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☆ Wall St Week Ahead Relentless U.S. stock rally faces Fed test
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 is up nearly 19% year-to-date and closed on Thursday at 4,534.87, only about 6% below an all-time high reached in January 2022. What the Fed does and says next week will be critical," said Cliff Corso, chief investment officer at Advisors Asset Management. "Bearish investors have had to capitulate," said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. The bank last month raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 4,500, from 4,000. However, Christopher Tsai, chief investment officer at Tsai Capital, is not worried about buying into an overvalued market.

Persons: Cliff Corso, Jonathan Golub, Tom Lee, Ed Yardeni, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Eric Freedman, Goldman Sachs, Sunitha Thomas, We've, Christopher Tsai, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Fed, Asset Management, Jonathan Golub of Credit Suisse, Fundstrat Global, Yardeni Research, National Association of Active Investment, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Consumers, Northern Trust, Tsai, MSCI Inc, Zoetis Inc, Thomson Locations: U.S, Jonathan Golub of

The Tokyo Tower, left, and commercial and residential buildings at night in Minato district of Tokyo, Japan, on Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022. Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set to rise on Friday after more inflation data out from the U.S. came in softer than expected, raising optimism that inflation could come down without weakening the labor market. "Most stock and bond index prices rose today as economic data indicates inflation has fallen quickly and the labor market remains strong," Bill Merz, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. June's producer price index rose less than anticipated, climbing 0.1% year on year, compared to the 0.2% expected by economists polled by Dow Jones. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index also looks set to continue its rally after surging more than 2.5% on Thursday.

Persons: Akio Kon, Bill Merz, Dow Jones Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Core PPI, Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Minato district, Japan, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, U.S, Chicago, Osaka, Australia

☆ Stock futures are little changed ahead of big bank earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed Thursday evening as investors awaited earnings reports from a slate of big banks. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were down by 0.04%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures inched lower by 27 points, or 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. In regular trading, the S&P 500 climbed 0.85%. The S&P 500 is up 2.5% on the week, while the Dow is up 1.9%.

Persons: Bill Merz, we'd, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Dow, Wells, UnitedHealth Organizations: Futures, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow, Investors, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citi, BlackRock, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Another earnings season begins, but investors are already looking beyond it
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —As the second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, investors want answers on the health of the United States’ companies and its economy. The projected second-quarter earnings decline for companies listed in the S&P 500 is roughly 7.6% compared to the prior year, according to FactSet. That would be the third consecutive quarter of declines and the largest earnings decline reported by the broad-based index since a roughly 32% loss during the second quarter of 2020. But investors will be looking even more closely at what companies forecast for their financial performance and the broader economy. Energy secretary vows to replenish Strategic Petroleum ReserveEnergy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the United States will refill the depleted Strategic Petroleum Reserve, reports my colleague Matt Egan.

Persons: It’s, ”, Paul Eitelman, What’s, Steve Wyett, Jennifer Granholm, Matt Egan, Joe Biden, “, ” Granholm, Biden, Granholm, ” Read, Danielle Wiener, ” Jared Bernstein, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, Wealth Management, Gross, North America, Russell Investments, Macy’s, Costco, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, BOK Financial, Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, CNN, The Energy Department, Bronner, of Labor Statistics, of Economic Advisers Locations: New York, United States, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Ukraine, That’s

☆ Market momentum wanes heading into the final week of June after monster rally in the first half
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Against this backdrop, investors will head into the final week of June with a relatively light economic calendar. However, those few data sets could provide investors with clues on how the market will fare going into the second half. Key inflation data ahead Of note next week is the core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Reports to watch out for include Tuesday's new home sales and Thursday's pending home sales data, both for May. Elsewhere, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky warned this week the downside for tech names could be as "equally impressive" as their rally.

Persons: Jerome Powell, annualized, Dow Jones, Terry Sandven, Sandven, that's, Megan Horneman, Stephen Suttmeier, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Art Hogan, Hogan, Mills, Paychex Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Global Wealth Management, Americas, UBS, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Verdence Capital Advisors, Bank of America, Dow, Riley Wealth Management, Fed, Walgreens, Micron, Nike, Constellation Brands

☆ CNBC Daily Open: The Goldilocks effect
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Average hourly earnings were 10 basis points lower than forecast on an annual basis — but still higher than the historical average. "The so-called Goldilocks has entered the house," Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, said. That impressive showing doesn't bring the Russell to par with the S&P's gain year to date, but in the past week, the Russell rose 3.3% while the S&P added 1.8%.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, that's, Terry Sandven, CNBC's Ari Levy, Russell, it's Organizations: White, CNBC, Federal Reserve, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Markets, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: A Goldilocks jobs market?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. And yes, the astounding number of new jobs added in May suggests that the labor market is still robust, which might add to inflationary pressures. Average hourly earnings were 10 basis points lower than forecast on an annual basis — but still higher than the historical average. That impressive showing doesn't bring the Russell to par with the S&P's gain year to date, but in the past week, the Russell rose 3.3% while the S&P added 1.8%.

Persons: Biden, that's, Terry Sandven, CNBC's Ari Levy, Russell, it's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Markets, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: U.S

☆ Oil gains after Saudi warns short-sellers: 'watch out'
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices rose on Tuesday on forecasts for a tighter gasoline market and a warning from the Saudi energy minister to speculators that raised the prospect of further OPEC+ output cuts. Brent crude futures rose 85 cents, or 1.1%, to settle at $76.84 a barrel, while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled at $72.91 a barrel, up 86 cents, or 1.2%. On Monday, prices rose 1% on optimism fed by a surge in U.S. gasoline futures. Gasoline futures rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with analysts expecting a third straight weekly decline in inventories ahead of peak summer travel season which starts on the U.S. Memorial Day holiday on May 29. Erlam added Brent crude prices need to rise above $77.50 a barrel to signal a sentiment shift.

Persons: U.S ., Craig Erlam, Erlam, Brent, haven't, Rob Haworth Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, U.S, U.S . Memorial, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration, of Petroleum, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Bank Wealth Management Locations: Saudi, U.S, Russia, OPEC

☆ Wall St mixed, Treasury yields climb on mixed data; debt ceiling talks take center stage
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Disappointing results from Home Depot (HD.N), the largest U.S. home improvement chain, combined with weaker-than-expected retail sales data suggested consumer spending is losing some momentum as restrictive monetary policy dampens demand. However, a core measure of retail sales suggested the American consumer continues to bolster the economy. European shares ended lower as downbeat earnings and the U.S. retail sales data stoked worries about softer consumer spending. U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise on the heels of the retail sales data, suggesting that the Federal Reserve's efforts to toss cold water on the economy in order to rein in inflation has yet to take full effect. The dollar index rose 0.14%, with the euro down 0.04% to $1.0868.

☆ Actively managed funds come with unique risks and rewards. Here's how investors can pick a winner
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Still, actively managed funds can have a better chance of outperforming during periods of volatility. Actively managed funds have historically underperformed passive strategies, but 2022 was a better year than most for stock pickers . As investors navigate another uncertain year in markets, actively managed funds could add differentiated performance to their portfolios – if traders choose carefully. Actively managed funds can help diversify portfolios, but investors will have to do their due diligence, she said. Other interesting strategies within actively managed funds include long-short and total return strategies, according to Bellis.

Microsoft shares rallied 7.2% following upbeat quarterly earnings and sales, including of robust artificial intelligence products. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 228.96 points, or 0.68%, to 33,301.87; and the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 15.64 points, or 0.38%, at 4,055.99. The S&P 500 technology index (.SPLRCT) was the sole gainer among the benchmark's 11 major industry sectors, adding 1.7%. Of the 163 S&P 500 companies that reported first-quarter profit through Wednesday morning, 79.8% topped analysts' expectations, as per Refinitiv IBES data. It helped push the S&P 500 bank index (.SPXBK) down 1.4% on the day.

☆ 'The risk of recession is far from priced in': JPMorgan warns stocks are set up for a 'bearish outcome' as investors crowd into the top names in the market at rates last seen in the 2000 and 2008 bubb
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are crowding into the biggest stocks in the S&P 500 at levels seen in prior bubbles. On a surface level, the S&P 500 looks like it's having a stellar start to 2023. The chart below shows crowding levels in low-volatility stocks, which investors seek in recessionary environments. If the US economy continues to avoid a recession, stocks could be well positioned to continue their gains this year. But many strategists believe a downturn — or at least a pullback in earnings — will drag the S&P 500 down to its October 2022 lows, or worse.

☆ Stock futures are slightly down as investors parse corporate earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures are modestly lower Wednesday night as investors appraised the latest batch of corporate earnings. S&P 500 futures shed 0.2%, while Nasdaq-100 futures slipped 0.3%. "Earnings reports have been mixed thus far, with individual stocks responding to specific company results relative to expectations rather than broad index directionality," he said. Investors will watch Thursday for more earnings reports, including releases before the bell from Alaska Air and AT&T . Beyond earnings, investors will keep an eye on morning data on jobless claims and existing home sales.

☆ Premarket stocks: Wall Street has found something else to worry about
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Retail investors are buying bank stocksTD Ameritrade released its March Investor Movement Index on Monday, which tracks what retail investors are up to. Lately, large companies have begun to change their investor relations strategies to become more retail investor friendly. “March was full of surprises, but the overall impact among TD Ameritrade retail clients when it came to exposure to the markets was neutral,” said Lorraine Gavican-Kerr, managing director at TD Ameritrade. Retail investors, meanwhile, were net sellers of Meta, NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devises, Intel and Apple. Inflation expectations for the year ahead have increased by half a percentage point to 4.7%, the survey found.

☆ US tech stocks close lower in mixed session as investors weigh recession worries alongside potential for another Fed rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks ended Monday's session mixed, with the Nasdaq trailing rival indexes. Investors returned from the Good Friday break anticipating another Fed rate hike after the March jobs report. Consumer inflation data and the first bank earnings after Silicon Valley Bank's collapse are due this week. But traders were also continuing to price in expectations the Fed will raise interest rates again by 25 basis points, with those odds rising to 71% during the day. Investors, by odds of nearly 70%, are expecting the Fed to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points, to a range of 5%-5.25% at its May 2-3 meeting.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead US inflation data to test market’s bets on future Fed easing
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Following last month’s banking crisis, investors have become more convinced the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the second half to ward off an economic downturn. That view could gain support if next week’s inflation reading shows a strong rise in consumer prices even after aggressive Fed rate hikes over the past year. The firm is recommending clients slightly underweight equities, expecting interest rate hikes to hit consumer spending and corporate profits. Bets on a more dovish Fed have boosted tech and growth stocks, whose future profits are discounted less when interest rates fall. “If the Fed was trying to protect investors, one way would be to cut rates," Hackett said.

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors weigh health of job market and economy: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were near flat Wednesday night as investors considered what the latest data suggested about the health of the broader economy. Those moves come as investors digest the latest data released this week to see if the labor market has shown signs of weakening. Investors will watch Thursday for jobless claims data for more insights into the strength of the labor market. Thursday will cap off a shortened trading week with the market closed for Good Friday. But investors will still follow Friday's data on nonfarm payrolls, the unemployment rate and hourly wages.

☆ Stocks climb and U.S. yields fall after inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

On the heels of the inflation data, Boston Federal Reserve president Susan Collins said it remains "early days yet" for the central bank in determining whether the Fed has hiked rates enough to lower inflation to its 2% target. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.66% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.75%. Expectations the Fed may be nearing the end of its rate hiking cycle have helped send U.S. Treasury yields lowerrecently. The dollar pared some gains against the euro in the wake of the U.S inflation data, as investors see the Fed pausing its rate hiking cycle before the European Central Bank. The dollar index rose 0.117%, with the euro down 0.25% to $1.0874.

☆ Investors should remain cautious amid muted growth and high inflation, says Lisa Erickson
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should remain cautious amid muted growth and high inflation, says Lisa EricksonLisa Erickson, U.S. Bank Wealth Management, Senior Vice President and Head of the Public Markets Group, joins CNBC's "Power Lunch" to discuss whether the cost looks clear for bank stocks.

☆ Stock futures are up slightly as investors weigh bank troubles, Fed decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were slightly higher Thursday night as investors' attention shifted from this week's Federal Reserve meeting back to the U.S. banking system. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, while Nasdaq-100 futures were up 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite posted the largest gain, at 1%, as technology shares continued to rally on a hunch that interest rate hikes would be coming to an end. Investors continued responding Thursday to the quarter percentage point interest rate hike announced by the Fed on Wednesday. The central bank also signaled that the interest rate hikes, meant to cool inflation, could be coming the end.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Higher manufacturing prices gave markets a bad start to March
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Hawkish sentiment from Federal Reserve officials weighed on stocks and buoyed Treasury yields, giving markets a disappointing start to March. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday he's "open-minded" about raising interest rates by either 25 or 50 basis points. Kashkari, who is a voting member on the Federal Open Market Committee, added he might hike rates even further. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets reeled as Fed officials confirmed commitment to high interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

☆ S&P 500 index seen climbing 5% by end of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Sinéad Carew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 was expected to end 2023 at 4,200 points, which would amount to a 9.4% increase for the calendar year, according to the median forecast of 42 strategists polled by Reuters. After falling 19.4% in 2022, the S&P 500 index is up 4.1% for the year so far. S&P valuations have fallen but still above 20-year averageAs of Feb. 17, Wall Street's expectation for S&P earnings growth for 2023 has fallen to 1.6% from an expected 4.4% on Jan. 1, according to Refinitiv. But while Sandven's year-end S&P 500 target doesn't depend on interest rate cuts he said "it does depend on moderating inflation and improved earnings visibility". Strategists had expected the Dow to end 2023 at 36,500, according to a November poll.

☆ S&P 500 index seen climbing 5% by end of 2023: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Sinéad Carew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

☆ Inflation is still on a bumpy ride, says U.S. Bank's Lisa Erickson
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation is still on a bumpy ride, says U.S. Bank's Lisa EricksonLisa Erickson, head of the public markets group at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss high inflation, economic risks, and investment in real asset categories for dividend yield.

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