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U.S. crude oil futures broke above $78 per barrel Thursday on fears that Israel and Iran are heading to a direct conflict after the assassination of a Hamas leader in Tehran. Iran Supreme Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has ordered a direct strike on Israel in response to the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh, three Iranian officials told the New York Times. Khamenei ordered the direct strike at an emergency meeting of Iran's national security council Wednesday morning after Haniyeh was killed, the officials told The Times. Iran and Israel traded direct strikes in April, pushing oil prices to the highest point of the year, but they enemies ultimately pulled back from a full-scale war. The rising tensions come as an OPEC+ committee is meeting Thursday to review members' production quotas.
Persons: Ali Khamenei, Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh, Khamenei, Yemen's, Helima Croft, Croft Organizations: New York Times . West Texas, Times, Reuters, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Israel, Iran, Tehran, Iraq, Gaza
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Persons: Jessica Audiffred, NERO, Ray Volpe, Rusko, Alix Perez, Alleycti, Atliens, Benda, Blaap, Dion Timmer, Dj Snake, Fresch, Gladde, Faith, Marauda, Noizu, Sullivan King, Vieze Asbak, Wilkinson, Yookie, Abstrakt Sonance, Ash, Chee, Chef Boyarbeatz, Chibs, Codd, Topgun, GG Magree, Jawns, Jeanie, Jkyl, Jon Casey, Jordnmoody, Josh Teed, Justin Hawkes, Lucille Croft, Ozztin, Pauline Herr, Perry Wayne, Pierce, Teddy Killerz, Wiley, Xotix, YVM3 Organizations: Business, Lands, Fidelity, Lost Lands, Sunday, Lost, Focus Locations: Thornville , Ohio, Legend, Columbus , Ohio, Columbus, Ganja, Hairitage, Hol, Automhate, Bainbridge, BBX, Humansion, Lumasi, Subfiltronik, Sully, Wayve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCroft: Many market participants don't believe energy supply is at risk from Middle East conflictHelima Croft, Global Head of Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses oil prices following new developments in the Middle East conflict.
Persons: Helima Croft Organizations: Global, RBC Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what a Harris presidency could mean for energy markets and oil pricesHelima Croft, Global Head of Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses what a Kamala Harris presidency would mean for the energy markets.
Persons: Harris, Croft, Kamala Harris Organizations: Global, RBC Capital Markets
Crude oil futures held firm on Wednesday as traders waited for the latest round of U.S. inventory data for signs of whether gasoline demand is picking up. U.S. crude oil gained about 6% last month on expectations of a tighter third quarter with stockpiles forecast to draw down as summer fuel demand picked up. The Department of Energy will release the latest U.S. crude oil and gasoline stockpiles data at 10:30 a.m. Here are today's energy prices:Hurricane Beryl is barreling across the Caribbean and could hit the Texas Gulf Coast as a tropical storm on Saturday. "We used to think about hurricanes as unquestionably a potential bullish near-term development for oil markets, now the picture is not so clear," Croft told CNBC's "Last Call" on Tuesday evening.
Persons: Beryl, Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's Organizations: Department, Energy, AAA, Texas Gulf, National Hurricane, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Caribbean, Texas Gulf Coast, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBC Capital's Helima Croft breaks down politics and weather impact on oil marketHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss oil at 2-month highs, the energy outlook, and hurricane impact.
Persons: Helima Croft, Helima Organizations: RBC, RBC Capital Markets
U.S. crude oil on Friday traded near a two-month high and is on pace for a third-straight weekly gain as fears of war between Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah grow. West Texas Intermediate hit an intraday high of $82.72 per barrel, the highest level for the U.S. benchmark since April 30. U.S. oil is up about 1.8% for the week and 6.7% for the month of June. Hezbollah could target Israel's offshore gas operations if war breaks out, and Israel could seek to hit Iranian oil facilities, according to RBC Capital Markets. There is also a risk that Iran could attack tankers in the straight of Hormuz or abandon a détente with Saudi Arabia and hit the kingdom's oil facilities, according to the firm.
Persons: Brent, stoking, Saudi détente, Helima Organizations: Hezbollah, Texas Intermediate, RBC Capital Markets, Pentagon, NBC News, The State Department, U.S, RBC Locations: Khiam, Lebanon, Israel, Gaza, Iran, U.S, Hormuz, Saudi Arabia, Saudi
Crude oil futures rose Monday following their best week since April as traders sifted through mixed economic data out of China. U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent closed out last week nearly 4% higher, as analysts expect the market to tighten in the third quarter as summer fuel demand draws down inventories. Oil stockpiles should fall by 850,000 barrels per day in the third quarter, said Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. "It's more of a sense that this market is likely to get tighter as we go deeper in summer," Croft told CNBC's "Closing Bell Overtime" on Friday. Here are today's energy prices:"After three weeks of losses the oil complex finally made amends and gained some traction," said Tamas Varga, analyst at oil broker PVM.
Persons: Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's, Tamas Varga Organizations: Brent, RBC Capital Markets Locations: China . U.S
Oil prices are up more than 4.5% for the week, the strongest gains since early April, when futures rose on boiling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Crude oil futures rose for a fifth day Friday, on pace for the best week in more than two months as analysts see a tighter market heading into the third quarter. Deutsche sees the oil supply deficit expanding to nearly 1 million barrels per day in the third quarter, which should support Brent prices rising to the mid-to-upper $80s per barrel range. "It would only take a minor overshoot to bring Brent to around USD 90/bbl at some point during the second half," Hsueh told clients. Citigroup also sees a tighter market in the third quarter, though the market will likely enter a surplus in 2025 on solid production growth and slowing demand, according to the bank.
Persons: Benny Gantz's, Helima Croft, Michael Hsueh, Brent, Hsueh Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, RBC, OPEC, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, bbl, Citigroup Locations: Israel, Lebanon
The head of OPEC said Thursday the world will need to invest in fossil fuels for decades to come in order to prevent an energy shortage, dismissing predictions that oil demand will peak in the near future. The OPEC chief called for "continued oil industry investment, today, tomorrow, and many decades into the future given the products derived from crude oil are essential for our daily lives." Oil supply capacity will rise to 114 million per day by 2030, 8 million barrels more than global demand, according to the IEA. Deutsche Bank and Citi, however, see OPEC coming under pressure in the coming years. Citi analysts see a substantial oil surplus in 2025 as production keeps growing in North America, Brazil and Guyana, while demand slows due to energy efficiency improvements and electric vehicle adoption.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, Al Ghais, Fatih Birol, OPEC's Al Ghais, Helima, Croft, I'm, Robert McNally, McNally, EVs, Michael Hsueh Organizations: OPEC, International Energy Agency, IEA, IEA ., RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy, Deutsche Bank, Citi, Brent Locations: China, India, North America, Europe, Northeast Asia, Asia, U.S, OPEC, Brazil, Guyana
The detailed plan laid out by OPEC+ over the weekend to increase oil production delivered a "bearish surprise" to a market in which prices were already under downward pressure, according to Goldman Sachs. OPEC+ plan difficult to reverse The OPEC+ members said the production increases are subject to market conditions and could be reversed. Struyven described OPEC's forecast as "very bullish," with Goldman forecasting demand growth of 1.5 million bpd in 2024. Market could deteriorate in 2025 The oil market will remain in balance or in a slight deficit for the time being, according to Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities. Yet those cuts have failed to limit shale oil production in the U.S., Lipow said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, WTI, Daan Struyven, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Helima Croft, Goldman's Struyven, Andrew Lipow, Struyven, Lipow, Ryan McKay, McKay, Daan Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, Goldman, OPEC, Mizuho Securities, CNBC, RBC Capital Markets, Lipow Oil Associates, TD Securities, JPMorgan Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Brazil, Guyana, Norway, Senegal, Persian, Arabian
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo energy expects discuss oil prices as OPEC+ extends production cuts againAmena Bakr, Senior Research Analyst at Energy Intelligence, and Helima Croft, Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discuss oil prices following the latest OPEC+ production decision.
Persons: Amena Bakr, Helima Croft Organizations: Senior, Energy Intelligence, Global, Strategy, RBC Capital Markets
An offshore oil platform is seen at sunset near Huntington Beach, California, on Feb. 9, 2024. U.S. crude oil was on pace Friday for its worst month of the year, ahead of an OPEC+ meeting this weekend during which the cartel will review its production levels. Here are today's energy prices:OPEC+ members on Sunday are expected to review voluntary output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day. Oil market analysts generally agree that the group will likely keep those cuts in place. Chinese refiners' output has also slumped, and European refiners have been slow to return from spring maintenance, which has also pressured demand, according to the investment bank.
Persons: Helima Croft Organizations: Brent, Sunday, RBC Capital Markets, JPMorgan Locations: Huntington Beach , California, U.S
Before moving to Anguilla when I was 13, I lived with my single mom in Oregon, Florida, and California. My dad is from Anguilla, so my mom always had a connection to the island. As a single mother, I'm not afraid someone will come into my house to steal or hurt my family. My kids don't experience bullyingI'm always reading about how bad bullying is in the US. AdvertisementWe don't spend money on things we don't needThere aren't a lot of stores in Anguilla.
Persons: , Vanessa Croft, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, University of the West Locations: Anguilla, Oregon , Florida, California, We've, States, America
Crude oil futures fell more than 1% on Tuesday in the absence of major market catalysts to support prices. U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent have traded in a $3 range this month since selling off from April highs after traders rolled back geopolitical risk premium as fears of a wider Middle East war eased. Investors are now focusing more on fundamentals but the lack of near-term catalysts will likely keep prices rangebound for the time being, Helima Croft, head of commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told clients in a Tuesday note. Here are today's energy prices:Production cuts by a coalition of OPEC+ members have provided a floor for oil prices after last month's selloff. The cartel will meet next weekend to review its production policy.
Persons: Helima Croft Organizations: Brent, Investors, RBC Capital Markets, OPEC
Oil prices under pressure: Here's what you need to know
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices under pressure: Here's what you need to knowHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss what's going on in the oil sector, what signals the oil market has given investors, and much more.
Persons: Helima Croft Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHelima Croft: I'm in the best moment to achieve my personal ambitions"I grew up in Washington D.C. and that fueled my ambition." CNBC contributor & RBC Capital Markets Managing Director and Global Head of Commodity Strategy shares what ambition means to her.
Persons: Helima, I'm Organizations: Washington D.C, CNBC, RBC Capital Markets, Global, Commodity Strategy Locations: Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHelima Croft: I grew up in Washington D.C. and that fueled my ambition"Access to energy is critical for the developing world." CNBC contributor & RBC Capital Markets Managing Director and Global Head of Commodity Strategy shares what ambition means to her.
Persons: Helima Organizations: Washington D.C, CNBC, RBC Capital Markets, Global, Commodity Strategy Locations: Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe White House faces a tough choice on Iranian crude oil exports this summer: RBC's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the factors impacting the global energy market, impact of the $95 billion aid package passed by the House, state of the oil market, impact of Middle East tensions, and more.
Persons: Helima Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, House
Before this weekend's tanker seizure, the last vessel Iran hijacked was the St. Nikolas on January 1. A Planet Labs satellite image of the location of the MSC Aries and other tankers recently hijacked by Iran. Planet Labs PBCAs the U.S. considers more sanctions against Iran in response to its recent attack on Israel, Iran has been using the hijacked ships as a means of sanctions retaliation. Iran chose to do this as a way to compensate for sanctions," Madani said. In a note to clients, ClearView highlighted that the House of Representatives added several Iran sanctions bills to its calendar for consideration this week, under suspension rules, including new sanctions on Iranian oil exports to China.
Persons: Nikolas, Houthis, Samir Madani, Eyal Ofer's, Madani, Janet Yellen, Helima Croft, Andy Lipow, Brent, Lipow, Kevin Book, Book Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, MSC Aries, U.S . Naval Forces Central Command, Galaxy Leader, MSC, Planet Labs, U.S . Energy Information Agency, United Arab, JPMorgan, CNBC, Lipow Oil Associates, ClearView Energy Partners, US, UN Locations: Gulf of Oman, Hormuz, Anadolu, Iran, Israel, Gaza, U.S, Iranian, Khuran, China, Russia, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates, Oman, Strait, Tehran, East, North Africa, India, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, France, Germany
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailToo soon to fade the Iran-Israel tension story, says RBC Capital's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why oil prices are lower today, if Israel will move on Iran despite U.S. opposition, and more.
Persons: Helima Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Iran, Israel
The oil market has brushed off Iran's weekend air assault against Israel, with futures trading as much as 1.5% lower on Monday. Oil prices could spike above $100 a barrel depending on how Israel responds to the attack, the analyst wrote. Attack 'well-telegraphed' Iran's attack, though unprecedented, did little actual damage as Israel and the U.S. intercepted nearly all the drones and missiles. The Islamic Republic warned, however, it would strike harder next time if Israel responds to the weekend attack. Potential threats include Iran seizing ships associated with Israel in the Strait of Hormuz; Israel attacking Iranian oil and gas assets; or Iran striking energy assets of its neighbors if Israel hits too hard.
Persons: Israel, Maximilian Layton, Layton, Brent, Helima Croft, CNBC's, Natasha Kaneva, Kaneva, Goldman, Daan Struyven, RBC's Croft, Jan Stuart, Piper Sandler, Stuart Organizations: Citi ., Brent, Citi, RBC Capital Markets, RBC, U.S, United Nations, Islamic, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: Israel, Iran, Damascus, Syria, Tehran, Lebanon, Republic, Islamic Republic, Goldman Sachs, Strait, Hormuz, Iranian
But the calm could be short lived, as world leaders and markets focus on Israel’s response. Military clashes don’t always sink the markets, as was the case when Hamas attacked Israel in October and Israel retaliated. “We may be entering one of the most treacherous geopolitical eras since World War II,” Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase’s C.E.O., warned last week. “Take the win,” President Biden reportedly told Israel’s embattled prime minister after the attack was rebuffed with American help. Iran has signaled that the attack was a one-and-done, but Israel’s war cabinet hasn’t indicated its next move.
Persons: Israel, ” Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase’s, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, hasn’t, Helima Croft Organizations: JPMorgan, , RBC Capital Markets Locations: Israel, Ukraine, United States, Iran
Oil markets shrugged off the growing tensions in the Middle East, after Iran launched a barrage of missiles and drones against Israel over the weekend. On Monday morning, prices for Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, fell by about 1 percent, to $89.49 a barrel. So far, there has been relief that the much-anticipated attack did little damage and had no effect on supplies. Oil prices had already increased substantially in the days before the assault, rising above the symbolic $90 a barrel level last week. Rystad Energy, a consulting firm, calculates that on fundamentals, Brent should be selling for $84 a barrel.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, , Helima Croft Organizations: Brent, Rystad Energy, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Iran, Israel, Persian
But there is a growing threat to that sunny economic backdrop: surging oil prices. Global oil prices are flirting with $92 a barrel amid worries about a wider war in the Middle East. US oil prices surged above $87 a barrel late last week for the first time since late October, leaving them up about 21% this year. First, drone attacks on oil refineries deep inside Russia helped lift oil prices last month. Beyond the Middle East tensions, oil and gas prices have been boosted by OPEC and its allies, which continue to restrain supply.
Persons: , , Mark Zandi, Moody’s, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Zandi, hasn’t, Andy Lipow, Brent, ” Helima Croft, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Vincent Reinhart, Mellon, ” Reinhart, he’s, Patrick De Haan, ” De Haan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Wall, CNN, , Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Lipow Oil Associates, CIA, RBC Capital Markets, RSM, AAA, OPEC, Lipow Locations: New York, Iran, Russia, Syria, Israel, Quds,
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