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☆ How we're rendering the Fed a non-factor in our investment decisions in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With Wednesday's hot purchasing managers' numbers that demonstrate the strength of both the service and manufacturing portions of the economy, it's even more doubtful that we will get rate cuts soon. After all, inflation is the most ruinous force against us, and we must be sure it does not come back. We don't want rate cuts because the economy is weak. Additionally, rate cuts foment inflation, and that won't help the stock market, either. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: let's, it's, DR, FactSet, —, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: Federal, White, Silicon Valley Bank, Dupont, Texas, Nvidia, Netflix, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: U.S, Silicon

☆ Bank credit is shrinking for the first time since the Great Recession – and that's a red flag for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The last one was during the Great Recession, brought about by the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. The extended slump in bank lending comes as many Wall Street experts continue to project a pessimistic outlook for the economy, despite the surprisingly upbeat trend seen in 2023. Recession warningsThe US economy defied forecasters' gloomy predictions by dodging a recession last year, with strong consumer spending helping to prop up growth. AdvertisementBut not everyone on Wall Street is so cheerful. It might be a mild recession or a heavy recession," he added, noting it's possible that the downturn bites in 2024.

Persons: —, Jeffrey Gundlach, Henry Kravis, David Rosenberg, Steve Hanke, Gary Shilling, Continentale, Janet Yellen, haven't, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Hanke, Rosenberg, it'd Organizations: Service, Business, Governors, Federal, Wall, Louis Federal Reserve, Bank, Federal Reserve, Philadelphia Fed, JPMorgan, Fox Business Locations: Bank, Ukraine, Gaza

For its biggest banks, however, there's a hitch: a generation of professional front-line staff have little experience with rising interest rates. The 38 members, which include credit dealers and data scientists, work to improve coordination between retail and wholesale divisions, as higher rates are expected to fuel trading activities. Still, if higher rates are new to most bankers, so they are for their clients, who have for years enjoyed rock bottom rates in Japan. "Almost no front-line bankers have experienced short-term rates above 0.5% as Japan last saw such rates in the 1990s," he said. "I think there are a lot of scepticism among front-line bankers over whether they can really increase their lending rates."

Persons: Masahiro Minami, they've, Izuru Kato, Kato, Satoru Yamamoto, Atsushi Kikuchi, Tokyo Tanshi's Kato, Makiko Yamazaki, Ritsuko Shimizu, David Dolan Organizations: MUFG Bank, TOKYO, Resona Holdings, Reuters, Bank, Mitsubishi, Daiwa Securities, Mizuho Financial, Mizuho, Thomson Locations: Japan, Tokyo

☆ Swedish property firms should cut debt, raise equity, Riksbank chief says
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Commercial property companies ramped up borrowing when rates were low and some are now struggling to pay off or roll-over debt after eight interest rate hikes by the central bank. Thedeen said many companies in the commercial real estate sector needed to restructure their balance sheets. Even if rates have peaked, problems for the commercial real estate sector are not over. Short-dated debt and large refunding needs mean "the Swedish property sector has more risk" than in other European countries, Maria Gillholm, senior credit officer at Moody's, said. The commercial real estate sector triggered a financial crisis in Sweden in the early 1990s and authorities have said it is once again the biggest risk to financial stability.

Persons: Erik Thedeen, Jonas Ekstromer, Thedeen, It's, Riksbank, Moody's, Maria Gillholm, Simon Johnson, Terje Solsvik, Essi Lehto, Susan Fenton Organizations: TT, Agency, Rights, Moody's, Thomson Locations: Stockholm, Sweden, Swedish, Europe

☆ Goldilocks meets Santa as global stocks power to best month in three years
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Naomi Rovnick | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

MSCI's world stock index (.MIWO00000PUS) is set to close the month up around 9%, its best performance since November 2020, when markets cheered the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines. Global bond prices have soared, with an ICE BofA index of global investment-grade bonds in major markets set to return 3.4% in November, the best month on record going back to 1997. Global growth stocks in high-tech sectors are up 11% (.dMIWO0000GNUS) while value stocks, which are mainly in cyclical industries and offer high dividends, have gained 6.5% (.dMIWO0000VNUS). And a cloudier outlook for stocks suggests a divergence could open up between again between stocks and bonds. The broader global index is set to return 1.6% for the year.

Persons: Joshua Roberts, That's, bode, Altaf Kassam, Wall, We've, Guy Miller, Joost Van Leenders, Van Lanschot Kempen, Van Leenders, Kassam, Naomi Rovnick, Yoruk Bahceli, Dhara Ranasinghe, Christina Fincher Organizations: Federal Reserve, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, State Street Global Advisors, Traders, Fed, Insurance Group, Equity, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, COVID, U.S

☆ A default cycle has started amid the Fed's high interest rates, economists say. These 4 charts explain how severe it is.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A default cycle has started, spurred by high rates and debt costs, economists at Apollo Management said. Data on default rates and bankruptcy filings show just how severe the situation is. Advertisement"A default cycle has started with bankruptcy filings rising, and default rates will continue to rise over the coming quarters, impacting in particular middle market companies," they added. US Speculative grade default rates Apollo Management"The ongoing rise in default rates is not just a 'normalization.' AdvertisementUS bankruptcy filings Apollo ManagementWeekly bankruptcy filings for companies with at least $50 million in liabilities Apollo ManagementSløk has previously said that the Fed's rate hikes were to blame for higher bankruptcies.

Persons: —, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Apollo Management Sløk, Nicholas Colas, Moody's Organizations: Apollo Management, Service, HY, Apollo, DataTrek, Management Locations: Moody's, Europe

☆ Here's why the U.S. stock market and economy don't need or even miss China
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-26 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +16 min

Yet, the Fed chief was roundly criticized for avoiding tightening because the economy wouldn't slow down; nor would inflation. The country adopted a strict Covid policy that prevailed through 2022 causing its GDP to fall to 3% way below the Chinese government's 5.5% target. Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping acted as if nothing had weakened and only strengthened his hold on lifetime power. The S&P 500 advanced 14% over the next two years, but China's market sank nearly 1.5% during the same period. Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping acted as if nothing had weakened and only strengthened his hold on lifetime power.

Persons: Jerome Powell, couldn't, Powell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi, Biden, Xi Jinping, Xi, It's, China hasn't, Trump, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tasos Katopodis, Brendan Smialowski Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Initiative, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nike, Apple, Starbucks, Trump, Nvidia, United Auto Workers, UAW, Pfizer, CNBC, Federal, Financial, Treasury Department, Capitol, Reuters, Economic Cooperation, Afp, Getty Locations: U.S, China, United States, Taiwan, San Francisco, Mexico, Washington , U.S, Asia

☆ Take Five: Warming up this winter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

1\BUCK UP, IT'S DECEMBERThe dollar is heading for its weakest monthly performance for a year, with a loss so far of 2.7%. On Thursday, China releases official manufacturing PMI data, which last month showed an unexpected contraction, killing momentum for an economic recovery. COP28 gets underway in Dubai and securing an agreement on how to tackle global warming and, crucially, how to pay for it looks as difficult as ever for the near 200 countries and institutions attending. Reuters Graphics5\THE ECB'S BALANCING ACTEuro zone inflation data on Nov. 30 may well confirm a trend of price rises moderating. Policymakers remain wary of any hopes for rate cuts spilling over into increased bank lending and household spending, renewing inflationary pressures.

Persons: Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Naomi Rovnick, Marc Jones, Amanda Cooper, it's, Joshua Roberts, Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, Christine Lagarde, Pasit Kongkunakornkul, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Vineet Sachdev, Prinz, Toby Chopra Organizations: BUCK, IT'S, Federal Reserve, Reuters, REUTERS, COP28, World Bank, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: China, Dubai, Lewis, New York, Tokyo, London, Washington , U.S, UAE

☆ Morgan Stanley urges higher quality corporate bonds as 2024 maturities approach
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Matt Tracy | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 20 (Reuters) - Investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS.N) is recommending that corporate bond investors focus on higher quality investment-grade and high-yield bonds headed into next year, as a wave of maturities poses risk to more junk-rated companies. Morgan Stanley said it suspects the Federal Reserve has neared the end of its rate-hiking cycle, with a soft landing for the economy in the cards next year. As maturities hit next year, 15-20% of this ratings class is likely to see downgrades to CCC, according to Morgan Stanley. Downgrades will not be limited to junk issuers, Morgan Stanley added. On the leveraged loan front, Morgan Stanley said it expects a return in loan issuance next year for M&A and leveraged buyouts, buoyed in part by anticipated Fed rate cuts.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, maturities, Downgrades, Matt Tracy, Stephen Coates Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Investment, Federal Reserve, BBB, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S

☆ China expected to keep key lending rates unchanged next week
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, February 3, 2020. In a poll of 26 market watchers, all participants predicted both the one-year LPR and the five-year tenor would stay unchanged. "The changes in LPR are more affected by the MLF rate," Zhou said, expecting the LPR to stay unchanged this month. The PBOC on Wednesday injected 1.45 trillion yuan ($200.12 billion) worth of one-year MLF loans into the banking system but kept the rates on those loans unchanged. Expectations of steady LPR fixings also come as new bank lending in China fell less than expected in October from the previous month.

Persons: Jason Lee, Zhou Maohua, Zhou, Winni Zhou, Wu Fang, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, China Everbright Bank, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, outflows, Shanghai, Singapore

☆ Amplify rolls out first SOFR-based ETF for income seekers
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The Amplify Samsung SOFR ETF , which debuted Wednesday, is the first ETF to track SOFR, the overnight interbank lending rate that has emerged as the U.S. replacement for the now-defunct Libor gauge of overnight borrowing interest costs. The new fund's launch comes amidst a wave of enthusiasm for ultra-short term fixed income ETFs, as yields on products throughout the fixed income spectrum have risen to multi-year highs following an aggressive rate hiking cycle by the Federal Reserve. "It wasn't until this year that rate-driven products became priorities," said Bill Belden, president of Amplify. Flows into money market and ultra-short term products account for about 36% of all inflows into fixed income ETFs this year, though the category represents only 15% of all fixed income ETF assets, according to Matthew Bartolini, head of product research at State Street Global's SPDR Americas ETF division. Belden said that a large institutional investor has provided seed capital of $50 million for the new ETF.

Persons: Yves Herman, Bill Belden, Matthew Bartolini, SOFR, Belden, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Samsung, REUTERS, ETF, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Brussels, Diegem, Belgium, U.S, Americas

Consumer prices held stable in October, bringing the annual inflation rate down to 3.2% from 3.7% a month ago as energy prices receded, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. “Further evidence of disinflation inside the October inflation report,” RSM US Chief Economist Joseph Brusuelas posted on social media, noting that month-over-month inflation was flat at 3.2% and core inflation was up 0.2 percent to 4% over the same period. Although prices for a wide variety of goods and services have cooled this year, the current inflation rate is well above the 2% target set by the central bank. “Inflation expectations over the next 5 years dipped to 2.7%, slightly above the Fed’s long-run target of 2%. “We don’t think the last mile of disinflation will be particularly hard,” Goldman Chief Economist Jan Hatzius wrote in the outlook.

Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, Stocks, Matt Bush, Patrick De Haan, “, ”, Piyush Patel, Jeffrey Roach, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: of Labor Statistics, RSM, Federal, Treasury, Dow Industrial, Guggenheim Partners, CNBC, National Retail Foundation, NRF, Affinity Solutions, Wall Street, Travel, Gas, New York Federal Reserve Bank, University of Michigan’s, LPL, Investment, ” Goldman Locations: U.S

Nov 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Producer and consumer price inflation figures will be released, the highlights of a regional calendar that also includes Japanese bank lending, trade and current account figures, Indonesian retail sales, and Philippines GDP. Global yields are moving too - the 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield is back below 0.85%, having come within two basis points of 1% last week. The decline in U.S. bond yields is removing some of the dollar's shine, which in turn is allowing Asian currencies to fight back. Yen traders on Thursday are also eyeing Japanese bank lending figures for October and September's trade and current account report.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Pan Gongsheng, Ping, Fed's Powell, Josie Kao Organizations: Treasury, People's Bank of China, Financial, Ping An Insurance Group, Reuters, Nissan, Honda, Sony, Group, China PPI, CPI, Thomson Locations: Asia, Philippines, Beijing, China's, Japan, Philippine, China

☆ Oil prices ease as market awaits China data to gauge demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices eased on Tuesday, giving up most of the gains from the previous day, on concerns over weak demand in China, with investors focusing on trade data due later in the day to gauge demand from the world's second-largest oil consumer. Both benchmarks gained about 30 cents on Monday after top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia reaffirmed their commitment to extra voluntary oil supply cuts until the end of the year. "Oil prices were supported by continued output cuts by Saudi and Russia the previous day but investors' attention has shifted to demand, especially in China," said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities, noting all eyes are on data from China this week. "We expect to see a tug-of-war at the levels near the current oil prices going forward, while digesting news on both supply and demand sides," Tazawa said, adding the trend may change dramatically if the Middle East situation becomes more tense. Moscow also announced it would continue its additional voluntary supply cut of 300,000 bpd from its crude oil and petroleum product exports until the end of December.

Persons: Toshitaka Tazawa, Tazawa, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Saudi, Fujitomi Securities Locations: San Joaquin Valley, McKittrick , California, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Gaza, Moscow, Venezuela's

☆ Morning Bid: Rates buzz sustained before Fed loan data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields have fallen about 50bps from October's peaks and the drop last week was the biggest recoil since March. For now, S&P500 futures are pointing to further slight gains on Monday - which if realized on the cash market later would make for the sixth straight gain and the longest daily run since June. Undermined by the retreat in Treasury yields, the dollar (.DXY) slipped back to the lowest since Sept 20. The backdrop of an easier dollar and Treasury yields provides significant relief for emerging markets, with MSCI's emerging market stock index (.MSCIEF) hitting its highest since Sept 20 too.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, underscoring, Janet Yellen, Lisa Cook, Huw Pill, Bernadette Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, U.S, Pacific Rim, South, Ryanair, Europe's, Goodyear Tire &, Aspen, Conterra Energy, Constellation Energy, Diamondback Energy, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, NXP Semiconductors, Bank of England, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Gaza, China, Western, San Francisco, South Korean, Asia, Europe, Telesat

☆ Consumers are still spending, but they're under pressure. These stocks still have room to run
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

Persistent inflationary pressures have led to depressed levels of consumer spending all year, according to Bank of America. Consumers are still spending — in fact, they're spending more than they are earning — as employment levels and hourly wage growth remain fairly strong . Some analysts see an opportunity to pick up shares of battered-down retail stocks. According to Barclay's Yih, spending levels "almost have to be worse" next year. LPL's Roach similarly expects consumers spending to hit a roadblock in the coming months.

Persons: bode, Neuberger Berman, Steve Eisman, Jeffrey Roach, Adrienne Yih, Yih, Randy Hare, Ross, Polly Wong, Belardi Wong, James Lewis, Huntington's Hare, Bartlett, Chris Kempczinski, Lewis, …, it's, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Kathleen Entwistle, Entwistle, LPL's Roach, Morgan Stanley's Entwistle, Barclay's Yih, Roach Organizations: Bank of America, CNBC, Consumers, Barclays, Ross, Huntington National Bank, Bartlett Wealth Management, Walmart, Retailers, Republic, Urban Outfitters, Eagle Outfitters, National, Capital, National Vision, Nike, Ross Stores, Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management, Investments, Citizens JMP Securities, Delta Air Lines, Deutsche Bank Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo

While more than half of banks reported tightening business lending standards in the second quarter, just 35% said they cranked down further in the third quarter, with about 62% keeping standards the same. Demand for commercial and industrial loans weakened most among small firms, with more than half of banks saying credit demand had fallen among firms with annual sales of less than $50 million. About 39% of bank loan officers said loan demand had fallen among larger firms in the third quarter, compared to nearly 60% in the second quarter. For households, 86% of loan officers said they had kept standards for home mortgages about the same in the third quarter, though 12% said standards had gotten tighter. Just over 5% of banks said they had tightened standards in the second quarter.

Persons: Banks, Daniel Silver, Morgan, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S

The funds available for deals are growing as investors including pension funds, sovereign wealth and insurance firms look for meaty returns hard to find in today's equity markets, especially in the beaten-down real estate sector. Australian real estate specialist Qualitas (QAL.AX), whose backers include the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, has nearly doubled funds under management to A$8 billion ($5.07 billion) since mid-2022, with roughly half the increase since this June. U.S.-based PGIM Real Estate expects to deploy a further $1 billion in the country over the next few years, said its head of Australian real estate Steve Bulloch. Lenders are expanding into residential and commercial construction as banks slow lending or exit, a March report from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) said. JUICY RETURNSInvestors can expect returns from 9% to 11% with the added security of loans pledged against real assets like condos or warehouses, often with a 30% to 40% equity buffer, said Paul Notaras, executive director at Barings Real Estate Australia.

Persons: Stella Qiu, meaty, Steve Bulloch, JUICY, Paul Notaras, Notaras, Qualitas, Andrew Schwartz, Bonds, We've, Schwartz, Lewis Jackson, Rae Wee, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Abu, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Commonwealth Bank, National Australia Bank, Westpac, ANZ Group, International Monetary, Reserve Bank of Australia, Australia, prudential, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Parramatta, Sydney, SYDNEY, Australian, Abu Dhabi, Australia, Qualitas, Singapore

A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, February 3, 2020. The regional economic and policy events calendar this week is jammed with top-tier releases which are sure to give local assets strong steers, especially from China. China's economic surprises index turned positive three weeks ago but despite stronger-than-expected third quarter GDP growth, that momentum has faded. This week's 'data dump' will give a clearer picture of how the economy started the fourth quarter. Indonesia's quarter-on-quarter growth rate is expected to more than halve to 1.71% from 3.86%, according to a Reuters poll, and annual growth is expected to essentially hold steady just above 5%.

Persons: Jason Lee, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Reserve Bank, Reuters, Bank of Korea, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, U.S, Thailand, Philippines, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Indonesian, Japan

☆ Buy these 12 high-quality stocks that are up to 42% below their fair market value as Fed rate hikes begin to hit the economy hard, according to Morningstar's chief strategist and economist
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The firm estimates fair value based on its projection of a company's future cash flows and the predictability of those flows. The best opportunities are now in value stocks that are trading at about a 22% discount to fair value, Sekara noted. Currently, the real estate sector is the most undervalued sector, with REITs trading at a 26% discount to fair value, Sekara said. Finally, American Tower (AMT), which owns and operates wireless and broadcast communications infrastructure, trades at a 24% discount to fair value. Two other five-star stocks that remain significantly undervalued are AT&T and Verizon, trading at a 35% discount to fair value.

Persons: Morningstar's Preston Caldwell, Caldwell, Dave Sekara, Sekara, Wells Organizations: Treasury, Morningstar, Simon Property Group, Realty Trust, Communications, Verizon, Citigroup, PNC, US Bank

☆ China's former premier Li Keqiang has died, state media reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

China's Premier Li Keqiang waves as leaving the annual news conference following the closing session of the National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People on March 16, 2016 in Beijing, China. China's former premier Li Keqiang died just past midnight after suffering a heart attack while in Shanghai, Chinese state broadcaster CCTV reported Friday. That sometimes put Li at odds with Hu's successor, Chinese President Xi Jinping. Li also inspired the unofficial "Li Keqiang Index," which uses electricity consumption, rail cargo and bank lending as a proxy on the economy. While premier, Li pushed for promoting trade cooperation between China and other countries, as well as removing restrictions on the flow of people and goods within China.

Persons: Li, Li Keqiang, Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping, Xi, Li Qiang Organizations: National People's, of, State, Communist Party Locations: Beijing, China, Shanghai

☆ Weak euro zone lending adds to recession fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. REUTERS/Heiko Becker/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Bank lending across the euro zone came to a near standstill last month, European Central Bank data showed on Wednesday, providing further evidence that the 20-nation bloc was skirting a recession. Still, detailed data suggest that underlying trends may be more nuanced as the monthly flow of fresh loans was a positive 14.0 billion euros, reversing much of the previous month's negative 19.9 billion euro reading. Lending is taking a hit after a string of interest rate hikes took the ECB's key rate to a record high 4% last month, all in the hope this would depress activity enough for inflation to return to 2%. Lending to households meanwhile rose by just 0.8% after a 1.0% increase in August with the monthly flow of loans at a positive 4.5 billion euros, ECB data showed.

Persons: Heiko Becker, Balazs Koranyi, Francesco Canepa Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Rights, Bank, PMI, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany

☆ Euro zone lenders and borrowers shun credit as rates climb - ECB
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. "For the fourth quarter of 2023, euro area banks expect a further, albeit more moderate, net tightening of credit standards on loans to firms, and broadly unchanged credit standards on loans to households for house purchase," the ECB said. "For consumer credit, euro area banks expect a further significant net tightening." Banks expect a further, albeit less pronounced, decline in demand for all types of loans in the fourth quarter. The poll also showed banks found it harder to secure funding in the third quarter, especially from retail customers, reflecting stronger competition for deposits.

Persons: Heiko Becker, Banks, Francesco Canepa, Kevin Liffey, Bernadette Baum Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Bank Lending, ECB, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, FRANKFURT

ECB chief Christine Lagarde may stick with the high-for-longer mantra that has pushed up long-dated bond yields. A weakening economy meanwhile suggests the need for further tightening is limited but the ECB is likely to push back against rate-cut speculation. ECB chief economist Philip Lane says the ECB will need time, possibly until next spring, before it can be confident that inflation is coming down. The ECB expects headline inflation to ease to 3.2% in 2024 from an average of 5.6% in 2023. Oil price moves, inflation outlook shifts4/ What does the ECB do if things go wrong with Italy?

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Johanna Geron, Francis Yared, Philip Lane, Lagarde, PEPP, Reinhard Cluse, Chris Jeffrey, Cluse, ING's Brzeski, Dhara Ranasinghe, Stefano Rebaudo, Naomi Rovnick, Susan Fenton Organizations: European Central Bank, Parliament's, Economic, Monetary Affairs, REUTERS, ECB, Deutsche Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, UBS, Reuters, Legal, General Investment Management, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Brussels, Belgium, Europe, United States, Italy, Germany

☆ Big banks are done reporting earnings. Here’s how our financial names performed against peers
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-22 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Morgan Stanley vs. Goldman Sachs MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanely YTD Morgan Stanley reported better-than-expected third-quarter results on Wednesday. GS YTD mountain Goldman Sachs YTD As a point of comparison, outside our portfolio, Goldman Sachs on Tuesday also reported stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and profits . Wells Fargo vs. JPMorgan WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance On the money center side, Wells Fargo reported stellar quarterly results on Friday, Oct. 13, topping analysts' expectations for both earnings and revenues. Wells Fargo got a boost from better-than-expected net interest income and non-interest income, along with a decline in non-interest expenses. A combination file photo shows Wells Fargo, Citibank, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Jeff Marks, Wells Fargo, Wells, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanely YTD Morgan Stanley, Marks, they've, James Gorman, Goldman, David Solomon, Mike Santomassimo, Jamie Dimon, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, JPMorgan Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Goldman, JPMorgan WFC, JPMorgan Chase, Citibank, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo

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