Odds of a "no landing" scenario for the economy are rising amid continued strong economic data.
The "no landing" scenario entails a continued run of hot economic data and growth that boosts markets but also precludes a steep rate-cutting cycle from the Federal Reserve.
According to Cox, that means that short-term interest rates will drop to around 3% in the no landing scenario, even if long-term rates remain elevated.
AdvertisementAfter all, a no landing scenario is the best outcome for the economy, Cox said, and given hot growth, the situation effectively tosses recession fears out the window.
This would be just the fourth time in US history that the Fed has cut interest rates without a downturn, he added.
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