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☆ Coca-Cola tops earnings estimates, as higher prices offset sluggish demand
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Coca-Cola on Wednesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped analysts' expectations, thanks to a boost from higher prices that offset sluggish demand. Unit case volume fell 1% in the quarter, driven by weakening demand in some international markets. Consumer companies, including Coke, have reported in recent months that customers are more price sensitive, leading to sluggish demand for its products as prices remain high. Pepsi said volume for its North American beverage business fell 3% in its third quarter, fueled by weakening demand for energy drinks. Coke is projecting a low-single-digit headwind for comparable revenue and a mid-single-digit headwind for earnings per share.

Persons: Coke, Quincey Organizations: LSEG, Consumer, PepsiCo, Quaker Foods, Pepsi, CPI Locations: U.S, North America, Chico, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia, Pacific, China, Turkey, Latin America, Argentina

☆ Here's why inflation may look like it's easing but is still a huge problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.

Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, —, hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York

☆ Asia markets open mixed as investors await China economic data, assess Japan CPI
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Anniek Bao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The skyline of the central business district in Beijing on August 13, 2019. (Photo by WANG Zhao / AFP)Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed Friday, as investors awaited key economic data from China and assessed Japan's inflation numbers. China's third-quarter GDP is expected to come in at 4.5%, as estimated by economists in a Reuters poll, compared with 4.7% growth in the prior quarter. China is set to release its house prices index for September at 9:30 a.m. local time. Japan's headline inflation for September came in at 2.5%, while core CPI — which excludes fresh food prices — rose 2.4% year on year compared with Reuters estimates of 2.3%.

Persons: WANG Zhao Locations: Beijing, AFP, Asia, Pacific, China

☆ Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Aussie dropped as much as 0.51% to $0.6669, the lowest since Sept. 12, before changing hands down 0.38% at $0.6678 as of 0133 GMT. The New Zealand dollar sank as much as 0.69% to $0.6041, a level last seen on Aug. 19. China will hold a press conference on Thursday to discuss promoting the "steady and healthy" development of the property sector. The dollar was little changed at 149.135 yen , not far from Monday's high of 149.98 yen, the strongest since Aug. 1. The euro edged 0.05% lower to $1.08875, and earlier touched $1.0882, matching the low from Tuesday, which was the weakest level since Aug. 8.

Persons: There's, Ray Attrill, there's, Attrill Organizations: New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Statistics, U.S, Traders, Fed, European Central Bank Locations: New Zealand, Beijing, China, Statistics New Zealand

☆ Rates won't be cut at an aggressive pace — here's how to position, according to strategists
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. interest rate cuts are unlikely to move at an aggressive pace, say market watchers. The Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis-point rate cut in September — but subsequent ones will be milder, they said. They highlighted the better-than-expected September jobs report, renewed worries around inflation, rising yields and an economy that's still relatively strong. How to position In that scenario — and with inflation expected to continue being sticky, it's important that investors still have exposure to commodities, said Landsberg. Christopher of Wells Fargo said if interest rates moderate and earnings are stronger than expected, market performance will broaden out further.

Persons: —, Paul Christopher, CNBC's, Adam Coons, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Landsberg, Christopher, Wells Fargo, Luis Alvarado, Alvarado Organizations: Fed, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Winthrop Capital Management, Wealth Management Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ Sorry fast food fans — your burger is only going to get more expensive
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Nora Redmond | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Beef prices in the US are rising due to a historic drought and herd liquidation. Fast food chains like McDonald's and Burger King have already raised prices due to inflation. AdvertisementInflation has not been kind to food prices — especially for eating out. AdvertisementThe USDA reported that this led to record retail beef prices, with an all-fresh value of $8.15 per pound for July. "The reality is over the next couple of years, beef prices are going to continue to go higher," Zimmerman said.

Persons: Burger King, —, Chris Kempczinski, Burger, Lance Zimmerman, Rabo AgriFinance, McDonald's, Erin McDowell, Zimmerman, Taco Bell, Jay Bandy, Bandy, Dudler Organizations: Service, Starbucks, McDonald's, KFC, Brands, Department of Agriculture, Goliath Consulting, Accenture Locations: Olive, Taco, Georgia

☆ Prices in China are stagnating, putting more pressure on Beijing to jump-start the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fresh signs of deflation in China are stoking demand for national stimulus to revive the economy. China's headwinds include a burst property bubble, high youth unemployment, and threats to exports. AdvertisementChinese officials are under mounting pressure to stimulate the economy after official price data released Sunday stoked fresh deflation fears. That was below the consensus estimate of 0.6%, which would have matched the rate of price growth in August. But both agree that China needs stimulus to overcome the deepening property crisis and fight deflation."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Xi Jinping, Ipek Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Bloomberg, Swissquote Bank Locations: China

☆ Asia markets open higher after China weekend briefing hints at more stimulus; economic data in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Anniek Bao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"China's growth recovery and north Asia's earnings rebound in 2024 remain our key investment themes and overweight areas," Goldman Sachs' strategists, led by Timothy Moe, wrote in a Saturday note. Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Monday, as investors assessed China's weekend press briefing and awaited a slew of economic data this week from the region. Both metrics missed expectations of economists polled by Reuters, who estimated CPI to rise 0.6% and PPI to decline 2.5%. China is set to release its trade data for September on Monday, with exports expected to rise 6%, a slower growth than 8.7% in August, while imports are estimated to grow 0.9%, compared to 0.5% in August. China watchers also look ahead to the week with a busy set of economic data, including China's third-quarter GDP, September industrial output growth, retail sales and unemployment rate.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Timothy Moe, Finance Lan Fo'an Organizations: China's, Finance, Reuters, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific, China

☆ 5 reasons why inflation will be stickier than expected going forward, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.

Persons: —, Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian

☆ Earnings will drive the stock market in the week ahead. That's a good thing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

In Friday's look at wholesale inflation, the producer price index was unchanged month over month . We'll hear from Club holdings Morgan Stanley and Abbott Laboratories on Wednesday morning. Morgan Stanley: The ongoing recovery in investment banking will be front and center. That was a key theme in the second quarter , and the hope is that the July-to-September period showed a continuation of the trend for Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley has been strong lately, though.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Gamble, — Wells, industrials, Goldman Sachs, ASML, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Louis, Abbott, Charles Schwab, Johnson, JB Hunt, Kinder Morgan, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Charly Triballeau Organizations: Club, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Procter, Federal, JPMorgan, —, Tech, . Utilities, UnitedHealth, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, NEC, Abbott, Food and Drug Administration, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Citigroup, Bank of America, United Airlines, Interactive, US Bancorp, Citizens, Alcoa, PPG Industries, CSX, Truist, Netflix, Crown Holdings, American Express, Gamble, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Financial, Afp, Getty Locations: Wells, U.S, Wells Fargo, St, Taiwan, New York City

☆ China's consumer inflation cools in September, PPI deflation deepens
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

China's consumer inflation rate fell in September, while producer price deflation deepened, even as Beijing rolls out more stimulus measures in a bid to revive flagging demand and shaky economic activity. The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% from a year earlier last month, against a 0.6% rise in August, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Sunday, missing a 0.6% increase forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. CPI was unchanged month-on-month, versus a 0.4% gain in August and below an estimated 0.4% increase. The producer price index (PPI) fell 2.8% year-on-year in September, versus a 1.8% decline the previous month and below an expected 2.5% decline.

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, CPI Locations: Beijing

☆ Don't let September's jobs report fool you — the labor market is still deteriorating at a worrying rate, economists warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Small businesses also face tight credit conditions and are slowing hiring. AdvertisementThe September payrolls report seemed to switch the investor narrative around the labor market on a dime. Given the usual lags involved between changes in rates and activity, things will probably get worse for small businesses before they get better." "The labor market is not out of the woods just yet, and I continue to see another hiccup in the jobs market before year-end," Dutta wrote. AdvertisementStill, it's unclear how much pressure the labor market will come under in the months ahead.

Persons: —, bearish David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, September's, Rosenberg Research, Pantheon, Macro Research, The Conference Board

Mortgage rates for October 13, 2024, are flat around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Why economists and strategists still say a recession is postponed, despite a startling inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Contradictory messages about inflation and the labor market have investors on guard. Price growth is slowly falling from its peak, but it exceeded expectations in September after a hot reading in August. AdvertisementInflation is a threat that won't sink the economyWhile there's plenty of economic data to get excited about, persistent price growth is a problem. "If we're going to be data dependent, we have to at least look at the data," Sosnick said. Higher-than-hoped inflation is rarely compatible with an economic downturn, so if price growth does persist, it likely won't be in an earnings-crushing contraction.

Persons: —, Steve Sosnick, they've, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Sosnick, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Joe Quinlan —, Skyler Weinand, Regan, Weinand, We've Organizations: Service, US, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Interactive Brokers, Business, Manufacturing, Index, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Equity, Financial, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Regan Capital, Fed Locations: China

☆ S&P 500 grinds higher to further record highs, finding little to fear in October
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

This time of year typically tests nerves, more so when — as now — an election is onrushing and the S & P 500 was already up 20% for the year. Since June 30, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has gained 9.5%, more than triple the Nasdaq 100's rise. A buyer at the mid-July S & P 500 peak of 5667 sustained a quick 8% tumble in three weeks. Goldman Sachs calculated VIX being this elevated with the S & P 500 calmly clicking to record highs is essentially unheard-of. Cash that's still yielding well more than inflation and bonds holding their value allow investors to shoulder higher equity exposures rather than rotating out.

Persons: isn't, it's, Goldman Sachs, Cash, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, American Association of, Deutsche, –, Bank

☆ A portfolio manager at a $21 billion firm warns the odds of a recession have risen to 40% from 20% as inflation and geopolitical concerns surge — and shares where he's investing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at the $21 billion investment manager Martin Currie, has actually increased his recession odds. US-China tensions are escalating over Taiwan, home to the world's largest semiconductor foundry, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Osmani sees what he calls "seismic thematic shifts" in these areas. And Osmani sees potential for parts of the market driving the energy transition, such as alternative energy and electric vehicles. AdvertisementHis top picks include Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), chemical company Linde plc (LIN), and industrial manufacturing company Atlas Copco (ATLKY).

Persons: Martin Currie, —, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Zehrid, Currie, hasn't, Osmani Organizations: Service, Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Semiconductors, Nvidia, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Atlas, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China, Taiwan

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Is higher-than-expected CPI just a 'janky' data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. But Bostic acknowledged it's important to see whether individual data points cohere into a larger pattern, or if they're just "janky," as Bostic put it.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: San Rafael , California

☆ CNBC Daily Open: CPI’s higher than expected. Is it just a “janky” data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. "This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November," said Bostic, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: AMD, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: Pike, Seattle , Washington, US

☆ Stock market today: Indexes hit records and notch 5-week win streak after upbeat earnings, cool inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan and Wells Fargo reported strong earnings that eased fears of a consumer slowdown. September's producer price index was flat, calming inflation concerns amid rising yields. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon praised his bank's performance in the earnings release but warned that geopolitical conditions are "treacherous and getting worse." AdvertisementApart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: Dow Jones, Wells, —, Wells Fargo, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Russell Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Dow Jones, PPI, Business, Bank of America

☆ Dollar bulls suffer setback as traders add to Fed cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar fell from two-month highs hit overnight versus its major peers after signs of weakness in the labor market boosted the case for quicker Federal Reserve rate cuts. Bets for a quarter-point Fed rate cut on Nov. 7 increased to 83.3% from 80.3% a day earlier, with the remaining odds for policy to stay steady, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. A week earlier, there was a 32.1% chance of a half-point reduction and 67.9% probability of a quarter-point cut. The dollar added 0.06% to 148.68 yen , inching back towards Thursday's high of 149.58 yen, a level previously not seen since Aug. 2. The Australian dollar held firm at $0.67395 after rebounding from its lowest since Sept. 16 at $0.6702 on Thursday.

Persons: Tapas Strickland, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic Organizations: U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed Locations: China

☆ Ron Insana: September consumer inflation report was a mere blip in a wider cooling trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge up after wholesale inflation comes in cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation. The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation. The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch.

Persons: Wells, —, Price, David Russell, Russell, Jamie Dimon Organizations: PPI, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ 10-year Treasury yield dips as investors await producer prices data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell around 2 basis points to 4.075%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down by more than 2 basis points to 3.974%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as market participants awaited the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.1% in the previous session following commentary from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic that suggested his openness to a cutting pause. Sticking on the data front, investors will turn their attention to the release of the latest PPI reading, which is expected at 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Dow, — CNBC's Brian Evans Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street Journal, Fed, U.S, Consumer, Index, PPI Locations: U.S

☆ Sanchez: Hotter CPI and jobless claims point toward a pause.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSanchez: Hotter CPI and jobless claims point toward a pause. Gina Sanchez, CEO of Chantico Global and Chief Market Strategist at Lido Advisors, discusses how inflation and jobless claims impact the odds of a Fed rate pause, noting challenges for banks due to the inverted yield curve.

Persons: Sanchez, Gina Sanchez Organizations: Chantico Global, Chief, Lido Advisors

☆ Here’s the deflation breakdown for September 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

However, prices for many physical goods have deflated as supply-and-demand dynamics return to normal following pandemic-era contortions. "Outside of goods prices, I don't think we'll see price cuts," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's. That served to weaken demand, which also pushed down prices, economists said. Outside of supply-demand dynamics, the U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for imported goods, economists said. Energy, food and consumer electronicsOutside of imported goods, consumers may also see a "normalization" of prices in food and energy, Zandi said.

Persons: Jeff Greenberg, Mark Zandi, Zandi, women's outerwear, Sarah House Organizations: Universal, Getty, Finance, Social Security, Vehicles, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics ., U.S . Federal, Fed, U.S, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

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