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On a more positive note, Guggenheim upgraded GSK to buy thanks to strength across multiple product pipelines. Elsewhere, RBC upgraded Lyft to outperform, calling for a major rally ahead. Analyst Brad Erickson upgraded Lyft shares to outperform from sector perform, and raised his price target by $6 to $23, implying roughly 40.7% potential increase. — Pia Singh 6:10 a.m.: DoorDash upgraded by RBC on new partnerships potential, higher order growth RBC Capital Markets upgraded DoorDash to outperform from sector perform. Analyst Seamus Fernandez upgraded shares to buy from neutral and assigned a £20.31 price target, representing 21% upside to GSK's latest close.
Persons: Guggenheim, Wells Fargo, Timur Braziler, Braziler, — Pia Singh, Lyft, Brad Erickson, Erickson, Seamus Fernandez, Fernandez, Citi downgrades Ferrari, Ferrari, Harald Hendrikse, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Ferrari, GSK, RBC, Popular, RBC Capital Markets RBC Capital Markets, DASH, Capital Markets, Guggenheim Securities, drugmaker GSK, Guggenheim Locations: Wells Fargo, Puerto Rico, U.S, Wells, Shingrix, Arexvy, Milan
Analyst Mike Mayo assigned an overweight rating and $70 price target, which suggests more than 25% upside for shares. Analyst Bill Katz raised his price target by $14 to $128 on the outperform-rated company, which has seen roughly 74% share price growth over the past year. He upped his price target by $25 to $350, implying roughly 19.5% upside for the company, which will report fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday. "While LT debates around monetization and competition have yet to be resolved, we think risk-reward now skews attractive given an improving cloud demand backdrop." It also raised its price target to $86 from $75, but the new forecast still implies downside of more than 13% going forward.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, HashiCorp, Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, — Pia Singh, TD Cowen, Cowen, Bill Katz, Katz, Jefferies, Brent Thill, Thill, Salesforce, bode, Sanjit Singh, Singh, Yifeng Liu, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, HSBC, Moderna, Citigroup, Citi, Discover Financial Services, KKR, Salesforce, HSBC downgrades Moderna, Merck & Co Locations: Wells, monetization
The danger of higher rates for longer following the latest hot inflation reading raises the "downside risk" for regional banks, according to Bank of America. "Fewer and later Fed rate cuts pose downside risk to bank stocks," analyst Ebrahim Poonawala wrote in a Tuesday note. "We are especially concerned about the failure of the broader market to project the trajectory of interest rates – a consistent theme since the Fed began raising interest rates in March 2022." "We worry about the risk from no rate cuts in 2024 and a far more elevated level of interest rates across the UST yield curve," Poonawala added. Net interest margin is the difference between the interest banks earn on loans and pay on deposits.
Persons: Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Fed, UST, Regional Banking, Regional Banking ETF, JPMorgan, BNY, U.S . Bancorp, First Bancorp Locations: Silicon, U.S, Puerto Rico
Morgan Stanley initiates Ford as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its top pick status on Ford. Morgan Stanley initiates Dynatrace as equal weight Morgan Stanley initiated the software stock with an equal weight and said patience is needed. Morgan Stanley reiterates Disney as overweight Morgan Stanley said Disney's participation in a sports streaming bundle is 'low-risk." Morgan Stanley adds Huntington Bancshares to the financials finest list Morgan Stanley added the regional bank to its financials finest list. Morgan Stanley reiterates Rivian as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating on the stock, but that the company will need "substantial funding" to complete its Georgia plant.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, ANET, hyperscaler, Morgan Stanley, Ford, it's, Dynatrace, Redburn, Evercore, Susquehanna, Piper Sandler, Trimble, Piper, Riley, Bernstein, Disney, Huntington Bancshares, Huntington, Banks, Stephens, Cantor Fitzgerald, Stratasys, Cantor, Rivian Organizations: Arista Networks, Ford, downgrades, Airlines, UBS, Nvidia, NextEra Energy Partners, Taiwan Semiconductor, Apple, Apple Services, DIS, FOX, Deutsche Bank, Walmart, Citi, GSK, " Bank of America, of America Locations: NVDA's, North America, NAPA, Georgia
If higher Treasury yields persist, Piper Sandler believes certain stocks could see their earnings at risk. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose as high as 4.16% on Monday after hitting a low around 3.8% last week. The 10-year Treasury was last hovering at the 4.09% level. The firm looked for stocks with a high correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield and downbeat earnings revisions, based on a proprietary EPS revisions ratio. Pharmaceutical stock Bristol-Myers Squibb has a comparatively lower correlation value of 0.188 to the 10-year yield.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Jerome Powell, Russell, Charles Schwab, Myers Squibb Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Piper, Bank of America, Bank, LSEG, East West Bancorp, West Bancorp, Oil, Pharmaceutical, Bristol, Myers Squibb, Redburn Locations: Bristol
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said investors should watch what Microsoft has to say about the monetization of its generative artificial intelligence offerings. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, we're, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Microsoft, Management, Fed, Wall Locations: U.S, Basel, Wells, IPOs
Ares CapitalThis week we will first look at a high-dividend yield stock Ares Capital (ARCC). ARCC offers a dividend yield of 9.8%. Citi's dividend yield stands at 5%. The company pays a dividend yield of 2.5%. On Oct. 26, Tigress Financial Partners analyst Ivan Feinseth reiterated a buy rating on AT&T stock with a price target of $28.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Wall, Kenneth Lee, Lee, TipRanks, James Fotheringham, Fotheringham, Peter Saleh, Saleh, Ivan Feinseth, Feinseth Organizations: Citibank, ARCC, RBC Capital, Ares, Citigroup, Citi, BMO Capital, Tigress Financial, Edge, T Locations: California
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Wells Fargo, which has reduced headcount for every quarter since the third quarter of 2020, said it still sees more opportunities for layoffs. Investment banking powerhouse Morgan Stanley also disclosed a near 2% drop in its total headcount on Wednesday, compared to the prior quarter. At the investment banks Goldman and Morgan Stanley expenses rose 18% and 5% in the quarter, compared to a year earlier. The bank in January dismissed 3,200 employees, its biggest round of layoffs since the 2008 financial crisis.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jeremy Barnum, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Thomas DiNapoli, Goldman Sachs, Denis Coleman, That's, Coleman, Manya Saini, Niket, Lananh Nguyen, David Evans Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, JPMorgan, PNC Financial, Citigroup, Bank of America, Investment, Banks, Citi, Goldman, BofA, PNC, New York, GOLDMAN, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Wells Fargo, Wells, GOLDMAN SACHS BUCKS, headcount
Goldman Sachs forecasts "healthy" growth in new lending at three major Indian banks over the next six months, which it says could lead to a significant upside for these stocks. The Wall Street bank noted that Indian bank stocks have broadly outperformed the MSCI India index over the past year, but have underperformed over the last three to six months. Goldman Sachs said that valuation multiples for Indian banks have declined the most despite earnings per share (EPS) upgrades. HDB KOTAKBANK-IN,SBIN-IN YTD mountain However, Goldman Sachs expects operating profit to bottom out in the December quarter of 2023 as margins and growth rates stabilize. Goldman's view on the Indian banks Kotak Mahindra Bank Price target: 2,624 Indian rupees ($31.6).
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Rahul Jain, Hardik Shah, Goldman, ROA, ROE, CNBC's Naman Tandon Organizations: Mahindra Bank, State Bank of India, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Mahindra Bank Price, SBI, HDFC Locations: India, United States
Steve Eisman, the investor who called and profited from the subprime mortgage crisis, said Thursday that he's staying away from bank stocks due to risks from crimped margins and tougher regulations. "I happen to think the whole bank sector is uninvestable," Eisman, senior portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, said on CNBC's " Squawk Box. " Uncertainty caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank earlier this year triggered outflows at other regional banks and larger institutions. With short-term rates spiking higher than long-term rates, bank margins have been hurt. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF , which tracks 140 regional banks, has fallen more than 33% this year.
Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Eisman, Neuberger Berman, Eisman's, Banks, Michael Lewis Organizations: Federal, Regional Banking ETF Locations: Silicon
[1/2] The logo for Goldman Sachs is seen on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., November 17, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 7 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) are poised for stronger results next year compared to other large-cap U.S. banks as dealmaking on Wall Street picks up and asset management businesses gain momentum, HSBC said on Thursday. The brokerage said that Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley should post high single-digit to low double-digit revenue growth in 2024 and sizable earnings growth in 2024 and 2025 after being weighted from a decade-long low in investment banking. Lead analyst Saul Martinez believes a "bifurcation" is emerging in revenue forecast between traditional and capital markets-focused banks and picks Goldman Sachs as the brokerage's preferred name in its coverage. "We see deal activity picking up: even in a sluggish economic growth environment, greater visibility regarding the direction of economic growth, interest rates, and inflation should trigger more equity and debt issuance and M&A activity," Martinez said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Andrew Kelly, Morgan Stanley, Saul Martinez, Martinez, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Aniruddha Ghosh, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, HSBC, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, JPMorgan, of America, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBC’s Gerard Cassidy reveals which bank stocks have the best value right nowGerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets head of U.S. bank equity strategy and large cap bank analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Goldman Sachs' earnings results, the quarter overall for financials, and more.
Persons: RBC’s Gerard Cassidy, Gerard Cassidy, Goldman Sachs Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEncouraging earnings from banks just starting, RBC’S top bank analyst suggestsGerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Bank Strategy and Large Cap Bank Analyst, joins 'Fast Money' to talk bank earnings, top bank plays in the current market and more.
Persons: Gerard Cassidy Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, U.S . Equity Bank, Bank
US stocks were mixed on Friday but closed higher for the week as investors cheered a cooler June inflation report. Second-quarter earnings kicked off on Friday with JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and BlackRock all beating analyst estimates. Investors are expecting the latest earnings season to represent a trough for corporate profits. Results from JPMorgan and Wells Fargo beat analyst estimates, while Citigroup posted mixed results that were weighed down by a disappointment in its investment banking division. Investors expect second-quarter earnings results to represent a trough for corporate profits before they begin to rebound.
Persons: Wells Organizations: JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Wells Fargo, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo, Wall, Silicon
Bank of America's top stock picks for the third quarter
  + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank of America is out with its latest short-term stock picks as the third trading quarter of the year gets underway. "Over the last quarter, the BofA Macro view has evolved," strategist Anthony Cassamassino wrote in a note Monday. Bank of America gathered its 10 best ideas for the new quarter, all of them buy-rated, Cassamassino said. The bank also sees multiple growth drivers this year and improvements in merchandise margins as cost inflation and freight expenses normalize. Its $135 price target on the stock is more than 50% above its closing price Friday.
Persons: Anthony Cassamassino, Savita Subramanian, Michael Hartnett, Michael Gapen, Stephen Suttmeier, Cassamassino, it's, Lamb Weston, Wells, defensibility Organizations: of America, U.S, Our U.S . Economist, " Bank of America, Body, Bank of America, Disney, Wells Fargo Locations: Our
Of the six regional lenders that were part of the test, Bank of New York Mellon (BK.N) and US Bancorp (USB.N) added 1.5% and 0.8%, respectively. J.P. Morgan downgraded the bank to 'neutral' in anticipation of an increase in capital requirements hurting its profitability. Citigroup (C.N) rose marginally, but trailed its peers as analysts expect that an increase in its stress capital buffer would hamper its plans to improve profitability. "Citi will now have the highest CET1 requirement among our banks at 12.3%," J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in a client note. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Banks Index (.SPXBK), tracking a basket of large-cap bank stocks, is up 0.9% quarter-to-date, but has fallen 12.2% so far this year.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, J.P, Morgan, Raymond James, Manya Saini, Niket Nishant, Arun Koyyur Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Wall Street, RBC Capital Markets, Citizens, Citigroup, Citi, Silicon Valley Bank, Banks, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Silicon, Bengaluru
Asset managers big and small, from Carlyle and Apollo to Serengeti and Shamrock, are pushing into the space. The entertainment industry's love affair with private credit is one of the hottest storylines in Hollywood right now. Credit lenders are saying "lights, camera, action" to the idea of deploying dollars into movies, TV, and live sports. Insider previously reported that analysts were warning of the risks that could mount across private credit as rates rise. Insider gathered details on asset managers' lending strategies in Hollywood, media, and sports.
Persons: Carlyle, Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, Blackstone, Moody's, Marinac, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Locations: Shamrock, Hollywood, Republic
Morgan Stanley analyst warned of potentially big swings for some of the regional banks it covers as the fallout for the crisis continues. Analyst Manan Gosalia downgraded Commerce Bancshares and Prosperity Bancshares to underweight from equal weight. Commerce Bancshares' new price target of $48 implies shares declining 3.5% from Monday's close. Meanwhile, the analysts' new price target of $60 per share for Prosperity Bancshares implies a 1% loss from where shares closed on Monday. To be sure, the analyst said that in the case deposit outflows do accelerate, Commerce Bancshares and Prosperity Bancshares would end up outperforming their peers due to their "generally more resilient funding profiles."
The continued slide for regional bank stocks after the failure of First Republic last week has created some buying opportunities in the sector, according to Wall Street analysts. "We believe this recent stock reaction is overdone as there is currently no evidence of accelerating deposit outflows. We see accelerating deposit costs, not accelerating deposit outflows, as the most significant headwind for the midcap banks over the next several quarters," Gosalia wrote. Huntington and Webster also rise to the top of the heap for RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom. Both Huntington and Webster are down about 30% for the year, which is better than the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE).
Why bank stocks are so unstable
  + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
New York CNN —The financial sector has been churning in rough water since the shocking collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March. Bank insiders see this and have been buying up shares of regional lenders, according to a report by Timothy Coffey, an analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott. The Oracle of Omaha said he remains cautious about holding bank stocks and that he has reduced his own exposure to the sector. The S&P 500 financial sector, however, is down more than 12% over the same period. Economists were hoping that this year would bring better news, but instead 2023 brought the collapse of three US regional banks and a subsequent lending squeeze.
JPMorgan initiates Alkami as overweight JPMorgan said the regional banking software company has strong fundamentals. " Bernstein reiterates Microsoft as outperform Bernstein said AI is going "everywhere and in everything" that Microsoft does. Goldman Sachs reiterates PayPal as buy Goldman said it sees further earnings upside after the company's earnings report on Monday. " Raymond James reiterates Palantir as strong buy Raymond James said it's standing by its strong buy rating on shares of the AI beneficiary. Credit Suisse downgrades PayPal to neutral from outperform Credit Suisse said it's too "challenging" to recommend shares right now.
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May 1 (Reuters) - JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) will buy most of First Republic Bank's (FRC.N) assets in a last-ditch rescue led by U.S. regulators, marking the third major U.S. institution to fail in two months. First Republic Bank shares tumbled 43.3% in premarket trading. The FDIC estimated in a statement that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund would be about $13 billion. "Our government invited us and others to step up, and we did," said Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase. The failed bank's 84 offices in eight states will reopen as branches of JPMorgan Chase Bank from Monday, according to the JPMorgan statement.
NEW YORK, May 1 (Reuters) - The weekend rescue of troubled lender First Republic Bank (FRC.N) has done little to allay options traders' concerns about the overall health of U.S. regional banks. Traders who had bought upside calls on regional banks on Friday appeared to be exiting those positions as the regulator-engineered rescue of First Republic failed to catalyze a rally in the mid-cap bank sector. SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF shares were down 2% at $41.70 in afternoon trading. At the individual stock level, traders were focused on regional lender PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) on Monday. With PacWest shares down 7%, put options, typically used for bearish bets, outnumbered call options, usually employed for bullish bets, 4-to-1, according to Trade Alert data.
[1/2] The logo of PNC Bank, a subsidiary of PNC Financial Services Group, is seen on the window of a branch in Washington, U.S. April 30, 2023. REUTERS/Ashraf FahimMay 1 (Reuters) - Shares of regional lenders fell in morning trading on Monday following the collapse of First Republic Bank (FRC.N), the third major casualty of the biggest crisis to hit the U.S. banking sector since 2008. Among individual movers, Citizens Financial Group (CFG.N), PNC Financial Services Group (PNC.N), Truist Financial Corp (TFC.N) and U.S. Bancorp (USB.N) fell between 2.2% and 7%. While investors digested the quick deal for First Republic's assets with a pinch of salt, the regulator-engineered rescue effort sparked a sell-off in the mid-cap bank sector. Global banking has been rocked by the closure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March.
First Republic 's quarterly update left investors with major questions about whether the bank can repair itself after massive withdrawals, but the regional bank troubles appear to now be limited to just a small corner of the industry, according to Wall Street analysts. The troubled regional lender reported its first-quarter results Monday, showing a 40.8% drop in deposits that was steeper than analyst estimates. The bank said deposits have stabilized in recent weeks and that it was taking steps to cut expenses and shrink its balance sheet, while also exploring strategic options. Results from regional banks over the last two weeks demonstrated the stickiness of the deposit customer base. ... We expect FRC to embrace a new approach and a different business model, as it adjusts to operating with a smaller balance sheet.
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