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Edith Yeung, general partner at Race Capital, and Larry Aschebrook, founder and managing partner of G Squared, speak during a CNBC-moderated panel at Web Summit 2024 in Lisbon, Portugal. LISBON, Portugal — It's a tough time for the venture capital industry right now as a dearth of blockbuster initial public offerings and M&A activity has sucked liquidity from the market, while buzzy artificial intelligence startups dominate attention. And in the VC world, it's really all about liquidity stupid," Edith Yeung, general partner at Race Capital, an early-stage VC firm based in Silicon Valley, said in a CNBC-moderated panel earlier this week. When a VC makes an equity investment and the value of their stake increases, it's only a gain on paper. Yeung said the lack of IPOs over the last couple of years had created a "really tough" environment for venture capital.
Persons: Edith Yeung, Larry Aschebrook, G, Portugal —, Groq —, Yeung, there's, Big Techs Organizations: Race Capital, CNBC, Summit, Microsoft Locations: Lisbon, Portugal, LISBON, U.S, Silicon Valley
Burry, who now manages hedge fund Scion Asset Management, boosted his stakes in a few Chinese internet companies' ADRs, according to a regulatory filing. The trader added to his Alibaba bet by 29% to a stake worth more than $21 million, making it his largest position at the end of September. The widely followed investor also doubled his stake in JD.com , pushing it to become Scion's second-biggest holding, worth $20 million. Burry also increased his stake in Chinese search engine Baidu by 67% to a bet worth $13.2 million at the end of the third quarter. Burry was depicted in Michael Lewis' book " The Big Short " and the subsequent Oscar-winning movie of the same name.
Persons: Michael Burry, Burry, Michael Lewis, Molina Organizations: Asset Management, Baidu, Alibaba, American Coastal Insurance Corporation, Molina Healthcare, U.S . Securities, Exchange Locations: JD.com
"We have increased our bets on inflation," he told CNBC's Leslie Picker at CNBC's Delivering Alpha investor summit on Wednesday. "We will have another inflection up in inflation," he said. "The policy mix being proposed is inflationary and we will see more of that over the next few years." The latest CPI data released Wednesday showed inflation in line with market expectations, at 2.6%. There is an argument for tolerating it and trying to run the economy as hot as possible.
Persons: David Einhorn, Donald Trump's, CNBC's Leslie Picker, Einhorn, bearish, Nelson Peltz, Trump, Harris, You've, you've, Anne Walsh Organizations: Greenlight, Alpha, Trump, Maytag, Trian, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management Locations: U.S
Wall Street has been pumping money into the Trump trade, but investors should be wary before committing capital based on campaign promises, if history is any indication. From Election Day 2016 through year-end, the asset class outperformed the S & P 500 by 8% on a relative basis. In fact, from Election Day 2016 through Election Day 2020, smallcaps tumbled more than 22%. Expand the timeline to one year out from Election Day, and the ETF underperformed the broader index by 11%. Energy Energy stocks are expected to get a huge boost from Trump, who made energy a focus of his presidential campaign , and promised to "drill, baby, drill."
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, elect's, Russell, Biden, Wells, Austin Pickle, , smallcaps, that's, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank, Regional Banking, Wells, Investment Institute, Trump, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones, . Energy Energy, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, that's year's
Days before the election, Polymarket odds showed Trump had a 60% chance of winning. The electorate took notice: Kalshi and Polymarket soared to the top of Apple's App Store on Tuesday evening. Advertisement"Last night, Kalshi showed how prediction markets can decisively outperform polls and traditional media," Kalshi posted on X. And can the prediction markets ride their momentum now that the election's over? Prediction markets are "going to attract people who want to influence public perception," Broughel says.
Persons: Nate Silver, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Polymarket, Trump, Kalshi, Shayne Coplan, Coplan, Elon Musk, Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, Robinhood, There's, Xavier Sottile, Bettors, Sottile, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, he'll, John F, Kennedy, Koleman Strumpf, Strumpf, Broughel, James Broughel, Israel —, — Polymarket, who've Organizations: Trump, CNBC, MIT, Victoria University, Wake Forest University, RFK Jr, Competitive Enterprise Institute, Wall Street Journal, Twitter, New York Times Locations: New Zealand, Kalshi, Ukraine, Iran
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKeep a broader perspective post U.S. elections and make bets on the margins: StrategistAdam Phillips of EP Wealth Advisors discusses why the firm's portfolios do not include Tesla or Bitcoin despite their strong performance following Trump's election.
Persons: Adam Phillips
SoftBank reported a $7.7 billion quarterly profit on Tuesday after a loss last year. SoftBank Vision Fund's CFO told BI that "macro tailwinds" helped its public portfolio. AdvertisementGains for its Vision Fund 1, a $98.6 billion investment vehicle launched in 2016 with backing from Abu Dhabi and Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth funds, totaled $3 billion in the second quarter. Despite the investment gain, Vision Fund 2 has lost an overall total of $21 billion since its inception. The results come as SoftBank gears up for a huge investment spree in AI to realize Son's ambitious vision.
Persons: SoftBank, , Masayoshi, Didi Chuxing, Navneet Govil, Ola, Govil, PayPay Organizations: Service, Funds, Vision, IPOs, Nvidia Locations: Abu Dhabi, Saudi, China, OpenAI, Mexico, India, ByteDance
Pushing the funding fight to next year would put Trump in position to have far greater say. Congress faces a jam-packed to-do list of critical legislative items, including the annual defense policy bill. The next Trump loyalty test – who will lead the Senate GOP? The new Senate GOP leader will be elected by secret ballot, meaning no one will know who voted for which candidate. The House and Senate are only expected to be in session for two weeks before leaving for the Thanksgiving holiday.
Persons: Donald Trump won’t, Trump, Mike Johnson, Johnson, , Kelly Armstrong, , Trump’s, Dusty Johnson of, “ I’m, Mitch McConnell, John Thune of, John Cornyn of, Rick Scott, McConnell, , ” Thune, Cornyn, ” Scott, Scott, Sens, Marco Rubio, Tommy Tuberville, Bill Hagerty, Ron Johnson, they’d, haven’t, Elon Musk, Musk, Hakeem Jeffries, There’s, Alayna Treene Organizations: CNN, White House, Capitol, Republican Party, GOP, Trump, North, Republican, Senate, Florida Republican, Democratic, Republicans, National Defense, Department of Defense Locations: North Dakota, Dusty Johnson of South Dakota, Sens, John Thune of South Dakota, John Cornyn of Texas, Florida, Marco Rubio of Florida, Alabama, Tennessee, Wisconsin, Washington, United States
While keeping buy ratings on both stocks, Nathanson raised his firm's price targets on Alphabet and Meta. In support of giving Alphabet the edge, he sees faster revenue growth from Meta but at a higher cost. For one, Meta has consistently delivered revenue and earnings ahead of consensus, rooted in stron advertising revenue from AI advancements. Bottom line Jim Cramer sees merit in MoffettNathanson's buy calls on Alphabet and Meta and believes it is just about "time to buy both" of these AI and advertising leaders. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: It's, Michael Nathanson —, Craig Moffett, , underperformance, Nathanson, Jim Cramer, Trump Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai Organizations: MoffettNathanson Research, Facebook, Meta, Reality Labs, Labs, Google, Tech, Trump, CNBC, REUTERS Locations: Meta
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOver $2.9 billion bet on bitcoin topping $85,000 as it hits all-time highCNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos reports on the bets being made on crypto and the key policies at stake.
Persons: CNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos
Red Lobster is turning to millennial leadership to bring in younger guests, which the chain needs after closing more than 100 of its 640 restaurants earlier this year. Red Lobster has since emerged from bankruptcy, ushering in a new era for the once-major seafood chain. But the deal was costly for Red Lobster — the company lost $11 million from that promotion alone, according to court documents. Thai Union announced in January that it would begin a complete exit from Red Lobster. Now, Red Lobster is trying to balance keeping its loyal customers while trying to shake its stodgy image to attract younger ones.
Persons: who's, Adamolekun, Hottovy, Read, Jim Salera, Fortress, Caitlin Daniel, isn't Organizations: Fortress Investment, NBC, Stephens, Thai Union, Harvard University Locations: Placer.ai
Open interest in bitcoin's price surpassing $90,000 rose to more than $2.8 billion on the popular Deribit derivatives exchange, one of a few crypto native platforms that offers futures trading. "The options market's bias is heavily toward continued momentum. Call options trade at a premium to puts, and open interest in out-of-the-money calls has grown," Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research, told CNBC. The CME derivates exchange offers bitcoin futures contracts and is a popular way for institutions in the U.S. to make bets on the future price of bitcoin. Velde told CNBC that on Friday CME premiums for ether and bitcoin averaged 14.5% and 14%, respectively.
Persons: Bitcoin, Vetle Lunde, Velde Organizations: K33 Research, CNBC Locations: U.S, Velde
Prosecutors are instructed to argue that there is a societal interest in the quick administration of justice and these cases should be handled in the normal order. As for new arrests, the law enforcement official said, prosecutors will "focus on the most egregious conduct and cases until the end of the administration." "Just over 1 per day," one of the online "sedition hunters" who has dedicated hours of their life to finding the Trump supporters who brutally assaulted law enforcement officers that day, told NBC News. Existing cases against Jan. 6 defendants are expected to continue with additional trials, sentencing hearings and plea agreement hearings scheduled to take place next week. The prospect of presidential pardons for people who assaulted law enforcement is "pretty demoralizing," the former assistant U.S. attorney said.
Persons: WASHINGTON, , Donald Trump, Trump, , Jan, sleuths, Michael Fanone, Daniel Hodges, Hodges, Aquilino, Kamala Harris, Gonell Organizations: The Justice Department, NBC News, U.S . Capitol, Justice Department’s Capitol, Prosecutors, Capitol, Trump, NBC, FBI, Justice Department's Capitol, Section, Former Capitol Police, Dominican Republican Locations: America
Election betting platforms brought in billions of dollars as users around the world wagered on who would win Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election, according to an NBC News analysis of betting platforms. Michigan and Georgia followed close behind, and the rest of the swing states were all in the top 15 states with the highest trading volume. On both Polymarket and Kalshi, bets on swing states alone made up around half of the total trading volume on state outcomes. One Polymarket bettor, who identified himself as “Théo” in an interview with The Washington Post, had bet over $28 million on Trump winning the presidential election using multiple betting accounts. “Théo” had put money down on all the swing states, according to Polymarket’s analytics.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Eric Zitzewitz, “ There’s, Will, ” Zitzewitz, bettor, , Théo ”, Polymarket, Shayne Coplan, “ Théo, Zitzewitz Organizations: U.S, NBC, Dartmouth University, Republicans, Alabama, Democrats, California, Washington Post, Trump, Futures Trading Commission, Bloomberg Locations: Pennsylvania, Kalshi . Michigan, Georgia, U.S, America
Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." According to the futures market, just 30.4% of traders think the Fed will cut rates again in January. "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: Federal Reserve, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: Washington , DC
Former U.S. President Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in this week's election has raised questions about how Asia will be impacted. "When passed, the [tariffs] will sweep across Asia, particularly China [and] should spike volatility and compress multiples as uncertainty prevails." Even so, the analysts say the region is "more prepared than in 2016" and investment opportunities remain, especially given the weaker yen and stimulus in China. This will bring about "structural shifts in global supply chain ... [and] could boost infrastructure spending in ASEAN and South Asia," he added. The currency has fallen versus the dollar following Trump's win, hitting 154.7 per dollar on Wednesday — its weakest level since July 30.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, India's, Hong, Tai Hui, Hui, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: U.S, Trump, Macquarie Research, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morgan Asset Management, Congress, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsubishi, Japanese pharma, Chugai Pharmaceutical, SK Hynix Locations: Asia, China, ASEAN, South Asia, U.S, Macquarie, Japan
Dollar winds down after volatile week, China NPC in focus
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar further unwound some of its sharp gains from earlier in the week as traders closed out profitable bets on a Trump presidency after his election victory. That helped lift sterling back toward the $1.30 mark, while the yen similarly got some respite and hovered closer to the 153 per dollar level. Sterling last traded $1.2983, recovering from its fall to a roughly three-month low earlier in the week. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar ticked up 0.03% to 104.44, on track to gain just above 0.1% for the week. "All eyes are on what may emerge from China's policy toolkit after the conclusion of the NPC standing committee meeting."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Kerry Craig, Trump, Wells, Jay Bryson, Sterling, David Chao Organizations: White, National People's Congress, Trump, Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, Traders, Bank of England, NPC, New Zealand, Asia Pacific, European Union Locations: U.S, Beijing, Germany, Wells Fargo, Japan, Invesco
The US election showed shades of the meme stock mania of early 2021. Ron DeSantis' Presidential Announcement with Elon MuskSimilarly, in February 2021, Cuban thanked members of Reddit's WallStreetBets forum for "changing the game" and "taking on Wall Street." Wall Street traders watched the swings in election betting markets to assess the state of the presidential race and inform their investments, Malek added. Trump Media & Technology Group, the parent company of Truth Social which counts the president-elect as its majority shareholder, unites several of these ideas. AdvertisementThere are clear parallels between the meme stock mania of early 2021 and the social-media chatter and betting-platform activity going into the election.
Persons: Elon Musk, Mark Cuban, , Musk, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Cuban, Reddit's, dogecoin, Kamala Harris, It's, Neil Wilson, Keith, Gill, Young, Joe Rogan, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, Naeem Aslam, Tesla, Dan Coatsworth, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, GameStop, Florida Gov, Elon, Democratic, Trump, WSB, Wall Street, titans, Wall, Zaye, Markets, Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth, White Locations: America, Florida, Polymarket, WallStreetBets, . Washington
One US company, just two days after Trump’s reelection, says it isn’t wasting time getting out of China. Steve Madden, a $3 billion shoe company, announced Thursday that it would rapidly halve its Chinese production to avoid Trump’s tariffs. But here’s the catch: Steve Madden isn’t moving its production to the United States. ‘There for a reason’The retail industry has been crying foul over Trump’s tariffs for quite some time – apparel and shoe companies in particular. Trump’s tariffs could cost the typical middle-income US household more than $2,600 per year, according to research from Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Persons: Donald Trump, Steve Madden, Steve Madden’s, Edward Rosenfeld, , ” Rosenfeld, Rosenfeld, Trump, Joe Biden, Madden, Laura Champine, ” Champine, it’s, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Steven Mnuchin, Donald Trump’s, CNN’s Jake Tapper, ” Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNN, Trump, Wall Street, National Retail Federation, Companies, Wall, American, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: United States, China, USA, Cambodia, Vietnam, Mexico, Brazil, America
Kent Nishimura | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said. — CNBC's Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound and Alex Harring contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: FTSE, Federal, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: GDAXI, Washington, Washington , DC
There should be no enduring mystery about what a Trump presidency means for Ukraine. Trump has said he would end the war “in 24 hours,” but not how. Trump may appoint a cabinet that mildly adjusts the pace or tone of his instincts, but in the end he wants out. It is an anathema to two of Trump’s first term dislikes: costly US military engagement abroad, and upsetting Russian President Vladimir Putin. Read more about what could happen in Ukraine under a Trump presidency.
Persons: Kostiantyn, upsides, Donald Trump, Trump, , Vladimir Putin, Read Organizations: NATO, Pentagon Locations: Ukrainian, Ukraine, United States, Europe
Peter Thiel made a "contrarian" prediction that the election wouldn't be close. Thiel has a history of making contrarian bets in his investments and business ventures. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementIn September, conservative tech billionaire Peter Thiel made what he acknowledged was an unusual prediction about the 2024 election. My one contrarian view on the election is that it's not going to be close," Thiel said in September at an appearance at the All In Summit in Los Angeles.
Persons: Peter Thiel, Thiel, , it's, aren't, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kamala, Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Blake Masters — Thiel, Elon Musk Organizations: Trump, Service, PayPal, Trump voters, Democratic, Republican Locations: Los Angeles, Ohio, Trump
France's gambling regulator said it's looking into Polymarket to determine compliance with domestic laws. That comes after one "whale" who bet $30 million on a Trump win was revealed to be a French national. "We are aware of this site and are currently examining its operation and compliance with French gambling legislation," a spokesperson for the regulator told Bloomberg. A report from the crypto news site The Big Whale said the ANJ is preparing to ban the site for French users. AdvertisementPolymarket garnered nearly $3.7 billion in wagers on the election before the result was called, Polymarket data shows.
Persons: , Donald Trump, it's, Polymarket, Whale, Kamala Harris Organizations: Trump, Service, des Jeux, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal Locations: French, France, New York
There should be no enduring mystery about what a Trump presidency means for Ukraine. Trump may appoint a cabinet that mildly adjusts the pace or tone of his instincts, but in the end he wants out. Workers remove debris from an apartment building that was damaged during a Russian drone strike in Kyiv, Ukraine, on October 29, 2024. Furthermore, Trump enters the White House at perhaps the most perilous time for Kyiv since the start of the war. Those tired of the Ukraine war – be they Kyiv ally or frontline soldier – should still not embrace the idea of a Trump-backed deal.
Persons: upsides, Trump, Donald Trump, , Vladimir Putin, Joe Biden –, Chasiv Yar, Putin, Thomas Peter, Kim Jong, Qasem Soleimani, Biden, Zelensky, , Kostiantyn Organizations: CNN, NATO, Trump, Pentagon, Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Congress, Kyiv, Russian, European Union, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, United States, Europe, Russia, Moscow, Pokrovsk, Donetsk, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Russian, Kyiv, Afghanistan, Singapore, Korean, Bankova, Syria, Ukrainian, Georgia, Moldova
Firm dollar keeps peers on back foot ahead of BOE, Fed decisions
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Trump's policies on restricting illegal immigration, enacting new tariffs, lowering taxes and deregulation may boost growth and inflation and crimp the Fed's ability to cut rates. Following the election, markets now see about a 70% chance the Fed will also cut rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool. Anything less than a "dovish cut" from the Fed on Thursday could see traders trim back bets for a December cut and the dollar and yields rising higher, Simpson added. The yen was up 0.22% at 154.30 per dollar, after touching 154.7 on Wednesday, its lowest against the greenback since July 30. The Riksbank is seen easing by 50 basis points, and the Norges Bank is set to stay on hold.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, Trump, Treasuries, Simpson Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Trump, White, Index, Treasury, Fed, Republicans, CME, Bank of England, Norges Bank, Bitcoin Locations: U.S, Index ., cryptocurrencies
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