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☆ Oil inches up after surprise drop in U.S. crude stockpiles
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Thursday, paring sharp losses over the past two sessions, after industry data showed an unexpected drop in U.S. crude stockpiles last week. It's coming, we know that but we don't know when," Sycamore said, adding that both factors bring upside risks for crude oil. In the U.S., crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday, against expectations of a build-up in crude stockpiles. Crude stocks fell by 1.58 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 11, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Gasoline inventories fell by 5.93 million barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 2.67 million barrels, they said.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, China NPC, IG, Investors, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, Energy Information Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, European Central Bank Locations: Almetyevsk, Tatarstan, Russia, Israel, Iran, China, Sydney, Beijing, U.S

☆ Oil steadies after sharp falls as Middle East uncertainty persists
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil rose in early Asian trade on Wednesday on continued uncertainty over conflict in the Middle East, after falling as much as $5 this week to the lowest levels since early October on demand concerns. Brent crude oil futures rose 24 cents, or 0.3%, to $74.49 a barrel by 0054 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped 27 cents, or 0.4%, to $70.85 per barrel. On the oil demand side, both the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and the International Energy Agency this week cut their forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024, with China accounting for the bulk of the downgrades. Analysts polled by Reuters expected crude stockpiles rose by about 1.8 million barrels in the week to Oct. 11.

Persons: Brent Organizations: . West Texas, U.S, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: Israel, Iran, Beirut, China

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors sift through big bank earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks were mixed Tuesday morning as traders assessed the latest earnings, though several results before the bell helped strike a positive tone in early trading. While earnings will be this week's focal point, investors will also watch for September's retail sales and initial jobless claims to release on Thursday. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Brent, Adriana Kugler, Mary Daly Organizations: Service, Citigroup, Bank of America, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Indexes fall from records as chip rout drags tech shares lower
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A sell-off in semiconductors pulled stock indexes away from record highs. The decline overshadowed better-than-expected bank earnings results. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Meanwhile, a report that the US is considering export caps on specific chip sales only added to investor concern, pulling the broader chip sector lower. AdvertisementThe rout took attention from Tuesday's bank sector performance, as Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup beat earnings estimates.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Israel, Brent Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Dutch, Israel, Iran, Iranian

☆ Oil prices drop $2 on demand concerns, Israel comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Oil prices slid $2 in early Asian trade on Tuesday as OPEC lowered its outlook for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025 and a media report that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military and not nuclear or oil targets. Brent crude futures were down $2.11, or 2.7%, at $75.35 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $2.07, or 2.8%, to $73.76 per barrel as of 0045 GMT. Both benchmarks had settled about 2% lower on Monday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the U.S. that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets and not nuclear or oil ones, the report said.

Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas Locations: Israel

☆ Oil prices fall by more than $1 on deflation worries in China
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel, losing over 1.5% in early trading on Monday, after disappointing Chinese inflation data and a lack of clarity on Beijing's economic stimulus plans stoked fears about demand. In the U.S. market, energy firms last week added oil and natural gas rigs for the first time in four weeks, according to a closely followed report by energy services firm Baker Hughes. The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose by one to 586 in the week to Oct. 11. The impact of Hurricane Milton boosted short-term demand in the U.S. as evacuations supported gasoline consumption, but weak demand dominated the fundamentals outlook. Oil major BP posted a $600 million drop in its third-quarter profit on Friday because of weak refining margins amid a slowdown in global oil use.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, Baker Hughes, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, National Bureau of Statistics, China Ministry of Finance Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, East, Florida, The U.S, Iran, Israel, Hurricane

☆ 5 reasons why inflation will be stickier than expected going forward, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.

Persons: —, Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian

☆ Russia's oil trade is rising as record volumes of Russian crude are carried on 'dark fleet' vessels
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

According to Clearview Energy Partners, Russian crude prices over the last four weeks have averaged about six cents below the Brent crude price. Record volumes of sanctioned Russian oil were carried by the "dark fleet" and known sanctioned tankers without known insurance over September, according to a recent report from Lloyd's List. The Price Cap Coalition continues to engage with industry to ensure compliance with the price cap and to increase Putin's costs of going outside it." The increased use of dark fleet vessels comes with greater maritime safety and environmental risks. Insurance giant Allianz said in May that dark fleet tankers had been linked to more than 50 accidents.

Persons: Kevin Book, Vortexa, Avebury, Andy Lipow, Putin, Lipow Organizations: Windward, Clearview Energy Partners, CNBC, European Union, Brent, Intelligence, Iranian Tanker Co, U.S . Office, Foreign, Control, Lipow Oil Associates, Treasury, Kremlin, Coalition, Group, Insurance, Allianz Locations: Morocco, U.S, Ukraine, Australia, India, China, Russian, Barbados, Seychelles, UAE, Avebury Shipmanagement . Greece, Russia, United States, Iran, Israel, Straits, Hormuz, Canada, Guyana

☆ Russia pitches trading centers in a widening plan to move away from the US-dominated global financial order
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Russia is proposing alternative payment systems and commodity centers. Challenges include entrenched dollar dominance and existing global trading systems' liquidity. Other than championing alternative payment systems based in non-dollar currencies, Russia is also pitching the set-up of centers for mutual trade in commodity resources. Moving BRICS trade to trading centers within the bloc would also involve the use of local currencies and facilitate a move away from using the dollar for trade, according to the document. Russia faces an uphill battle in changing the basics of dollar-dependent financial trading systems.

Persons: —, Yakov, Brent Organizations: Service, Russia's Finance Ministry, Partners, Tass, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Grain, country's Agriculture Ministry, Brent, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Russian, Pakistan, Kazan, masse, Scotland

☆ Oil eases though investors wary over potential Mideast supply disruption
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil eased on Friday after a rally the previous day, but prices remained set for a second straight weekly gain as investors weighed the impact of hurricane damage on U.S. demand against any broad supply disruption if Israel attacks Iranian oil sites. Brent crude oil futures fell 39 cents, or 0.5%, to $79.01 a barrel by 0152 GMT. "Oil prices are likely to hover around the current 200-day average levels, with the primary concern being whether Israel will retaliate against Iranian oil facilities," he said. Crude benchmarks spiked this month after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel on Oct. 1, raising the prospect of retaliation against Iranian oil facilities. Israel has yet to respond, and crude benchmarks have eased and remained relatively flat through the week.

Persons: Hurricane Milton, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Brent, WTI, Yoav Gallant Organizations: . West Texas, NS, Nissan Securities, Israeli, Hezbollah, Reuters, National Oil Corporation Locations: Norway, Brent, United States, Hurricane, Florida, Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Hamas, Gaza, Yemen, Beirut, Gulf, Washington

☆ Iran is threatening to break its fragile truce with Saudi Arabia: reports
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Iran has threatened to attack Saudi oil sites if the Gulf state supports an Israeli attack. AdvertisementThe fragile truce between longtime regional rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia could unravel if Gulf states allow Israel to use their airspace to strike Iran. He reportedly told the officials that Iranian-backed militias in Iraq or the Houthi militia in Yemen could be deployed against Saudi Arabia. It named Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, all of which host US military bases, as countries Iran has threatened with reprisals. GetyAn Iranian attack would likely upend the truce brokered between Iran and Saudi Arabia by China in 2023 that saw the longtime rivals establish diplomatic contacts.

Persons: Abbas Araghchi, —, Ali Shihabi, Jordan, Naftali Bennet, they'd, Mohammed bin Salman's, may've, hasn't, Brent, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: Iranian Foreign Affairs, Reuters, Service, Iran, Foreign, Saudi, Street, United Arab, Hamas, European Council for Foreign Relations, Opec Locations: Iran, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Riyadh, Islamic Republic, Iraq, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Lebanon, Syria, Gulf, Iranian, China, Ukraine

☆ Oil oversupply could send prices tumbling in 2025, energy analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Oil could see a decline to a "much, much" lower price, according to crude analyst Tom Kloza. Oversupply will weigh on oil prices in 2025, Kloza predicted. AdvertisementThe oil market is headed into a troubled year in 2025, and crude prices may fall "much, much" lower, according to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at Oil Price Information Service. The oil analyst said crude prices would experience more downward pressure in 2025 despite concerns that conflict in the Middle East could escalate and send prices higher. "It was pointing lower, and I think it's still pointing lower.

Persons: Tom Kloza, Kloza, —, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Service, Oil Price Information Service, Traders, CNBC, Energy Information Administration, Giants, Jets Locations: Saudi Arabia, Iraq

☆ Oil prices rise on Israel-Iran conflict fears and U.S. storm
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Thursday on concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East, with Israel planning to strike oil-producer Iran, and on spikes in fuel demand as a major storm barreled into Florida. The world's largest oil producer and consumer has been hit by a second major storm, Hurricane Milton, which made landfall on Florida's west coast, spawning tornadoes and threatening surges of seawater. The storm has already driven up demand for gasoline in the state, with about a quarter of fuel stations selling out of supplies, which has helped support crude prices. Further underpinning prices, investors remained wary of a potential escalation in tensions between Israel and Iran, with Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant promising an Israeli strike against Iran would be "lethal, precise and surprising". Even with threats to the oil-producing Middle Eastern region top of mind, weak demand continues to underpin the fundamental outlook.

Persons: Iran, Hurricane Milton, Yoav Gallant, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, Israeli, U.S . Energy, Administration, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute Locations: Israel, Florida, U.S, Hurricane, Florida's, Iran, China, North America

☆ Oil prices steady after sliding on potential Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices steadied in Asian trading on Wednesday, as traders weighed uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East conflict against continued bearish fundamentals. Brent crude futures rose 11 cents, or 0.14%, to $77.29 a barrel by 02:23 GMT. Prices had plunged more than 4% in the previous session on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, but markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iran's oil infrastructure. Hezbollah officials on Tuesday appeared to back off from a truce in Gaza as a condition for a ceasefire in Lebanon. The U.S. EIA on Tuesday downgraded its 2024 forecast for global oil demand growth by 20,000 barrels per day (bpd), to 103.1 million bpd, because of weaker industrial production and manufacturing growth in the U.S. and China.

Persons: Hezbollah's, Naim Qassem, Hurricane Milton, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Macquarie, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, U.S, EIA, IG . Florida Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, U.S, China, Hurricane, Coast, Tampa

☆ Why oil and gas markets are dreading the risk of supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In 2022, oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz averaged 21 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Saul Kavonic, senior research analyst at MST Financial, said supply disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices significantly higher. Oil prices traded more than 3% on Monday, extending gains even after notching their sharpest weekly gain since early 2023 last week. "But seeing where the oil price sits right now the market doesn't seem to hold much probability for such a development at all," he added. "A significant disruption to these flows would be enough to push oil prices to new record highs, surpassing the record high of close to $150/bbl in 2008," he added.

Persons: Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, CNBC's, Iraq —, Gelder, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic, Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB, Brent, Schieldrop, Warren Patterson, Patterson Organizations: Nurphoto, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Energy, Brent, U.S, West Texas, ING, bbl, United Arab Emirates, Space Shuttle Columbia Locations: Persian, Bushehr, Iran, Hormuz, Oman, Strait, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, UAE, Gulf, Muscat

☆ Brent could hit around $87 per barrel by year-end: UBS Global Wealth Management
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBrent could hit around $87 per barrel by year-end: UBS Global Wealth ManagementWayne Gordon of UBS Global Wealth Management discusses the impact of the Middle East conflict and China's stimulus on the global oil market.

Persons: Brent, UBS Global Wealth Management Wayne Gordon Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Oil edges lower after rallying to highest in over a month on Middle East war risk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An oil pumpjack (L) operates as another (R) stands idle in the Inglewood Oil Field on January 28, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. Oil prices edged lower in early Asian trading hours on Tuesday as traders booked profits after prices rallied to their highest in over a month on Monday amid fears that the Middle East could be on the brink of a region-wide war. Israel has sworn to retaliate and is weighing its options, with Iran's oil facilities considered a possible target. However, some analysts believe that an attack on Iranian oil infrastructure is unlikely and have warned that oil prices could face considerable downward pressure if Israel focuses on any other target. U.S. crude oil inventories are expected to rise by 1.9 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 4, according to a preliminary Reuters poll.

Persons: Israel, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Inglewood Oil Field, . West Texas, Organization of Petroleum, ANZ Bank, American Petroleum Institute, Energy, Administration Locations: Inglewood, Los Angeles , California, Middle, Iran, Haifa, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Hurricane, Florida, U.S . Gulf of Mexico, .

☆ Strait of Hormuz: A 21-mile-wide channel is key to cheap gas. It’s under threat
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —Global oil prices have spiked in recent days as the conflict in the Middle East has reached fever pitch. They could rise yet further if Israel’s widening war embroils the vital Strait of Hormuz off Iran’s southern coast. About one-fifth of the world’s global oil trade passes through the strait every day, notes Simone Tagliapietra, a senior fellow at Brussels-based think tank Bruegel. It also accounts for about a quarter of the world’s daily trade in liquefied natural gas. But if oil trade through the critical Strait of Hormuz wobbles, prices could soar above $100 a barrel, according to research firm ClearView Energy Partners, sending gasoline prices surging.

Persons: Simone Tagliapietra, Hassan Nasrallah, Yoav Gallant, ” Tagliapietra, Brent, Richard Bronze, “ Organizations: London CNN —, US Energy Information Administration, Israel’s, CNN Sunday, Israel . West Texas Intermediate, ClearView Energy Partners Locations: Hormuz, Brussels, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, United States, China

The terror attack has helped push the Middle East to the brink of a wider regional war. One year after the massacre, the Middle East has only plunged deeper into violence and is on the brink of a broader war. Globally, the immediate concern is that oil supplies will diminish significantly should conflict spill over to the rest of the Middle East. Everyone but Biden can see this," wrote Andrew Exum, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for Middle East policy, in The Atlantic last week. The global economy on edgeWhen the conflict began a year ago, there were fears that wider conflict in the Middle East could impact the global economy.

Persons: —, Israel, Chuck Frielich, Frielich, Yemen's Houthi, Mohammed Hamoud, barraged, Ammar Safarjalani, Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh, Fuad Shukr, Hasan Nasrallah, Qasem Soleimani, JOSEPH EID, JALAA MAREY, Nasrallah, bode, Benjamin Netanyahu, Carmel Gat, Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Biden, Andrew Exum, Brent, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Israel Defense Forces, Hamas, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, The Washington Institute for Near East, Getty Images Iran, Getty, Israel's, United Nations General Assembly, Citigroup, Iranian, US, Middle, Business, Bank of Israel, Reuters, IMF Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Suez, Aden, Red, Palestine, Syria, Damascus, Xinhua, Tehran, Beirut, Haniyeh, Shukr, Lebanon, AFP, Hezbollah's, United States, Ukraine

☆ Oil pares gains after strongest weekly rise in over a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices pared gains in early trade on Monday after charting their biggest weekly rise in over a year on Friday amid mounting threats of a region-wide war in the Middle East. "However, the oil market will likely continue to face upside pressure due to fears of Israel's retaliation response to Iran. Despite the rally in oil prices last week, the impact of this conflict on oil supply will be relatively small, said ANZ Research in a Monday client note. "We see a direct attack on Iran's oil facilities as the least likely response among Israel's options. "Moreover, we have seen a diminished impact of geopolitical events on oil supply.

Persons: Brent, Tina Teng Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, ANZ Research, OPEC Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Haifa, Russia, Kazakhstan, OPEC

☆ Dollar on a roll after U.S. jobs data and Middle East flare-up
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank notes of the Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Japan's yen fell to its lowest in nearly two months and other major currencies too were grappling with losses early on Monday as the dollar extended a rally sparked by Friday's strong U.S. jobs data and an escalation in the Middle East conflict. But that came on top of a more than 4% decline last week, its biggest weekly percentage decline since early 2009. Yields dipped early last week when investors bought safe-haven Treasuries after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel in escalating geopolitical tensions. Market expectations have swung to the extreme for the Federal Reserve to do just a 25 bps cut in November, rather than 50 bps, following the jobs data.

Persons: Friday's, Chris Weston, haven't, Brent, underperformance, Shigeru Ishiba, Sterling, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, Treasuries, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: China, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Iran, Japan

☆ Brent Crude could rise to $90 a barrel if Israel attacks Iranian export facilities, says RBC's Croft
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBrent Crude could rise to $90 a barrel if Israel attacks Iranian export facilities, says RBC's CroftHelima Croft, RBC global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the impact of an Israeli attack on Iranian oil facilities, where Iran's oil exports are going, and much more.

Persons: RBC's Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC

☆ Israel may not be able to take down Iran's nuclear sites on its own
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Mikhaila Friel | Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

One option would be to take out Iran's nuclear sites — something Biden opposes. A hit on Iran's nuclear facilities could, however, create far graver consequences, potentially including a race by Iran to build a nuclear weapon. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden would not support Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in targeting nuclear sites. As The Financial Times noted, there are more than a thousand miles between Israel and Iran's main nuclear bases. And Iran's nuclear sites present a formidable target, sprawling across various sites, with several of the most sensitive located in heavily fortified underground bunkers.

Persons: Biden, —, Sabet, Joe Biden, Wisam, Benjamin Netanyahu, Jim Watson, Matthew Savill, Robert Dover, Issam, Filipo, Savill Organizations: Service, Geneva Graduate Institute, New York Times, Getty Images Israel, Brent, Reuters, Getty, Financial Times, US Congressional Research Service, Atomic Scientists, Royal United Services Institute, Hull University, EU, UN, University of Bristol Locations: Israel, Iran, It's, Lebanon, Anadolu, Fordow, London, Dover

☆ Why oil prices haven't skyrocketed on Middle East supply fears — yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a major player in the global oil market. It's estimated that as much as 4% of global supply could be at risk if Israel targets Iran's oil facilities. For some analysts, the reason crude prices have yet to move even higher is because the oil market is short. watch nowTamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, told CNBC via email on Thursday that the oil market was pricing in some risk premium given the geopolitical concerns. These fears, however, will be greatly alleviated in [the] coming days unless oil supply from the region or traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are materially impacted," he added.

Persons: Fatemeh, Goldman Sachs, SEB, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, CNBC's, it's, Currie, we've, Amrita Sen, We've, Sen, Joe Biden, Biden, Tamas Varga, " Varga, Benjamin Netanyahu, Masoud Pezeshkian Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Energy, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CNBC, White House, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Persian, Nurphoto Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, Swedish, backwardation, bearishness, U.S, Hormuz, Oman, Tehran, Qatar, Persian, Bushehr, Bushehr province

☆ Wider Middle East conflict threatens the global economy — when the US and China already face headwinds, experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The widening conflict in the Middle East threatens to crimp growth and stoke inflation, experts say. AdvertisementExperts say the escalating war in the Middle East could choke global economic growth and reignite inflation, just as the US is dealing with the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, and China is trying to stabilize its beleaguered economy. "War in the Middle East could exacerbate the instabilities in the global economy, further increase the uncertainties, harm disinflationary efforts, and eventually reduce the global GDP growth," he told Business Insider. AdvertisementKaya warned the conflict could accelerate inflation by disrupting international supply chains and causing the cost of energy and shipping to rise. But he emphasized that hurricanes have historically had limited and short-lived impacts on growth and inflation.

Persons: Helene, —, Hurricane Helene, Ahmet Kaya, Kaya, Brent, Assaf Razin, Eitan Berglas, Oliver Allen, Allen, that's, Duncan Wrigley, China's, Wrigley Organizations: stoke, Service, UK's National Institute of Economic, Social Research, Eitan, of Economics, Tel Aviv University, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Oxford Locations: Hurricane, China, Israel, Iran, Oxford, China China, Beijing

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