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Then there's the upside progress made in the third quarter without the leadership of super-cap tech – the equal-weighted S & P 500 is up nearly 9% since June 30 and the Nasdaq 100 up less than 2%. Goldman Sachs here plots the S & P 500 forward P/E at the time of each initial rate cut in a cycle. For sure, a breather would make sense for the broad market, with the S & P 500 up 11 of the past 15 days. In either case, it's a notable deviation from the story of placid strength being told by the S & P 500 itself. The median Wall Street strategist target for the S & P 500 is now well below the current index level, usually not something one sees at an ultimate market peak.
Persons: Scott Chronert, isn't, Goldman Sachs, it's, John Kolovos, Bitcoin's Organizations: Nasdaq, Citi, Fed Locations: China
He was surprised — Kenrick told my coworker, "There's no way. My brother and I are extremely closeGrowing up, my brother Andrew Matamoros and I were always very close. My brother and my husband also knew, of course, and the wedding videographer and photographer were in on it so they could capture the moment. But I was also so happy to share the day with my brother and his now-wife. I wouldn't have shared my wedding day with anyone else.
Persons: Rebekah Matamoros, Kenrick Roach, Kenrick, — Kenrick, we've, Andrew Matamoros, Andrew, Jinnese, Bro Organizations: Service, LinkedIn Locations: Houston, Singapore, Jinnese Matamoros, Jinnese
The rally in US stocks took a breather on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. Major indexes wobbled and bond yields were slightly higher. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Major stock averages pulled back slightly after notching a series of record-highs since last week's rate cut, while bond yields edged up slightly. "Traders will be curious to hear more thoughts on the rate cut and any guidance on further monetary policy easing."
Persons: , Powell, Hogan, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, US Treasury Market Conference, Federal
New all-time highs in the S & P 500 have been welcomed by investors in the wake of the Federal Reserve going big on their first rate cut. The SPDR S & P 500 (SPY) is up nearly 20% year to date, I want to spend some of my remarkable 2024 profits on downside protection in the event a breather to the rally or a downturn is imminent. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year-to-date Measuring risk is always a challenge, specifically when various headwinds exist at the same time. Additionally, this is the richest valuation we have seen in quite some time with the S & P 500 trading at 24 times. I will look to potentially buy the $591 call if we see a 2% move lower in the S & P 500.
Persons: Jamie Dimon Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
Country music superstar Zach Bryan is in treacherous waters with Taylor Swift's fan-base after drunkenly posting a preference for Kanye "Ye" West over her on X. Before going dark, Bryan attempted to save his reputation, posting, "guys I love Taylor, was listening to TTPD ['The Tortured Poets Department'] last night and thank you aimee came on and I drunkenly tweeted that about Kanye. I love Taylor's music and pray you guys know I'm human and tweet stupid things often. He also responded to a fan asking him his favorite Swift song, saying, "August, for sure." Representatives for Bryan and Swift did not immediately respond to NBC News requests for comment.
Persons: Zach Bryan, Taylor Swift's, Kanye, Taylor, Travis Kelce, Bryan, aimee, Aimee, Kim Kardashian, Kardashian, I’ve, I’m, I've, Swift, Tim McGraw, Swift hasn't Organizations: Kansas City Chiefs, Poets Department, Kanye, Swift, Twitter, Department, NBC Locations: North West, Ye, Bourbon, Kentucky
On another intractable issue, the Israel-Hamas war, Harris was strong on aspiration, vague on specifics and seemed to fall on both sides of the issue. Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris debate for the first time at the National Constitution Center on September 10, 2024, in Philadelphia. And Harris might be smart to avoid taking positions that could scare off disaffected Republicans and moderate suburban voters she’s seeking to win over. Voters want to know more about HarrisStill, recent polls show that the vice president has a window of opportunity to court voters who want to learn more about her. … She needs to be more direct.”From left to right, second gentleman Doug Emhoff, Vice President Kamala Harris, Minnesota first lady Gwen Walz and Minnesota Gov.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump —, Harris, , , Biden, she’s, Bill Clinton, Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Trump, , chunky, Joe Biden, it’s, Donald Trump, Win McNamee, Getty, , Harris ’, Dick Cheney, Liz Cheney, “ Kamala Harris, ” Linda Rooney, Nikki Haley, CNN’s John King, Rooney, Antonio Munoz, I’ve, ” Munoz, King, Doug Emhoff, Gwen Walz, Tim Walz, Angela Weiss, She’s, ” Harris, Hillary Clinton scoffed, ” Clinton, Kara Swisher ” Organizations: CNN —, Democratic, Tuesday’s National Association of Black Journalists, Oval, Republican, National Constitution Center, Biden, Wyoming, New York Times, Siena College, CNN, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Trump, Minnesota Gov, Pittsburgh International Airport, Getty Locations: Israel, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Philadelphia, Ukraine, doesn’t, Nevada, Minnesota, generalities, Harris
Gold hovers near record high ahead of Fed rate verdict
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee puts gold bullions into a safe deposit box at Degussa shop in SingaporeGold prices hovered near a record high on Tuesday, ahead of the anticipated start of the U.S. interest rate reduction cycle, which could see policymakers deliver an outsized cut. Spot gold was steady at $2,581.68 per ounce as of 0254 GMT. Bullion rose to a record high of $2,589.59 on Monday. Goldman Sachs reiterated its optimistic outlook on gold prices. "We find that ETF holdings backed by physical gold continue to rise gradually as the Fed policy rate comes down," it said in a note on Monday.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, there's, Nicholas Frappell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, ABC Refinery, Palladium Locations: Singapore, ., U.S .
More analysts are recommending "defensive" shares over AI plays as macro conditions change. With some questioning the AI rally, investors could benefit from non-tech growth companies, an analyst said. Similar to BofA's call, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson last week called the AI theme "overcooked" and said investors should shift to defensive shares. But in tune with what others had said, Diton also touted that utilities stocks as one meaningful investment to make right now. As bullish on AI as he may be, he warned that the market has become extremely concentrated in tech's leading names, and investors need to diversify.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brad Conger, Hirtle Callaghan, Conger, Morgan Stanley's Wilson, Eric Diton, Diton Organizations: Service, Nvidia, P Global Semiconductor, Bank of America, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Wealth Alliance, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In a little over a week, the index sank from near 5,670 to under 5,400 as the mega-cap tech stocks that drove the market higher suddenly sold off. Advertisement"You have to get involved in stocks; you have to be invested in the US equity market," Salama told Business Insider. However, the trader isn't abandoning his bullish view on mega-cap tech stocks. AdvertisementStoltzfus agrees that the market's favorite stocks, including those tied to artificial intelligence, aren't wildly overvalued, as some bears have argued.
Persons: , John Salama, he's, Salama, There's, John Stoltzfus, who's, Stoltzfus, I've, Trump, Biden, Harris, Parris, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Labor, Oppenheimer Asset Management, House, Shmump, Dell Technologies
Dollar, yen hold tight ranges ahead of BOJ, Fed
  + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The Japanese currency was taking a breather from its recent rally as the BOJ began its two-day meeting on Tuesday, having surged over 2% against the dollar last week. The Fed is widely expected to stand pat this week, but markets are betting the U.S. central bank will begin cutting rates at the following meeting in September. Investors will be listening for any hints that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may drop on how soon policymakers are prepared to cut rates at his press conference.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, Index's Simpson, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's Locations: U.S
If featuring in Instagram posts was an Olympic sport, Hanson’s hunk would win gold. International Olympic CommitteeArtistic and Olympic feats have been bound together since the dawn of the modern games in the late 19th century. Pierre de Coubertin, the founder of the International Olympic Committee, was influenced by the culture of ancient Greece, in which sport was an art. The posters for the Paris games — which are not at Gagosian — have been commissioned from both French and international artists and highlight a move towards emerging and women artists. International Olympic Committee“We had a very nice experience in Paris with Luc Abalo, the French multi-medallist in handball.
Persons: de Castiglione, Duane Hanson’s, , hunk, Andy Warhol, Ray, Andreas Gursky, Takashi Murakami, Duane Hanson's, Thomas Lannes, Gagosian, Notre, Elsa Favreau, , there’s, Degas, Giacometti, Favreau, Andreas Gursky’s, Thomas Lannes One, Warhol’s, Muhammad Ali, Chris Evert, Pelé, ” Favreau, Takeshi Murakami, Kylian, David Hockney, Pablo Picasso, Roy Lichtenstein, Tracey Emin, Hockney, Lichtenstein, Howard Hodgkin, Pierre Soulages, Picasso’s, , Robert Rauschenberg’s, Yasmin Meichtry, Pierre de Coubertin, Meichtry, watercolourists, “ There’s, Rachel Whiteread's, Luc Abalo Organizations: Paris CNN, Olympic Museum, Olympic, Paralympic Games, Olympic Refuge Foundation, Los, Olympic Foundation for Culture and Heritage, International Olympic Committee, Olympics, Paris Locations: Gagosian’s Paris, de, Lausanne, France, Netherlands, de Ponthieu, Gagosian, Munich, Los Angeles, Seoul, London, Greece, Paris, Olympism, Arrondissement, , Mexico,
Read previewInvestors should stay on guard as this market rally loses steam, a veteran strategy chief says. The investment chief and the chief market strategist signaled in April that US equities had an attractive risk-reward setup after a 5.5% selloff. "All those factors combined suggest maybe a choppier market, even though we still think the long-term bull market is intact," Lerner said. "In the fall, I think investors will eventually come back to tech because I still think that's the main secular theme of this bull market," Lerner said. "But I don't know that this is a game changer for this bull market where small caps will be leadership."
Persons: , Truist's Keith Lerner, Lerner, Truist, Truist Lerner, he's, you've, isn't, haven't Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
Goldman Sachs is warning clients of a summer correction in the stock market as economic growth slows down and political risks rise. The S & P 500 is up about 16% year to date, just 2% off its record high. Goldman said it sees increasing risk of a correction. Typically, a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown from a recent high in the S & P 500 and a bear market equals to a 20% pullback. The S & P 500 is currently off 2% from its recent high.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Goldman, Goldman doesn't, pare Organizations: Dow
An assumable mortgage allows qualifying buyers to acquire the interest rate, current principal balance, and other conditions of a seller's existing loan. In June, we bought it for $400,000, assuming the seller's mortgage at a 2.75% interest rate with 26 years left on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The assumable mortgage process was actually straightforwardBefore starting the assumption, we thought it would be very difficult. It seemed that they were trying to steer us away from the assumable mortgage and toward getting a new one. They even offered us a lower interest rate below the current rate, but it was still significantly higher than what I was getting through this assumable process.
Persons: , Brian Sankey, We've, wouldn't, Sankey, Taryn Root, Brian Koellish, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Veterans United, Loans Locations: Kentucky, Elizabethtown, Fort Knox , Kentucky, Elizabethtown , Kentucky
Few voices in markets have matched Ives' zeal for tech stocks in recent years. "The AI revolution is the strongest tech trend we've seen in 40 years," Ives said. "And anyone that thinks different will be proven wrong because the growth is so outsized in the tech sector." 11 tech stocks to buy nowWhile Wedbush is bullish about tech broadly, Ives and his colleagues are most excited about 11 stocks that are either exceptional tech giants or leading cybersecurity companies. Below are those 11 stocks along with the ticker, market capitalization, price target, and upside to that target for each.
Persons: , Dan Ives, Ives, monetization Organizations: Service, Wedbush Securities, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Wall, Tech
"The beginning of bull markets has this really incredible trajectory," Demmert said in a recent interview. AdvertisementA slew of catalysts, including investors' fear of missing out, will drive the S&P 500 to 6,000 by year's end, Demmert predicted. "This whole thing ends, eventually, very ugly, but I think that's years away — not months," Demmert said. So we start a new business cycle; new bull market. AdvertisementEconomic cycles usually go for seven to eight years, Demmert said, and this bull market began two Octobers ago.
Persons: , James Demmert, Demmert, I'm, inflation's, there's, We're, that's, Scott Organizations: Service, Main, Research, Business, Federal Reserve, Bears Locations: Wall, Japan, India, China
Sure enough, the S&P 500 rallied another 7.2%, ending 2023 up 24.2%. BMO Capital MarketsInvestors would love a similar outcome after a 14.5% first-half gain, which ranks in the 82nd percentile historically, according to BMO. History is on stocks' side in the second halfIn the last seven-and-a-half decades, the S&P 500 has risen 10% to 15% a dozen other times. Chances are, the relatively tame 5.5% slide the S&P 500 experienced in March and April won't be the biggest pullback of the year. Advertisement"Extended valuation remains a hot topic, but a closer inspection reveals that levels may not be as severe as are being advertised," Belski wrote.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Brian Belski, Belski, Stocks, Oppenheimer Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, Business, BMO Capital, BMO, UBS, Markets, Tech, Trade Locations: The Montreal, New York, US
Green day : A lot was working in the stock market on Friday. But it was hard to see through an ugly rotation out of this year's Big Tech winners in favor of more interest rate-sensitive stocks. Many of our hot tech stocks took a breather this week. It's more evidence of why Jim Cramer calls these two names "own, don't trade" stocks. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Russell, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Wells Fargo, NII, toolmaker Stanley Black, Decker, Morgan Stanley, That's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Federal, Nasdaq, PPI, Fed, Meta, Nvidia, Apple, Ford, Abbott Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Financial, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Morphic, Wells, New York City, Mairo
BTIG shared its newest additions to its list of top stock picks heading into the second half of 2024. With this backdrop in mind, BTIG shared its list of top stock picks going into the second half of the year. However, analyst Janine Stichter's $425 price target implies that shares could rise about 42% from Friday's close. Her price target of $156 is approximately 37% higher than the stock's Friday closing price of $113.69. Other existing names on BTIG's list of top stock picks include Steve Madden , Block and Domino's Pizza .
Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Russell, Krinsky, Janine Stichter's, LULU, Northrop Grumman, Andre, Madrid, Marie Thibault, Thibault, Okta, Gray Powell, Steve Madden Organizations: Aerospace, Northrop, of Locations: Friday's
There may not be much upside left this year in the S & P 500, at least according to the paid seers on Wall Street. The S & P 500 is up 15% so far in 2024, while the Nasdaq has added 18%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 In fact, the S & P 500 is anticipated to stall even with a flurry of strategists recently upping their targets. Similarly, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel anticipates the S & P 500 could end the year at 6,000 , the highest forecast in CNBC's survey. By year end, Lakos-Bujas anticipates the S & P 500 will fall to 4,200, or a more than 20% plunge.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, buybacks, Russell, Piper Sandler, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC PRO, Deutsche Bank, Tech, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Nvidia
Crude oil futures fell Tuesday as the recent rally took a breather, with traders watching tensions on the Israel-Lebanon border and summer fuel demand. U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent are ahead 5.5% and 4.9%, respectively, for the month as prices have bounced back from May doldrums on a more optimistic outlook for summer fuel demand. Here are today's energy prices:Geopolitical tensions are also back in focus amid fears that Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah could go to war. Oil prices hit annual highs in April as Israel and Iran teetered on the brink of war, stoking fears that a wider conflict could engulf the Middle East and disrupt crude supplies. But McKay also said the oil rally could fade with funds likely to start liquidating long positions if WTI prices fall below $81 per barrel.
Persons: doldrums, Israel, CQ Brown, John Evans, Evans, Ryan McKay, McKay Organizations: Brent, Hezbollah, Air Force, Sunday, Israel, TD Securities Locations: McKittrick, Kern County , California, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Gaza
Nvidia (NVDA) is finally showing signs of profit-taking, suggesting that the entire technology sector might be ready for a breather. This could present many bearish trading setups in various stocks because of the influence Nvidia has had leading the AI bubble. For now, let's focus on making a bearish trade in the Invesco QQQ Trust , an ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 index. The Trade The trade structure I have chosen here is called a Bear Call Spread also known as a Call Credit Spread. As long as QQQ stays below $483 in the next 17 days, this trade will return a 38% ROI on the money risked.
Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Nvidia, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
US stocks finished the week higher even as the AI trade showed signs of exhaustion. Some economists are calling on the Fed to cut interest rates in July as the risk of a recession grows. AdvertisementUS stocks closed mixed on Friday but finished the week higher even as the artificial intelligence trade showed signs of stumbling. Leading the market higher this week was the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which was up nearly 2%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 finished the week higher by about one-half of a percent.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Claudia Sahm, Sahm, I'm Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Broadcom, Dell, Federal Reserve, CNBC
Gold ticks up as Fed rate cut bets burnish appeal
  + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
old prices edged higher on Wednesday after softer U.S. retail sales data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday after softer U.S. retail sales data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. Data released on Tuesday showed U.S. retail sales barely rose in May, suggesting that economic activity remained lackluster in the second quarter. Further economic weakness may offer a lift for gold prices." Gold prices have entered a consolidation phase after hitting a record high of $2,449.89 on May 20.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Tim Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Federal, KCM
The S&P 500 is likely to fall at least 5% in the coming months, one strategist predicted. CFRA's Sam Stovall said a pullback tends to follow a great first quarter for the benchmark index. On the bright side, Stovall said the S&P's full-year gain is usually over 20% after a stellar start. AdvertisementBrace for stocks to take a breather and retreat by at least 5% after a breathless start to the year, one strategist warned. The S&P 500 surged by more than 10% in the first quarter.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, , Brace, Sam Stovall, CFRA Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street, CFRA Locations: Friday's
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