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☆ Does the Fed still have room to cut rates amid recent inflation data?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDoes the Fed still have room to cut rates amid recent inflation data? Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group chief investment officer, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how recent inflation data could affect the Fed's rate decisions, parallels between the economy today and in the 1970's, and more.

Persons: Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial Group

☆ Investor sentiment surveys are flashing a big red signal for the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Market optimism is reaching a fever pitch that could be cause for concern at least over the near term, according to sentiment surveys this week. The Investors Intelligence survey, which polls market newsletter authors, showed bullishness Wednesday at 60.9% and bears at just 14.5%, according to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Financial Group. Similarly, the American Association of Individual Investors survey , which polls retail investors, indicated bullishness ahead by 45.9% to 21.9%. These surveys are useful primarily as contrarian indicators — when sentiment gets stretched in either direction, they serve as a cue for investors to move the other way. "Bottom line, in the short term this is very much worth taking note where a market rest/consolidation/digestion/correction/pullback, etc... are now more possible," he added.

Persons: Peter Boockvar, Boockvar Organizations: Investors Intelligence, Bleakley Financial, American Association of, Investors, Bulls

☆ Why Friday’s key Nvidia reversal could mark the start of a broader stock market unwind
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But some investors are concerned markets could be due for a broader unwind without the help from AI names. As it is, five of the Magnificent Seven names dropped last week, with the exception of Nvidia and Meta Platforms. That advance has helped the S & P 500 climb for 16 out of 19 weeks, notching record after record in its ascent. "A consolidation in the AI trade has been overdue for a while now, so Friday's key reversal day could signal the start of that unwind." NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia Crowding in AI Indeed, other market observers warned investors the overreliance on AI beneficiaries this year could mean danger for the overall market.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Peter Boockvar, semi's, Dubravko, BTIG's Krinsky, there's, Russell, Chris Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Krinsky, Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Apple, AMD, Bleakley Financial, Google, JPMorgan, Sunday

☆ The global trade system has already started planning for potential Trump win, new China tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The Trump administration used delegated authorities under three trade laws to unilaterally levy tariffs without Congressional approval. The Trump administration tariffs kickstarted a shift in supply chain strategy which, according to Frank, became more well-developed by customers during Covid, when they contemplated moving factories and production out of China. He expects any increase in tariffs during a second Trump presidency to lead to a greater shift in trade from China to Mexico to avoid the tariffs. "If you charge tariffs to China, they're going to build ... their car plants here and they're going to employ our people," Trump said. S&P Global research shows that China's share of the imports of products covered by tariffs imposed by the Trump administration has dropped.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Niki Frank, Frank, Beth Whited, they'd, Paul Brashier, Chris Rogers, Biden, Rogers, Jon Gold, John Taylor IV, Taylor, Peter Boockvar, Critics, it's, that's Organizations: United, Canada Trade, White, CNBC, Global, Trump, China, Biden, OF DHL, Union, Canadian Pacific, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Union Pacific, ITS Logistics, P Global, Vietnam, National Retail Federation, Berlin Packaging, Trade, Bleakley Financial, ASEAN Locations: United States, Mexico, Canada, Washington , DC, U.S, OF DHL Asia, Long Beach , California, China, Union Pacific, Canadian Pacific Kansas, East, West, Vietnam, Malaysia, South Korea, CNBC Mexico, Europe, Thailand, Indonesia

☆ The economy is resilient and fine but feels soft: Moody's Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is resilient and fine but feels soft: Moody's Mark ZandiPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, Mark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss their take from Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony, whether the Fed is in the mood to cut interest rates soon, and more.

Persons: Mark Zandi Peter Boockvar, Mark Zandi, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ Gold rises above $2,100 to highest level ever as traders bet on interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold futures settled at the highest level ever on Monday as traders bet the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. When adjusted for inflation, gold set an all-time high of about $3,200 in 1980, according to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Financial Group. Gold has has performed well despite high interest rates and a strong dollar, he said. Gold now has upside on the expectation that the Fed will start cutting interest rates this year as inflation comes down, hesaid. Traders are betting the Fed will cut rates in June, according to the CME Fed Watch Tool.

Persons: It's, Peter Boockvar, Boockvar, Gold, Bart Melek, Melek Organizations: Federal Reserve, Miners, Bleakley Financial, TD Securities, Fed, Traders, CME Locations: U.S, Ukraine, China, Saudi Arabia

☆ The Fed will cut rates fewer times and start them later than market hopes, according to CNBC Fed survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

watch nowRespondents to the CNBC Fed Survey see fewer interest rate cuts than the market's aggressive outlook, with the central bank starting them later in the year than traders currently hope. Fifty percent see a cut in May and only in June is there a majority of 70% predicting that rates go down. And while futures markets have priced in between five and six rate cuts, survey respondents, on average, see just a bit more than three. It's fairly typical for this group of Fed watchers to be more closely aligned with the Fed's outlook than the market. By 2025, the market, the survey and the Fed forecasts all converge on a Funds rate between 3.3% and 3.6%.

Persons: Joel Naroff, Jerome Powell, Jay, Powell, Peter Boockvar Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Naroff, Fed, Bleakley Financial

☆ Market rally is not sustainable, Bleakley Financial Group’s Peter Boockvar suggests
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Melissa Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket rally is not sustainable, Bleakley Financial Group’s Peter Boockvar suggestsPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group, on the rally's staying power with CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.

Persons: Peter Boockvar, Melissa Lee Organizations: Email, Bleakley Financial, Fast Money

☆ The market could be rallying itself out of the Fed interest rate cuts it wants so badly
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Rallies in the stock and bond markets could be undone by the very thing that seems to be underpinning the moves higher. The Fed relies on an amorphous group of indicators collectively known as "financial conditions" to help judge the state of play on policy. True to form, a Chicago Fed baromete r is showing financial conditions at their easiest since early February 2023. But I think they don't want to be premature, because they also know there's a risk of the economy restarting with the loosening of financial conditions. "That does not necessarily support the 'happy days are here again' everything-rally that we're currently seeing in the market."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Roger Ferguson, Powell, Jay Powell, Peter Boockvar, they're, Ferguson, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, we're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Dow Jones, Bleakley Financial, Chicago Fed, Committee, Traders, Fed, Group, CNBC

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Peter Boockvar and Katerina Simonetti
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Peter Boockvar and Katerina SimonettiPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group, and Katerina Simonetti, Morgan Stanley, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the surge in gold prices, what's behind the rally and more.

Persons: Peter Boockvar, Katerina Simonetti Peter Boockvar, Katerina Simonetti, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ I expect gold to surge higher, says Bleakley's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI expect gold to surge higher, says Bleakley's Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group, and Katerina Simonetti, Morgan Stanley, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the surge in gold prices, what's behind the rally and more.

Persons: Bleakley's Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar, Katerina Simonetti, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ Disney's parks business is their most profitable asset, despite streaming focus, says Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDisney's parks business is their most profitable asset, despite streaming focus, says Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, discusses his expectations for Disney's earnings report.

Persons: Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ Markets are on board with the Fed's ‘higher for longer’ policy, CNBC survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

As recently as the summer, respondents had forecast rate cuts in the beginning of next year. The change can also be seen in the outlook for the fed funds rate, the central bank's benchmark for short-term lending costs. It's now forecast on average to end 2024 at 4.6%, assuming about 75 basis points of rate cuts. In June, the year-end 2024 funds rate was forecast at 3.8%, which assumed 125 basis points of cuts. Some 60% of respondents see the Fed hitting its inflation target in 2025 or sometime after that, and 19% don't believe the Fed will ever get there.

Persons: Jerome, Powell, Peter Boockvar, Robert Brusca, Troy Ludtka Organizations: CNBC, Survey, Federal Reserve, Bleakley Financial, Fed, Nikko Securities

☆ 'All-clear' signal from Fed hike cycle is years away, warns top investor Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'All-clear' signal from Fed hike cycle is years away, warns top investor Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group chief investment officer, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what could come out of Wednesday's FOMC meeting, where the U.S. economy stands, the real estate market and more.

Persons: Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial Group

☆ Bad news for commercial real estate: Architects report a big drop in business
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Architecture firms reported a sharp drop in business in September, indicating that the commercial real estate market could see even more pain in the next year. The index is a forward-looking indicator of demand for non-residential construction activity, both commercial and industrial buildings. Commercial real estate has been hit with a double whammy. Among real estate sectors, firms with a multi-family residential focus saw more of a decline. Multi-family construction boomed over the last few years, with a record number of units now flooding the market and putting pressure on rents.

Persons: Kermit Baker, bode, Peter Boockvar Organizations: AIA, Billings, Bleakley Financial Locations: billings

☆ Watch CNBC's interview with Mariner Wealth's Jeff Krumpelman and Bleakley Financial's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's interview with Mariner Wealth's Jeff Krumpelman and Bleakley Financial's Peter BoockvarJeff Krumpelman, Mariner Wealth Advisors chief investment strategist, along with Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group chief investment officer, join 'The Exchange' to discuss bond market activity taking over the job of the Fed, the negative impact rising rates are having on equities, and fiscal debt and geopolitical tensions causing near term P/E contraction.

Persons: Mariner, Jeff Krumpelman, Bleakley, Peter Boockvar Jeff Krumpelman, Peter Boockvar Organizations: Mariner Wealth Advisors, Bleakley Financial Group

☆ Big cap tech is wildly overvalued considering the rise in rates, says Bleakley's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig cap tech is wildly overvalued considering the rise in rates, says Bleakley's Peter BoockvarJeff Krumpelman, Mariner Wealth Advisors chief investment strategist, along with Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group chief investment officer, join 'The Exchange' to discuss bond market activity taking over the job of the Fed, the negative impact rising rates are having on equities, and fiscal debt and geopolitical tensions causing near term P/E contraction.

Persons: Bleakley's Peter Boockvar Jeff Krumpelman, Peter Boockvar Organizations: Mariner Wealth Advisors, Bleakley Financial Group

☆ Why borrowing costs for nearly everything are surging, and what it means for you
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

At the center of the storm is the 10-year Treasury yield , one of the most influential numbers in finance. The relentless rise in borrowing costs has blown past forecasters' predictions and has Wall Street casting about for explanations. Companies that can only issue debt in the high-yield market, which includes many retail employers, will confront sharply higher borrowing costs. Higher rates squeeze the housing industry and push commercial real estate closer to default. "So if banks haven't fixed their issues since then, the problem is only worse, because rates are only higher."

Persons: Jerome Powell, SAUL LOEB, Bob Michele, Ben Emons, Treasurys, Benjamin Dunn, Lindsay Rosner, Peter Boockvar, Rosner Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Getty, ., Treasury, Fed, JPMorgan, NewEdge, Bloomberg, Alpha Theory Advisors, Goldman, Companies, Bleakley Financial, Valley Bank, First Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Goldman Sachs, First Republic

☆ Here's how stocks typically do when the government shuts down
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

That might not be bad news for the stock market after all. Data compiled by Raymond James shows the S & P 500 has averaged a 3.2% gain during government shutdowns going back to 1995. The most recent one, which took place between late 2018 and early 2019 and lasted 22 trading days, saw the S & P 500 rally more than 10%. In fact, the broad market index has posted gains in every shutdown period tracked by Raymond James. Bank of America economist Stephen Juneau also said, "the economic hit is usually modest," adding that shutdowns "do not impact market functioning."

Persons: Raymond James, shutdowns, Peter Boockvar, Stephen Juneau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bleakley Financial, Bank of America

☆ Consumer excitement around iPhone upgrades is waning, says Bleakley's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumer excitement around iPhone upgrades is waning, says Bleakley's Peter BoockvarBob Elliott, Unlimited Funds CIO and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.

Persons: Bleakley's Peter Boockvar Bob Elliott, Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ Risk to the economy is government crowding out private sector finance: Bleakley's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRisk to the economy is government crowding out private sector finance: Bleakley's Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the latest jobs report is about supply, what higher rates mean for interest payments, and Boockvar's thoughts on hedge fund positioning.

Persons: Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ Transitory inflation is in goods, not services: Citi's Andrew Hollenhorst
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTransitory inflation is in goods, not services: Citi's Andrew HollenhorstPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, Dennis Lockhart, former Atlanta Fed president, and Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi chief U.S. economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss Fed policy aiding natural disinflation, where core goods inflation is headed, and Chair Powell's upcoming Jackson Hole remarks.

Persons: Citi's Andrew Hollenhorst Peter Boockvar, Dennis Lockhart, Andrew Hollenhorst, Jackson Organizations: Bleakley Financial, Atlanta Fed, Citi

☆ Credit delinquencies have returned to pre-pandemic levels, says Bankrate's Ted Rossman
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCredit delinquencies have returned to pre-pandemic levels, says Bankrate's Ted RossmanTed Rossman, Bankrate senior industry analyst, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the increasing consumer credit debt and its economic risk.

Persons: Ted Rossman Ted Rossman, Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Bankrate's Ted Rossman and Bleakley's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Bankrate's Ted Rossman and Bleakley's Peter BoockvarTed Rossman, Bankrate senior industry analyst, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the increasing consumer credit debt and its economic risk.

Persons: Bankrate's Ted Rossman, Peter Boockvar Ted Rossman, Peter Boockvar Organizations: Bleakley Financial

☆ The only consistency we are seeing this year is resilience in the economy, says BondBloxx's Gallegos
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe only consistency we are seeing this year is resilience in the economy, says BondBloxx's GallegosJoanna Gallegos, BondBloxx Investment Management co-founder, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'Last Call' to talk moves in the bond market.

Persons: BondBloxx's Gallegos Joanna Gallegos, Peter Boockvar Organizations: BondBloxx Investment Management, Bleakley Financial

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