The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved.
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak.
More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index.
Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time.
The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.
Persons:
that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've
Organizations:
U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital