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NEW YORK, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said on Friday that the economy's current path appears to indicate that further interest rate increases will not be required. "My outlook is that we are going to stay on that slow and steady [growth path] and if we continue to do that, then I think where we are now will be sufficiently restrictive to get us to the 2% level for inflation," Bostic said in an interview on Bloomberg's television channel. Even so, he said, "There's still a lot that’s going to happen between now and even the next meeting. We're going to get a couple of jobs numbers, we're going to get a couple of readings for inflation, and that'll tell us and give us more signals as to what's going on in the economy." Reporting by Michael S. DerbyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, We're, Michael S Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Derby, Thomson
Gen Z workers expect to change careers three times in their lives. It found that 73% of Gen Z are not afraid to take a pay cut to pursue a more fulfilling career. AdvertisementAdvertisementGen Z workers are known for their job-hopping tendencies, and a new survey has found that they expect to change their careers at least three times over their lifetimes. It found that Gen Z plans to switch careers at least three times over their working life, which is once more than any other generation before them. Gen Z are more likely to prioritize their wellbeing and happiness than other generations.
Persons: , Gen, Gen Z, X, Gen X, Kristen Buckheit, Zers, Oliver Wyman, they're, Z, doesn't, Nick Bunker, Jeff Hyman, Rockstars, they've Organizations: Resource Solutions, Service, Solutions, Boomers, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, North America, Indeed's, New York Times Locations: Millennials, Chicago
FILE PHOTO: President and Chief Executive Officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael W. Bostic speaks at a European Financial Forum event in Dublin, Ireland February 13, 2019. But that’s possible next year, and “I would say late 2024” is on the table for an easing, Bostic said. The policymaker, who does not hold a vote on the rate setting Federal Open Market Committee this year but will next year, has said in recent remarks he believes the Fed is done raising rates. Bostic said in the television appearance that information he’s picking up points to an economy which, while still possessing forward momentum, is losing speed. “When I talk to businesses, they all tell me the slowdown is coming,” Bostic said.
Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, , ” Bostic, , “ I’ve, he’s Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, CNBC Locations: Dublin, Ireland
President and Chief Executive Officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael W. Bostic speaks at a European Financial Forum event in Dublin, Ireland February 13, 2019. REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said on Thursday that controlling inflation is still the U.S. central bank's mission, although he did not say what that means for monetary policy. Bostic said economic disparities built up over a long period and will not be eliminated quickly. He also said monetary policy is limited in helping reduce these imbalances. "Monetary policy can help create broad conditions conducive to sustaining economic expansions," Bostic said.
Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, Michael S, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, New School, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, U.S, New York
Sales rose in the Northeast but fell elsewhere, although sales were down year to year throughout the country. Sales are now running at an annual rate of 3.96 million, down 15.4% from 4.68 million a year ago. On Tuesday, the Census Bureau reported that retail sales rose by 0.7%, more than twice what had been expected, as consumers flocked to eating and dining establishments and shopped more online. Among middle-income households, 25% plan to spend more, while 16% of low-income households will increase holiday spending. “Despite a lot of the negativity you see everywhere, consumers seem pretty resilient,” Rose says.
Persons: , Lawrence Yun, LEI, Justyna, Monica, TransUnion, Mark Rose, ” Rose Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Federal, Conference, The Conference Board, , The, Board, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, Census Bureau, Labor Department
Top-earning US men experience an "astonishing surge in earnings" between the ages of 35 and 45. The top 2% average around $400,000 a year across their working lives, while median earners earn $50,000 annually, per the post. AdvertisementAdvertisementTop-earning American men experience an "astonishing surge in earnings" between the ages of 35 and 45 while other men see their incomes plateau, according to an analysis by economist Serdar Ozkan published Monday. The difference in wage growth is starker earlier in life. From ages 25 to 35, top earners experience a 435% rise in earnings, compared to a 65% increase for median earners.
Persons: Serdar Ozkan, , Ozkan, Louis Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Internal Revenue, Institute, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Locations: Washington
With two wars, a rising price of oil and a shaky bond market, there is plenty of worry for the markets and economists this week, including a slew of corporate earnings reports and data on the state of the housing market and retail spending. Meanwhile, Russia has been pressing its invasion of Ukraine that is now a year and a half old. Last week ended with a surprise increase in consumer’s expectations of inflation in the University of Michigan’s sentiment survey. Where new home construction a few months ago was holding up the housing market, now it has slumped amid mortgage rates that have brushed 8%. The firm published its monthly economic outlook last week and did not include any more Fed rate hikes in the current cycle.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Sam Bullard Organizations: Hamas, University of, , BCA Research, , National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, National Association of Realtors, Economic, of New, Wells Locations: East, Ukraine, Gaza, Israel, Palestinian, U.S, Iran, Lebanon, Russia, of New York
Consumers fell prey to inflation that remains high, especially for life’s necessities like food and gasoline, according to the latest monthly survey from the University of Michigan. The consumer sentiment survey fell by 7% overall to 63 from 68.1 in September, while the current conditions reading dropped to 66.7 from 71.4 and the future expectations was at 60.7, down from 66 a month ago. Notably, expectations for the annual rate of inflation a year from now rose to 3.8% from 3.2% in September. “Assessments of personal finances declined about 15%, primarily on a substantial increase in concerns over inflation, and one-year expected business conditions plunged about 19%,” said Joanne Hsu, survey director. “Owners remain pessimistic about future business conditions, which has contributed to the low optimism they have regarding the economy,” said Bill Dunkelberg, NFIB chief economist.
Persons: , Joanne Hsu, Sam Bullard, Joe Brusuelas, Tuan Nguyen, NFIB, Bill Dunkelberg, JP Morgan Chase, Jamie Dimon Organizations: University of Michigan, Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Wells Locations: U.S, Washington
European stocks lower ahead of U.S. earnings releases
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The regional Stoxx 600 was down 0.7% as most sectors fell into the red. Only oil and gas stocks were higher, by 1.3%, as crude prices rose sharply. European stock markets were lower Friday afternoon as sentiment falters on fresh U.S. inflation data. However, both U.S. producer price and consumer price index readings have since come in slightly higher than expected. Inflation figures for France and Spain out FridayAsia-Pacific stocks were lower as the consumer price index in China — where the concern is deflation — came in flat, below estimates for 0.2% growth.
Persons: Raphael Bostic Organizations: Global, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Atlanta, Friday Locations: Israel, U.S, France, Spain, Friday Asia, Pacific, China —
The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.
Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, , , ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia
REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 10 (Reuters) - Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday said the U.S. central bank need not raise borrowing costs any further, and sees no recession ahead even as the Fed's rate hikes so far slow the economy and bring down inflation. "I actually don't think we need to increase rates anymore" to get too-high inflation back down to the Fed's 2% goal, Bostic told the American Bankers Association, to applause. Policy is sufficiently restrictive, and "a lot" of the impact of the Fed's rate hikes so far is clearly yet to come, he said. The conflict between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas which broke out over the weekend creates uncertainty for the United States and the global economy, Bostic said, noting that it will cause rethinking on markets and investments. If data comes in differently from what he expects, Bostic said "we might have to increase (the Fed policy rate), but that's not my outlook right now, and that's not my expectation."
Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, that's, Ann Saphir, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank, American Bankers Association, Palestinian, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, U.S, Israel, United States, Ukraine
It needs to translate into changes in economic outcomes," Bostic said in comments to reporters alongside the release of a new policy essay. Part of that adaptation is how the Fed's short-term benchmark is translated ultimately into mortgage rates, corporate bonds yields, and other securities that influence economic activity. In separate comments, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said she similarly is watching how the rise in bond yields will play out, even though she feels the Fed's policy rate still needs to rise. It may well be that the Fed's hawkish rate posture is no longer the primary impetus for the rise in yields. Reporting by Howard Schneider and Dan Burns; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, Mester, Torsten Slok, Slok, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, U.S, Cleveland Fed, Apollo Global Management, Reuters, Fitch, Treasury Department, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, Atlanta, China, York
It needs to translate into changes in economic outcomes," Bostic said in comments to reporters. "I don't think the degree of response to date has been out of bounds" of what would happen "in an ordinary tightening cycle." But even though he agreed that recent jumps in long-term yields have been unusual, Bostic joined several of his colleagues in downplaying their relevance to policy - at least so far. "There is a lot going on and I cannot say I have all the answers," Bostic said. The things we are looking at is the pace at which the economy slows," not the rates themselves.
Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Atlanta Fed, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, U.S, China
FILE PHOTO:President and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Raphael Bostic speaks at the South African Reserve Bank's Biennial Conference in the Cape Town International Convention Centre, South Africa, August 31, 2023. "I don't think there is an urgency for us to do anything more ... I think that is the appropriate thing to do for a long time," Bostic said. The current policy rate "is starting to slow the economy down. Recent data showing a decline in the underlying pace of inflation is expected by many investors to hold the benchmark policy rate steady.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Esa Alexander, Bostic, Let's, Howard Schneider, Andrew Heavens, Will Dunham Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, South African, Bank's, Cape Town International Convention Centre, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Metro Atlanta Chamber, Federal, Fed, Thomson Locations: South Africa, Atlanta
The Federal Reserve, as expected, left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday while raising forecasts for economic growth and lowering them for unemployment next year. “Job gains have slowed in recent months but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated.”The central bank updated its forecasts for economic growth, unemployment and inflation. The GDPNow estimate from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is now pegging economic growth in the third quarter at 4.9%. But it would likely curb economic growth at a time when the Fed’s policies have restricted credit and other government stimulus is waning.
Persons: , ” Powell, , Powell, Andrew Patterson, Ruslan Lienkha, Victor Li, Jeff MacDonald, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, , Villanova University, Federal Reserve Bank of, GOP Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and a member of the Fed’s interest rate policy committee, doesn't think another hike is needed. Our rate today is higher than the rate of inflation. I’m going to remain diligent and pay attention and make sure that inflation continues on the trajectory that it’s been on. A. We’re going to have to keep our rate higher for longer than historically happens, because we need to make sure that inflation stays at 2%. We’re just going to have to stay restrictive for quite a while, until we are sure, sure, sure, sure, sure, sure that inflation is not going to bounce up far away from our target.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, doesn't, Bostic, we’re, I’ve, I’m, we’ve, We’re Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Associated Press, Fed
Morning Bid: A sticky inflation situation
  + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
With a relentless set of rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has managed to drive consumer price increases down to 3%, from last June's 9.1%. The Atlanta Fed compiles an index of core sticky consumer prices - goods or services for which the cost changes far more slowly. Reuters GraphicsLine chart with data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Federal Reserve shows PCE inflation slowed to 3% year-on-year in June, while core PCE inflation also eased to 4.2%. Chart shows economists polled by Reuters expecting the U.S. consumer price index to have increased 0.2% in July 2023 from the previous month, the same pace as June 2023. * Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic gives welcome remarks at a webinar, 1500 EDT/1900 GMT.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amanda Cooper, they're, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, American Automobile Association, Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Atlanta Fed, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Yahoo Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Manheim
Maryviolet | Istock | Getty ImagesResearch suggests it's best to hold off on claiming Social Security retirement benefits until age 70, if possible, to get the biggest monthly payments available to you. That includes 17% of respondents ages 60 to 65, who may be on the brink of retirement, according to the results. Why it pays to wait to claim Social Security benefitsEarly claiming will affect the size of your monthly Social Security checks. For each year delayed past full retirement age to age 70, 8% is added to Social Security benefits. By waiting up to age 70, retirees can lock in the biggest benefit checks available based on their work records.
Persons: , Deb Boyden, Larry Kotlikoff, David Altig, Victor Yifan Ye, Kotlikoff Organizations: Istock, Getty Images Research, Social, Security, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Boston University, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Opendoor Technologies, Finance
JPMorgan is the latest bank on Wall Street to push out its recession forecast to 2024. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. The bank became the latest Wall Street bank to delay its recession forecast to 2024, if it happens at all. Bank of America became the first Wall Street bank earlier last week to delay its 2023 recession forecast. The most recent GDPNow estimate from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta suggests annualized GDP growth of 3.9% in the third-quarter.
Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan, Bank of America, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon
On Thursday, new GDP data will show just how much the US economy grew between April and June. The US has also been experiencing a factory boom, with construction spending on US manufacturing nearly doubling from May 2022 to May 2023. Manufacturing employment recently hit its highest level since 2008, and since Biden took office, around 800,000 manufacturing jobs were added. In the first two quarters of this year, applications to start a business likely to hire employees grew 7% year-over-year. Sectors leading likely employer business applications include accommodation and food services, construction, health care and social assistance, and retail trade.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joe, Biden, Ellen Zentner, Julia Coronado Organizations: Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Congressional, Investments, Economic, Sectors, National Association for Business Economics, Conference, CPI, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, , Philadelphia, frastructure, Mississippi, North Carolina
Income inequality has narrowed in the US, with low-wage workers receiving raises during the pandemic. This trend has been tapering off, though labor market competition has benefited wage growth. This was thanks to pre-pandemic minimum wage legislation, coupled with higher raises for lower wage workers in the tumultuous years that followed. Although low-wage workers have slightly narrowed the gap, corporate profits have boomed, allowing those at the very top to stay separated from the rest. In June 2022, low-wage workers saw 7.2% wage growth from the prior year, falling to 6.5% in June 2023.
Persons: It's, David Autor, Ford, Autor, Harry Holzer, John LaFarge Jr, SJ, Georgetown University's, Holzer, Biden, " Holzer Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, MIT Department of Economics, American Bar Association, Public, Georgetown, Georgetown University's McCourt School of Public, Federal Reserve Bank of, Economic Policy Institute Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
A Kentucky man found a hoard of over 700 Civil War-era coins on his farm. The coins, which have been dubbed the "Great Kentucky Hoard," could be worth millions. The cache of gold coins, dubbed the "Great Kentucky Hoard," dates between 1840 and 1863, according to GovMint.com. "Those are all $1 gold coins, $20 gold coins, $10 gold coins." "The opportunity to handle the 'Great Kentucky Hoard' is one of the highlights of my career.
Persons: Jeff Garrett, Garrett, Ryan McNutt, Confederate John Hunt Morgan's Organizations: Service, Indians, Liberty Double Eagles, GovMint, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Numismatic Guaranty Company, Georgia Southern University, Confederate Locations: Kentucky, Wall, Silicon, Georgia
Amid a tight labor market, many were also able to find a better job, with better pay. The combination of a tight labor market and structural change from the pandemic catalyzed job reshuffling over the past three years, he said. The BLS shows the rate of job growth is up in the construction, manufacturing, health, education and food services industries. Despite the apparent end of the Great Resignation, the job market continues to hum along; the US economy added 339,000 jobs in May. The fact that quit rates are down indicates that there’s low confidence in the job market,” Kriegel said.
Persons: , Nicholas Bloom, that’s, , Bloom, Nick Bunker, Jessica Kriegel, ” Kriegel, Bunker, “ There’s, there’s, ” Bunker Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Federal Reserve, Stanford University, Bureau of Labor Statistics bolsters, Labor, BLS, Federal Reserve Bank of, Conference Board, Bed, Stanford, Workers, Gallup, Bank of America, Georgetown University Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Fed's Bostic says wants to 'wait and see' on rates
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
"The appropriate policy is really just to wait and see how much the economy slows from the policy actions that we've had," Bostic told CNBC, noting that for months he has believed the Fed would need to get short-term interest rates to the 5%-5.25% range where they are currently. "I think in the next several months the math is going to work in our favor, and the economy is going to work in our favor," Bostic told CNBC. Still, he said, "if there is going to be a bias to action, for me there would be a bias to increase a little further, as opposed to cut," Bostic said. The unemployment rate, at 3.4%, is the lowest it has been in more than 50 years. Even with some increase to that as inflation comes down, Bostic said, the economy would still be very strong.
President Joe Biden is meeting Congressional leaders on Tuesday to try to hash out a compromise to raise the debt limit and avoid a catastrophic default. A regulatory filing on Friday from the family office of George Soros showed the 92-year old billionaire investor has sold his entire stake in Tesla. Soros bought shares in the electric vehicle maker, run by Elon Musk, in 2022, as well as convertible bonds in 2018. Soros wasn't alone in pulling out of some of the pandemic-era darlings in the first three months of the year. Friday's regulatory filing showed he loaded up on other big tech stocks, including Netflix, Uber, chipmaker Qualcomm and cloud-based data company Snowflake - which fellow 92-year old investor Warren Buffett bought into back in 2020.
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