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The communications services sector has been on an unbelievable tear for nearly two years. Since hitting a low on October 2022, the Communication Services Select Sector (XLC) has nearly doubled, outperforming the S & P 500 in that time. "The smallest sector in the market (by constituents not value) has been one of the most dominant over the past two years," wrote Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg. Our sense is that is better for sale here," Ginsberg wrote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Bernstein upgraded Starbucks to outperform from market perform.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bernstein, Brian Niccol, Danilo Gargiulo Organizations: Communications, Netflix, Taco Bell Locations: GOOGL
Goldman SachsWage growth is down from 6% in August 2022 to 3.9%, according to Goldman Sachs. Still, Goldman Sachs thinks the US unemployment rate will drift down to 4% in 2025, which would be a healthy figure. An influx of immigrants may have affected this trend, Goldman Sachs economists say. Goldman SachsLabor costs rose 7% in 2023 for S&P 500 companies and 5% for firms in the Russell 2000, Goldman found. Goldman Sachs shared a sector-neutral list of 50 stocks in the S&P 500 that have high labor costs, which should disproportionately benefit as wage inflation slows as raises become rarer.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Goldman, Chief US, Goldman Sachs Labor, Companies Locations: Goldman Sachs
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, Jensen Huang, Huang, Oppenheimer, , We've, Cintas, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, China, Tech, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Stock market highs are expected to continue into 2025, according to Oppenheimer's Ari Wald. AdvertisementWald's 6,000 price target for the S&P 500 is based on the median bull market cycle. "The S&P 500 is up 64% over the 23 months between October 2022 and September 2024. And if the current bull market follows the path of the average bull market, stocks could continue to rise through the end of 2025 with the S&P 500 rising to around the 7,000 level. "We view the cycle high for Industrials as confirmation of an intact bull market," Wall said.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, , Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, it's, Wall, " Wald Organizations: Service, New York Stock Exchange, ISI Locations: That's
Recall, that we initially had a view that competitors like Club name Palo Alto Networks would take advantage of this event to pitch their products. Sure the quarter was good because Palo Alto has a great product and value proposition, but it didn't suggest a massive departure from CrowdStrike. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, It's, Eli Lilly, LLY's, Eli Lilly's, isn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Novo Nordisk, Deutsche Bank, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto, Palo, KB, Micron, Jefferies, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Palo
I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The S & P 500 touched a record high on Tuesday , bringing its year-to-date gain to more than 18%. The S & P 500 averaged a 5.5% gain in the first three months after an initial cut, 10.6% six months later and 11.3% one year out. On average, the broader index jumped 10.2% three months later, 14.7% six months out and 18.6% one year afterward. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, ytd Other investment banks have noted this discrepancy, with Bank of America Securities also highlighting the pattern in a recent note. The worst-performing sectors 12 months after a rate cut were materials, utilities and consumer discretionary.
Persons: Canaccord, Ohsung Kwon, Canaccord Genuity, — CNBC's Gabriel Cortes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America Securities
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. ET each day) Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Fed Mimi Duff from GenTrust said the Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday will dominate the market action this week. Even as the Fed is expected to enter a rate cutting cycle, Duff sees the biggest opportunities in defensives like consumer staples and healthcare. INTC 1D mountain Intel, 1 day Intel continues to be a laggard in the chip space with shares down 60% year to date.
Persons: Mimi Duff, GenTrust, Duff, Jerome Powell, Big Tech Alan McKnight, Jackson, mMoney, McKnight Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal, Big Tech, Regions Bank, Big, Intel, Bloomberg, Pentagon
The tech slide has many investors anxious to buy the dip, but now is the time for caution, some say. Communication services and information technology stocks are the two worst-performing S & P 500 sectors this quarter, after having fallen into a correction from their peaks in July. Communication services is more than 11% off its 52-week high, while information technology is more than 12% off its recent high. For much of this year, any dips in the high-flying tech stocks have proven to be a buying opportunity for investors, as the promise of artificial intelligence has traders unable to stay away from these names for long. Investors were buying the dip again midday through the trading session Tuesday.
Persons: Ken Mahoney, We've, Rob Williams, Williams, Savita Subramanian, Jason Draho, CNBC's, Tesla Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asset Management, Sage Advisory, Bank of America, UBS Global Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia
Billionaire investor Ken Griffin's suite of hedge funds at Citadel eked out small gains in what proved a volatile month in August as markets grappled with an emerging growth scare. All five strategies used in the flagship fund — commodities, equities, fixed income, credit and quantitative — were positive for the month, the person said. Its equities fund, which uses a long/short strategy, edged up 0.8%, pushing its 2024 returns to 9.3%. The hedge fund complex had about $63 billion in assets under management as of Aug. 1. Overall, the hedge fund community recently moved into a defensive mode as macroeconomic uncertainty mounted.
Persons: Ken Griffin, The Beverly Hilton, Ken Griffin's, Citadel's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Citadel, Milken Global, The Beverly Locations: Beverly Hills , California, Wellington, Miami
The S & P 500 is off by nearly 9%, and it could soon join the tech-heavy index. .VIX 1D mountain VIX On Wall Street, however, many investors expect the fears of a slowing economy are overdone, and that markets are overreacting. "We don't see an earnings recession, we don't see an economic recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategist expects the S & P 500 could fall into a correction, somewhere between 10% and 15%. To be sure, investors who aren't expecting a recession say any weakness in the consumer should continue to be monitored.
Persons: It's, Stocks, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, nonfarm, John Butters, , Sam Stovall, Stovall, that's, aren't, Siebert's Malek, Jamie Meyers, he's, we've, it's, I've, Meyers, CFRA's Stovall Organizations: Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, Bank of America, CFRA, Nvidia Locations: Japan, U.S
Stocks had a rough week, topped off with a pummeling Friday after the July jobs data came in weaker than expected. Until then, bad economic news was good news for the stock market, because it meant the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates sooner. On Thursday, a drop in U.S. manufacturing activity for July and a jump in initial jobless claims dragged down the market. Next week is light on economic data, so expect earnings reports and CEO commentaries to drive the market action. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Stocks, Dow Jones, Jim Cramer, would've, Eli Lilly, Mounjaro, Berkshire Hathaway, Krystal, Tyson, BAX, Owens, Walt, Oscar Health, CRON, Krispy, Papa, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Reserve, Broadcom, Devices, Palo Alto, PMI, Wynn Resorts, Investors, Wynn, Wynn Palace, U.S . Disney, Management, and Drug Administration, Carlyle Group, Krystal Biotech, Tyson Foods, TSN, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Axsome Therapeutics, Technologies, Clover Health, Realty Income Corp, Avis Budget Group, CSX Corp, CSX, Simon Property Group, Sterling Construction Company, Teradata Corp, Yum China Holdings, ZoomInfo Technologies, Holdings, Caterpillar, Baxter International, Vulcan Materials Company, Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, Constellation Energy Group, Marathon Petroleum Corp, Owens Corning Inc, Duke Energy Corp, GXO Logistics, Brands, Builders, Wynn Resorts Ltd, WYNN, Rivian Automotive, Devon Energy Corp, GigaCloud Technology Inc, Lumen Technologies, VF Corp, Walt Disney Co, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Aurora Cannabis Inc, Emerson Electric Co, Sony Group Corporation, SONY, Inc, ODP Corporation, Icahn Enterprises, MannKind Corp, ACM Research, Brink's Company, AppLovin Corporation, Digital Turbine, Sarepta Therapeutics, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Bros, SolarEdge Technologies, Aspen, Coeur D'Alene Mines Corp, Co, Vistra Energy, Cheniere Energy, Cronos, Himax Technologies, Properties Trust, Papa John's, Paramount Global, Trade, Lab, B2Gold Corp, Honest Company, Gilead Sciences, Growth, Nikola Corporation, Embraer, New Fortress Energy, Construction, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Disney, Pixar Locations: Palo, Macau, Las Vegas, Boston, Vegas, Wynn Macau, China, Novo, Coeur, Gilead
While we are getting a tech rally Wednesday thanks to Advanced Micro Devices (up 7%), this is the month when rotation became more than a one day event. Since small-cap companies often have more debt and higher borrowing costs, the expectation of lower rates is certainly a factor. I noted weeks ago that more fundamentally inclined investors were worried about the slower rate of earnings growth for big cap technology stocks . The Russell 2000 would also benefit any time a rotation out of tech occurs because the weightings are different. While the two sectors that comprise technology in the S & P 500 (Technology and Communication Services) are about 40% of the S & P 500, the Russell 2000 is much more diverse.
Persons: Consumer Staples, Russell Organizations: Micro Devices, Energy, Health Care, Consumer, Communication Services, Care Locations: Banks
As for Club earnings, we got positive results from life sciences company Danaher and industrial firm Dover. Ford was a major disappointment and its nearly 20% stock drop for the week was the worst performer in the portfolio. In the week ahead, it's going to be another big week of earnings with the four mega-cap names and 10 other Club names set to report. Linde : We're looking for more of the same — steady earnings growth; 6% is the Street estimate. End market commentary will also help us better formulate our view of the economy — and in turn the stock market.
Persons: Russell, Jerome Powell's, Ford, Stanley Black, Decker, We're, we'll, Elliott, we've, We'll, Kraft Heinz, Vita Coco, COCO, Lam, SIRI, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Communication, Honeywell, YouTube, Procter & Gamble, Devices, Microsoft, Starbucks, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Meta, Apple, Coterra Energy, Linde, Silo AI, Elliott Management, GE HealthCare, Amazon, Apple Intelligence, U.S, Labor, Fed, Networks, Procter, Gamble, PayPal, Pfizer, BP, JetBlue Airways, Merck, Solar Inc, Caesars Entertainment, Electronic Arts, EA, Nation Entertainment, Boeing, Cruise, Mastercard, Teva Pharmaceutical, Hess Corp, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Western, eBay, EBAY, MGM Resorts, MGM, ConocoPhillips, Mobileye, Canada Goose Holdings, Hershey, Toyota, Dominion Energy, Air Products & Chemicals, Southern Company, International, Coterra Energy Intel, Coinbase, Booking Holdings, LIN, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, LyondellBasell Industries, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: Dover, Eaton, Amazon, China, destocking, Corning, New York City
AdvertisementETF enthusiasmInstead of single stocks, clients across the board are putting their money into ETFs. Bank of AmericaEven though clients sold off individual small-cap stocks, they're not shying away from that size segment of the market at all. Clients invested more money in small-cap ETFs than large-cap ones, providing small-caps with the biggest boost since May of this year. Similarly, while individual tech stocks experienced a sell-off, tech ETFs saw the largest capital inflow out of all sectors last week. Small-cap ETFs include Vanguard Small-Cap Index (VSCIX) and Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Revenue ETF (RWJ).
Persons: , Jill Carey, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America's, Bank of America, Equity, Business, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Big Tech, Health, Bank of America Investors, Communication, Fidelity MSCI Information Tech, NYSE Technology, Vanguard Infomation Technology, Vanguard
A subsequent pullback saw the price bounce off that breakout level, which also lined up with the 50-day moving average. This is a sector full of low-volatility, high yielding stocks that have often provided downside protection in down market phases. ES just broke to a new three-month high this week, and the stock features a dividend yield around 4.5%. When the broad market averages take a bearish turn, equity investors are often best served by getting defensive. These three stocks feature improving technical profiles, along with dividend yields well above the average for the S & P 500.
Persons: Philip Morris, BTI, Eversource, we've, David Keller Organizations: American Tobacco PLC, Eversource Energy, Eversource, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, British American
A few companies with quarterly results due next week could see shares slide as analysts have lowered their earnings forecasts. The second-quarter earnings season so far has seen roughly 27% of S & P 500 companies report results, notching more than 10% earnings growth according to FactSet data. Earnings estimates have declined at least 10% in the past three and six months Implied upside to average price target of 10% or less Companies are reporting earnings next week New York-based utility Consolidated Edison is on the list. Analysts' estimates for earnings have slid by 372% over the past three months, and they are down 167% over the past six months. Earnings estimates from analysts have slid 59% over the past three months and 69% over the past six months, according to FactSet.
Persons: Guggenheim, Ruben Roy, Jason Bazinet Organizations: Wall, CNBC, Consolidated Edison, Intel, Electronic Arts, CNBC Pro's, EA, FactSet, Citi, Arts Locations: New York
In today's big story, we're looking at another Tesla earnings report that was light on details about big future plans . The approach worked well last quarter when Tesla's earnings report was even worse than expected . However, big-picture plans without concrete details fell flat for investors this time around. It's Tesla's silver lining amid the EV market slowdown. But as beneficial as competitors were to Tesla this quarter, others seem to be gearing up for battle.
Persons: Jordan Strauss, Chelsea Jia Feng, Elon, Katherine Tangalakis, Hannah Getahun, that's, , Musk, Toby Melville, BI's Nora Naughton, It's, BI's Jordan Hart, Sundar Pichai, Waymo, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Wall, Keith Lerner, Ed Yardeni, Michael M, Tyler Le, Jensen Huang, Rebecca Zisser, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Chelsea, AP, Tesla, Getty, BI Supply, Nvidia, Big Tech, Hollywood, AWS, Microsoft, Paramount, Digital, Google, IBM, Ford Motors, Samsung, Galaxy, The Locations: Waymo, San Francisco, Phoenix, New York, Paris, London
High dividend yield stocks can boost investors' portfolio income — if they are willing to take some risk — and Wells Fargo Investment Institute has a list of its favorite picks. Further, a company that offers a high dividend yield may be more likely to cut the payment when times get tough. Chevron , a top pick in Wells Fargo's integrated oils coverage, made the high dividend yield list. Wells Fargo Investment Institute also highlighted PepsiCo in its high dividend yield screen. Other names on Wells Fargo's high dividend yield list include Medtronic , Lockheed Martin and Cisco Systems .
Persons: Thomas Christopher, Christopher, Wells, Roger Read, Hess, Read, Jefferies, Kaumil Gajrawala, Omnicom, Lockheed Martin Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Investment Institute, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Hess Corp, PepsiCo, Gatorade, Quaker Oats, Frito, Omnicom, Lockheed, Cisco Systems Locations: Wells Fargo, Guyana
The record stock market rally will get a boost from key economic data and earnings results, Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni highlighted strong company earnings and profit margins supporting the market in a way it didn't in 2000. AdvertisementThe stock market rally is set to continue this week as investors digest two key pieces of economic data and an onslaught of second-quarter earnings results. "We've acknowledged that the current stock market rally is reminiscent of the valuation-led market meltup of the 1990s. "We're expecting S&P 500 earnings per share of $250, $270, and $300 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , We've, we've, Yardeni, We're Organizations: Service, Yardeni Research, PCE, Federal Reserve
Read previewInvestors should stay on guard as this market rally loses steam, a veteran strategy chief says. The investment chief and the chief market strategist signaled in April that US equities had an attractive risk-reward setup after a 5.5% selloff. "All those factors combined suggest maybe a choppier market, even though we still think the long-term bull market is intact," Lerner said. "In the fall, I think investors will eventually come back to tech because I still think that's the main secular theme of this bull market," Lerner said. "But I don't know that this is a game changer for this bull market where small caps will be leadership."
Persons: , Truist's Keith Lerner, Lerner, Truist, Truist Lerner, he's, you've, isn't, haven't Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
This reaction is especially encouraging, as it's happening during a tumultuous market environment with lots of geopolitical and domestic political uncertainty. Looking at Spotify, we own it in our growth portfolio at Inside Edge Capital, first adding the position in February 2023. Judging by this post-earnings reaction, I see the stock moving above $400 in coming months. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: Gordon owns SPOT personally and in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Spotify, Netflix, Communication, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
None of that sounds like it should bode very well for stocks, but the S&P 500, a measure of the broad U.S. stock market, has returned about 16% so far in 2024. This has been even the bull's dream of a year," says Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group. Indeed, the likes of Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon.com and Alphabet have all enjoyed returns over the past year that have vastly outgained the broad market. All 11 S&P 500 sectors sport positive returns year-to-date, with six featuring double-digit returns. That could "loosen up the gears" in what has been a stubborn housing market and should encourage business investment — both good signs for the broader market, he says.
Persons: bode, Ryan Detrick, You've, Christopher R, Jackson, you've, Detrick Organizations: Federal Reserve, Carson Group, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS Wealth Management Locations: U.S
M & A moves: Club holding Dover said Monday it will sell its Environmental Solutions Group business to Terex Corporation for $2 billion in cash. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Russell, We're, Terex, Dover didn't, we're, Elliott, Danaher, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Nasdaq, Dover, Environmental Solutions Group, Terex Corporation, buybacks, Honeywell, Starbucks, Street, Elliott Management, Semiconductors, Cadence Design Systems, Spotify, United Parcel Services, GE Aerospace, GM, HCA Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dover, Nucor, Cleveland, Freeport, McMoRan
S&P 500 futures are near flat Monday night, with traders readying for earnings reports from major companies after the benchmark posted its best day in more than a month. Futures tied to the broad index sat near their flatline, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . The S&P 500 rose more than 1% for its best session since early June, while the Dow ticked higher by 0.3%. The S&P 500 was led higher by the information technology and communication services sectors, which gained roughly 2% and 1.2%, respectively. "If we get that bullish inflation report, I think you could see another leg higher in small caps and the banks."
Persons: Russell, Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, Mattel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Blue, Motors, Comcast, UPS, Technology, CNBC
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