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☆ A lead portfolio manager at a $205 billion asset manager explains why there's no recession ahead for the US economy — and shares 8 mid-sized stocks set to beat the market going forward
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Diane Jaffee — lead portfolio manager at TCW, which manages $205 billion in assets — sits solidly in this latter camp. "Historically, mid-caps and small-caps outperform large caps over time, but you have to go back to a 20 year time horizon before that's true," Jaffee explained. 8 mid-cap stocks set to outperformWithin her mid-cap fund, some of Jaffee's financials holdings include insurance broker Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and private equity firm Apollo Global Management (APO). "It has a great management team that comes from JPMorgan, and they're an economic focus for Puerto Rico," Jaffee explained. Within consumer discretionary stocks, Jaffee also noted homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL) as another top holding.

Persons: Diane Jaffee, Jaffee, Morgan Stanley, Seth Carpenter, Carpenter, that's, We've, They've, homebuilder, she's, LEN Organizations: Wall, Federal Reserve, —, Arch Capital, Apollo Global Management, Banco Popular, JPMorgan, Puerto, Darden, Medicaid outlays Locations: TCW, financials, Puerto Rican, Puerto Rico, Olive

☆ Forecasts show U.S. earnings decline in second quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Analysts expect earnings for S&P 500 companies to fall 5.6% in the second quarter from a year ago, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Fourth-quarter 2022 earnings for S&P 500 companies declined 3.2%, so a first-quarter profit fall would have been a second straight quarterly decline, which some strategists call an earnings recession. Package delivery firm FedEx (FDX.N) this week posted disappointing quarterly earnings and said waning global demand is pressuring its profit margins. "S&P 500 EPS estimates and stock prices will need to reset lower." The S&P 500 (.SPX) is down about 1% this week, but remains up more than 13% for the year to date.

Persons: COVID, Jerome Powell, Oliver Pursche, Olive, Morgan Stanley, Nick Raich, Caroline Valetkevitch, Alden Bentley, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Reserve, Bank of England, Wealthspire Advisors, Walmart Inc, FedEx, Olive Garden, Darden, Nike, Thomson Locations: Refinitiv, Washington, U.S, Westport , Connecticut

Financial markets, however, are still pricing in a 25-basis-point rate increase in July and no further hikes after that, according to CME FedWatch tool. Ahead of his second day of testimony before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee at 10 a.m. Shares of Tesla (TSLA.O) slid 3% before the bell after Morgan Stanley downgraded the electric automaker to "equal weight" from "overweight". ET, Dow e-minis were down 114 points, or 0.33%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 13.75 points, or 0.31%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 61 points, or 0.41%. Reporting by Shubham Batra and Shristi Achar A in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Shubham Batra, Shristi, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, U.S . Senate, Tesla, Dow e, Microsoft, Boeing, Accenture, Darden, Olive Garden, Thomson Locations: Washington, Wichita , Kansas, Bengaluru

Financial markets, however, are still pricing in a 25-basis-point rate increase in July and no further hikes after that, according to CME FedWatch tool. After Powell reinforced the Fed's inflation objective, rate-sensitive megacap companies pushed Wall Street's major indexes lower for the third straight session on Wednesday. Yields on the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes were little changed after the data and ahead of Powell's testimony before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee at 10 a.m. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and three new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 12 new highs and 33 new lows. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Shristi Achar A and Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, advancers, Shubham Batra, Shristi, Medha Singh, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Tesla, U.S . Senate, Dow Jones, Boeing, Accenture, Darden, Olive Garden, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Washington, Wichita , Kansas, Bengaluru

☆ Street looks to extend rally into a holiday-shortened week that is light on data
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-17 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Also on tap are several speaking engagements for Federal Reserve members, including Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday and Thursday in his semiannual monetary policy report to Congress. ET: St. Louis Fed president Jim Bullard speaks 8:30 a.m. ET: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks 12:25 am. ET: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks 10:00 a.m. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell departs after speaking during a news conference following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, at the Federal Reserve in Washington, DC, on June 14, 2023.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Louis, Jim Bullard, John Williams, Austan Goolsbee, Loretta Mester, Tom Barkin, Friday's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mandel Ngan Organizations: Federal Reserve, Darden, FedEx, Louis Fed, Housing, NY Fed, Federal, Chicago Fed, Patterson Companies, Winnebago Industries, Algoma Steel, Cleveland Fed, Richmond Fed, Commercial Metals, U.S, Treasury, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: United States, Olive, Washington ,

The letter did not disclose either how much Berlin had proposed in state help, or by how much this had been reduced. The conflict lays bare how much industrial heavyweights depend on aid to decarbonise their businesses as well as the need for governments to approve subsidies quickly to avoid companies from shifting investments or stopping them altogether. Thyssenkrupp in August made the investment decision for the so-called direct reduction iron (DRI) site at its steel base in Duisburg, provided substantial subsidy commitments by the state of North Rhine-Westphalia and Berlin were fulfilled. Tekin Nasikkol, who heads the works council of Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe, told Reuters last week that Berlin needed to quickly approve hundreds of millions in subsidies for the site, adding workers' patience had run out. ($1 = 0.9084 euros)Reporting by Tom Kaeckenhoff; Additional reporting by Christoph Steitz and Christian Kraemer; Editing by Friederike HeineOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Subsidy cuts could derail Thyssenkrupp's green steel project -labour bosses
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

DUESSELDORF, May 17 (Reuters) - Thyssenkrupp's <TKAG.DE> labour bosses cranked up the pressure on Berlin to help fund a 2 billion euro ($2.2 billion) green steel production site, warning in a letter to Economy Minister Robert Habeck that a further cut could choke off the project. Reducing subsidies further would trigger a "massive discussion" within Thyssenkrupp's supervisory board over whether to pull the plug on the investment, the letter, dated May 17 and co-signed by the group's deputy chairman Juergen Kerner, said. Thyssenkrupp in August made the investment decision for the so-called direct reduction iron (DRI) site at its steel base in Duisburg, provided substantial subsidy commitments by the state of North Rhine-Westphalia and Berlin are being paid. Thyssenkrupp <TKAG.DE> and the economy ministry had no immediate comment. ($1 = 0.9084 euros)Reporting by Tom Kaeckenhoff; Additional reporting by Christoph Steitz and Christian Kraemer; Editing by Friederike HeineOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Companies Anglo American PLC FollowApril 4 (Reuters) - Anglo American (AAL.L) said on Tuesday it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Swedish hydrogen and steel producer H2 Green Steel to work on advancing low-carbon steelmaking processes. The miner said the agreement includes studying and trialling the use of iron ore products from its Kumba mines in South Africa and Minas-Rio mine in Brazil as feedstock for H2's direct reduced iron (DRI) production process at its Boden plant in Sweden. DRI steel production is estimated to be significantly less carbon intensive than traditional blast furnace and basic oxygen furnace integrated processes. Anglo American's shares were up 0.4% by 0715 GMT. Reporting by Muhammed Husain in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu, Kirsten DonovanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Top 10 things to watch in the stock market Thursday: Stocks bounce, Ford EVs, Apple
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Marathon Oil (MRO) and Club holding Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) catch upgrades at Citi. Club holding Ford (F) unveiled its new financial reporting structure ahead of Thursday's teach-in event. Club holding Apple (AAPL) increasing its commitment to sports and content? Coty (COTY) added to Piper Sandler's top ideas in beauty after analysts performed a round of checks in stores in Chicago plus recent company updates. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ These are our two preferred scenarios for the Fed's big March meeting next week
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-18 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Two things will capture all the market's attention in the coming week: The Federal Reserve's March meeting and the government's ongoing attempt to quell worries about the banking system. If it raises, Powell should speak softly; no raise and Powell should strongly remind the market that the work isn't done. Still, for the week, U.S. stocks fared better, with the S & P 500 rising 1.5% and the Nasdaq gaining 4.5%. On Thursday, initial jobless claims for the week ended March 11 came in at 192,000, a decrease of 20,000 from the prior week and below the expected 205,000. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ McDonald’s finds inflationary happy place
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

NEW YORK, Jan 31 (Reuters Breakingviews) - McDonald’s (MCD.N) is having a good time at the bottom of the price food chain. The Chicago-based burger purveyor on Tuesday said that same-store sales rose 12% year-over-year in the last three months of 2022. That has helped restaurants grow, but McDonald’s is particularly benefitting. That’s despite McDonald’s touting the benefit of “strategic menu price increases” this quarter; the company previously said its U.S. prices should be up over 10% for the full year. How long this can continue probably depends on other options staying pricier – but for now, the nugget-maker has found its happy place.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Accenture, Winnebago, Maxar Technologies and more
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Peter Schacknow | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Accenture issued a revenue range for the current quarter whose midpoint is below current consensus and said the stronger U.S. dollar will impact its fiscal 2023 results by 5%. Maxar Technologies (MAXR) – The satellite owner and operator's shares more than doubled in the premarket after it agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Advent International for $53 per share. Guardant Health (GH) – Guardant shares plunged 33.4% in the premarket following trial results for its DNA blood test for colorectal cancers. Adobe also issued upbeat current quarter guidance. U.S. Steel (X) – U.S. Steel issued better-than-expected current quarter guidance and said commercial demand for steel is on the upswing in the U.S.

☆ A lettuce production problem cost Olive Garden owner millions
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —High lettuce costs are coming for Olive Garden’s never-ending salad. Olive Garden's parent company said high lettuce costs had a $4-$5 million impact in the quarter ending November 27. But the lettuce prices were “a big surprise.”California crop diseaseCrop disease in California, where much of the country’s lettuce is grown, has hit lettuce supply and forced prices to rise. The crop virus in addition to the geographical shift “was the perfect recipe for really historically high prices,” he said. High lettuce prices are hitting consumers in the grocery store, as well.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Delta, Tesla, Moderna and others
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-14 | by ( Peter Schacknow | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Tesla (TSLA) – Goldman Sachs cut its price target for Tesla to $235 per share from $305, citing softer demand. Tesla shares are down about 40% since the end of September, and briefly dipped below $500 billion in market value Tuesday. Moderna (MRNA) – Moderna rose another 1.6% in premarket trading on top of yesterday's 19.6% gain. Aspen Group (ASPU) – Aspen Group rallied 14.8% in premarket action after the online education company reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue and improved profit margins. The firm said Paccar is among the industrial stocks poised to benefit from a sector recovery.

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Tesla, Apple, Amazon, Exxon Mobil, Nike, Best Buy & more
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-14 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Morgan Stanley names Exxon Mobil a top 2023 pick Morgan Stanley said Exxon Mobil is one of the best-positioned stocks heading into 2023. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said concerns about App Store competition are overdone. Bank of America downgrades Best Buy to underperform from neutral Bank of America said the environment is too challenging right now for Best Buy. Bank of America reiterates Nike as neutral Bank of America said it's cautious going into Nike earnings next week. Bank of America reiterates Alphabet as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating on Alphabet but that investors need to hear more about the Google parent's cost-cutting initiatives.

☆ The Fed will raise rates again. But it’s playing with fire
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-11 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —The Federal Reserve is all but guaranteed to announce Wednesday that it will once again raise interest rates. The Fed bumped up rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in the past four meetings (June, July, September and November). The more widely watched Consumer Price Index data for November comes out Tuesday, just a day before the Fed announcement. Jones still thinks the Fed will raise rates by only half a point this week and may look to hike them just a quarter point in early 2023. It seems likely that the Fed will cut its GDP target and raise its expectations for the jobless rate and consumer prices.

☆ Baird downgrades Darden Restaurants as macro risks linger
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-29 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Darden Restaurants is due for a pause after a recent rally, according to Baird. Analyst David Tarantino downgraded the Olive Garden parent to neutral from outperform, saying the "risk/reward looks more balanced" following the stock's recent outperformance. Darden shares have rallied more than 16% in the fourth quarter. Along with the downgrade, Baird upped its price target on the stock to $150 a share, implying that the stock should hover near current levels. Tarantino remains confident in the long-term outlook for Darden Restaurants and said pullbacks in the stock, or increased confidence in the casual dining industry, would warrant a positive sentiment shift.

☆ Nike Cyber Monday deals start now: Shop the best discounted items
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-27 | by ( Bethany Heitman | Bethany Heitman Has Spent Over Fifteen Years Creating Engaging Content. She Is The Former Editor-In-Chief Of People Stylewatch | Has Held Senior Leadership Positions At Cosmopolitan | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

Black Friday may have passed, but Cyber Monday deals are in full swing. The Nike website is offering up to 60% off certain items, with an additional 25% off select styles when you use the code CYBER. From sneakers to leggings and beyond, Nike has a ton of highly rated items that are worth your consideration. Best Nike early Cyber Monday deals to shopTo recommend the best Cyber Monday deals from Nike, we looked for the types of products that Select readers have searched for in the past. Inspired by the popular Air Max models from the ‘80s, these women’s sneakers from Nike are intended for casual activities, such as strolling or lounging.

☆ An activist investor's profit-focused push at Salesforce is good news for shareholders
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

An activist investor we respect has taken a notable stake in Club holding Salesforce (CRM), sending shares higher by more than 4% on Tuesday. Rather, we're pleased with Starboard's activist campaign because its goal — creating more value through improved profitability — is good for shareholders. ... For the quality of the business, for their growth opportunity of the business, for the margin opportunity of this business, this is why we get excited about it." Smith added that he's been in contact with Salesforce management since Starboard took its stake and has had "good dialogue with them." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ What Cramer is watching Friday — 2-year yield unstoppable as stocks to retest mid-June lows
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Our trusted S & P Oscillator is at a minus 7. Goldman cut its year-end S & P 500 target to 3,600 from 4,300. Darden Restaurants (DRI), parent of Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, had its price target lowered $2 to $129 by Deutsche Bank. Morgan Stanley is concerned that Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) will miss numbers, so it cut its price target to $95 per share from $102. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ What Cramer is watching Thursday — 2-year yield says Fed going much higher; job market remains tight
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

An inflation target from the Fed of 2%, does that mean we need the nation's unemployment rate to double? Weekly jobless claims up slightly to 213,000, but that's fewer than expected and suggesting the labor market remains tight. UBS upgrades Club holding Eli Lilly (LLY) to buy from neutral (hold), raises price target to $363 per share from $335. Barclays lowers price target on United Parcel Service (UPS) to $180 per share from $200, keeps equal weight (hold) rating. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Accenture, Darden Restaurants, home builders and more
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( Peter Schacknow | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nonetheless, Accenture gained 1% in premarket trading. Darden Restaurants (DRI) – The parent of Olive Garden and other restaurant chains fell 2.5% in the premarket after reporting in-line quarter results. Novavax (NVAX) – The drug maker's stock slipped 6.1% in premarket trading after J.P. Morgan Securities downgraded it to "underweight" from "neutral". Eli Lilly (LLY) – Eli Lilly rose 1.4% in premarket trading after the FDA approved its cancer drug Retevmo for new uses. FactSet Research (FDS) – The financial information services provider fell 7 cents shy of estimates with adjusted quarterly earnings of $3.13 per share.

☆ Jerome Powell is heading into the 'danger zone'
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( Julia Horowitz | Cnn Business | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

London (CNN Business) When the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates to combat decades-high inflation, Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the central bank could increase borrowing costs without inflicting too much damage on the economy. Breaking it down: The central bank didn't go as hard as some investors thought it might. The Fed's main interest rate is now set between 3% and 3.25%. Plus, many factors pushing up inflation numbers — such as the war in Ukraine and drought conditions — are outside the central bank's control. Central banks have "no choice" but to increase interest rates in an effort to combat inflation, she added.

☆ Premarket stocks: Jerome Powell is heading into the 'danger zone'
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

“We feel the economy is very strong and will be able to withstand tighter monetary policy,” Powell said in March. Breaking it down: The central bank didn’t go as hard as some investors thought it might. Yet tucked into the central bank’s projections were signs that it plans to stay tough, even if it means pushing the economy into rocky territory. The Fed’s main interest rate is now set between 3% and 3.25%. Plus, many factors pushing up inflation numbers — such as the war in Ukraine and drought conditions — are outside the central bank’s control.

☆ Another big rate hike is coming. Lather. Rinse. Repeat
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-18 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | Cnn Business | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

As such, experts' forecasts for the Fed's key short-term rate after the November meeting range from 3.5% to 4%. In other words, the Fed's rate hikes could ultimately lead to the economy cooling off more than the central bank would like. Too many big rate hikes risk "sending the economy into a mild recession," Chubb said. What's more, other central banks, mainly the European Central Bank, are likely to step up the pace and size of rate increases as well. "Major central banks still have work to do on inflation, including the Fed and the ECB.

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