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☆ Why nobody knows who will win the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Almost two weeks to Election Day, I feel more uncertain about this year’s result than any election I’ve covered professionally. Many Republicans are hoping that the close polling points to a blowout win for Trump next month. If we had a polling miss like two years ago, Harris would probably win over 300 electoral votes. Jonathan Drake/ReutersYou might be tempted to guess the direction of a potential polling miss by the macro trends. Ironically, only 24% of those undecided voters agree that this election is the most important of their lifetime.

Persons: I’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, it’s, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, we’ve, Jonathan Drake, he’d, pollsters, underperformed, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Let’s, Nebraska’s, Republicans, New York Times, Siena College, Pennsylvania, Keystone State, Republican, Black, Democratic Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Asheville , North Carolina, Keystone, Pennsylvania

CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump collided Friday in Michigan, both barnstorming the state as they wage a tight battle for its potentially decisive 15 Electoral College votes. He said he’d boost American auto manufacturing by slapping steep tariffs on imported vehicles. Rebecca Cook/ReutersBattle for Arab American votersTrump on Friday visited a campaign office in Hamtramck, which has a large Muslim and Arab American population. Trump has courted auto workers in Michigan with pledges to impose steep tariffs on vehicles imported from Mexico and China. Detroiters don’t give up on each other or their city, something Donald Trump will never understand,” Whitmer says in the 30-second spot.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, ’, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Biden, Hillary Clinton, Rebecca Cook, Amer Ghalib, Benjamin Netanyahu, ”, ” Harris, Assad Turfe, Yahya Sinwar, “, Shawn Fain, “ He’s, Reuters Trump, he’d, Trump’s, Gretchen Whitmer’s, “ Donald Trump, Detroiters don’t, ” Whitmer, Detroit “, CNN’s Ali, Ethan Cohen Organizations: CNN, Electoral, Trump, White House, Michigan, Biden, Democratic, Michigan —, Reuters, Arab American voters Trump, United Auto Workers, Motor, Economic, ” Michigan Democratic Gov, Hell PAC, Detroit Locations: Michigan, Oakland County, Detroit, Waterford Township, Grand Rapids, Western Michigan, Kent County, Lansing, Auburn Hills, . Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Gaza, Waterford Township , Michigan, Hamtramck, Arab, Wayne County, Lebanon, Israel, Mexico, China, America

She frequently advertises Republicans for Harris, a group that includes the late senator’s son Jim McCain, former Sen. Jeff Flake and Mesa Mayor John Giles. Maricopa County, home of Phoenix, accounts for about two-thirds of Arizona voters, including many of those disaffected Republicans who are well-educated center-right voters. Harris praises McCain in Arizona campaign stopsIn a campaign swing through Arizona last week, Harris fondly — and repeatedly — spoke of McCain and lavished praise on his ACA vote. “It required one more vote to keep it intact, and that vote was the late, great John McCain,” Harris said in Chandler, just outside Phoenix. The Trump campaign dismissed Harris’ GOP outreach as a mirage.

Persons: PHOENIX, Kamala Harris, vanquishing Donald Trump, Sen, John McCain, Joe Biden, Harris, “, Barrett Marson, ” Marson, Donald Trump, ” Harris, Trump, Jim McCain, Jeff Flake, Mesa Mayor John Giles, ” Jen Cox, we’ve, Arizonans, McCain, ” Giles, Giles, Kyrsten, Mark Kelly’s, Kelly’s, Sinema, —, I’ll, Kelly, ”, Rachel Reisner, Cox, Nikki Haley, Marson, Trump’s, ” Cox, ” “ Arizonans, Ruben Gallego, Gallego, Kari Lake, ” Gallego, I’m Organizations: GOP, McCain, Department, Republicans, McCain Republicans, Mesa Mayor, NBC News, Republican, Trump, Democrats, Democrat, Democratic, Green Party, Democratic Party, New York Times, Siena College, Biden, Arizona, Department of Education, Senate Locations: Arizona, Phoenix, Maricopa County, playbook Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Mesa, Trump, Chandler, Pima County, Tucson

☆ Trump insults Harris at Al Smith dinner while she barnstorms Wisconsin and mocks his ‘father of IVF’ claims
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Gregory Krieg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

And now the man calls himself the father of IVF,” Harris said on Thursday, recalling Trump’s remark at an all-women’s town hall. Exit polls in 2020 showed Biden — who’d become the nation’s second Catholic president — finishing with a 5-point lead over Trump with Catholic voters. After wishing Adams “good luck,” Trump repeated the familiar canard that the Justice Department indicted Adams over the mayor’s criticism of the Biden administration’s border policy. “You’re going to win, I think you’re going to win, I know you’re going to win, so good luck,” Trump told Adams. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks a a rally at Resch Expo on October 17, 2024 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris ’, Al Smith, Harris –, Joe Biden, ” Harris, Trump, gaslighting, ”, New York Cardinal Timothy Dolan, Melania Trump, Letitia James, Woody Johnson, Michael Bloomberg, Harris, Biden — who’d, —, Hillary Clinton, Pope Francis, “, There’s, ” Trump, Kamala Harris, Chuck Schumer, Harris ’, Tim Walz, I’ve, Eric Adams, Adams, “ You’re, He’s, Biden, Scott Olson, Luke, Molly Shannon, Live’s ” Mary Katherine Gallagher Organizations: CNN, Catholic, GOP, Univision, New York, Trump, New York Jets, White, Minnesota Gov, New York City, Justice Department, Biden, Detroit Locations: New York City, Wisconsin, Manhattan, New York, Green Bay , Wisconsin, Detroit, Motor

☆ Opinion | The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Patrick Ruffini | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +7 min

Opinion Guest Essay The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election Sebastian Siadecki for The New York TimesIn almost every presidential battleground state, polling suggests something close to a dead heat between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. For Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump, each could be a crucial building block in a winning swing-state coalition. In 2016, with Mr. Trump in the race, these areas began to march to national trends: Rural areas trended Republican, while Milwaukee’s well-off, close-in suburbs zoomed left. Still, loyalties remain potent in Wisconsin, from Democratic-leaning, ancestrally Scandinavian voters in the state’s rural west to middle-class suburban Republicans outside Milwaukee. Mr. Trump lost Nash County by just 0.2 points in 2020 and Wilson County by three points.

Persons: Sebastian Siadecki, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump ., Harris, Trump, Nate Silver’s, Joe Biden, Badger State . Arizona Battlegrounds, Mark Kelly, Biden, Trump’s, Patrick Ruffini Organizations: The New York Times, Pennsylvania, Keystone, Philadelphia, Democratic, Milwaukee —, Washington, Mr, Republican, Republicans, Milwaukee, Badger State, Senate, Northampton, “ Party of, Populist Coalition Locations: America, Pennsylvania, Appalachia, Philadelphia, Philadelphia’s, . Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Milwaukee — Waukesha, Ozaukee, Badger, Badger State . Arizona, Arizona, Phoenix, Florida and Texas, . North Carolina, North Carolina, Southern, Nash, Rocky, Wilson, Wilson County, Nash County, Northampton, Erie, Bethlehem, Georgia, Brown County, Green Bay, Outagamie County, Appleton, Winnebago County, Oshkosh, Maricopa County

Vice President Kamala Harris will make campaign stops in Milwaukee, La Crosse and Green Bay, Wisconsin on Thursday as she continues to campaign across Blue Wall states, according to a campaign official. The vice president will then travel to La Crosse where she will hold a rally at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse in an effort to engage young voters. Harris will wrap up her day with a rally in Green Bay, alongside Wisconsin leaders. Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. President Joe Biden won back the White House in 2020 by recapturing all three states by a combined margin of around 260,000 votes.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Harris ’, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Read, CNN’s Ronald Brownstein Organizations: Blue Wall, University of Wisconsin -, University of Wisconsin, Wisconsin, White House Locations: Milwaukee, La Crosse, Green Bay , Wisconsin, University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee, Green Bay, Badger, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania

The anxiety abated for a bit when Vice President Kamala Harris replaced him on the ticket and her poll numbers spiked. With Harris' numbers stagnant now for weeks, many Democrats are once again fretting that the election is slipping away and that Donald Trump may yet regain power. Harris appears to be OK with the collective jitters, recognizing that if Democrats fear they might lose, they're more apt to show up at the polls and help her win. Polling shows that neither Harris nor Trump has built a lead outside the margin of error. Claims that Harris is an underdog amount to “a liberal plot to get us overconfident on the Trump side,” he added.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, —, can’t, That’s, “ She’s, she’s, Hillary Clinton, ”, John McLaughlin, “, She’s, ” Harris, Biden, “ You’ve, you’ve, ” David Plouffe, Barack Obama, “ Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, strode, — Obama, — Clinton, Ellen DeGeneres, “ Hamilton, Lin, Manuel Miranda Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, Democratic, Fox News, IGN Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Greenville , North Carolina, Detroit, Erie , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Greenville, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Seattle

☆ Kamala Harris works to fortify the ‘blue wall’ as Democrats fret over a 2016 repeat
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Jeff Zeleny | Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

“It’s both persuading and mobilizing at the same time – really until the end,” said Dan Kanninen, battleground director for the Harris campaign. In Pennsylvania, Harris lacks a key element of Biden’s appeal: The Catholic, working-class son of Scranton had local and cultural ties to the state. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in Washington Crossing, Pennsylvania, on October 16, 2024. “Kamala is for they/them,” a Trump campaign ad declares. But he said it was clear to him that the Harris campaign has learned lessons from 2016.

Persons: Milwaukee CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, lockstep –, Harris, Trump, “, Gretchen Whitmer, Brian Schimming, I’ll, ” Schimming, ” Harris, ”, Liz Cheney, It’s, –, Dan Kanninen, Donald Trump, ” Kanninen, Joe Biden, – Whitmer, Tony Evers, Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania –, “ We’re, ” Evers, Whitmer, Evers, ” Whitmer, Sarah Kloepping, Michael Dukakis, George H.W, Bush, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, “ It’s, they’ve, Barry Burden, Biden, ” Biden, Barack Obama, Kamala, Harris ’, Tim Walz, Walz, Let’s, Howard Stern, Kamala Harris, Evelyn Hockstein, outspending, “ Kamala, Jill Stein, Stein, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, “ She’s, Christine Fink, Fink, “ I’ve, Phil Swanhorst, “ Trump, Clinton, ” Swanhorst, ” CNN’s David Wright Organizations: Milwaukee CNN, CNN, Wisconsin Republican Party, GOP, Democratic, Republicans, Wyoming, Trump ., Pennsylvania, “, ” Michigan, USA, Elections Research, University of Wisconsin -, Philadelphia Democrats ’, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, International Association of Fire Fighters, Democrats, Republican, Trump, Keystone State, Michigan, Green Party, Cornel West, Democratic National Committee, ”, Libertarian Party, Democratic Party Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Lakes, lockstep, Michigan, Wisconsin, Harris, Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Bucks County, Oakland County , Michigan, Waukesha County , Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Tony Evers of Wisconsin, Hudson , Wisconsin, Green Bay , Wisconsin, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Scranton, ”, Dearborn, Gaza, Detroit, Minnesota, Washington Crossing , Pennsylvania, Georgia , North Carolina, Arizona, Trump, Eau Claire, Ireland, Hillary, Eau Claire County

☆ Early voting: What the data can and can’t tell us about Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

CNN —Election Day is a few weeks off, but Americans are voting every day, either early at a polling place or by mail. At CNN, we get access to your early voting data. We don’t see early voting in the volume and the numbers that we saw in 2020. After this conversation took place, Georgia’s election officials announced there had been record-breaking turnout on the first day of early voting in that state. People wait in line to cast their vote during early voting at City Hall in Philadelphia on October 7, 2020.

Persons: Michael Frias, FRIAS, Catalist, it’s, we’re, Donald, Trump, Kamala, Harris, you’ve, you’re, That’s, There’s, who’s, Richard Burkhart, don’t, Gabriella Audi, It’s, banting, they’re Organizations: CNN, Republicans, District of Columbia, Pacific Islanders, Voters, Savannah Civic Center, Savannah Morning, USA, Democrat, Republican Party, Democrats, City Hall, AFP, Getty, Republican Locations: Catalist, United States, ’, Georgia, Savannah, York, California, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, midterms

☆ Many of the small business owners Harris is targeting say they've never heard of a key economic proposal
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Harris has proposed expanding the small business tax deduction ten-fold, from $5,000 to $50,000. Five female entrepreneurs told BI that many small business owners aren't aware of the plan. Only one of them, she said, reached out to inform her about Vice President Kamala Harris' proposal to increase the small business tax deduction tenfold. Oswald thinks that small business advocacy organizations and financial institutions that provide loans should send the word out about candidates' proposals. Related storiesAnne Zimmerman, 71, co-founded one such organization, Small Business for America's Future, in addition to her Ohio-based accounting firm for small businesses.

Persons: Harris, —, Ashley Storck, Kamala Harris, Storck, — she's, Joe Biden, Rhett Buttle, Biden, Hama Hinnawi, Patricia Oswald, Hinnawi, Oswald, Anne Zimmerman, there's, You've, Zimmerman, Taylor McCleneghan, Mary Hansen Organizations: Service, White, Small Business, Business Development Center, Small, America's, Trump, Republican, American University Locations: Madison , Wisconsin, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Chicago

☆ Harris is working hard to court small business owners as some have never heard of a key proposal
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

☆ Why working-class White women could be so decisive this fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, ”, Lake, “, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, –, Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, ”, Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania

Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign laid out what it sees as her path to victory in Pennsylvania in a memo shared exclusively with NBC News ahead of Monday night’s rally in bellwether Erie County. “The Harris campaign’s path to win Pennsylvania capitalizes on Trump’s unprecedented weakness in the suburbs,” the memo, which also highlighted the campaign’s focus on Haley voters, reads. “They can point to the suburbs, but they’re losing ground in places like Philadelphia,” a Trump campaign official said. Kush Desai, the Trump campaign’s Pennsylvania spokesperson, highlighted Obama’s visit as a sign the Harris team was scrambling. Speaking with NBC News, Pennsylvania state Sen. Vincent Hughes said he could “understand the frustration” Obama expressed.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “, Haley, Trump, Brendan McPhillips, Tim Walz, Hillary Clinton, McPhillips, ”, Biden, Elon, It’s, We’ve, Barack, Obama, They’ve, Kush Desai, isn’t, ” Desai, ” Obama, Sen, Vincent Hughes, Let’s, Donald Trump’s, He’s, ” Hughes, it’s Organizations: NBC, Democratic, Pennsylvania, Trump, Philadelphia Inquirer, New York Times, Siena College, Marist College, Biden, Quinnipiac University, Times, Street, Minnesota Gov, America PAC, Trump campaign’s, Black, undecideds, NBC News Locations: Pennsylvania, bellwether Erie County, Siena, reddest, Harris ’ Pennsylvania, Johnstown, Lancaster, Rochester, Philadelphia, Bucks, Luzerne, Beaver, Trump, Pittsburgh

“I really do believe Erie is the top bellwether county in Pennsylvania. Certainly top five in the nation,” Fetterman said, citing its mix of urban and rural areas. Tim Walz, the vice presidential nominee, will campaign this week in Wisconsin and western Pennsylvania, the Harris official said. The Trump campaign is seeking to capitalize on a new wave of polls that indicate Harris’ edge is shrinking. Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg said Harris should work to limit the margins of defeat in rural areas.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Sen, John Fetterman, “, ” Fetterman, Harris, Obama, Josh Shapiro, Fetterman, “ Trump, Taylor, Biden, Governor Walz, Harris can’t, Tuesday’s, Tim Walz, Tony Fabrizio, Chris LaCivita, Susie Wiles, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, Hillary Clinton, Walz, Nikki Haley, Paulette Aniskoff, Liz Cheney, ” Aniskoff Organizations: Pennsylvania, Democratic, Republican, Erie County, Senate, Census, Gov, Trump, Sun, Harris, Black, Minnesota Gov, Congressional, GOP Locations: ERIE, Pa, Erie County, Pennsylvania, “ Pennsylvania, Erie, Lake Erie, Ohio, New York, Pittsburgh, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Detroit, Grand Rapids, Lansing, Oakland County, Milwaukee, La Crosse, Green Bay, Minnesota, Nebraska’s, Omaha, America, California

☆ The blue wall battlegrounds will be won or lost on the economy. Here's where Harris stands in these critical states.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

The trio of blue wall states offer promise to Vice President Harris and former President Trump. She's worked to rally union workers — a key voting bloc — around her campaign. But Loge also pointed to a newly-released Emerson College poll, which showed that Harris' union support varied by state. In the Quinnipiac poll, Michigan voters gave Trump an eight-point edge (53% to 45%) on the economy. And she's aiming to win over voters — especially union workers — in smaller cities where Trump found success in 2016.

Persons: Harris, Trump, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Hillary Clinton, She's, Tim Walz, Clinton, Joe Biden, Republican Party —, Liz Cheney, Biden, she's, Gen Zers, millennials, Donald Trump, Bill Pugliano, Democrats isn't, he's, Biden —, Peter Loge, Loge, Shawn Fain, GEOFF ROBINS, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers, Fain, Gretchen Whitmer, didn't, David Dulio, JIM WATSON Organizations: Trump, Service, Democrats, —, Democratic, White House, Republican Party, Wyoming GOP, Marquette University Law, Quinnipiac University, AFL, CIO, Democratic Party, Biden, School of Media, Public Affairs, George Washington University, Emerson College, Teamsters, United Auto Workers, Getty Images, Democratic Rep, GOP, UAW, Michigan, Center for Civic, Oakland University, New York Times, Siena College, Quinnipiac, Getty Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, West Allis, Wis, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Midwest, White House . Wisconsin, Eau Claire, Madison, Ripon, Wyoming, Flint, Mich, United States, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Johnstown, Wilkes, Barre, Quinnipiac

☆ How abortion rights and immigration are shaping the race for Arizona’s 11 electoral votes
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Jeff Zeleny | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Chandler, Arizona CNN —David Tapia has watched one election after another from the sidelines, unfazed and largely uninterested in politics. Abortion and immigration are driving factors in the election in all corners of the country, but the issues are colliding in Arizona like few other battlegrounds. A proposed constitutional amendment to protect abortion rights is widely expected to prevail, strategists in both parties told CNN. CNNYet not all Trump supporters agree. Nearly 1 of every 4 Arizona voters is expected to be Latino.

Persons: Chandler, Arizona CNN — David Tapia, Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, “, I’m, ”, Tapia, Tucson Mayor Regina Romero, Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, Harry Truman, Vance, ” Vance, Ross D, Roe, Wade, ” Harris, Donna Ross, Harris ’, Laura Dent, Dent, ” Mayra Rodriguez, ” Rodriguez, Jesus, it’s Trump, Candy Purdue, Donald Trump, Go Nakamura, of Jesus Christ, Mesa Mayor John Giles, ” Giles, Doug Emhoff, Veronica Stracqualursi, David Wright Organizations: Arizona CNN, Trump, Tucson Mayor, Democrat, Republican, Tucson Speedway, Franklin, AP, CNN, ” Purdue, Republicans, Democrats outspending Republicans, National Association of Latino, of Jesus, Pew Research Center, Mesa Mayor, Arizona Republicans Locations: Arizona, unfazed, “ Arizona, Prescott, Phoenix, Tucson, Chandler , Arizona, Mexico, Glendale , Arizona

☆ Obama, the ‘hopey-changey guy,’ tries to close the deal for Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

“I am the hopey changey guy so I understand people feeling frustrated, feeling we can do better,” Obama said. Obama slams Trump over false hurricane conspiracy theoriesThe former president on Thursday accused Trump of violating basic American values. “When did that become OK?”But the Trump campaign is not letting go of claims that were debunked even by many Republican state and local officials. At a Harris campaign office, Obama wondered whether the reticence of some “brothers” to support the Democratic nominee came down to sexism. But Democratic concerns about Harris’ campaign are palpable.

Persons: Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, —, Obama, Donald Trump, ” Obama, ”, –, Bill Clinton, Trump, Harris, “, Joe Biden, Obama’s, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, Birtherism, Biden, “ You’ve, ” Sen, JD Vance, CNN’s Edward, Isaac Dovere, He’s, he’s, Hillary Clinton, Quinn Glabicki, Howard, Will Trump Organizations: CNN, White, Democratic, Republican, GOP, —, Univision, Trump, Pittsburgh Locations: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, America, Iowa, US, United States, Nevada, Arizona, Michigan , Wisconsin, Georgia

Harris advisers often publicly dismiss the polls, acknowledging that the race is close and will remain so leading up to Election Day. Others want to focus on mobilizing men and men of color to turn out – a demographic that remains a point of concern among Harris campaign officials. And I am running like the underdog because I am the underdog in this race,” Harris told donors at a fundraiser in late September. “When Black voters are getting inundated by anti-Harris mail, anti-Harris ads, the face-to-face conversations matter even more,” the operative said. Harris campaign surrogates have told CNN that there is also still a lot to do to shore up support among Latinos in the final weeks before Election Day.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris ’, “, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Clinton, ” Brendan McPhillips, John Murtha Johnstown, Andrew Harnik, ” Harris, Dan Kanninen, ”, we’ve, ” Kanninen, –, ” Patrick Murray, Murray, would’ve, ” Murray, Evelyn Hockstein, don’t, outpacing Harris, Anthony West, ” West, Cedric Richmond, ” Richmond, surrogates, “ There’s, Adriano Espaillat, Chuck Rocha, it’s Organizations: CNN, Democratic, “, Democrats, Trump, Pennsylvania, Cambria, Biden, Electoral, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Dort Financial, Reuters, Black, NAACP, White, Department of Justice, Collective PAC, ”, Black Colleges, Universities, Georgia, Former Louisiana Rep, Social Security, ” New York Democratic Locations: Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Cambria County, Pennsylvania, Johnstown , Pennsylvania, Cambria, Monmouth, Dort, Flint , Michigan, Milwaukee, San Francisco, Black, Georgia

The campaign push beginning Friday will take the first lady out west to Arizona and Nevada and through the “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. The Harris team is deploying the first lady to smaller, targeted markets to court undecided voters and to city suburbs as they look to mobilize women voters with less than a month until the election, the source said. Her deployments on behalf of Harris are similar to how she was utilized during her husband’s campaign and for Democrats in the 2022 midterms. Harris’ campaign believes there is a fair amount of undecided voters in areas like Yuma, Carson City and Reno that the first lady can try to reach. Read more about the first lady’s campaign swing.

Persons: Jill Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Beau Biden, Harris ’, She’s, Read Organizations: CNN, Democratic National Convention, Democrats Locations: Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Yuma, Carson City, Reno

☆ How Harris could secure a historic winning record for Democrats in November – and still lose
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

By contrast, the modern day Democrats’ historic success at winning the popular vote hasn’t translated into nearly as much governing power for them. Over this record run of popular vote success, Democrats have already twice lost the Electoral College – and thus the White House – while winning more votes. Amazingly, Republicans won unified control of government in two elections when Democrats won a plurality of the national presidential vote: 2000 and 2016. The Democrats’ popular vote winning stretch began in 1992 with Clinton’s victory over George H.W. The highest share of the popular vote Democrats have won over this period is the 52.9% that Obama garnered in 2008.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D, Roosevelt, –, ”, Paul Pierson, Harris isn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Evan Vucci, Grover Cleveland, Kyle Kondik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Biden, Lee Drutman, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, Truman, “, Pierson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Mark Schiefelbein, George H.W, Clinton, Al Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, George W . Bush, William McKinley, Teddy Roosevelt’s, William Howard Taft’s, Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover, Harding, Lyndon B, FDR, John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, Michael Tesler, Kondik, that’s, Drutman, Mitch McConnell, ” Drutman, Mitt Romney’s, Nikki Haley, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, centrists, Jim Kessler, Reagan, H.W, H.W . Bush, haven’t, ” Pierson, Ruffini Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Deal, TR Republicans, FDR Democrats, Electoral College –, TR, Supreme, University of California, Electoral, House, Senate, AP, Republican Senate, Democratic, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, FDR, White, White House, “ Republicans, New America, Republicans, Republican, Dort Financial, Electoral College, Trump, GOP, kinks, Democratic Party, “ Party, The Locations: Berkeley, Butler , Pennsylvania, LBJ, Dort, Flint , Michigan, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Vermont, Arkansas, North Carolina, –, ”, H.W .

☆ Harris weighs more breaks with Biden as he keeps injecting himself into the campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Edward-Isaac Dovere | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +13 min

Neither aides in the Harris campaign nor the Biden White House would commit to another joint campaign event between now and the election. President Joe Biden speaks during a news conference in the Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House on October 4, 2024. “Joe Biden has delivered a whole lot for Pennsylvania — especially when it comes to infrastructure, energy jobs. “I don’t think president and the vice president are going to be exactly the same on every issue. “The president is all in to help get the vice president elected,” the senior adviser said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, Biden, he’d, they’re, Donald Trump’s, “ I’ll, Tim Walz’s, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, hasn’t, Harris ’, Helene, ”, she’s, Debbie Dingell, “, Joe Biden ’, we’ve, ” Biden, “ She’s, dismissively, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Andrew Harnik, Liz Cheney’s, The Trump, bigfooted Harris, He’s, Mitch Landrieu, “ They’ve, ” Trump, Trump, Donald Trump, Josh Shapiro, “ Joe Biden, Brendan Boyle, ” Boyle, Arizona Sen, Mark Kelly, John Modlin, Rebecca Noble, ” Harris ’, Kelly, I’m, ” Kelly, he’s, can’t, don’t, “ That’s, ” CNN’s Gregory Krieg Organizations: CNN, White, Biden, Minnesota Gov, Michigan, Trump, Florida, Democratic, Biden White, Democratic Pennsylvania Gov, ” Democratic, US Border Patrol, Getty, Democrat, West Locations: Milwaukee, Pennsylvania, Germany, Angola, Minnesota, what’s, North Carolina, Michigan, Israel, Brady, Detroit, Trump, Philadelphia, Mexican, Mexico, US Border Patrol Tucson, Douglas , Arizona, AFP

In September, the Harris campaign’s spending on ads about crime plummeted to just $28,000, less than 1% of its monthly broadcast TV ad spending. In August, the Harris campaign spent $7.8 million on broadcast TV ads about abortion, about 15% of its total spending that month. Economic themes also dominated Harris campaign advertising throughout August and September. In August, the Trump campaign spent about $15.5 million on broadcast TV ads about immigration, or about 41% of its monthly broadcast TV outlays. In September, that total fell dramatically to just $10,500, less than 1% of the Trump campaign’s total broadcast TV spending.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Harris ’, Joe Biden, Roe, Wade, Trump, –, Biden Organizations: CNN, White, Trump, Democratic, San, Republican, Keystone State, Michigan, Georgia, Republicans Locations: California, San Francisco, Housing, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia , Wisconsin , Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, Keystone, Peach, Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nebraska

Trump plans ‘different’ eventFive days after the shooting, as Trump captivated Republicans in his convention speech in Milwaukee, the former president vowed to never again mention details of the assassination attempt. “Everybody up there, they were amazing,” Trump told the Erie crowd, some of whom cheered when he asked if any of them had been present at the Butler rally. They saw that we were in trouble.”The event Saturday at Butler Farm Show Inc. is expected to be “different” from a typical Trump rally, a senior Trump campaign adviser told CNN. Harris is blasting Trump on health care in Wisconsin, while Trump is hammering Harris on taxes in Georgia. One focus of Harris’ campaign is Latino voters in Pennsylvania, in a bid to stop Trump from eating away at Democrats’ traditionally large margins of victory among non-White voters.

Persons: Donald Trump, “, ‘ We’re, ” Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris ’, Butler, “ We’re, ’, Corey Comperatore, David Dutch, James Copenhaver, —, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Elon Musk, Lee Greenwood, Thomas Matthew Crooks, Crooks, Communications Anthony Guglielmi, Harris, Liz Cheney, — Trump, Tim Walz, Hurricane Maria —, Barack Obama, Harris ’, CNN’s Camila DeChalus, David Wright, Kristen Holmes, Zachary Cohen Organizations: CNN, White, Democratic, Trump, Republicans, Erie, Butler, Republican National Convention, SpaceX, Secret Service, Service, Pennsylvania State Police, Communications, Sun, Democrats, Keystone, Republican, Marquette Law, Wyoming, Republican Party, CBS, Democrats ’, Hurricane, Pennsylvania Locations: Pennsylvania, Butler, Pittsburgh, Florida, Milwaukee, Erie, That’s, Butler Township, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Ripon , Wisconsin, Minnesota, Bethlehem, Puerto Rico, Puerto Rican

☆ One month to Election Day. Here’s what to watch
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

The (Donald) Trump campaign, on the other hand, is looking to the Sun Belt. Instead of knocking on doors in key states, Trump’s allies are using funding from tech billionaire Elon Musk to do some nontraditional things. But some things are still going to be much more expensive on Election Day than they were when Trump was president. It’s one month to Election Day, but that’s a little bit of a misnomer. No matter what happens with the 2024 election, Trump is unlikely to accept the results if Harris wins.

Persons: CNN — It’s, it’s, CNN’s David Wright, Kamala, Harris, – they’ve, Donald, Trump, he’s, Trump’s, Steve Contorno, Fredreka, Elon Musk, Barack Obama, Obama, He’ll, Liz Cheney, George W, Bush, Dick Cheney, Cheney, Amy Walter, ”, Cook, … they’re, ” Walter, Hurricane Helene, Helene, Will, Will Trump’s, Jack Smith’s, Tanya Chutkan, Smith, Read Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Republican, Trump Republicans, Trump, Former Republican, Voters, North, East, Progressives, Democratic National Convention, Israel, Democrats Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, East Coast, Hurricane, Gaza, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, New York

☆ Trump’s ground game relies on untraditional strategies to draw out battleground voters
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Steve Contorno | Fredreka Schouten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

And it’s a playbook that former President Donald Trump’s campaign has tossed aside. It’s a gamble, Trump’s campaign internally acknowledges, but one that they insist is built on data they have collected over nearly a decade and tested for the past six months. Days later, the Michigan state party chairman also plugged 10xVotes when he rolled into Traverse City, Michigan, alongside Trump running mate JD Vance. But rather than courting those voters, Trump’s campaign is in search of new ones. Trump’s campaign has also tried to seize on discord within the Democratic coalition.

Persons: Paul Hudson, “ Harris Walz ”, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Elon Musk, Tucker Carlson, JD Vance, “, ”, Dennis Lennox, Mary, Kamala Harris –, don’t, James Blair, Blair, ” Blair, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Gerald Ford, Nikki Haley, Hillary Scholten, ” Hudson, Trump’s, Charlie Kirk, Harris, Musk, –, Republicans Kari Lake, Blake Masters, Sen, Rebecca Noble, flummoxed, Joe Biden, Susie Wiles, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, Virgin Mary, Michael, Lennox, you’re, ” Lennox, Michael Whatley, Lara Trump, Elijah Nouvelage, Jim Pillen, wouldn’t, ” Danielle Butterfield, ’, CNN’s Ali Main, Kristen Holmes, David Wright, Jeff Zeleny Organizations: CNN, Republican, Grand Rapids, Trump, Republicans, Republican Party, Veteran Affairs, Grand, White House, Van, South Carolina Gov, America PAC, Musk, Federal, Commission, Getty, Trump Force, Sunshine State, Miami Gardens, Cuban, Democratic, Florida, Biden, GOP, Michigan, Republican National Committee, RNC, University of North, Republican Gov, Nebraska’s, White, Democrat, USA Locations: doorsteps, Michigan, Grand Rapids, Grand, Traverse City , Michigan, Detroit, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Congress, Kent, Arizona, Mesa , Arizona, AFP, Arizona , Wisconsin, Wolverine, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Black, Miami, Israel, Puerto, Dade County, New York, Pennsylvania, Cheboygan County , Michigan, Republican County, North Carolina, University of North Carolina, Georgia, Fulton County, Atlanta, Nevada, Nebraska, Omaha, Wisconsin , Michigan

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