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☆ Small business owners could be poised for a 1990s-like boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( John Towfighi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

This has spiked the interest rates small business owners are paying on new mortgages, credit, and loans. Related storiesPowell said that small business owners are poised to benefit regardless of the size of the cut and should remain hopeful about future growth. According to the National Federation of Independent Businesses, small business confidence dipped in August. AdvertisementHe said small businesses tend to be more credit-constrained, so changes in interest rates are particularly influential for business owners' management decisions. Are you a small business owner who has experienced a recent change in sales or hiring?

Persons: —, Phil Powell, it's, Powell, Jerome Powell, Sean Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Indiana Business Research Center, Indiana University Kelley School of Business, Federal Open Markets, Treasury Department, National Federation of Independent Businesses, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

As the Fed lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates should continue to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. FHA Interest RatesFHA interest rates were 5.03% last month, and they've been a bit lower in recent weeks. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise as traders eye debate and upcoming inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are gearing up for August's consumer price index report to release on Wednesday. Tuesday's presidential debate could also impact investor sentiment. This week, investors are bracing for the incoming consumer price index report, scheduled for release on Wednesday morning. Before the inflation print, investors will first tune into Tuesday evening presidential debate between candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Later in the week, the producer price index and the latest jobless claims will be published on Thursday.

Persons: Stocks, —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, David Bahnsen Organizations: Service, Bahnsen Group, Here's

☆ US employers have good reasons not to hire more workers now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Bryan Mena | Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

That’s because employers might be putting some of their hiring plans on hold — and for good reason. Businesses consider many factors when deciding to hire, but across a wide spectrum of industries, the economic outlook carries always great deal of weight. Both those factors are prompting employers to think twice about hiring more workers now, according to economists and recent comments from businesses around the country. But she’s proposing raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. So when interest rates are as elevated as they are right now, monthly debt payments could be too costly for many firms.

Persons: there’s, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Reserve Banks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, ”, Sean Snaith, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, “ It’s, Pollak Organizations: CNN, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nationwide, “, Reserve, Trump, America, Economic, of New, Institute for Economic, University of Central, Fed, Treasury Locations: China, of New York, University of Central Florida

☆ Deep rate cuts are necessary because the Fed's unprecedented hikes actually made inflation worse, Nobel-winning economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Nobel-prize-winning economist called on the central bank to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its approaching policy meeting. AdvertisementFriday's weaker-than-expected reading did not completely ease concerns, putting pressure on the Fed to ease policy quickly. But Stiglitz, speaking ahead of the data's release, told CNBC that he would pursue deeper rate cuts regardless of Friday's report. Builder confidence also tanked to a December bottom, though experts anticipate that falling interest rates should eventually boost sentiment. AdvertisementMeanwhile, homebuyers appear sidelined as they wait for interest rate cuts to ease mortgage rates.

Persons: —, Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, homebuyers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business

☆ JPMorgan top economist says the Fed should cut rates by a half point this month
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist of JPMorgan Securities, listens during a Bloomberg Television interview in New York on March 6, 2018. The Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting, according to JPMorgan's Michael Feroli. "We think there's a good case for hurrying up in their pace of rate cuts." "While inflation is still a little above target, unemployment is probably getting a little above what they think is consistent with full employment. This follows the unemployment rate inching higher to 4.3% in July, triggering a recession indicator known as the Sahm Rule.

Persons: Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's Michael Feroli, CNBC's, you've, Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan Securities, Bloomberg Television, Federal Locations: New York

☆ September's poor history is hard to ignore, but market has many things on its side including the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-03 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The good news outweighs the bad Seasonality aside, the market is riding a wave of momentum, and with good reason: 1) The market "broadening" trend is very real. At Jackson Hole, chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the Fed had shifted its attention from fighting inflation to the job market. S&P 500 in September: It's been ugly recently (rounded) 2023: down 5%2022: down 9%2021: down 5%2020: down 4% The elections are another wildcard. Two-thirds of the S&P 500 was up in August. Most importantly, the Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) modestly outperformed the S&P 500 in August and closed Friday at an historic high.

Persons: Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Robert Hum, It's, Consumer Staples, Jerome Powell, David Smith, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Dow, NASDAQ, Russell, NYSE, Megacap Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Consumer, Estate, Technology, American Association of, Bulls, PCE, Fed, Rockland Trust, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wellington, Meta, Rockland, New York City, U.S

☆ Rate cuts won't prevent a recession and the economy is deteriorating 'quite rapidly,' investment strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewMarkets are confident that rate cuts will benefit stocks and the economy, but one strategist says lower borrowing costs won't stave off a recession. Yet, BCA Research chief asset allocation strategist Garry Evans said this week that lower rates can't avert a looming downturn. "There's things that are breaking down quite rapidly now," Evans said, including recent manufacturing data. Related storiesEvans said labor and manufacturing data, plus a range of global data like weak Japanese exports, are showing signs of a tough economic outlook worldwide. AdvertisementEvans said the Fed will likely cut rates in September, but that it won't prevent a pending recession.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Stocks, Garry Evans, Evans Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Research, CNBC, Labor Department, Wednesday, Institute for Supply Management

☆ Nvidia will be in the spotlight next week as Wall Street wraps up a tumultuous August
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Wall Street is bullish heading into Nvidia's earnings results next week, figuring any hiccups to its next generation AI chips does little to dim the earnings potential of a company that essentially has a monopoly on the market. Economists polled by FactSet anticipate PCE to show increases of 0.2% month on month and 2.6% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street anticipates that stocks could go higher from here, though the road from now to the end of the year could be bumpy. Other notable earnings results include tech names Salesforce and CrowdStrike, as well as consumer names such as Campbell Soup, Dollar General and Ulta Beauty. Earnings: Nvidia , Bath & Body Works , J. M. Smucker , Salesforce , CrowdStrike , NetApp , HP Thursday Aug. 29 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Nvidia's, chipmaker, they've, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer, Kumar, Louis Navellier, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, FactSet, David Miller, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Campbell, Lululemon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, PCE, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Catalyst Funds, Ulta, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Body, HP, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chicago, Michigan

☆ US stocks test record highs as Powell says 'the time has come for policy to adjust'
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, —, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers

☆ Stock market today: Dow rises 462 points as stocks rally after Powell says rate cuts are coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks surged as Fed chair Jerome Powell signaled imminent interest rate cuts. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data," Powell said. AdvertisementUS stocks rallied on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 450 points after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that interest rate cuts are near. That should pave the way for an interest rate cut at the Fed's FOMC meeting in September. AdvertisementWith interest rate cuts imminent, investors are now asking how big the Fed will cut rates by.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, —, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Jackson, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Treasury, Fed Locations: Here's

☆ Americans just got the biggest confirmation yet of an interest rate cut next month — but the job market hangs in the balance
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

He offered details on the Fed's thinking as the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting approaches in September, with all eyes on the first interest rate cut since the pandemic began. AdvertisementIt's all but certain that the Fed will cut rates in September. That leaves the big question of how much — not if — the Fed will cut rates, and the upcoming jobs report will likely shed some light on that question. "Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. "But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, precarity, Austan Goolsbee, we've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, CME, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Democratic, Chicago Fed

☆ As the Fed gears up for rate cuts, here’s what income investors need to do
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

With Federal Reserve rate cuts expected to begin in September, income investors may want to make sure their portfolio is in check. Instruments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts will react pretty quickly to rate cuts. Some $6.24 trillion is currently sitting in money market funds, as of the week ended Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . Clark Bellin, chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth in Lincoln, Nebraska, is bullish in investment-grade corporate bonds right now. He prefers individual bonds over bond funds because the investor has more control.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Rick Rieder, Lawrence, Clark Bellin, Bellin, he'll, Fidelity's Michael Plage, Treasurys, Patience, BlackRock's Rieder Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, BlackRock, Investment Company Institute Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Hauppauge, Lincoln , Nebraska

☆ A recession is coming in the U.S., and 'a few rate cuts' won't prevent it, says strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Evans pointed to signs of the economy slowing down, including what he called the "deteriorating" U.S. labor market. The Fed funds futures market suggests that investors are expecting at least three rate cuts by the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "A few rate cuts are not going to prevent a recession. Average recession is 10 months… It takes something like a year before fed cuts actually start to give a boost to the economy," he said. "The market believes that the fed fund rate at the end of next year will be 3%.

Persons: Garry Evans, Evans, It's, Jerome Powell, isn't Organizations: BCA Research, . Federal, BCA Research's, U.S . Labor Department, Traders Locations: U.S, Jackson

☆ Stocks gain after Fed’s Powell hints rate cuts are coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Stocks rose Friday morning as Wall Street cheered a signal from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that long-awaited interest rate cuts are finally coming. Powell said that “the time has come” to ease rates, currently perched at a 23-year high, at a key economic summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He also noted that the labor market has cooled enough not to pressure inflation higher and that the central bank does not want to see more weakening in job market conditions. Some officials also fretted that the softening labor market could weaken considerably if policy stays restrictive for too long. Recent data has shown that US job growth was weaker than previously estimated in the 12 months leading up to March.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Powell, there’s, ”, Jack Janasiewicz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Statistics, Solutions, National Association of Realtors, Target, Boeing Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Gold prices inch lower as U.S. inflation data looms
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. producer prices increased less than expected in July, reinforcing market view that cooling inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he wants to see "a little more data" before he's ready to support lowering interest rates. Gold, often used as a hedge against geopolitical risks, thrives when interest rates are low.

Persons: Kyle Rodda, Raphael Bostic, Ismail Haniyeh Organizations: Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve, Traders, Atlanta Fed, Investors Locations: U.S, Iran, Gaza, Israel

☆ Inflation cooled in July, adding to the case for interest rate cuts at the next Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

It's the first time the inflation rate has been below 3% since March 2021, and it adds to the case that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at its next meeting. Over the month, the consumer price index rose 0.2% in July. The Fed is watching for inflation to cool before committing to rate cuts. Many economists think it's well past time for the Fed to cut interest rates and have expressed worries about the rapidly cooling labor market. AdvertisementThe labor market is cooling off, and it might be harder to get a job than a few years ago.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Core CPI, of Labor Statistics, Fed, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve

☆ Dip buyers vindicated as CPI report revives economic 'soft landing' scenario
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This is the second day in a row that stocks have reacted with relief to an inflation report. The S & P 500 is now back to where it was just before the disappointing jobs report on Aug. 2. The S & P technology sector ETF (XLK) is also back to levels before the jobs report. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) has collapsed to 17 — also where it was just before the jobs report. Despite the growth scare that followed the jobs report, there are no signs of an imminent recession.

Persons: — Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Bloomberg News, Tech, Nvidia, Atlanta Fed Locations: Treasurys

☆ Stock market today: Stocks soar as investors cheer soft PPI and brace for consumer inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rallied on cooling inflation data from the producer price index report. Investors are hoping for evidence of further cooling in Wednesday's consumer price index. Starbucks gained 23% on Tuesday on news Chipotle boss Brian Niccol will be the new CEO. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the producer price index rose 0.1% in July, underwhelming estimates of a 0.2% increase. Investors will now watch for further disinflationary signals in Wednesday's consumer price index report.

Persons: Brian Niccol, —, Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Investors, Starbucks, Service, Labor Statistics, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America

☆ Gold dips as investors book profits, U.S. inflation data in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Prices rose more than 1% in the previous session. "Prices will benefit if the U.S. inflation data comes in on the softer side of the ledger, which would reignite hopes of an aggressive rate cut from the Fed in September." The CPI data is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. Markets see about 50% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "If markets become more optimistic of a 50 bp cut coming to fruition, this could propel the gold price to make a run at the $2,500 level," Waterer said.

Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, Waterer, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM, Fed, Traders Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S, Gaza

☆ These banks are cutting CD and savings rates. Where to park your cash to grab yield
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Last week, three online banks cut their 1-year CD rates, according to BTIG. Meanwhile, Synchrony slashed its online savings rate by 10 basis points to 4.65%. "We believe online banks are intentionally trying to shift customers toward savings rates, which are floating, over term rates," he said. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is 5.11%, as of Monday. With both high-yield savings and money market funds, the rates can fluctuate.

Persons: Marcus, Goldman Sachs, Sallie Mae, Synchrony, Jerome Powell, Vincent Caintic, Christine Benz, Benz, Winnie Sun, Cathy Curtis, Curtis Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Sun, Wealth Partners, CNBC, Money, Curtis Financial, Treasury Locations: Capital

☆ Stock market today: Indexes climb as producer inflation comes in cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks were higher on Tuesday after PPI showed wholesale inflation was less than expected in July. Investors are now bracing for the consumer inflation reading due out on Wednesday. AdvertisementUS stocks were up on Tuesday after the producer price index for July showed wholesale inflation rose less than expected. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that producer prices increased 0.1% last month compared to estimates of 0.2%. The cooler-than-expected reading should boost optimism for consumer prices to show a decline in inflation when the consumer price index is released on Wednesday.

Persons: —, Chris Zaccarelli, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Elon Musk Organizations: PPI, Investors, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Depot, Bank of America, Starbucks, Trump Media, Elon

☆ Stock market today: Indexes slide to start heavy week of new economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were lower on Monday as investors looked to new economic data due out in the week. This week, markets will get updates on consumer and producer inflation and retail sales for July. The stock market ended last week nearly flat after the biggest sell-off in over two years. On Tuesday, data on wholesale inflation will be released, though the main event for the week will be consumer inflation data on Wednesday with the consumer price index report for July. On an annual basis, inflation is expected to show prices rose 3% last month, in-line with June figures.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Bank of America Locations: June's

☆ Bear market is coming in 2025, warns David Roche, but the Fed will step in before it turns 'draconian'
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Dylan Butts | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Veteran investor David Roche expects a bear market in 2025 caused by smaller-than-expected rate cuts, a slowing U.S. economy and an artificial intelligence bubble. "I think [a bear market] is probably coming, but probably in 2025. Roche expects the Fed to resist reducing rates to the market's desired 3.50%. "The second thing is that profits [won't] fulfill expectations, because the economy is going to be slowing," Roche warned. The third factor Roche expects will lead to a bear market is the AI sector.

Persons: David Roche, CNBC's, Roche Organizations: Quantum Strategy, U.S, Presidential

☆ Gold subdued as investors focus on U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices struggled for momentum on Monday as investors looked forward to a key inflation report that could shed more light on the U.S. central bank's next policy move. Spot gold eased 0.13% to $2,427.86 per ounce by 0352 GMT, trading in a narrow $10 price range. The U.S. consumer price index data, due on Wednesday, is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. "Further inflation progress reflected in the upcoming CPI data could see gold eye for a retest of its all-time high once more," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Among other metals, spot silver fell 0.3% to $27.36 per ounce, platinum shed 0.47% to $917.83 and palladium fell 0.2% to $903.48.

Persons: Ilya Spivak, Yeap Jun Rong, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Metals, U.S, Federal, Hamas Locations: Krasnoyarsk, Russia, bank's, U.S, Gaza

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