The stock market is set to post solid gains for the first five trading days of 2023, and according to the classic Wall Street indicator, the early strength could bode well for the full year.
The so-called first five days rule suggests that if stocks perform well in the initial five sessions in a given year, the market is often up at the year-end, according to Stock Trader's Almanac, which studied the market phenomenon going back to 1950.
When stocks finish the first five days higher, the S & P 500 has been positive 83% of the time at year-end with an average gain of 14%, according to Stock Trader's Almanac.
The S & P 500 has risen 1.5% through the first four trading days of 2023, giving it a good chance of finishing first five days higher.
While the indicator might send a positive signal, most on Wall Street are expecting a volatile year, especially during the first half.