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Investors should buy stocks ahead of next week's May jobs report, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "We see high probability that stocks perform well into next week's May jobs report," Lee said. AdvertisementInvestors should buy the dip in stocks ahead of next week's release of the May jobs report, according to a Friday note from Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "Thus, we see high probability that stocks perform well into next week's May jobs report," Lee said. Such a report would match the April jobs report and likely put some pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates sooner than later.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, PCE, Housing
Washington CNN —Mortgage rates declined for the third consecutive week in a shred of good news for Americans dealing with a still-tough housing market. Mortgage rates track the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield, which moves in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates. Stubbornly high inflation this year has dashed hopes that the Fed could cut interest rates in the spring or in the summer. Some Fed officials said earlier this week that they likely won’t raise interest rates again and a few have said they expect to cut rates this year. With mortgage rates still elevated, some homeowners are deciding to stay put.
Persons: Freddie Mac, inflation’s cooldown, there’s, homebuyers, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, That’s, ” Lawrence Yun, , Yun, Joe Biden Organizations: Washington CNN —, Treasury, National Association of Realtors, Fed, Housing Locations: San Diego, Chicago, Detroit
Beaten-down clean energy stocks have rallied this week. The iShares Global Clean Energy exchange-traded fund, which tracks sectors from renewable electricity to semiconductors to solar energy, has gained roughly 3%. Plug Power shares have climbed 33%, Enphase Energy shares have gained 8% and NextEra Energy shares have added 4%. Some investors warn that though the tariffs could continue boosting clean energy stocks, the recent rally isn’t driven by just improving fundamentals. Damaging hacks expose the weak underbelly of America’s health care systemA pair of recent ransomware attacks crippled computer systems at two major American health care firms, disrupting patient care and exposing fundamental weaknesses in the US health care system’s defenses against hackers, reports my colleague Sean Lyngaas.
Persons: New York CNN — It’s, Joe Biden, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, , Steve Sosnick, Roaring Kitty, Keith Gill, Dow, Nicole Goodkind, stoking, Gary Pzegeo, ” Read, Sean Lyngaas, cybersecurity, ” Joshua Corman, Sen, Ron Wyden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Clean Energy, Enphase Energy, NextEra Energy, Biden, Federal Reserve, Interactive Brokers, CNN, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Roaring, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Markets, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CIBC Private Wealth, “ Industry, Oregon Democrat Locations: New York, China
Recent stagflationary forecasts are misguided for this year, Bank of America wrote on Thursday. While first-quarter GDP badly missed estimates, the inflation that was seen was driven by strong consumer spending. That separates it from the US's last bout with stagflation, in 2022, when higher prices were caused by a supply shock. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Fear arose in April when first-quarter GDP missed expectations as inflation figures simultaneously surpassed estimates.
Persons: stagflation, , Bank of America isn't Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Business
Dow crosses 40,000 for the first time
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
New York CNN —The Dow broke past the 40,000 threshold Thursday morning for the first time ever, fueled by an encouraging inflation report. It also highlights a notable contrast between sentiment on Wall Street and Main Street. Dow 100: The Dow first closed in triple digits in January 1906. The Dow nearly matched that in 2017, rising 25%. Dow 30,000: Nov. 24, 2020: Covid sent the stock market plunging in the spring of 2020.
Persons: Dow, stoking, , Gary Pzegeo, John Williams, Tom Barkin, ” Tyler Schipper, Thomas, Hogan, Teddy Roosevelt, Richard Nixon, Trump, Covid Organizations: New, New York CNN, Markets, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CIBC Private Wealth, , Walmart, Airlines, Big Tech, York Fed, Reuters, Richmond Fed, Dow, University of Michigan, CNN, CPI, University of St, Riley Financial, Wall, Microsoft, Chevron, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal, Woolworth, Eastman Kodak Locations: New York, United States, Minnesota, Chevron —, AFP
Read previewInflation and interest rates are still high, but Americans shouldn't count on any relief just yet. Advertisement"The status of the battle against inflation requires that interest rates remain elevated in the near-term," Hamrick said. "The first quarter in the United States was notable for its lack of further progress on inflation," Powell said during the panel. But while job seekers and workers may find this cooldown concerning, that moderation is also welcome and the labor market is still strong. "Paired with high borrowing costs — like high interest rates on your credit cards — and the current economy can feel quite uncomfortable," Renter added.
Persons: , That's, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joanne Hsu, Nick Bunker, Ted Rossman, Rossman, Elizabeth Renter, Renter, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Business, Federal, University of Michigan, North America Locations: Amsterdam, United States,
Traders fear that elevated rates will uphold painfully high borrowing costs for consumers, squeeze corporate profit and weigh down the market. The labor market has stayed strong, consumers have continued spending and stocks have notched repeated record highs. The April jobs report was a welcome sign that the labor market is cooling without cratering. The labor market added just 175,000 positions last month, marking its lowest tally since October 2023 and a sharp cooldown from the upwardly revised 315,000 jobs added in March. First-time applications for unemployment benefits climbed last week to 231,000, the highest level since last August, in another sign that the labor market is cooling.
Persons: , , Jeff Buchbinder, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, April’s, David Russell, Matt Egan, Wally Adeyemo, Read, Diksha Madhok, Narendra Modi, Modi, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Ambani, Ji, ” Modi, Rahul Gandhi Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Traders, CNN, Fed, LPL, ” Treasury, Treasury, Reliance Industries, Adani, Indian National Congress Locations: New York, Thursday’s, , India
At least, that's one productivity tip from Cal Newport, a Georgetown University professor and author of "Slow Productivity." Newport's latest book aims to help people eliminate what he calls "pseudo productivity," or the performance of busyness, and to replace that effort with outcomes-based work. "What matters is, what are you producing over time, and how good is the stuff you're producing?" The basic principles of switching to slow productivity are to do fewer things, work at a natural pace and obsess over quality. You could also try working in cycles.
Persons: Newport Organizations: Cal Newport, Georgetown University, Newport, CNBC Locations: Cal, Newport, Basecamp
The provides the backdrop for stagflation, which can't be combated with rate cuts. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . With additional help from high government spending and the dollar's de-coupling from gold, inflation surged into double digits, while the economy tumbled. The period was so tumultuous that it undid long-standing macroeconomic theories, and required the Fed to step up its role in the economy.
Persons: , David Donabedian, It's, listlessness, stagflation, Paul Volcker, Jamie Dimon, we've, Pooja Sriram, Powell Organizations: Service, CIBC Private Wealth, OPEC, Economic, of New, Barclays Locations: of New York
Foreign-born workers are leading the increase in the US labor force, Fitch Ratings said. But a simple explanation could lie in US immigration trends, as a surge of foreign-born workers is propelling labor expansion, Fitch Ratings reported on Thursday. "The foreign-born labor participation rate is 66%, more than the native-born participation rate of 62%." AdvertisementBut while higher immigration flows should keep labor momentum going through this year, Fitch also cautioned that it risks an oversupply. Still, migrants' contribution to labor has significantly boosted economic growth, Fitch said, a point shared by previous research.
Persons: Fitch, , Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Olu Sonola Organizations: Service, Fitch, Wall Street, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, hirings
That’s because some Federal Reserve officials are reconsidering forecasts they made three months ago that called for three rate cuts this year. The stakes are high because there are consequences if the Fed cuts rates soon or if it leaves rates where they’ve been for the past eight months. First rate cut hinges on inflation dataIn February, Bostic told CNN that the first rate cut could come “sometime in the summertime.” That’s also Wall Street’s current expectation. He hasn’t specified — and is unlikely to signal — the number of rate cuts he believes are appropriate for this year. He has cheered inflation’s descent and said further improvement could open the door to rate cuts — if that actually bears out.
Persons: they’ve, Raphael Bostic, ” Bostic, Bostic, That’s, Powell hasn’t, Price, Nam, ” David Page, Powell, Rather, Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee, , we’ve, we’re, Goolsbee, Christopher Waller Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Index, AXA, Federal, , Harvard University, Chicago, Yahoo Finance, Fed, San Francisco Fed Locations: New York
The S&P 500 declined 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1%. Turbulence for airline stocksAirline stocks have also been pummeled this week, as years of safety issues at Boeing continue to plague the industry. The NYSE Arca Global Airline index, which tracks the performance of major American and overseas airlines, is on track to end the week 2.2% lower. But Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, notes that the S&P 500 hasn’t seen a one-day decline of 2% or more since last February. AI up-and-comer Super Micro Computer will join the benchmark S&P 500 index on Monday.
Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, shrugged, Gold, Bitcoin, Dow, Price, , Ken Tjonasam, Max, Robert Jordan, Liz Young, Young, “ It’s, What’s, Jensen Huang Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, Global, Airline, Boeing, Latam, Wall, Southwest Airlines, Airbus, “ Boeing, , JPMorgan Chase, NYSE Arca, Nvidia, Computer, Investors, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, National Association of Home Builders, Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York, Australia, New Zealand, Wells Fargo
Unsurprisingly, several flashing indicators suggest that investors are feeling good about the market:• CNN’s Fear & Greed Index: The indicator, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment including the VIX, Wall Street’s most well-known measure of expected stock volatility, is in “greed” territory. Market sentiment is often seen as a contrarian indicator. That means that when the herd is optimistic, money managers take it as a sign that stocks will fall, and vice versa. A closely watched gauge of US wholesale inflation rose at its fastest pace in months, according to new data released Thursday. In February, car sales climbed 1.8%, purchases of electronics and appliances increased 1.5% and sales at restaurants rose 0.4%.
Persons: • Charles Schwab, Yardeni, , Alicia Wallace, Price, Gus Faucher, Read, Bryan Mena Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, of Labor Statistics, PNC Financial Services, Retail, Commerce Department, Gas Locations: New York
Overall, the closely watched inflation gauge showed that prices rose by 3.2% for the 12 months ended in February, the BLS said Tuesday. That monthly pace was right in line with the 0.4% increase that economists were expecting, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Still, there was some good news for Americans: For the first time since April 2023, overall food prices did not rise. Grocery prices held flat, while “food away from home” (restaurants) ticked up last month by just 0.1%. On an annual basis, overall food price inflation slowed to 2.2%, the lowest rate since May 2021.
Persons: That’s, Stocks Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, BLS, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: New York
Gold just jumped to a record high. Here’s why
  + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —Gold rose Tuesday after notching a record high the prior day, as investors continue to bet the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the back half of the year. The yellow metal was up about 0.4% on Tuesday morning, stabilizing somewhat after settling at an all-time high of $2,126.30 a troy ounce on Monday. However, some investors also believe gold to be a hedge against inflation, wagering that it will hold its value even if it begins to surge. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, rose 2.4% for the 12 months ended in January. The milestones for both bitcoin and gold come as stocks continue to rally powerfully.
Persons: That’s, Jerome Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Investors, Fed, Nasdaq Locations: New York, December’s
But these days, you're more likely to find him training with booty bands than Thor's hammer, his personal trainer told Business Insider. Recently, Hemsworth has become a fan of so-called "booty bands," elastic resistance bands placed around the ankles or thighs to help fire up the glutes. AdvertisementZocchi said the warmup helps Hemsworth protect his lower back on leg day — and is surprisingly spicy. "It's slowing things down a bit and really trying to focus on that muscle-mind connection as well," Zocchi said. AdvertisementSwap machines for sleds, farmer carries, and walking lungesFunctional strength is better for longevity than Marvel-movie muscle, Zocchi explained.
Persons: , Chris Hemsworth, Luke Zocchi, Hemsworth's, Zocchi, Hemsworth, he's, Chris Organizations: Service, Business, Hemsworth, Marvel Locations: Hemsworth
Mortgage rates rose following the release of the latest Consumer Price Index data, and they remain elevated today. Though the Fed doesn't directly impact mortgage rates, investor expectations of Fed policy moves can push mortgage rates up or down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Up Closer to 7% (+0.24%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.68%, up 24 points from where it was this time last week. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Back Above 6% (+0.31%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.05%, up 31 points from last week.
Persons: they've, we'll, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, FHA Locations: reaccelerate, Chevron
Positive labor market data and GDP growth support this, but job opportunities in some sectors are down. Not all job data is positive, with job openings falling from their post-pandemic highs. Below are some of the signs the economy is thriving, as well as some warning signs. Labor market data is mostly positiveThe labor market is still stable despite gradually slowing, Kimbrough said during the forum. "I think the investment side of our economy is going to start to chip away a little bit at the discretionary consumption weight in our economy."
Persons: , Marc Giannoni, LinkedIn's Karin Kimbrough, Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Giannoni, Kimbrough, Jerome Powell, Powell, NerdWallet's Elizabeth Renter, Sonders, They're, there’s, there's, — Kimbrough, it’s Organizations: Federal, Service, Barclays, NYU Stern Economic, Labor, Conference, University of Michigan's, Market Committee, Health, New, New York City Housing Locations: York, New York City
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today’s big story, we’re looking at why the recent resurgence of Vladimir Putin and Russia comes at an inopportune time for the markets. The big storyPutin's big weekRebecca Zisser/Business InsiderVladimir Putin hasn't notched many personal wins since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but last week was an exception. Putin’s successes further complicate a geopolitical situation that has silently loomed over a US economy trying to tiptoe past a recession.
Persons: , florists, Vladimir Putin, Rebecca Zisser, Vladimir Putin hasn't, Tucker Carlson, he’s, Tom Porter, Carlson, Putin, Joe, Donald Trump, BI’s Brent D, Griffiths, Tom, GAVRIIL, Jamie Dimon, Ray Dalio, Jerome Powell, It’s, David Rosenberg, doesn’t, Alex Wong, Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Grammarly, Abanti Chowdhury, Zers, Temu, Sam Altman, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb Organizations: Service, NATO, Sputnik, Kremlin, JPMorgan, Bridgewater Associates, Reserve, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Labor Statistics, Tech, Chiefs, 49ers, World, Ferrari, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Moscow, China, Israel, Gaza, Washington ,, New York, London
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks were mixed Wednesday as markets awaited a decision on interest rates by the Federal Reserve, while China reported manufacturing contracted in January for a fourth straight month. South Korea’s Kospi shed 0.1% to 2,497.09 after Samsung Electronics reported reported an annual 34% decline in operating profit for the last quarter. Its revenue fell short of Wall Street’s estimates, and it also gave a forecast for full-year revenue in 2024 that was weaker than expected. Treasury yields were also mixed in the bond market following reports that showed the economy remains stronger than expected. The Federal Reserve began its latest policy meeting on interest rates Tuesday, but virtually no one expects it to cut rates this time.
Persons: Seng, India’s Sensex Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Samsung Electronics, PMI, Reserve Bank, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Whirlpool, General Motors, Treasury, Traders, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, China, Shanghai, U.S
US job openings grew in December
  + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
However, despite the uptick, the labor market remains in the throes of a cooldown amid the Federal Reserve’s aggressive actions to curb inflation. The United States had an estimated 9.026 million job openings in December, according to seasonally adjusted data released as part of the BLS’ monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report. Economists had expected December job openings to drop for a fourth consecutive month and land at 8.714 million. Outside of the initial stages of the pandemic, that was the lowest hires rate since 2014. At one point in early 2022, job openings soared north of 12 million.
Persons: , ” Jennifer Lee, that’s, Jerome Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, United, Labor, BMO Capital Markets, Fed, BLS, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, United States
The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. U.S. stock futures fell across the board Sunday night as Wall Street looked toward several mega-cap tech earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 86 points, or 0.2%. This week marks the busiest week of the earnings season, with 19% of the S&P 500 reporting earnings. Traders in the fed funds futures market assigned an almost 97% probability the Fed will not cut rates at the upcoming meeting, according to the CME Group.
Persons: Dow Jones, Tesla, Sonu Varghese Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, Microsoft, Apple, Dow, Boeing, Merck, Federal, Traders, CME, Carson Group Locations: New York City, . U.S
Commercial mortgage borrowing will rise 29% this year, the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates. AdvertisementCommercial and multifamily mortgage borrowing and lending is forecast to surge 29% from last year's estimated total of $444 billion, the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates. "2023 is likely to go into the record books as the slowest year for commercial real estate borrowing and lending in roughly a decade," MBA Head of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell said in the report. AdvertisementTighter monetary policy since 2022 has pushed up borrowing costs across the commercial real estate market, and resulted in stricter lending standards among mortgage originators. Raichura expects prices to drop off another 10% this year, while a December outlook from NBER outlined that total commercial real estate losses could amount to $160 billion.
Persons: , Jamie Woodwell, Kiran Raichura, Woodwell Organizations: Mortgage, Association, Service, Real, Federal Reserve
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 11, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures are lower Monday night as Wall Street awaits further data and bank earnings that will provide a better glimpse into the state of the American consumer. S&P 500 futures dipped more than 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.2%. Another batch of bank earnings will be out during this holiday-shortened week, providing further clues about consumer health and data on credit card payments and delinquencies. Charles Schwab and M&T Bank , as well as several regional banks, are also slated to release their earnings this week.
Persons: FactSet, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Wells Fargo — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, PNC Financial Services, T Bank, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Dow Locations: New York City, Friday's
The equity market is due for a cooldown, according to several strategists, who are telling clients to begin positioning themselves defensively in preparation for a slow-growth earnings environment next year. The S & P 500 has rallied almost 24% this year, but is up 11% in the fourth quarter alone. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF , for example, is up 24% this quarter, but still down 12% for the year. According to Calvasina, industrials are the most overvalued sector in the S & P 500, while energy and communication services offer the most attractive valuations. .GSPHC YTD mountain S & P Health Care sector performance this year.
Persons: Venu Krishna, Krishna, haven't, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Barclays, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Big Tech, Regional Banking, RBC Capital, P Health Care, JPMorgan Locations: Krishna, SPX, Europe
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