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☆ China released a blitz of stimulus measures to boost its economy. Now begins the balancing game.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.

Persons: —, it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, —, MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg

☆ Wider Middle East conflict threatens the global economy — when the US and China already face headwinds, experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The widening conflict in the Middle East threatens to crimp growth and stoke inflation, experts say. AdvertisementExperts say the escalating war in the Middle East could choke global economic growth and reignite inflation, just as the US is dealing with the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, and China is trying to stabilize its beleaguered economy. "War in the Middle East could exacerbate the instabilities in the global economy, further increase the uncertainties, harm disinflationary efforts, and eventually reduce the global GDP growth," he told Business Insider. AdvertisementKaya warned the conflict could accelerate inflation by disrupting international supply chains and causing the cost of energy and shipping to rise. But he emphasized that hurricanes have historically had limited and short-lived impacts on growth and inflation.

Persons: Helene, —, Hurricane Helene, Ahmet Kaya, Kaya, Brent, Assaf Razin, Eitan Berglas, Oliver Allen, Allen, that's, Duncan Wrigley, China's, Wrigley Organizations: stoke, Service, UK's National Institute of Economic, Social Research, Eitan, of Economics, Tel Aviv University, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Oxford Locations: Hurricane, China, Israel, Iran, Oxford, China China, Beijing

SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 7, 2023 - The Oriental Pearl Tower, Shanghai Tower, Jinmao Tower and World Financial Center are seen on Lujiazui Street, Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. China stocks will keep rising after markets in the mainland reopen following the Golden Week break, analysts predicted. Beijing's announcements of economic support last week have fueled China's CSI 300 blue-chip index to rally over 25% in a nine-day winning streak. Then, Hong Kong stocks dropped on Thursday, ending a 6-day winning streak and sparking fears that China's stimulus rally could have started to fizzle out. Beijing's recent stimulus blitz coupled with higher participation from retail investors will likely fuel a longer rally, he said.

Persons: Eugene Hsiao, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi, Shaun Rein, it's, Rein, Ting Lu Organizations: Financial, CSI, of China Equity, Macquarie Capital, China Market Research Locations: SHANGHAI, CHINA, Shanghai, China, Hong Kong

Meanwhile, Pivotal Research initiated coverage of Google-parent Alphabet with a buy rating and a price target that implied upside of nearly 30%. The investment firm upgraded the cleaning products maker to a buy rating from hold. Analyst Kaumil Gajrawala accompanied the move by raising his price target to $187 from $174. Simultaneously, the analyst set a new target price of $200, which is approximately 26% above Monday's close. Analyst Asiya Merchant maintained her price target of $37, which implies that shares of HP could rise 3%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Kaumil Gajrawala, Gajrawala, Clorox, Lisa Kailai Han, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Wlodarczak, Zuckerberg, Raymond James, Adam Tindle, Tindle, Atlassian, Asiya Merchant, Merchant, Mark Delaney, Ford, Delaney, they've, GOOG, Kamala Harris, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Ford Motor, Google, Jefferies, Meta, Citi, HP, HP Inc, Ford, EV, Ford Pro Locations: Monday's, China, Japan, EBIT

☆ Fiscal easing should reduce deflation in China, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal easing should reduce deflation in China, economist saysMichelle Lam, greater China economist at Societe Generale, says that the implementation of fiscal easing should reduce deflation in China.

Persons: Michelle Lam Organizations: Societe Generale Locations: China

☆ Barclays names 5 global stocks that could benefit from China's stimulus — giving one over 100% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Barclays has identified a handful of European stocks poised to benefit from China's anticipated economic stimulus measures. Mainland Chinese stocks jumped on the news. The investment bank suggested that China's current economic climate resembles April 2024, when Chinese and China-exposed stocks experienced a significant rally. According to Barclays, U.K.-headquartered insurer Prudential , cosmetics giant L'Oreal , carmakers BMW and Mercedes , and miner Rio Tinto are among the top European stocks that could benefit from China's stimulus efforts. China's recent economic challenges have been evident, with the country experiencing its longest period of deflation since 1999.

Persons: Anshul Gupta, Larry Hu, Hu, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Barclays, People's Bank of China, Prudential, L'Oreal, carmakers BMW, Mercedes, Rio Tinto, U.S, Prudential plc, Macquarie Locations: China, Rio, China's

☆ China optimism is surging. Why some investors are cautious
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A shareholder at a securities hall in Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang province in east China, on Sept. 24, 2024. "Markets should place more emphasis on the specifics of the stimulus," Lu said. The People's Bank of China this week cut major interest rates, and announced plans to lower rates for existing mortgage holders. Questions about scaleFor some investment institutions, that's still not enough to move the needle on their China outlook. A survey in September of more than 1,200 companies in China by the U.S.-based China Beige Book found that corporate borrowing declined, despite historic lows in the costs to do so.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Ting Lu, Lu, Nomura's Lu, that's, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi Organizations: Getty, BEIJING, Shanghai, Nomura, People's Bank of, Finance, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, U.S Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Wells Fargo, U.S . Federal, U.S

☆ These China stocks are favored by analysts no matter how the central bank stimulus pans out
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks in China rose in response, with the CSI 300 Index climbing 4.3% Tuesday, its best day since July 2020. But whether or not the latest policy steps succeed, CNBC Pro screened for China stocks that analysts praise regardless of the pace of economic growth at home. About three quarters of analysts covering PDD rate it a buy, and the stock could climb roughly 43% based on analysts' consensus price target. On Tuesday, after the announcement of the latest policies to revive the flagging China economy, PDD shares in the U.S. jumped more than 11%. Other names on the list of favored China stocks included online learning and tutoring provider TAL Education Group and digital shipping platform Full Truck Alliance .

Persons: Hong, Morgan Stanley, Terence Flynn, Flynn, CoreValues, Ben Harburg, CNBC's, Harburg, Biden Organizations: People's Bank of China, CSI, CNBC Pro, China ETF, Therapeutics, YE25, U.S, TAL Education Group, Alliance Locations: China, Ph3, U.S

☆ China needs more than rate cuts to boost economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's slowing economy needs more than interest rate cuts to boost growth, analysts said. He expects Beijing will likely ramp up fiscal stimulus due to weak growth, despite reluctance so far. "The market is forming a medium to long-term expectation on the U.S. growth rate, the inflation rate. As for Chinese government bonds, Ding said the firm has a "neutral" view and expects the Chinese yields to remain relatively low. He pointed out that monetary easing still requires fiscal stimulus "to achieve the effect of expanding credit and transmitting money to the real economy."

Persons: Larry Hu, That's, Edmund Goh, Yifei Ding, Ding, CF40, Pan Gongsheng, Haizhong Chang, Chang Organizations: China Resources, Getty, BEIJING, People's Bank of China, Macquarie, U.S, of Finance, PBOC, Ministry of Finance, Fitch Locations: China, Nanjing, Jiangsu province, abrdn, Beijing, U.S, Invesco

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Some caution might be good for markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. While analysts think this move may mark the end of China's deflationary streak, many think monetary policy is not enough. How much will oil demand grow? The International Energy Agency thinks oil demand will level off at 106 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.

Persons: Larry Hu, Consumer's, September's, Dow Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, U.S ., People's Bank of China, Macquarie, International Energy Agency, U.S, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Citi Locations: Corte Madera, Corte Madera , California, Asia, Pacific, China, U.S .

☆ The Chinese yuan surged to a 16-month high, but Beijing may not be happy about it
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

China's stimulus package has boosted market sentiment and pushed the Chinese yuan to a 16-month high. But a strong yuan could hurt exports, a key pillar of China's economy, amid weak domestic demand. AdvertisementChina's massive stimulus package for its battered economy has boosted market sentiment and injected confidence into the Chinese yuan. This means $1 could buy fewer Chinese yuan. A strong yuan is bad for exportsEven though a strong yuan signals confidence in China's economy, analysts aren't sure the gains will hold.

Persons: —, Pan Gongsheng, Vishnu, Varathan, Larry Hu, Hu, aren't, Pan, Macquarie's Hu Organizations: People's Bank of China, Service, US Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Lombard, Bloomberg Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Beijing, Swiss, China's

☆ Why China's new stimulus bazooka isn't enough to fix the nation's housing crisis
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Beijing's latest housing-support measures won't fix China's property crisis, JPMorgan wrote. The nation announced this week that it will reduce mortgage rates and downpayment rules. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementChina's all-out stimulus package will fail to meaningfully reverse ongoing chaos in the nation's property market, JPMorgan said in new research. Though Beijing committed on Tuesday to reduce mortgage rates and downpayment rules, the bank said these efforts will not bolster housing consumption as hoped.

Persons: —, Haibin Zhu Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Business Locations: Beijing, China

☆ Japan's exports slow sharply, machinery orders shrink in blow to economic recovery
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

He said a boost from the weak yen to exports has faded as the Japanese currency rebounded sharply in August. Total exports rose 5.6% year-on-year in August, up for a ninth straight month, data showed on Wednesday, well below a median market forecast for a 10% increase and following a 10.3% rise in July. Exports to the United States dipped 0.7%, the first monthly decline in nearly three years, as auto sales slumped 14.2%. Those to China, Japan's biggest trading partner, rose 5.2% in August from a year earlier. The value of imports grew 2.3% in August from a year earlier, versus a 13.4% increase expected by economists.

Persons: Takeshi Minami Organizations: Asahi, Co, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Norinchukin Research Locations: Hekinan, Aichi Prefecture, Japan, U.S, China, United States

☆ Aussie stocks open higher as investors digest China economic data, await Fed rate verdict
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asian markets were set to open mixed Monday as investors digested the downbeat economic data from China released over the weekend, while several key markets were closed for holidays. Investors also await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday where the central bankers are expected to make their first interest rate cut since 2020. China released a slew of worrying economic data, with August factory output, retail sales and investment numbers missing expectations. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high while year-on-year home prices fell at the fastest pace in nine years. Reaction to China's disappointing economic data will be likely seen in the Hong Kong market.

Locations: China, South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong

☆ China economy: Many warning signs are 'flashing red,' professor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina economy: Many warning signs are 'flashing red,' professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of international trade and economics at Cornell University, discusses China's economic outlook for the second half of the year. He says "there hasn't been much good news in this latest round of data, and this has been the pattern for the last few months."

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: China, Cornell University

☆ Xi may be holding back on economic stimulus because of Trump's tariff threat, an economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China may be delaying economic stimulus ahead of the US election, economist Rory Green says. Beijing is cautious due to potential Trump tariffs, which could impact growth in 2025. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementChina may be holding back on economic stimulus ahead of the US presidential election, an economist wrote on Thursday. This is because Beijing is keeping its powder dry in case Republican candidate Donald Trump wins in the November polls, wrote Rory Green, the chief China economist at GlobalData.TS Lombard.

Persons: Rory Green, —, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Service, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Business Locations: China, Beijing, GlobalData.TS

☆ China's plan to boost consumption by encouraging trade-ins has yet to show results
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A banner plays up China's trade-in policy at a home goods expo in Qingdao, Shandong province, China, on June 1, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's plan to boost consumption by encouraging trade-ins has yet to show significant results, several businesses told CNBC. Analysts are not overly optimistic about the extent to which the trade-in program could support retail sales. China's retail sales for August are due Saturday morning. Retail sales in June rose by 2%, the slowest since the Covid-19 pandemic, while July sales growth saw a modest improvement at 2.7%.

Persons: Jens Eskelund, Tao Wang, Sally Loh, Otis, Kone, We've, Ilkka Hara, Hara Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, BEIJING, CNBC, EU Chamber of Commerce, UBS Investment Bank, China, U.S, Otis Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, China, Greater China

☆ China's foreign trade still very resilient: DBS Bank
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's foreign trade still very resilient: DBS BankMo Ji, chief China economist at DBS Bank, expects August China trade data to moderate alongside the weakening of the country's economy.

Persons: Ji Organizations: DBS, DBS Bank Locations: China

☆ Harris and Trump face off for the first time tonight, but some corners of the business world are already over it
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Business Insider's Brent D. Griffiths has a rundown on everything you need to know heading into tonight . A newly released Times/Siena poll shows Trump holding just a one-point advantage over Harris among likely voters. For Trump, the focus will likely be the economy, which is a high priority for voters and also a sore spot for Harris. The latest Times poll showed Trump (55%) held a big advantage over Harris (42%) regarding who would be better equipped to handle the economy. Trump will also likely target Harris' biggest vulnerabilities , which may include trying to define her shifting views as disingenuous flip-flops, Brent writes.

Persons: —, he'll, it's, Jose Luis Pelaez, Michael Ciaglo, Getty, Tom Williams, Tyler Le, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, Harris, BI's John L Dorman, Trump, Brent, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, BI's Bradley Saacks, It's, BI's Alice Tecotzky, Sébastien Thibault, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Sløk, Anson Chan, Brian Niccol, hasn't, Putin, Andrew Cuomo, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Elon, Business, Jose Luis Pelaez Inc, Trump, BI Bitcoin, Arab League Locations: Philadelphia, Siena, Silicon Valley, China, America, Russia, Ukraine, Cairo, Israel, Gaza, New York, London

☆ 3 reasons China's economy is poised to break out of its long slump, according to Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

But the country could see growth pick up this fall, Goldman Sachs' chief China economist says. Hui Shan pointed to fiscal easing, strong export momentum, and subsiding weather-related risks. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementAfter a long downturn, China's economy may be poised for a turnaround, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman's chief China economist Hui Shan pointed to fiscal easing, strong export momentum, and subsiding weather-related risks as reasons to believe the country's fortunes could soon change.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Hui Shan, —, Shan Organizations: Service, Business Locations: China

☆ JPMorgan downgrades its opinion on China, but still likes these individual stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Instead, JPMorgan increased its overweight recommendations on other emerging markets. Even after the change, JPMorgan still holds 18 China stocks in its global emerging markets model portfolio. The JPMorgan analysts said uncertainties about the China economic outlook range from tensions with the U.S. to "lingering deflation pressure." During three periods of escalating U.S.-China trade tensions in 2018 and 2019, the MSCI China index fell each time, according to JPMorgan China Equity Strategist Wendy Liu. As part of its China stock downgrade, JPMorgan added shares of state-owned utility operator CR Gas , while removing shares of PDD, China Construction Bank and Kingdee International.

Persons: Pedro Martins, Chetan Seth, Jake Sullivan, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Harris, Donald Trump, Wendy Liu, ByteDance, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Wednesday, Sunday, Reuters, Nomura's, Nomura, JPMorgan China Equity, CR Gas, China Construction Bank, Kingdee International, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Hong Locations: China, U.S, Nomura's Asia, Japan, Beijing, PDD, Hong Kong, Thursday's

☆ China economy: Young people in China aren’t spending on romance. That’s a problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Chris Lau | Hassan Tayir | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

“The Qixi Festival is not as robust as previous years. Couples attend a kissing contest during the traditional Qixi festival in Shenyang, northeast China's Liaoning province, on August 13, 2013. “The only part of the world where consumer confidence remains very low is China,” L’Oreal CEO Nicolas Hieronimus told analysts on an earnings call late last month. Lower-than-expected growth in the global beauty sector this year is largely a consequence of low consumer confidence in China, he added. People take photos at a bus stop decorated with flowers during Qixi Festival, or Chinese Valentine's Day, on August 22, 2023 in Chongqing, China.

Persons: China’s, Louis Vuitton, ”, forlornly, Huang Jinkun, Alfred Wu, Lee, “, Yeap Jun Rong, Xi Jinping, Peng Liyuan, Stringer, De Beers, That’s, Niulang, Nicolas Hieronimus, Joanne Wilson, didn’t, ” Mercedes, Ola Kaellenius Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Weibo, CNN, Qixi, Lee Kuan Yew, of Public, National University of Singapore, Volkswagen, Ministry of Civil Affairs, Getty, Diamond, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Global, WPP, China News Service, Mercedes, ” Mercedes Benz Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shenyang, Liaoning province, Beijing, China's Liaoning province, AFP, Chongqing

With nearly three-fourths of the S & P 500 reporting second-quarter results, the earnings picture for the back half of the year is looking unusually complicated. It's been a 'meh' quarter so far We have the usual beat on bottom-line earnings, but revenue beats are below expectations. Most companies are beating on earnings estimates but are declining to hike full-year guidance beyond the beat. Plenty of complaints about a slowing China consumer A weak China economy has been a significant headwind for a number of global companies this season. Procter & Gamble's China sales tumbled 8% from a year ago as consumer spending slowed.

Persons: It's, Sherwin, Williams, Lockheed Martin, Chipotle, Isaac, CDW, Clorox, – Hershey, Kraft Heinz, Mondelez, General Mills, Smucker, McDonald's, Wendy's, Bob, Wyndham, Mills, Marriott, LVMH, haven't Organizations: GE Aerospace, Hasbro, Lockheed, Verizon, Mattel, IBM, Juniper Networks, Enphase Energy, NXP Semiconductors, Accenture, Oracle, Procter, Gamble, PepsiCo, ConAgra Brands, Bank of America, MGM Resorts, Comcast, Marriott, Airlines, Allegiant, Ryanair, Gamble's, Starbucks, Visa, Nike, Vegas Sands Locations: J.M, Atlantic City, China, Gamble's China, Greater China, Japan, Macao, Marina, Sands, Singapore

☆ China just expanded its efforts to boost consumption. Here are some stocks to watch
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

China has, in its own way, signaled it wants to support specific kinds of consumer purchases. Authorities on Thursday announced the equivalent of 300 billion yuan ($41.5 billion) in special bonds would go towards trade-ins and equipment upgrades — a significant expansion of an existing program. The 300 billion yuan ultra-long bond issuance is not a new government allocation, but rather a more detailed designation of a 1 trillion yuan ultra-long bond program announced earlier this year. "300 billion yuan is the largest equipment upgrade subsidy from the central government historically," the analysts said. Even the 300 billion yuan figure is split roughly between consumer-related trade-ins with business-side equipment upgrades.

Persons: Ding, Morgan Stanley, Tao Wang, Darius Tang, Corporates, Fitch Bohua, Michael Bloom Organizations: China Asset Management Co, UBS Investment Bank Locations: China, Beijing, Asia

☆ China surprises with cuts to key rates to support weak economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

China surprised markets by lowering a key short-term policy rate and its benchmark lending rates on Monday, in efforts to boost growth in the world's second-largest economy. Minutes later, China cut benchmark lending rates by the same margin at the monthly fixing. Following the rate cuts, China's yuan dropped to a near two-week low of 7.2750 per dollar before paring some losses. He expects more rate reductions in China after the Fed enters its rate cut cycle. China's rate cuts are aimed at "strengthening counter-cyclical adjustments to better support the real economy," the PBOC said in a statement.

Persons: Larry Hu, Ju Wang, Zhang Zhiwei, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: People's Bank of, People's Bank of China, Macquarie, Greater China FX, BNP, Federal Reserve, Xinhua, Fed Locations: People's Bank of China, Beijing, China

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