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Chinese authorities are making moves to restore confidence in its battered stock markets. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Ugly corporate results could undermine Beijing's efforts to prop up investor confidence in China's stock markets, which have bled over $6 trillion in market value from 2021. AdvertisementNews that Beijing is trying to boost the investor confidence gave some upside to China's battered markets.
Persons: , it's, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Catherine Chen, Nomura, Li Qiang Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Reuters, CSI Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen
REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Dec 1 (Reuters) - China's new home prices rose slightly for a third straight month in November, a private survey showed on Friday, as the crisis-hit property sector struggles to stabilise despite a slew of government support measures. Prices rose 0.05% on average from the previous month after gains of 0.07% and 0.05%, according to the survey by real estate research firm China Index Academy. Government support for the property sector in recent months has included easing curbs on home purchases and cutting mortgage costs. A Reuters poll on Wednesday found expectations for 1% growth in new home prices next year, little changed from an August poll. "Beijing is turning more proactive to stabilise growth and the new dual-track housing model may help stabilise the property sector in the coming quarters," HSBC said on Thursday.
Persons: Jason Lee, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, William Mallard Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, China Index Academy, Index Academy, HSBC, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights BEIJING
SummaryCompanies cpurl://apps.cp./cms/?pageId=house-poll poll dataNew home prices will likely rise in 2024Property sales, investment seen continuing to slide next yearBEIJING, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Prices of new homes in China are now expected to climb 3% this year after a slew of policy measures to support the country's beleaguered property market, up from earlier expectations for prices to be flat, a Reuters poll showed. But the poll of 11 economists, conducted Nov. 20-28, also showed expectations for 1% growth in new home prices in 2024 were little changed from an August poll. According to the poll, property investment is expected to slump 10% in 2023 and then 8.4% in 2024. Regulators are drafting a list of 50 property developers eligible for a range of financing support, including Country Garden (2007.HK) and state-backed China Vanke (000002.SZ), Bloomberg reported last week. (For other stories from the Reuters quarterly housing market polls)Reporting by Liangping Gao and Ryan Woo; Editing byOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Huang Yu, Wang Xingping, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo Organizations: China Index Academy, Fitch, Regulators, HK, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China
Chinese smartphone companies like Huawei are rebounding in their home market, giving a boost to domestic suppliers — and increasing the pressure on Apple . Huawei smartphone sales surged by 83% in October from a year ago, Counterpoint Research said in a note Tuesday. Honor, a Huawei spin-off, saw sales climb by 10%, while Xiaomi smartphone sales rose by 33%, the report said. The report did not break out Apple sales, only saying a broad category of "others" saw October smartphone sales drop by 12% from a year ago. For context, Shanghai-based CINNO Research expects a 2% decline in Apple iPhone sales in China this year to 45.5 million units.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Raymond James, Biden, Nomura, Lihexing, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Huawei, Apple, D.C, Telecommunications, 5G, Research, Guangdong Topstar Technology, Xiaomi, Industrial Locations: China, Washington, U.S, Shenzhen, EVs, Shanghai, Guangdong, Topstar
In China, stocks have faced a range of headwinds, prompting some investors to avoid them. Photo: alex plavevski/ShutterstockInvestors in emerging-market stocks have profited this year by staying away from China. The MSCI China Index is down 8% this year through Nov. 15, while a broader emerging-markets benchmark that excludes China has risen 8% over the same period. Chinese stocks have been weighed down by the country’s shaky economic reopening, a pullback by foreign portfolio managers and an increasing reluctance among the country’s small investors to buy stocks.
Persons: alex plavevski Locations: China
UBS has highlighted several stock ideas it favors for 2024, as it forecasts massive cuts to interest rates next year. The investment bank expects the U.S. will see slower economic growth and strong disinflation leading to an interest rate cut of 275 basis points . Given the economic outlook, UBS strategists recommend a number of trades to clients for 2024. All the sectors apart from software trade on bigger discounts than normal against their US peers," the UBS strategists said. To reflect that view, UBS strategists said they favored gaining exposure to the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF in 2024.
Persons: Jonathan Pingle, Gerry Fowler, Sean Simonds, KWEB Organizations: UBS, Federal, CNBC, U.S, Investors, China Tech, Internet Technology, CSI China Internet Locations: U.S, China
U.S. asset manager Fidelity International is highlighting China's looser monetary policy and the government's recent 1 trillion yuan ($137.10 billion) borrowing-and-spending sovereign bond plan as a tailwind for the country's stock markets. London-based £3 billion fund manager Somerset Capital Management likewise finds China exciting. The stock market has yet to recover, but has stabilised. Morgan Stanley estimates long-only foreign investors now have their deepest underweight positions in China and Hong Kong equities in years. Chinese stocks could see a short-term sentiment pick-up given foreign funds have such light positions in the market, said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, , Marty Dropkin, Mark Williams, Morgan Stanley, Patrick Ghali, Sean Ho, Vivek Tanneeru, Redmond Wong, Summer Zhen, Xie Yu, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Fidelity, Asia Pacific, Fidelity International . London, Somerset Capital Management, Nasdaq, Japan’s Nikkei, Sussex Partners, Hong, China, Hang Seng Tech, Monetary Fund, Cambridge Associates, Capital, , Triata, Matthews Asia, Saxo Markets, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, London, Boston, San Francisco, Greater China
If both are calculated in dollar terms, however, Chinese stocks have, by some measures, carried an advantage over the very long term. Many observers say demographics, deleveraging, and de-risking - U.S. firms on-shoring, new supply chains, and trade tensions – will be a considerable long-term drag on Chinese growth. Little wonder, perhaps, that Chinese stocks are so cheap. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsBased on 12-month forward price/earnings multiples, U.S. stocks are twice as expensive as Chinese stocks. For the past 10 years Chinese stocks have been substantially cheaper than U.S. stocks, and most of the decade before that they were usually cheaper too.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Torsten Slok, Janet Yellen, Lifeng, Colin Graham, Graham, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Shanghai, CSI, Reuters, Apollo Global Management, U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, China, Mexico
A man is reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsOct 23 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The ICE BofA Treasuries index fell 1.4% last week, its biggest fall since May, and is at an eight-year low. Perhaps ominously, however, Friday's bond market relief didn't ease the pressure elsewhere - Wall Street's three main indices still closed 0.9%-1.5% lower. According to Goldman Sachs, financial conditions in emerging markets and globally are the tightest in almost a year.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Treasuries, That's, Goldman Sachs, Pan Gongsheng, September's, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, ICE, Traders, Bank of Japan, Australian PMI, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, South Korea, Australia, Singapore, Asia, China, Australian
Developers, financial advisers and bondholders said that could make debt restructuring terms much worse than expected earlier. DEFAULTING DEVELOPERSThe property sector accounts for roughly a quarter of the world's second-largest economy. That could trigger off one of the world's biggest debt restructuring exercises. However, a turnaround (in the property sector) may need more," said Chuanyi Zhou, Asia corporate analyst at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, which holds Sunac's bonds. Chinese policymakers rolled out a range of support measures in late August and early September to revive the property sector.
Persons: Shimao, Chuanyi Zhou, Yuzhou, Edward Al, Clare Jim, Xie Yu, Davide Barbuscia, Sumeet Chatterjee, Kim Coghill Organizations: HONG KONG, JPMorgan, HK, Shimao, CIFI Holdings, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Developers, Reuters, Kaisa, Columbia, China Index Academy, Thomson Locations: HONG, China, Asia, Hong Kong, New York
China funds look to Mideast cash as US investments wane
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Seven China equity funds, including hedge funds and mutual funds, running more than $500 billion in combined assets, told Reuters they visited the Middle East this year to raise money, three of them for the first time. The search for new capital could affect Asia's hedge fund scene, where China firms account for more than half the market. "In the past perhaps the holy grail of capital raising was the U.S.," said Effie Vasilopoulos, co-Leader of law firm Sidley Austin's Asia-Pacific investment funds group. So that dynamic is leading many of our clients to the Middle East." However, sovereign funds in the Middle East have been large buyers.
Persons: Aly, Effie Vasilopoulos, Sidley, Steven Luk, Erin Wu, Wong Kok Hoi, Wong, Summer Zhen, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Seven, Reuters, FountainCap Research & Investment, OP Investment Management, POLITICO, Big U.S, ' Pension, California State Teachers, APS, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, HONG KONG, Seven China, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Australia, Hong Kong, Texas, Singapore, Middle Eastern
The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai, China August 9, 2023. Country Garden, which missed two dollar interest payments last month, has two coupons totalling $66.8 million coming due on Monday. Country Garden has $10.96 billion offshore bonds and 42.4 billion yuan ($5.81 billion) worth of loans not denominated in yuan. "Until then, the base case is that China Evergrande Group will be liquidated at the next winding up hearing on October 30, 2023." Shares in Country Garden fell more than 6% on Monday, while Evergrande Group shares tumbled 11%, compared to a 1.9% fall in the Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index (.HSMPI).
Persons: Aly, Cailianshe, Evergrande, Clare Jim, Scott Murdoch, Lincoln Organizations: Shanghai Country Garden, REUTERS, HK, China Evergrande, . Media, Reuters, UBS, China Index Academy, Garden, Evergrande Group, Mainland Properties, Energy Vehicle Group, U.S, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, BEIJING, Beijing, Hang, Hong Kong, Sydney
Prices rose 0.05% on average from the previous month after falling since May, according to a survey by China Index Academy, a real estate research firm. Confidence in the property sector, which accounts for one-fourth of economic activity, has been hit since 2021 when Beijing cracked down on debt accumulation by developers, fuelling a debt crisis. Deepening problems in the sector this year have dragged on the world's second-biggest economy and rattled global financial markets. These policies have given major cities like Beijing a tiny boost in new home sales, but some worry the improvement might be short-lived and could potentially dry up demand in smaller cities. If such policies continue to be optimised, the report said, the market in first-tier cities are likely to stabilise this quarter while recovery in smaller cities might take longer.
Persons: Brenda Goh, Liangping Gao, William Mallard Organizations: China Index Academy, China Evergrande, HK, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, Beijing, China
Key gauges of Chinese stocks have hit their lowest levels in about 10 months. Global funds have withdrawn $3.8 billion this month, despite Beijing's effort to boost markets. Trading activity has also slowed in September, falling 32% from the first week of the month. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdded to that are the Federal Reserve's high interest rates, which have made Treasury markets an attractive investing alternative. Meanwhile, global funds have shed $3.8 billion from onshore Chinese stocks, following a $12 billion selloff in August.
Organizations: Service, CSI, Federal, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, outflows
The figures suggest that China's latest steps to revive a crisis-hit property market, including lower mortgage rates and down payments, could unlock some pockets of housing demand in the most sought-after areas, but may struggle to halt the broader property market downturn. "These measures may generate a short-term rebound in property transactions, but are insufficient to stabilize the property market," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note. But Yu Fei, a property sales agent at HomeLink, said the initial spike in interest he noticed in the first few days is already petering out. "Many homebuyers remain in a wait-and-see approach, some hoping for more radical policies to stimulate the property market," Yu said. Goldman analysts said if property sales kept sliding policymakers could release more liquidity into the market by cutting banks' reserve requirement ratios, lowering rates, easing home purchasing rules further.
Persons: Jason Lee, Goldman Sachs, Zhang Guoqiang, I'm, Zhang, Zhao Jie, Yu Fei, Yu, Goldman, Wan, Emelia Sithole Organizations: REUTERS, China Index, Haitong Securities, Longfor, HK, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, HONG KONG, China's
Investors’ China aversion is bad for everyone
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Una Galani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
FIERCE RESTRAINTAs a country on the cusp of high-income status, China ought to be a magnet for overseas investors. Companies in the MSCI China Index trade at 10 times their expected earnings for the next twelve months, half the level of the S&P 500 Index. However, assets following these mandates remain insignificant compared to the $1.3 trillion benchmarked to MSCI’s Emerging Markets Index. However, they have played a bigger role in the past decade funding Chinese companies through Hong Kong and U.S. listings. Chinese equities have a combined market value of $15 trillion, greater than Japanese, French, Indian and British stocks combined.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, Gavekal Dragonomics, Gavekal, Tesla, John Welling, Dow, Xi, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, U.S . Federal, People’s Bank of, Treasury, HK, Companies, Apple, Microsoft, BlackRock, China, WHO, International, U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Dow Jones, Global, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, China, People’s Republic, People’s Bank of China, United States, Hong Kong, U.S, Gulf, Asia, North America, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Fidelity's China Focus Fund is setting up for another year of outperformance, after ranking first last year among China equity funds tracked by Morningstar. With minimal losses of 0.66% for the year as of Aug. 31, the China Focus Fund has held up far better than the China equity category's decline of 9.45% during that time, according to Morningstar. The China Focus Fund is a "value contrarian strategy," said Catherine Yeung, a Hong Kong-based investment director focused on equities at Fidelity International. Consumer discretionary is the largest sector within the China Focus Fund's holdings, at about one-fourth of the names. Fidelity also has a dedicated China Consumer Fund, which is down by 8.75% year-to-date, only slightly better than its peers, according to Morningstar.
Persons: outperformance, Morningstar, Catherine Yeung, Yeung, hasn't, it's Organizations: Fund, Morningstar, China Focus, China, Fidelity International, CNBC, China Focus Fund, Galaxy Entertainment, Fidelity, China Consumer Fund Locations: China, Hong Kong, expansionary, Macau
They are: BOCIP China Value A Fidelity China Focus A Dist USD Ninety One GSF All China Eq A Acc HKD The first two have a value-style tilt – and not only beat the MSCI China Index in the first half of this year, but also in all of 2022, according to Morningstar. Although both value and growth China funds have generally posted losses over the three years ended July 2023, growth has lagged value by 12% a year, Liang said. However, she was quick to point out that just focusing on a single investment style such as value versus growth isn't enough. In terms of Morningstar's fund ratings — based on factors the firm calls people, process and parent — Schroder's ISF China Opps and FSSA China Growth have gold ratings for strong performance in the "people" and "process" categories. Closely watching valuations helped Schroders China's portfolio manager take some timely profits on "some overheated information technology" stocks, Liang said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, , Claire Liang, Morningstar's, Liang, Benjamin Graham's, Goldman Sachs, It's, Timothy Moe Organizations: Morningstar, Fidelity, Acc, China, House Research Institute, Netflix, Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Locations: China, Fidelity China, Asia, Suzhou
Country Garden, a massive Chinese property developer, missed interest payments on two dollar bonds this week. However, it's the scale of Country Garden's projects that is a big warning signal for the Chinese real estate sector and the wider economy. Evergrande faced a liquidity crisis in 2020, prodding it to try to halve its around $100 billion debt by mid-2023. These efforts were scuppered by a slowdown in China's property sector and regulators' efforts to put brakes on property developers borrowing excessively. However, putting the brakes on borrowing started sending the property sector into a crisis.
Persons: Kristy Hung, Yang Guoqiang, Yang Huiyan, Yang, Moody's, Sandra Chow, Evergrande, Huileng Tan Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Intelligence, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CNN, China Index Academy, Reuters, Pacific Research, New York Times, Caixa Bank Locations: Beijing, Wall, Silicon, China, Evergrande, Foshan, Asia, Pacific, CreditSights
The latest major industry player to get into trouble is Country Garden, once China’s largest developer. Several of Country Garden’s yuan-denominated bonds were suspended from trading in Shanghai and Shenzhen on Tuesday after they dropped by more than 20%. Country Garden did not respond to a request from CNN for comment. An aerial view of a residential project developed by Country Garden Holdings is seen in Zhenjiang, Jiangsu province on October 31, 2021. Property crisis deepensChina’s property industry has been mired in a historic downturn in the past two years.
Persons: , Fang Dongxu, , Edward Moya, Moody’s, Kaven Tsang, Li Qiang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Reuters, CNN, Country Garden Holdings, China Index Academy, Oanda, China’s, People’s Bank of Locations: Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu province, China, Moody’s, Beijing, People’s Bank of China
Hong Kong CNN —China has promised to throw its weight behind private businesses, just days after a slew of economic data showed growth momentum had slumped. The measures include promises to break down barriers to market access for private firms, to “fully implement” a system of fair competition and to strengthen enforcement of anti-monopoly laws. “We believe that the … pivot from the top level is real, but it’s not enough to bring back the animal spirit among private companies,” Larry Hu, chief China economist at Macquarie Group, wrote in a research note. That pledge had marked a major shift from leader Xi Jinping’s years-long effort to rein in private businesses, which were perceived as too powerful and disorderly. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed 0.7% higher, after falling in several previous trading sessions.
Persons: , Larry Hu, Xi Jinping’s, Premier Li Qiang, Li, , Ma, Lei Jun Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Communist Party, State Council, Macquarie Group, , Investment, Premier, Alibaba, Tencent, Nasdaq, Dragon Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, New York, Dragon China, Shanghai
Morgan Stanley has named a slew of Chinese stocks it says are set to outperform, despite current market conditions. Baidu has the highest R & D mix compared to peers in tech innovation over the years," said Morgan Stanley. NetEase Morgan Stanley pointed to NetEase 's strong game pipeline, and expects margins to improve as a result of non-game segments cutting losses, among other factors. Star Power Semiconductor Morgan Stanley also named one semiconductor stock: China-listed Star Power Semiconductor. It gave Star Power a price target of 420 Chinese yuan ($57.8), or potential upside of around 80%.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Alibaba Morgan Stanley, NetEase Morgan Stanley, Star Power Semiconductor Morgan Stanley, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Alpha, Baidu, Tencent, Entertainment, Music Entertainment, Hong, Star Power Semiconductor, Power Semiconductor, Power, China 5G, Semiconductor Locations: China, U.S, Hong Kong
BEIJING, July 1 (Reuters) - New home prices in China edged down in June from the previous month, marking a second straight month of declines, and housing sales are likely to remain weak over the summer when demand is usually at a low ebb, according to a private survey. "In the first quarter, market confidence, driven by a concentrated release of pent-up demand, gradually returned and prices appeared to be recovering," the real estate research firm said. "In the second quarter, the pace of market recovery slowed and there was not enough momentum for prices to rise," it added. "If policy support is limited, it will be difficult for home buyer confidence to improve," China Index Academy said. The property sector accounts for a roughly a quarter of China's economy.
Persons: Sophie Yu, Brenda Goh, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: China Index, China Index Academy, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China
[1/2] A view of the city skyline, ahead of the annual National People's Congress (NPC), in Shanghai, China February 24, 2022. A global fund manager survey by BofA Securities showed shorting Chinese stocks was the second-most "crowded" trade in June, after going long on big tech. "I can't believe that there is anymore bad news to absorb," said Andy Maynard, head of equities at China Renaissance. Restoring confidence is looking increasingly like a long-term project and investors are positioning for a longer game and a slower rebound. "We are all looking for something a bit more decisive in helping to restore animal spirits, investor confidence and market confidence, and I think that hope may be still at risk of being disappointed."
Persons: Aly, Morgan Stanley, Hong, Dong Chen, Andy Maynard, Morgan, James Liu, Guan Yi, Summer Zhen, Jason Xue, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: National People's Congress, REUTERS, BofA Securities, Pictet Wealth Management, China, Reuters, G Investments, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, Beijing, Asia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Pacific
The recovery in China has been much slower than what other major countries experienced when they lifted their pandemic restrictions. Still, the Chinese consumer has proved to be resilient in the face of these broader economic challenges. It marked the fastest pace of growth since the first quarter of 2022, fueled by higher spending from Chinese consumers. Club stock results Recent financial results from our China-exposed companies show that Chinese consumers have been holding up even as broader economic recovery is delayed. China is a growth market for each company and improvement in economic activity there should be a catalyst for these stocks.
Persons: Estee Lauder, , Ting Lu, WYNN, hasn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jason Lee Organizations: Starbucks, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, China Index Academy, National Bureau of Statistics, Club, Gaming, Prestige, CNBC Locations: China, China's, Beijing, Macao, Asia, SBUX
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