garin, Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, James Buchanan, John C, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, Republican Wendell Willkie, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Theodore Roosevelt’s, Al Gore, John Kerry, Republican Thomas Dewey, Hubert Humphrey, Garin Organizations: CNN, White House, Democratic, Michigan, Wisconsin, AdImpact, Trump, Center, University of Southern, , Republicans, Survey, Blacks, of Labor Statistics, Public Religion Research, Whites, GOP, Brookings Metro, for Rural, doesn’t, Keystone State, Republican, Center for Rural, Democrats, Biden, Black, White, Wisconsin , Michigan Democrats, Detroit, Electoral, American Communities Project, , Democrat, Pennsylvania, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Flint , Michigan, University of Southern California, California , New York, Illinois, Texas, Florida, Ohio, . Michigan, Wisconsin’s, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Eau Claire, Appleton, La Crosse, Outagamie, Winnebago, Green Bay, Green, Chicago, Scranton, Wilkes, Barre, ” Michigan, “ Michigan, Gaza, Wisconsin , Michigan, United States, “ Pennsylvania, Ulm, Pittsburgh, Butler , Pennsylvania, Republican George H.W ., Fremont, North Carolina, Michigan , Pennsylvania,
As of Thursday morning, every major scientific poll about the debate — every poll that used random sampling techniques to try to obtain a representative picture of US public opinion — had found that Harris won. YouGov poll (2,166 registered voters who said they watched): 54% said Harris won the debate, 31% said Trump won, 14% weren’t sure. Leger poll for the New York Post (1,002 US adults who said they watched): 50% said Harris won the debate, 29% said Trump won, 21% said nobody won or that they didn’t know. So while scientific polls are certainly imperfect, it’s clear that Trump’s claim that he won the debate “according to every poll” is wrong. But its poll, too, was a junk poll; C-SPAN simply posted an open question on the social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, , Harris, Trump, Leger, Republican pollster, Organizations: Washington CNN, CNN, New York Post, Democratic, Republican, Trump, Fox News, Fox, SPAN, Twitter Locations: Newsmax
Trump appears to have begun to slow Harris' rise, which began after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race. At the same time, Harris has abandoned many of her most progressive views that she took during her failed 2020 Democratic presidential primary run. "She's not really quite sure what she believes that's why she is pretty evasive to answering questions on policy, policy positions that she has supported in the past and supposedly what she does not support now," Wolking said. Tuesday's debate will mark the first time Harris and Trump will be in the same room together. With perhaps the exception of the Nixon-Kennedy debate, no other presidential debate will loom larger in history.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, pollsters, Trump's, Ben Warner, Warner, They've, Kamala, Matt Wolking, Tim Walz, CNN's Dana Bash, She's, Wolking, hasn't, Bash, Biden, Democratic pollster Evan Roth Smith, Roth Smith, Reid Hoffman, Roth, Doug Sosnik, he'll, Sosnik, Clinton, Nixon, Kennedy Organizations: Service, New York Times, Super Bowl, NFL, University of Missouri, Culinary Union, Democratic, Voters, Trump Locations: Siena, Pennsylvania, Washington, Minnesota, Nevada
When people say they're concerned about "the economy," it can mean a lot of things — grocery prices, gas prices, housing prices, healthcare. For one thing, it's not clear that voters think Harris, as vice president, has had much involvement in Biden's economic policies. People remember the Trump economy as a better time — interest rates were lower, prices were lower, houses seemed more affordable. AdvertisementThe task for Harris now is to lay out an economic identity and agenda before others beat her to it. The Trump campaign and the GOP are trying to tie her to the negative feelings around the Biden economy, to affordability and inflation.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Harris, Kamala, Donald Trump, Bill Clinton's, Jim Carville, , it's, Biden, Trump, Harris — Trump, Evan Roth Smith, Smith, Eli Yokley, Mark Zandi, Tim Walz, Minnesota, Yokley, Whit Ayres, Donald Trump's, she's, He's, Bharat Ramamurti, Emily Stewart Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Financial Times, University of Michigan's Ross School of Business, Trump, Biden, Lake Research Partners, Democrat, Voters, Morning, Federal, Moody's, House, Democrats, National Economic, GOP, Business Locations: China, California, Las Vegas
Trump’s plan for blunting Harris’ momentum, some Democrats believe, could reprise elements of the 1988 presidential campaign that George H.W. “I think the Harris campaign has to be prepared for it.”The two sides are already hotly contesting the terrain of strength. Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster who conducted surveys for Biden’s 2020 campaign, said his strength deficit to Trump had become a nearly insurmountable obstacle for his 2024 campaign. The surveys have also found a huge gender gap in the assessments of whether Harris and Trump are strong. Most important, voters have reached these initial assessments of Harris’ strength before Republicans have really begun their campaign to portray her as weak.
Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, , Harris, Trump, , Democratic pollster Evan Roth Smith, “ Kamala Harris, , it’s, blunting Harris, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Lee Atwater, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Dukakis, , She’ll, ” Trump, ” Harris, Kamala Harris, Biden —, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Nikki Haley, Marquette, “ Trump, Whit Ayres, Ayres, Harris blunts, ” Lake, “ Joe Biden, White, she’ll, MAGA, Devine, Republicans pilloried Dukakis, Willie Horton, Horton, Bush, ” Devine, ” Ayres, won’t, Roth Smith, , Hulk Hogan, Kid Rock, Dana White Organizations: CNN, White, Voters, Democratic, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Fox News, Marquette Law School, Biden, Marquette Poll, CBS, New York Times, Gallup, Republican, Siena, Republicans, MAGA Inc, Politico, , Fighting Locations: George H.W ., Marquette, Siena, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Celinda, Massachusetts, San Francisco, California, “ San Francisco
Where voters place their blame — and specifically whether it falls on Vice President Kamala Harris — could be one of the defining factors of the presidential election. Early polling suggests that Harris won't be able to entirely shed the blame that President Joe Biden has received for inflation. If Harris can avoid some of the blame Biden received for rising prices, it could improve her chances of winning over crucial swing state voters, Traugott said. However, Sarah Foster, a Bankrate analyst, thinks some voters could shift much of their frustrations about rising prices from Biden to Harris. To be sure, it's up for debate how much Biden, Harris, or even Trump are deserving of blame for the rising prices of the past few years.
Persons: , Kamala Harris —, Harris, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, she'd, Michael Traugott, Kamala Harris, Trump, Traugott, Evan Roth Smith, Blueprint's, Semafor, Elizabeth Pancotti, Sarah Foster, It's, Joseph Stiglitz, University of Michigan's Traugott Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Democratic, University of Michigan, Republicans, Biden —, Roosevelt Institute, New York Times, Biden, FOX Business, University of Michigan's
The gist, vis-à-vis relationship status, was that in every category more women than men identify as Democrats, with the biggest gap existing among divorced Americans. According to Gallup, Cox writes, “A majority (54 percent) of divorced men identify as Republican compared to 41 percent of divorced women,” the largest gender gap among divorced people in two decades. As my colleague Thomas Edsall noted in May, in recent years there’s also a yawning gender gap among young voters, with young women becoming increasingly Democratic and young men becoming increasingly Republican. Edsall quoted the Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, who cites Donald Trump’s “chaotic and divisive style” and lack of respect, among the reasons that young women have been fleeing the G.O.P. Young women, Lake said, “want stability and are very concerned about division and the potential for violence.”All this data was collected when Joe Biden was on course to be the Democratic presidential nominee.
Persons: , , Daniel Cox, Cox, Thomas Edsall, there’s, Edsall, Donald Trump’s, Lake, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, JD Vance Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Survey Center, Gallup, Democratic Locations: Young
With Harris at the top of the ticket, Democrats now see a chance to refocus voters on the issue and restore their margins among the abortion rights voters who had notably drifted away from Biden. In both the 2020 and 2022 campaigns, voters who backed legal abortion provided overwhelming support to Biden and other Democratic candidates. Across all of those battleground states, Biden this year was performing well below that level with voters who support legal abortion, polls have found. Those abortion rights voters also split about evenly on whether Biden or Trump was better for the economy. “Many of them aren’t single issue abortion voters; they are worried about the economy and inflation, they are worried about immigration,” McLaughlin said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, wasn’t, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Biden, , Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, “ It’s, Dobbs, Charles Franklin, Tony Evers, Katie Hobbs, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Whitmer, Shapiro, Franklin, Trump, Roe, Wade, , Lake, Melissa Williams, ” Harris, Tresa Undem, ‘ what’s, , Greenberg, ” Greenberg, , John Della Volpe, Della Volpe, energize, Jason Cabel Roe, ” Trump, He’s, “ Donald Trump, Jim McLaughlin, McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Williams, JD Vance, ” Williams Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Edison Research, Democratic House, Democrats, Marquette Law School, SSRS, Quinnipiac University, Yahoo, Quinnipiac, Trump, Times, YouGov, Biden, Catholic, ” Voters, GOP, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, Republican Party, , Republicans, White House Locations: The Marquette, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, London, Harris, Iowa, America, Trump
Then, a week ago, Biden announced his exit from the race – and pointed to Harris, his vice president, as his successor. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in West Allis, Wisconsin, on July 23, 2024. Will Lanzoni/CNNVeepstakes, convention questionsAmong the next orders of business for Harris’ campaign is to accomplish two tasks in a period of days or weeks that Trump’s campaign achieved over months. Many of those potential picks have been offering Harris’ campaign informal glimpses of how they’d perform as her running mate through appearances on cable news shows. Then, Harris’ campaign and its allies must rapidly revise plans for the Democratic National Convention, which is set to start on August 19 in Chicago.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Trump, Trump’s, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Biden, Harris, Michelle Obama, , Kevin Mohatt, Reuters Trump, Margaret Thatcher, “ Margaret Thatcher didn’t, Benjamin Netanyahu’s, Netanyahu, didn’t, ” Harris, Doug Emhoff, I’m, , , you’re, Vance, fraudsters, cheaters, Donald Trump’s, Will Lanzoni, Eric Holder, Tony West, Harris ’, Holder, Roy Cooper, Josh Shapiro, Arizona Sen, Mark Kelly, Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Harris –, Biden’s, Joe Biden, wouldn’t, ” Trump, Steven Cheung, , Tucker Carlson’s, Carlson, they’ve, Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Jennifer Aniston, Megyn Kelly, SiriusXM, ” Vance, it’s, ’ ” Vance, Charli XCX, , , Jared Polis, Maxwell Frost, ” Harris ’, CNN’s KFile, George Floyd, “ We’re, Lyin ’ Kamala Harris, Dave McCormick, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey, Casey, McCormick, Kamala Harris ’, CNN’s Jeff Zeleny, Kit Maher, Terence Burlij, Sam Fossum, Alayna Treene, Alison Main, Kim Berryman, Andrew Kaczynski, Em Steck Organizations: CNN, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Democratic National Convention, Democratic, Trump, Reuters, Jewish, San, Republican National Convention, North Carolina Gov, Arizona, Transportation, Senate, Kentucky Gov, Minnesota Gov, Electoral, Sun, Biden, Atlanta, ABC, Democrat Party, Tucker Carlson’s Fox, New York Rep, Twitter, Colorado Gov, , Central America, Republican National Committee, Republicans, Immigration, Customs Locations: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, West Allis , Wisconsin, Florida, St, Cloud , Minnesota, Minnesota, Washington, Israel, Massachusetts, San Francisco, California, Chicago, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, United States, Alexandria, British, ” Florida, New York, Minneapolis, Central
CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris is less than two weeks away from naming her own running mate. Democrats close to the process say the roster of leading contenders being vetted still includes North Carolina Gov. A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS showed no clear leader in a matchup between Harris and Trump. The former president holds 49% support among registered voters nationwide to Harris’ 46%, a finding within the survey’s margin of sampling error. The party has said its goal is to nominate its presidential and vice presidential candidates by August 7.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Roy Cooper, Josh Shapiro, Arizona Sen, Mark Kelly, Pete Buttigieg, Harris, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, , Eric Holder, Tony West, Holder, Donald Trump, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Doug Emhoff, Joe Biden, , SSRS, Trump Organizations: CNN, Democratic, North Carolina Gov, Arizona, Transportation, Senate, Kentucky Gov, Minnesota Gov, Democrat, Harris ’, Biden, Trump, Democratic National Locations: Pennsylvania
Instead, Biden’s campaign unraveled over the course of the next 24 days. It’s a high-risk, high-reward gamble for Democrats, resetting a campaign Biden was losing with a new nominee just 107 days before the election. Dunn and her husband, Bob Bauer, were among Biden’s debate prep team and had faced the ire of the president’s family in the aftermath of the debate. Several news outlets, including CNN, reported that Pelosi and former President Barack Obama had privately expressed concerns about the future of Biden’s campaign. That same day, ABC News reported that Schumer told Biden in their Saturday meeting that it would be best if he bowed out of the presidential race.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Trump –, , Kamala Harris, It’s, , Mike Donilon, Steve Ricchetti, Jill Biden, Ashley, Howard, Anita Dunn, Dunn, Bob Bauer, Harris, didn’t, Austin Steele, CNN “, ” Biden, Camp David, Nancy Pelosi, Lloyd Doggett of, George Stephanopoulos, Sen, Mark Warner, Hakeem Jeffries, , George Clooney, Clooney, Pelosi, Barack Obama, Harris “, Volodymyr Zelensky, Putin, Jim Himes, Jason Crow, Crow —, Crow, Beau, outpacing Biden, Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg, Adam Schiff, Trump’s, Pelosi –, Biden’s, ” Schiff, Jamie Raskin, George Washington, Pedro Martinez, Donilon, Schumer, Jeffries, Zoe Lofgren, Joe, Harris ’, Lester Holt, Ed Gordon, Jen O’Malley, Joe ”, James Clyburn, CNN’s Jake Tapper, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, Dana Bash, John King, Jamie Gangel, Betsy Klein, Sam Fossum, Manu Raju, Samantha Waldenberg, Donald Judd Organizations: Rehoboth Beach , Delaware CNN —, CNN, Democratic Party, Biden, Trump, Republican, Convention, MSNBC, Democratic, ABC News, Virginia Democrat, Democrats, New York Times, NATO, House Intelligence, Congressional Progressive Caucus, New Democrat Coalition, Colorado Democrat, Army, , California Rep, Democratic Senate, Maryland House Democrat, Red Sox, Democratic House, Democratic National Committee, White House, Senate Democratic, Democrat, NBC, NAACP National Convention, BET, Univision, NAACP, South Carolina Rep, South, Locations: Rehoboth Beach , Delaware, Covid, Delaware, Atlanta, , Rehoboth, North Carolina, Camp, Lloyd Doggett of Texas, Virginia, Washington, Jim Himes of Connecticut, Afghanistan, Iraq, Butler , Pennsylvania, Zoe Lofgren of California, Las Vegas, UnidosUS, “ State, South Carolina
Private efforts to nudge Biden to step aside continue
  + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( John King | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Milwaukee CNN —The public calls from Democrats asking President Joe Biden to bow out of the presidential race have quieted in recent days, but private efforts to nudge the president and his top aides continue, several Democratic sources told CNN. “Lose everything,” is how one Democrat described a polling memo Greenberg sent to Biden’s inner circle in recent days. “Devastating,” was the one word answer of a second Democrat close to the White House who is familiar with the Greenberg memos. Greenberg has been a leading Democratic pollster for decades and his work includes advising Bill Clinton’s two winning presidential campaigns. In his NBC News interview Monday, for example, the president again made clear he has no intention of stepping aside.
Persons: Joe Biden, Democratic pollster, Stanley Greenberg, Biden, Greenberg, , Bill Clinton’s Organizations: Milwaukee CNN, CNN, Democratic, White, NBC, Republican, GOP
He was the favorite of the Democratic Party elite. As he faces perhaps the most perilous moment of his political career, Mr. Biden has switched from defense to offense, taking a page out of his predecessor’s playbook to try to quash an internal uprising over his age and capacity. Rather than just try to show that he is up to the job, Mr. Biden has opted to push back against those who say he is not. “He has to show he’s a fighter; that’s critical,” said Cornell Belcher, a Democratic pollster who worked on Barack Obama’s presidential campaigns. “They see him as weak, not strong, which is connected to being too old,” Mr. Belcher said, referring to voters.
Persons: Donald J, Biden, , playbook, Cornell Belcher, Barack Obama’s, , Mr, Belcher Organizations: Democratic Party elite, Trump, Democratic
But recent history raises deep questions about whether Democratic Senate candidates can continue to levitate as far above the presidential ticket as polls now show. “A Democratic Senate majority coalition relies on having both Senators from a state such as Michigan,” said Daniel Hopkins, a University of Pennsylvania political scientist. As recently as the 1980s, it was common for voters to split their tickets in Senate races. Still, even that alignment left room for some Senate candidates to swim against this general tide. This history, by itself, doesn’t answer whether Democratic Senate candidates would have better prospects with or without Biden as their presidential nominee.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Republican Sen, Susan Collins of, Trump, Samuel Alito, Clarence Thomas, Sonia Sotomayor, , Democratic Sen, Evan Bayh, Bayh, , , Sen, Joe Manchin, who’s, Democratic Sens, Sherrod Brown of, Jon Tester, Montana, Bob Casey, Tammy Baldwin, Jacky Rosen, Elissa Slotkin, Ruben Gallego, Kyrsten, Martin Heinrich, Nella Domenici, Pete Domenici, Curtis Bashaw, Andy Kim, Bob Menendez, Rick Scott, Ted Cruz, Collins, Ron Johnson, Daniel Hopkins, — hasn’t, David Bergstein, ” Bergstein, ” Mike Berg, ” Lee Drutman, Drutman, Biden’s, ” Drutman, Democratic pollster, ” Jason Kander, Kander, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Roy Blunt, doesn’t, ” Kander, ” Bayh, Republican Todd Young, it’s, Ronald Reagan’s, Barack Obama, Obama, Republican Dean Heller, Heller —, Steve Bullock, Jesse Hunt, Hunt, Hopkins Organizations: CNN, Senate, Democratic, Republican, White, GOP, West, Republicans, Biden, Democratic Sens, Democrats, Trump, University of Pennsylvania, don’t, Democratic Senatorial, “ Republicans, National Republican Senatorial, Democratic Senate, , White House, Indiana Senate, Democratic Gov Locations: Susan Collins of Maine, Indiana, West Virginia, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, Arizona, New Mexico, New Jersey, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, — Maine, Florida , Iowa, Ohio, New America, Missouri, Southern, Maine, Iowa , Kansas , Kentucky, Montana , South Carolina
He is winning among Black women in the KFF survey by 58 percentage points, but that represents a significant drop from his 86 percentage point margin among Black women in the approach to the 2020 election, according to an average of New York Times/Siena College polls from that election. Mr. Biden’s lead with Hispanic women has also shrunk substantially, to about 12 points. The survey found Mr. Biden’s lead among women overall to be four points. They approve of how Mr. Biden is handling abortion and would like to see him re-elected. In Michigan, nearly 60 percent of Black women say inflation is the most important issue to their vote.
Persons: Biden, Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, , , can’t, Roe, Wade, Ashley Kirzinger, “ It’s, Ms, Kirzinger, Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s, ” “ Joe Biden, Joe Biden, ” Ms, Conway, Ronald Reagan, George H.W, Bush, John Kerry Organizations: Democrat, The New York Times, Republicans, Democratic, Black, New York Times, Republican, Mr, Locations: Arizona, Michigan, KFF, Siena
In 2013, the share of self-identified liberals among young women exceeded the share among young men by 5 percentage points; by 2023, that gap was nearly four times as large. (In that survey, young men were substantially more likely than young women to say they rely on YouTube as a major source of news.) (In the Harvard poll, one-fourth of young women identified in some way as LGBTQ, more than double the share of young men.) “He’s got to make up for the defection of young men by winning young women by more, and he’s got to get every young woman he can out to vote,” said Lake, the Democratic pollster. Biden’s best hope of avoiding a catastrophic decline in his youth support is that the number of young women Trump repels exceeds the number of young men he attracts.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, John Burn, Murdoch, , Harvard University’s John F, Daniel Cox, William Frey, Melissa Deckman, Gen, , Trump, John Della Volpe, Joe Biden doesn’t, Della Volpe, White, Deckman, aren’t, Cox, Dobbs, Anna Dean, Dean, ” Della Volpe, he’s, don’t, ” Cox, “ Donald Trump, “ He’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Pew Research Center, Financial, NBC, Democratic, Republican, GOP, Institute of Politics, Harvard University’s, Kennedy, Republican Party, Harvard, Democrats, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Biden didn’t, Brookings Metro thinktank, Religion Research Institute, Biden’s, YouTube, Pew, AEI, Blacks, Harvard Poll, Biden won’t Locations: Gaza, New York, Bentonville , Arkansas, America
He was most recently communications director for Vice President Kamala Harris at the White House and is currently a CNN political commentator. About half knew Biden was for marriage equality but only one knew he was for it before President Barack Obama. These students knew little about the warmer parts of Biden’s pre-presidential story, but a lot about the more troublesome aspects. A speech like the one at Morehouse, therefore, provides a critical opportunity for Biden. The president must let these students know he is not just the lesser of two evils, because he’s not evil.
Persons: Jamal Simmons, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Michael Levesque, White, Steve Benjamin, Morehouse, , Biden, Levesque, Beau Biden’s, Barack Obama, Terrance Woodbury, That’s, ” Woodbury, , Harris, , he’s Organizations: Democratic, White, CNN, Morehouse College, Sunday, Apple News, Guardian, Wall Street, USA, Oakland, San, Democratic pollster, HIT, Morehouse, Israel, Hamas, Twitter, Facebook, America Locations: Gaza, Scranton , Pennsylvania, Biden’s, San Francisco
Hannah Beier | ReutersOlder women are the largest bloc of swing voters — and the biggest concern they have heading into the November election is their financial security, according to the AARP. Gender pay gap leads to retirement income gapNotably, younger women share many of those same retirement concerns, according to recent research from the National Institute on Retirement Security, or NIRS. Women tend to have greater financial concerns about retirement compared with men, according to Tyler Bond, research director at NIRS. "There's still a persistent gender pay gap, which translates into a retirement income gap," Bond said. "In fact, the pay gap and the retirement income gap are almost exactly the same, which is what you would expect, because retirement income is basically a reflection of what you earn while working," he said.
Persons: Hannah Beier, , Margie Omero, GBAO, Omero, Tyler Bond, Bond, We've Organizations: Rockledge, Reuters, AARP, Democratic, National Institute on Retirement Security Locations: Pennsylvania, Rockledge , Pennsylvania
Biden faces widening partisan split over Israel
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +17 min
CNN —President Joe Biden is facing more critical moments this week that will test his fraught relationship with his base over Israel’s war in Gaza and potentially widen the partisan split about the Jewish state that has been building for years. Against this backdrop, partisan polarization about Israel among American voters was already widening years before the brutal Hamas attack last October and the devastating Israeli response it triggered. An array of polls this spring show how the war in Gaza has hardened this partisan split. Nearly half of Democrats, but only a little over one-fifth of Republicans in the CBS poll, said the US should pressure Israel to stop the fighting. “Biden has a Democratic caucus that is putting a lot of faith in this process,” she said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Long, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, , , Aaron David Miller, Biden, Harry Truman, Lyndon B, Johnson, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H.W, Bush, Reagan, George W, Donald Trump, Clinton, Barack Obama, Republicans —, Obama, Israel, Biden —, Gallup, Trump, That’s, Chuck Schumer, Mike Johnson, Biden’s, Jamaal Bowman, Cori Bush, Waleed Shahid, Shahid, David, it’s Goliath, David ”, Miller, “ Biden, ’ ”, Ben Rhodes, ” Biden, “ We’re, Saudi Arabia — “, Mark Mellman, Schumer, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Israel’s, Chris Murphy of, Chris Van Hollen, Chris Coons, Tim Kaine, Virginia, Van Hollen, Amanda Klasing, Organizations: CNN, Israel, Republican, Democratic, Gallup Organization, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Holocaust Memorial, GOP, Whites, Republican Party, Republicans, Gallup, Trump, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, Quinnipiac University, CBS, Liberal, American Israel Public Affairs Committee, AIPAC, National Security Council, Amnesty International, Amnesty Locations: Gaza, Israel, United States, Iran, Quinnipiac, Washington, New York, Missouri, Yom Kippur, Saudi Arabia, Sens, Chris Murphy of Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, Rafah
According to the poll, 64% of registered voters say they have a high level of interest in November's election — registering either a "9" or a 10" on a 10-point scale of interest. The lowest-ever level of high election interest in the poll during a presidential cycle was in March 2012 — at 59%. This election cycle, high interest has been both low and relatively flat for months, according to the poll. By party, the current poll shows 70% of self-identified Republicans saying they have high interest in the upcoming election, versus 65% of Democrats who say this. "They just aren't low interest," McInturff said of young voters.
Persons: Derrick Simonson, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Devin Fletcher, he's, Fletcher, wouldn't, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, , McInturff, Republican pollster Organizations: Wisconsin, Central Assembly, NBC News, Republican, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, NBC, Independents Locations: Douglas County, Superior , Wisconsin, U.S, Wayne , Michigan, New Jersey, New York
Evelyn Hockstein | David Swanson | ReutersAmericans' views on the economy have improved modestly, according to the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey, helping President Biden pull even with Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup. But former President Trump holds a commanding lead on several economic issues, like inflation, taxes and immigration, that voters say are most important in this election. The survey of 1,001 Americans across the country showed 46% of voters choose Trump and 45% picking Biden in a one-on-one match with 10% undecided. Younger Democrats, in fact, are evenly split on the presidents handling of foreign policy. While those issues look to be dragging on the president's approval, he has received a boost from somewhat better overall views on the economy.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Evelyn Hockstein, David Swanson, Biden, Trump, Jay Campbell, Hart, Micah Roberts, it's, they've Organizations: Reuters, CNBC, America Economic Survey, Trump, Biden, Hart Research, Democratic, Republican
Democratic pollster Celinda Lake said Chicago's low voter turnout last week is a "warning sign." "These cities need to be engines of turnout," she recently told The Chicago Sun-Times. "It's a warning sign for Detroit, where it will matter," she continued. "It's a warning sign for Philadelphia and Pittsburgh." "These cities need to be engines of turnout," she said.
Persons: , Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, wasn't, weren't, Tina Sfondeles Organizations: Chicago Sun, Times, Biden, Service, Democratic, Trump, Detroit, Philadelphia Locations: Times . Chicago, Chicago, Cook, Cook County, Atlanta, Detroit, Las Vegas , Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Phoenix, " Illinois, Pittsburgh, Georgia, Pennsylvania
The stop by Ms. Harris at the Planned Parenthood clinic was believed to be the first official visit by a vice president to an abortion clinic. We have to be a nation that trusts women.”Image Ms. Harris visited a Planned Parenthood clinic in St. Paul, Minn., on Thursday. Nebraska, North Dakota and South Dakota were almost bare — all have restricted abortion access since the overturning of Roe. But the fall of Roe upended those politics, energizing a new generation of voters energized by their support for abortion rights. “Please do understand that when we talk about a clinic such as this, it is absolutely about health care and reproductive health care.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Minn, Harris, , , Jenn Ackerman, Roe, Wade, energizing, Biden, Lake, Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, Ms, Undem, Mr, Paul, Sarah Traxler, Tim Walz Organizations: Minn, ., The New York Times, Democrats, Democratic, Paul Health Center, Administration, Gov, The, of Family, State Legislature, Biden Locations: St, Paul, Minnesota, . Minnesota, Iowa . Nebraska , North Dakota, South Dakota, Gaza, KFF, Democratic, Vandalia, “ Minnesota, States
A majority of Hispanics, and even a plurality of Black voters, said Biden’s policies would cause inflation to rise, the survey found. You can’t not make the contrast and comparison.”These negative retrospective assessments of the Biden and Trump economic records create huge headwinds for the president. “Voters—even past Biden voters who disapprove of his economic record—clearly reject what Trump and Republicans are offering,” Democratic pollster Margie Omero said in an email. After voters were exposed to Biden’s populist arguments, assessments of his economic record improved in the group’s polling, Clark said. But even after hearing that case, most voters in the group’s surveys still gave Biden negative marks for his economic performance, the study found.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Biden –, , , Danielle Deiseroth, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Shawn Fain, Evelyn Hockstein, Adam Green, Michael Tyler, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, It’s, Jim McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Roberts, ” Roberts, can’t, ” Tyler, Margie Omero, , Bobby Clark, Clark Organizations: CNN, GOP, Trump, Teamsters, Democratic, ACA, West, United Auto Workers, Biden, CNBC, Social Security, Republican, White, NBC News, New York Times, Siena College, CBS, Union, Locations: Wisconsin, Michigan, Belleville , Michigan, Scranton , Pennsylvania, Democratic, State, Biden’s
Amid widespread discontent over President Joe Biden’s management of the border, the overall electorate is moving rightward on immigration too, polls show. For now, there’s no question that hardening GOP attitudes on immigration have been critical to Trump’s strong performance through the early primaries. Then, 56% of GOP primary voters said undocumented immigrants should be offered legal status; in last month’s primary, 55% said they should be deported. Immigration ranked as the most important issue for most GOP primary voters in South Carolina, and finished close behind the economy in both Iowa and New Hampshire. McLaughlin said Trump’s dominance among the GOP primary voters most concerned about immigration encapsulates a broader reason for his early success: widespread satisfaction among Republicans about his record in office.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden’s, Trump, What’s, , Donald Trump, , Jim McLaughlin, Joe Biden, , Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Haley, Leah Askarinam, McLaughlin, Robert P, Jones, Charles Franklin, Adolf Hitler, ” Biden, Biden, Stephen Miller, Charlie Kirk, Miller, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Matt Barreto, Barreto, Democratic pollster, ” Barreto, Maria Cardona, Tom Suozzi, George Santos, Suozzi, Bill Clinton Organizations: CNN, GOP, Republican, Trump, Biden, Edison Research, Immigration, Former South Carolina Gov, Quinnipiac University, Survey, Religion Research Institute, Marquette Law School, Marquette, Gallup, Republicans, CBS, National Guard, Democratic, UCLA, New, Republican Rep, White, House Republicans Locations: Alabama, Mississippi, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, New York, Wisconsin, Mexico, United States, American, Trump, Marquette, America, Texas, Celinda, Arizona, Nevada, Mexico ”, week’s State, Brownsville
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