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Search resuls for: "Consumer Expectations"


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Dollar nears 150 yen ahead of US inflation test; bitcoin buoyant
  + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar flirted with the psychological threshold of 150 yen on Tuesday and held broadly steady ahead of a key reading on U.S. inflation due later in the day, while bitcoin hovered around the $50,000 mark for a second day running. The greenback last bought 149.39 yen, edging higher toward the closely-watched 150 level that analysts said would likely trigger further jawboning from Japanese officials in an attempt to support the currency. The projected rise in inflation three years from now dropped to 2.4%, the lowest since March 2020, from December's 2.6%. Analysts said the latest boost to bitcoin comes ahead of its halving event, which will cut the reward for successfully mining a bitcoin block in half. The expectation of rate cuts certainly helps, but it doesn't explain what's really set fire to bitcoin over the past four, five sessions," said IG's Sycamore.
Persons: pare, that's, Tony Sycamore, It's, Kyle Rodda Organizations: greenback, Bank of, IG, Federal Reserve Bank of New, U.S ., New Zealand, U.S, bitcoin Locations: Asia, China, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, U.S, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, December's, Europe
Inflation comes in hotter than expected
  + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
The consumer price index increased 3.1% year over year in January, higher than the forecast of 2.9%. The CPI rose 0.3% month over month in January. January’s year-over-year rise in the CPI was expected to be 2.9%, which would have been a massive slowdown from December’s 3.4%. CPI increased by 0.3% month over month in January. Additionally, New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations data shows the one-year ahead median expected inflation rate had largely been cooling but stayed at 3.0% in January.
Persons: That's, , That’s, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, University of Michigan, Consumers, , New York Fed Survey, Consumer Locations: January’s, ,
What Now for the Economy?
  + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Tim Smart | Feb. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
Where does the economy go from here? Consumers are feeling better, expecting that the economy will do well and inflation will subside in the coming 12 months. While the economy ended last year on a strong note, the expectation was that it would cool down as the calendar turned to 2024. Last week, the International Monetary Fund boosted its projection for global growth to 3.1% from its October estimate of 2.9%, citing “greater-than-expected resilience” in the U.S. economy. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow forecast has the U.S economy growing at a 4.2% clip in the first quarter.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Lightcast, Rachel Sederberg, , That’s Organizations: Federal, Labor Department, ” Comerica Bank, Fed, CBS, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, Santander Bank, Locations: U.S, ” Santander
Instacart confirmed on Sunday it was using AI-generated imagery and recipes. The AI images featured physically impossible compositions, unnatural shadows, and strangely blended textures. Other recipes discovered by Reddit users, meanwhile, had the AI-generated images replaced with what appears to be stock photography. Some AI-generated imagery was still live on Instacart's site as of Wednesday. A startup is using text-to-photo technology to create AI imagery based just on menu descriptions to help restaurants build out online menus without paying for photography.
Persons: Instacart, , Fry, Instacart Instacart Organizations: Service, Mac
In May 2023, Instacart announced it was partnering with OpenAI to create an "Ask Instacart" AI model that would allow users to ask Instacart questions about what to make for dinner. In that press release, it did not disclose that it would also be adding AI recipes to the site too. AdvertisementMultiple companies have been accused of or admitted to using generative AI imagery in the past year. Reuters reported that large advertising agencies are using generative AI art in advertisements. Wizards of the Coast, a gaming company, apologized after it was caught using generative AI in some advertisements.
Persons: Fry, Instacart, OpenAI Organizations: Service, Business, Reuters
Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of America’s gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the US economy, so a recession is nearly impossible as long as consumer spending is growing. Wednesday’s report is expected to be a good one — economists polled by FactSet expect that a strong holiday shopping season boosted consumer spending by 0.4% in December from the month prior. But new data from the New York Federal Reserve on Tuesday has soured the mood on Wall Street. The outlook for consumer spending doesn’t look so bright, either. The trend marked the deepening of a demographic challenge set to have significant implications on the world’s second largest economy, report my colleagues Laura He and Simone McCarthy.
Persons: Alicia Wallace, shutdowns, It’s, Brian Moynihan, , CNN’s Richard Quest, they’ve, Bob Iger, Samantha Delouya, Walt Disney, Iger’s, Disney, Laura, Simone McCarthy Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, FactSet, New York Federal Reserve, Consumer, Hamas, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Economic, Disney, National Bureau of Statistics, Communist, NBS Locations: New York, Suez, Iranian, Asia, Europe, United States, Drewry, Davos, Switzerland, China, Communist China
The latest Survey of Consumer Expectations Household Spending Survey, which is released every four months, also showed that households expect to spend less in the year ahead. The most recent reading is the lowest since December 2020 and is trending closer to the pre-pandemic reading of 2.4%. Survey respondents said they expected to spend less on everyday essential spending. The spending has kept the economy churning, but it’s also potentially coming at a cost: Americans have relied heavily on debt to make their purchases. As of December 2023, respondents said they’d allocate 38.4% of the unexpected income gain toward paying down debt.
Persons: it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
watch nowA sharp drop in mortgage interest rates in December may have kickstarted this year's spring housing market early. Optimism about mortgage rates increased sharply in December, according to a monthly consumer survey by Fannie Mae. "This significant shift in consumer expectations comes on the heels of the recent bond market rally," said Palim. "Notably, homeowners and higher-income groups reported greater rate optimism than renters." The average rate on the 30-year fixed has been on a wild ride since the start of the Covid pandemic.
Persons: Fannie Mae, Mark Palim, Ryan Paredes, Ariadna Paredes, Ryan Ratliff, Joe Raedle, Paul Legere Organizations: Max Advance Realty, Getty, . Washington , D.C Locations: Cutler Bay , Florida, . Washington ,
People walk by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the financial district of New York City, U.S., June 14, 2023. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 20 (Reuters) - Demand for new credit in the U.S. over the last year has declined and will likely stay soft in the future, according to a survey released on Monday by the New York Federal Reserve. But even as the overall application rate for new credit declined among those surveyed, interest in applying for more credit card debt rose. The survey said that reading had hit 29% as of October and was 26% for 2023, compared to a 27.2% credit card application rate in 2019. The report noted that expected decline in applications for credit extended to new credit cards, auto loans, mortgages and home refinancing.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Michael S, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, New York Federal Reserve, Fed, Consumer, New York Fed, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S
NICE Enlighten, a purpose-built AI for customer experience, has operations, agents, and customers covered across the end-to-end customer journeyAI chatbots that understand and respond to customer emotions can be used to personalize the customer experience and provide expedited resolutions. Conversation as a means of delivering exceptional customer experience (CX) has reached a tipping point in today's modern business landscape. This mismatch between consumer expectations and business capabilities is a significant opportunity for generative AI to improve the customer experience. The future of conversational customer experienceAlthough AI has the potential to revolutionize the customer experience, it is not without its drawbacks. These chatbots can be used to personalize the customer experience and provide expedited resolutions to customer problems.
Persons: Elizabeth Tobey, Tobey Organizations: NICE, CX, Insider Studios
Welcome to the (almost) red-hot bond market
  + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. Surging mortgage rates over the past few years have sent home loan applications and home sales down sharply. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage was also advancing towards 8% — a level not seen since the dot-com bubble popped in 2000. Those raging Treasury yields brought pain to investors and also increased how much American companies had to pay to service their debts. In fact, Wall Street is struggling to figure out what it means for the timing and scale of future rate cuts.
Persons: , Michael Hartnett, Gina Bolvin, “ We’re, Phillip Wool, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York Federal, Treasury, Dow, Bank of America, Bolvin Wealth Management, Mortgage News, Mortgage, Association, Financial, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Goldman, Fed, UBS, Airlines for America, AAA Locations: New York
Consumer prices held stable in October, bringing the annual inflation rate down to 3.2% from 3.7% a month ago as energy prices receded, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. “Further evidence of disinflation inside the October inflation report,” RSM US Chief Economist Joseph Brusuelas posted on social media, noting that month-over-month inflation was flat at 3.2% and core inflation was up 0.2 percent to 4% over the same period. Although prices for a wide variety of goods and services have cooled this year, the current inflation rate is well above the 2% target set by the central bank. “Inflation expectations over the next 5 years dipped to 2.7%, slightly above the Fed’s long-run target of 2%. “We don’t think the last mile of disinflation will be particularly hard,” Goldman Chief Economist Jan Hatzius wrote in the outlook.
Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, Stocks, Matt Bush, Patrick De Haan, , , Piyush Patel, Jeffrey Roach, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: of Labor Statistics, RSM, Federal, Treasury, Dow Industrial, Guggenheim Partners, CNBC, National Retail Foundation, NRF, Affinity Solutions, Wall Street, Travel, Gas, New York Federal Reserve Bank, University of Michigan’s, LPL, Investment, ” Goldman Locations: U.S
A woman passes by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. The relative stability of New York Fed expectations data contrasts with that seen in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey. It found in November a rise in year-ahead expected inflation to 4.4% from 4.2% in October, with five-year expected inflation up to 3.2%, from October’s 3%. Over the last year and a half the Fed has aggressively raised rates in a bid to cool high inflation. But it kept alive the prospect of more action should inflation not fall further on the path back to 2%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, there’s, Jerome Powell, Powell, , Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, Consumer, New, New York Fed, University of Michigan Consumer, University of Michigan, Federal, Committee, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, September’s, New York, York, October’s
Morning Bid: Chip stocks cheered while the rest retreat
  + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, October 30, 2023. Monthly retail sales data is due on Wednesday but the country's Singles Day shopping extraganza over the weekend - equivalent to Black Friday sales elsewhere - recorded only meagre growth. A sub-index of tech shares remained firmly positive but another of mainland property developers slumped more than 1%. U.S. retail sales data is also due on Wednesday, preceded by CPI a day earlier. ECB President Christine Lagarde last week said that rates will stay restrictive at least for several quarters.
Persons: Kevin Buckland Chip, Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos, Catherine L, Mann, Huw Pill, BoE's Mann, Sweden SEB, Kevin Buckland, Edmund Klamann Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Wall, Reuters, Nikkei, CPI, Federal Reserve, Finance, Bank of England, New York Fed, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, China, Hong Kong, Elswhere, Sweden
Consumers’ expectations for inflation one year and five years from now both dropped 0.1 percentage points from the month before, to land at 3.6% and 2.7%, respectively. However, median inflation expectations at the three-year horizon remained unchanged at 3%, a yearly high. On Friday, the University of Michigan’s closely watched consumer survey showed sentiment was waning about the current economic state and that inflation expectations ticked up over the long run. The median expected growth in household income ticked up a tenth of a percentage point to 3.1%. Overall, more respondents to the New York Fed survey said their households were better off than they were this time last year.
Persons: they’ll Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s, New Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock exchange during morning trading on November 10, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures inched down Sunday night after Moody's Investors Service lowered its U.S. credit rating outlook to negative from stable. Moody's on Friday underscored the U.S.' "very large" fiscal deficits and partisan gridlock in Washington as contributing factors for the downgrade. The ratings agency reaffirmed America's credit rating at AAA, the highest level. The S&P 500 rose 1.3% the previous week, while the Dow and Nasdaq gained about 0.7% and 2.4%, respectively.
Persons: Moody's, Fitch, Jay Hatfield, That's, Lisa Cook Organizations: New York Stock, Moody's Investors Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, AAA, U.S, Infrastructure Capital Management, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Dow Locations: New York City . U.S, Washington, Hatfield
watch nowThe global shipping industry has been mired in a freight recession this year and the challenging economic conditions will continue into 2024, according to a new CNBC Supply Chain Survey. The CNBC Supply Chain Survey was conducted October 21-October 31 among logistics executives who manage freight manufacturing orders and transportation, including those at C.H. "Without more freight moving, 2024, and potentially 2025, will continue to see soft pricing as capacity outstrips demand," he said. Freight trucking will remain soft Trucking companies get paid per load, and low expectations for orders imply potentially lower revenue this holiday season. A slightly better second half 2024 outlook The survey shows expectations for a slight turnaround in freight volume in the second half of 2024.
Persons: Robinson, Kuehne, Nagel, Zhang Jingang, Alan Baer, Noah Hoffman, Jeff Bezos, Uber, Tim Robertson, Robertson, Brian Bourke Organizations: CNBC Supply Chain Survey, CNBC, Chain Survey, SEKO Logistics, DHL Global, USA, ITS Logistics, Getty, Logistics, C.H, Surface Transportation, Convoy, Tank Transport Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, China
There are reasons for the central bank to be, as policymakers have said, "careful" in approving any further rate increases. "We think real rates are higher due to very strong US growth," analysts from Citi wrote ahead of this week's Fed meeting. As of the September meeting, Fed officials said they still felt one more rate hike would be necessary. But Powell has also said growth needs to slow - and if it doesn't, it means the Fed's policy rate will need to move higher. It's a good thing that the labor market's strong," Powell said at his press conference following the end of the Sept. 19-20 policy meeting.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, Dana Peterson, Consumers, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Citi, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Investors, Gross, Oxford Economics, Conference Board, Conference Board's, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, joblessness
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian shares were mixed on Monday ahead of a Federal Reserve decision this week on interest rates. U.S. futures gained while oil prices fell more than $1 a barrel. That’s particularly concerning for the Fed, which fears such expectations could lead to a vicious cycle that worsens high inflation. The Shanghai Composite index rose 0.3% to 3,025.76. As one of the most massive companies on Wall Street, Amazon’s stock movements carry huge weight on the S&P 500 and other indexes.
Persons: Netanyahu, Australia’s, Stocks, Russell, Ford, Brent Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, U.S, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, China, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wall, Intel, United Auto Workers, Treasury, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S . Locations: HONG KONG, Israel, Israeli, Gaza, China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Bangkok
REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Euro zone households see inflation staying slightly above the European Central Bank's 2% target for another three years, an ECB survey showed, as rate-setters struggle to convince the public that their plans for taming price pressures are on track. While consumer expectations for inflation are by nature imprecise, they can influence wage demands, spending and saving. Consumers' views about inflation in the coming 12 months showed a slight increase to 3.5%, from 3.4% in July. The ECB has said that long-term inflation expectations from economists, investors and consumers are "at around 2%", but cautioned that some projections have risen and should be monitored. But they turned more optimistic about their income - seen growing by 1.2% from 1.1% - and raised their predictions for home price inflation, to 2.3% from 2.1%, for the first time since March.
Persons: Sarah Meyssonnier, Francesco Canepa, Alison Williams, John Stonestreet Organizations: Carrefour, REUTERS, Rights, Central, ECB, Thomson Locations: Montesson, Paris, France
The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.
Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, , , ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia
From arts and entertainment to health and wellness, businesses across industries are tapping into financial technology to drive growth. Below are three tips to help enterprises stay informed on the latest financial technology trends, while delivering value to their customers and employees. Choosing a single payment platform is a good starting point for increasing agility, but the type of platform you choose matters. Taking the next stepFor businesses looking to scale amid a changing economic landscape, a single financial technology platform isn't just a choice; it's a necessity. Learn more about how Adyen's single payment platform can help your enterprise meet the evolving needs of customers and businesses.
Persons: , Pepe Jeans, Vázquez Cabezas Organizations: Enterprise, Terme, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Connect, Marketing, Insider Studios Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Adyen
Minneapolis CNN —Buy Now, Pay Later installment payment offerings appear to be disproportionately used by people facing financial difficulties, raising concerns about the potential for greater money trouble, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Tuesday. New York Fed researchers delved into recently collected consumer survey data to determine who is being offered BNPL options and who uses them. They drew on data collected as part of the June 2023 Survey of Consumer Expectations Credit Access Survey, which included a set of BNPL-specific questions. “The fact that a disproportionate share of BNPL users are already financially fragile raises questions about the resilience of BNPL lending and its performance following an adverse economic shock,” New York Fed researchers wrote. The New York Fed research substantiates previously raised concerns from critics that BNPL may attract — and could ultimately harm — financially fragile individuals.
Persons: Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York Fed, Consumer, Survey, ” New York Fed, Consumer Financial Protection Locations: Minneapolis
Retail fuel prices in the U.S. and Europe have risen to multi-month highs as crude prices have rallied. "If energy prices increase and stay high, that'll have an effect on spending, and it may have an effect on consumer expectations for inflation, things like that. High interest rates are already curbing demand across Western economies, including for oil. The U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday pressed pause on interest rates, but did not rule out one more hike this year. President Joe Biden has already promised to cut prices, though has not said how, and in the short term the impact of autumn refinery maintenance on supplies could keep prices high.
Persons: Mike Segar, Brent, Jerome Powell, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, PVM's Tamas Varga, I'm, Craig Erlam, Ajay Parmar, Joe Biden, Gordon Balmer, Natalie Grover, Robert Harvey, Mark John, Balazs Koranyi, Dan Burns, Simon Webb, Barbara Lewis Organizations: Exxon, REUTERS, . West Texas Intermediate, Reuters, Retail, Federal, International Energy Agency, Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Federal Reserve, HSBC, Energy Information Administration, U.S, Diesel, Energy, Petrol Retailers, Thomson Locations: Edgewater , New Jersey, U.S, OPEC, Europe, Brazil, Guyana, United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, Britain, France, London, Frankfurt, New York
Hopes for a soft landing in the economy could be dashed as a number of risks start to converge. These are four risks that could send the economy into a recession sooner rather than later, according to Raymond James. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US economy is more likely to enter a mild recession than stick a soft landing, according to a Friday note from Raymond James. AdvertisementAdvertisementThese are the four risks that could ultimately tip the economy into a recession, according to Adam. Labor market is weakening"The labor market's strength is finally starting to wane.
Persons: Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam, Banks, shutdowns Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, United Auto Workers
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