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☆ Retail stocks typically beat the market after Fed cuts rates. Telsey gives top ways to play
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Fed rates not only set short-term borrowing costs for banks, but they also help determine mortgage, auto loan and credit card rates. According to the firm, shares of a few major discount retailers should outperform if middle-income consumers see higher levels of disposable income. Shares of Home Depot and Lowe's are up roughly 12.9% and 17.2% this year, respectively, as the prospect of lower interest rates boosts consumer sentiment. Tech products seller Best Buy could also get a boost from improved middle-income consumer sentiment, Telsey forecasts. If the rate-cutting cycle boosts sentiment among higher-end consumers, Telsey expects consumer retail names such as Williams-Sonoma and German sandal company Birkenstock to outperform.

Persons: Dana Telsey, Telsey Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Walmart, Dollar, Holdings, Tech, Williams, LSEG Locations: U.S, Sonoma, German

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates in its September meeting. With inflation starting to level off and the Fed cutting interest rates in its September 18 meeting, many experts believe rates have only just started dropping. After all, lower rates help consumers save when they borrow money, but they also translate to lower rates on savings accounts and money market accounts. For example, borrowing money at lower rates can make it easier to purchase a home, finance a car, or start a business. Lower interest rates can also help potential homebuyers buy a pricier home, since less of the mortgage payment they qualify for goes toward interest each month.

Persons: It's, Jennifer Beeston, it's, Beeston, Stephen Kates, Cliff Ambrose, Ambrose, Lawrence D, doesn't, Holly Johnson Freelance, Holly Johnson, Johnson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Savings, Apex Wealth, U.S . News, Club Locations: RetireGuide, U.S

☆ What normalizing the yield curve means — and why investors should care
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.

Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC

☆ Ray Dalio says the Fed faces a tough balancing act as the economy faces 'enormous amount of debt'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates co-chairman and co-chief investment officer, speaks during the Skybridge Capital SALT New York 2021 conference. Brendan McDermid | ReutersAs the U.S. Federal Reserve implemented its first interest rate cut since the early Covid pandemic, billionaire investor Ray Dalio flagged that the U.S. economy still faces an "enormous amount of debt." The central bank's decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%. On Wednesday, Dalio listed debt, money and the economic cycle as one of the top five forces influencing the global economy. The country's central bank only recently lifted interest rates in March this year.

Persons: Ray Dalio, Brendan McDermid, CNBC's, Dalio, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S . Treasury Department Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ Investors should be hesitant to dive into stocks after the rate cut, with election uncertainty looming, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

But after Wednesday's big 50 basis point cut, Lee says he sees uncertainty looming ahead of the election. AdvertisementProminent stock market bull Tom Lee has long called for a big rally after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. But after a big 50 basis point cut on Wednesday, Lee says he's feeling cautious ahead of the November election. That rally would happen regardless of a 25 or 50 basis point cut, he said, if the Fed suggested future cuts are likely. With election-related volatility ahead, Lee recommends investing in cyclical stocks in areas like industrials, financials, and small caps.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, SoFi's Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, Fed, Business

Business Insider's personal finance team compared Navy Federal Credit Union personal loans to the best personal loan companies and found it to a standard offering. Navy Federal Credit Union (NFCU) is a credit union that serves the military community and their families. Navy Federal Personal Loan Credit RequirementsNavy Federal doesn't make its minimum credit score to be eligible for a personal loan public — though in general, a higher credit score will secure you a lower rate. Navy Federal Personal Loan AlternativesNavy Federal Personal Loans vs. PenFed Personal LoansWith a range of 8.99% to 18.00%, offers a minimum loan amount than what you can get with PenFed, which as a range of 8.99% to 17.99%. Navy Federal Personal Loan FAQsWhat credit score do I need for an NFCU personal loan?

Persons: Fiona Insider’s, you'll, ber, you've, Foster, I'm, Ryan Wangman, Read, Elias Shaya, Elias, Potters Rebecca Potters, Rebecca Organizations: Navy Federal Credit, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Credit Union, Navy Federal, Department of Defense, Navy, Federal, National Guard, Social, Loan, Foster Care, Better, BBB, Chevron, DoD, Finance, Northwestern University, Boston Globe, Business, Banking Savings, McGill University Locations: creditworthiness, Alliant, Chevron, New York City

Introduction to the federal funds rateDefinition and purpose of the federal fund rateThe federal funds rate, or fed funds rate, is the interest rate set by the Federal Open Markets Committee. The Federal Reserve lowered the federal fund rate on September 19, 2024, to stop aggressive inflation and prevent a recession. Today, the federal fund rate is 5.00%, with the federal fund target rate being 4.75% to 5.00%. How the federal funds rate worksThe federal funds rate, or the overnight rate, is the interest commercial banks charge when they lend money to one another for extremely short-term periods — literally, overnight. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high?

Persons: Karen Fernandez Tessa Campbell, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Open Markets, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, Susquehanna University

☆ From mortgages to auto loans, experts weigh in on when — or if — to refinance as interest rates fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

So, home loan rates may continue to fluctuate. Don't wait to reassess credit card debtWhen it comes to credit card debt, the math is a little more cut-and-dried. In the wake of the rate hike cycle, the average credit card rate rose from 16.34% in March 2022 to more than 20% today — nearing an all-time high. watch nowAlternatively, borrowers can call their card issuer and ask for a lower interest rate on their current card. Auto loan refinancing options depend on equityAlthough auto loans are fixed, the rates on new-car loans will come down with the Fed's moves.

Persons: Jacob Channel, Matt Schulz, Schulz, you've, Ivan Drury, Edmunds Organizations: Treasury, LendingTree, Auto

☆ Fed slashes interest rates by a half point, an aggressive start to its first easing campaign in four years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The matrix of individual officials' expectations pointed to another full percentage point in cuts by the end of 2025 and a half-point in 2026. In all, the dot plot shows the benchmark rate coming down about 2 percentage points beyond Wednesday's move. On core inflation, the committee took down its projection to 2.6%, a 0.2 percentage point reduction from June. In fact, the last time the monthly hiring rate was this low – 3.5% as a share of the labor force – the unemployment rate was above 6%. At his press conference following the July meeting, Powell remarked that a 50 basis point cut was "not something we're thinking about right now."

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Market, Dow Jones, Fed, Gross, Atlanta Fed

☆ The Federal Reserve just cut interest rates by a half point. Here's what that means for your wallet
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"Interest rates took the elevator going up, but they'll be taking the stairs coming down," he said. That makes paying down high-cost credit card debt a top priority since "interest rates won't fall fast enough to bail you out of a tight situation," McBride said. "Many Americans have been holding off on making vehicle purchases in the hopes that prices and interest rates would come down, or that incentives would make a return," Caldwell said. Student loansFederal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected by a rate cut. Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, he said.

Persons: Spencer Platt, APRs, McBride, they'll, Jacob Channel, Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds, Caldwell, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Getty, Treasury, Auto, Fed Locations: New York City, Edmunds

And yet an unusual air of uncertainty overhangs this week's meeting: It’s unclear just how large the Fed’s rate cut will be. Wall Street traders and some economists foresee a growing likelihood that the central bank will announce a larger-than-usual half-point cut. Many analysts foresee a more typical quarter-point rate cut. This week's move is expected to be only the first in a series of Fed rate cuts that will extend into 2025. Over time, Fed rate cuts should lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, as well as for business loans.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Jerome Powell, —, Powell, Jackson, Freddie Mac Organizations: WASHINGTON, —, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Companies, Associated Press Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

But a series of data points showing worsening economic conditions has made some analysts believe a 0.5% cut is more likely — and perhaps even necessary. “We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions,” Fed Chair Jay Powell said in a speech last month. “A (0.5%) cut is usually done in emergencies,” like the Covid-19 pandemic, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s financial group. Mortgage interest rates have hit their lowest level since February 2023, while auto loan rates are also falling. A 0.5% cut would more directly affect rates tied to the fed funds rate, including credit cards, home equity lines of credit and small-business loans.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Jay Powell, Bill Dudley, ” Dudley, Preston Mui, Mui, ”, “, Mark Zandi, Greg McBride, ” McBride Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Wall, Minneapolis Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bankrate Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, America

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors look forward to major Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks were mixed on Monday ahead of the Fed's expected rate cut later in the week. Fed fund futures show markets see odds of a 50 basis point cut as more likely than a 25 basis point move. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday ahead of a major Federal Reserve meeting that's expected to deliver the first interest rate cut in four years. Treasury yields dipped, with the 10-year bond down about one basis point to 3.64%.

Persons: —, it's, Dan Ives, Powell, Ives Organizations: Treasury, Service, Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Wedbush Securities, Nvidia, Broadcom, Oracle, Here's

☆ Don't expect 'immediate relief' from the Federal Reserve's first rate cut in years, economist says. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The federal funds rate, which the U.S. central bank sets, is the rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Home loan rates have already started to fall, largely due to the prospect of a Fed-induced economic slowdown. Student loansFederal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected by a rate cut. Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may also be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, according to higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz. However, refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, he said, "such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options."

Persons: that's, McBride, Jacob Channel, it's, Matt Schulz, Bankrate's McBride, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Treasury, Mortgage, Association, Auto, Consumers Locations: U.S

See how we rate personal loans to write unbiased product reviews. One way my husband did that was by consolidating his loans to get out of debt. Back then, I had a decent credit score and about $18,000 in student loans, and he had a poor credit score and about the same amount in consumer debt and car debt. Here's what we did to tackle Marshall's credit score and debt ratio before officially tying the knot in January 2021 and eventually buying a home. It turned out a few inaccuracies were holding back his credit score, and he was able to get them deleted with just a phone call.

Persons: —, Marshall, Rich Dad, Robert T, JL Collins, Dave Ramsey, Chris Hogan, Christopher R, Jarvis, David B, Mandell, Gary John Bishop, we've Organizations: Service, Business, Nationwide

☆ Delinquent debt is piling up. Here's why it's not a reason to worry about the US consumer, according to BofA CEO Brian Moynihan.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

There's no need to worry about consumers falling behind on debt payments, BofA's Brian Moynihan said. Deliquency rates on credit card and auto loans are normalizing and are close to 2019 levels. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementConsumers are falling behind on their credit card and auto loan payments, but that's actually not such a big deal for the economy, according to Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan. Late payments on consumer credit card loans have ticked slightly higher over the last quarter, with 9.1% of credit card balances and 8% of car loans transitioning into delinquency, according to the New York Fed's latest Household Debt and Credit Survey.

Persons: BofA's Brian Moynihan, —, that's, Brian Moynihan, Moynihan shrugged Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CNBC, Credit Survey, Business Locations: York

☆ Steve Eisman of 'Big Short' fame not worried about banks or economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" fame said he's unfazed by the weakness in bank stocks as well as any uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next easing cycle. To Eisman, there's nothing to worry about. Eisman shot to fame by shorting collateralized debt obligations to profit from the demise of subprime mortgage loans before the 2008 financial crisis. Wednesday's data showed the consumer price index , a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, increased 0.2% in August , in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The economy Concerns about lower-income consumers have also increased recently, but Eisman said they are not indicative of a systemic issue endangering the wider economy.

Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Neuberger Berman, shorting, Michael Lewis's, Eisman, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, Ally Financial, Dollar Locations: U.S

☆ Subprime borrowers are doing better than prime for fintech players, says Mizuho analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSubprime borrowers are doing better than prime for fintech players, says Mizuho analystDan Dolev, senior analyst in fintech equity research at Mizuho, joins CNBC's Kelly Evans to discuss rising consumer credit concerns, the state of auto loans, top players in fintech to invest in and more.

Persons: Dan Dolev, CNBC's Kelly Evans Organizations: Mizuho Locations: fintech

☆ Ally Financial plunges 19% after CFO says its borrowers are struggling
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ally Financial shares dropped 19% Tuesday after its CFO warned of weaker financial health among borrowers. Ally Financial, a major auto lender, expects rising delinquency rates going forward. AdvertisementShares of Ally Financial plunged as much as 19% on Tuesday after the company's CFO said it is seeing a deterioration in the financial health of its consumers. He added: "We're clearly dealing with a cohort of borrowers who have been struggling with cost of living and now are struggling with an employment picture that's worsened." Overall, Ally Financial's comments are not encouraging for the consumer picture, but Ally Financial is known for catering to borrowers with credit scores in the lower to middle ranges.

Persons: —, Ally, Russell Hutchinson, Hutchinson, " Hutchinson, Ally Financial's, Sanjay Sakhrani, Ally's, Sakhrani Organizations: Financial, Ally, Service, Barclays

Understanding business loansWhat is a business loan? Types of business loans availableYou need to determine what you will use the money for before applying for a business loan, as there are various loan types. "Business loan options are abundant, and it can be very easy to obtain business financing," says Grayson. After the applicationWhat to expect after applyingLenders generally look at your time in business, credit scores (both your business credit score and personal credit score), cash flow, collateral, and the industry the business is in. Business loan FAQsWhat credit score is needed to get a business loan?

Persons: you've, Gina Taylor Cotter, You'll, Noah Grayson, Grayson, you'll, Matt Brewster, Brewster, Ryan Wangman, Read Organizations: GM, Global, Services, American Express, Small Business Administration, South End, Estate Bees, Nonprofit, Chevron, Finance, Northwestern University, Boston Globe

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Ally Financial, Southwest Airlines, Oracle and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Mission Produce , Calavo Growers — Shares gained 20% after the avocado producer reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 24% for the fiscal third quarter. Calavo Growers advanced around 12% after the rival producer reported adjusted earnings of 57 cents per share in its fiscal third quarter. That is more than the 43 cents per share that analysts were expecting, according to FactSet. Oracle — Shares of the database software company surged more than 11% after a fiscal first-quarter beat on the top and bottom lines. For the fiscal second quarter, the company saw growth of 4% in preliminary consolidated same-store sales.

Persons: Russell Hutchinson, LSEG, Piper Sandler, Hewlett Packard, Rubrik, FactSet, Patterson, Gary Kelly, Bob Jordan, Alibaba, Daniel Pinto, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Ally, Mission, Calavo, Calavo Growers, Oracle —, Oracle, Amazon Web Services, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Hewlett, Juniper Networks, UTI, Southwest Airlines —, Elliott Investment Management, Hong, Reuters, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Alibaba —, China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen

Researchers have begun measuring the impact of legalized sports gambling on American households, and the initial results paint a worrisome picture about how its expansion has affected bettors’ finances. In separate papers released this month, academics have found that households in states where gambling was legalized saw significantly reduced savings, as well as lower investments in assets like stocks that are generally considered more financially sound. Meanwhile, states that legalized sports betting saw their residents’ aggregate credit scores decrease, while bankruptcies increased. North Carolina became the most recent state to offer online sports betting earlier this year. Earlier this year, the major sports betting platforms formed the Responsible Online Gaming Association to address problem gambling.

Persons: ”, Scott Baker, Charles Schwab, Baker, “ It’s, ” Baker, “ Rather, Brett Hollenbeck, Nicholas Scutari, Adam Candee, Candee, ” Candee Organizations: Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management, of Columbia, Trade, Vanguard, Fidelity, UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, Auto, New York, Gaming Commission, Addiction Services, Legal, Online, Association Locations: New York, New Jersey, Puerto Rico, North Carolina, California, Texas, U.S

☆ Sports gambling takes a toll on Americans’ checkbooks, research shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Rob Wile | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Researchers have begun measuring the impact of legalized sports gambling on American households, and the initial results paint a worrisome picture about how its expansion has affected bettors' finances. Meanwhile, states that legalized sports betting saw their residents' aggregate credit scores decrease, while bankruptcies increased. North Carolina became the most recent state to offer online sports betting earlier this year. Earlier this year, the major sports betting platforms formed the Responsible Online Gaming Association to address problem gambling. Yet there is likely a limit to how much the platforms will seek to restrict their own activities.

Persons: Scott Baker, Charles Schwab, Baker, It's, Brett Hollenbeck, Nicholas Scutari, Adam Candee, Candee Organizations: Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management, of Columbia, Trade, Vanguard, Fidelity, UCLA's Anderson School of Management, Auto, New York, Gaming Commission, Addiction Services, Legal, Online, Association Locations: New York, New Jersey, Puerto Rico, North Carolina, California, Texas, U.S

Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell said Friday he expects the central bank will cut its key interest rate in the near future in response to slower economic growth and cooling inflation. "The labor market is no longer overheated, and conditions are now less tight than those that prevailed before the pandemic. Starting in the spring of 2022, the Fed raised interest rates to a level not seen in nearly two decades as it worked to combat soaring inflation. "Make no mistake, if the labor market shows signs of further cooling, the Fed will cut with conviction," Shah wrote. Lower interest rates will provide some relief to consumer borrowers, but it will not be immediate, according to Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, ” Powell, “, Seema Shah, —, Shah, Greg McBride, McBride Organizations: ”, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, midmorning, Market Committee, Management Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S

Happy Money Personal Loan OverviewFeaturesA Happy Money personal loan is a good option for those with good credit scores who are eligible for the lender's lowest APR. Happy Money Personal Loan Rates and TermsInterest RatesWhen borrowing with Happy Money, expect interest rates ranging between 11.72% APR and 17.99% APR. Happy Money vs. Reach FinancialBoth Reach Financial Personal Loan and Happy Money are for borrowers who are looking to consolidate their debt. Happy Money Customer Reviews and TestimonialsWhile Happy Money is an accredited business with the Better Business Bureau (BBB), is only has 1.6 out of 5 stars, based on customer reviews. Happy Money Personal Loan FAQsWhat is the minimum credit score required for a Happy Money personal loan?

Persons: you'll, Ryan Wangman, Read, Elias Shaya, Elias Organizations: Happy, Social Security, Social, Better Business Bureau, Chevron, Finance, Northwestern University, Boston Globe Locations: Maine , Massachusetts , Nebraska, Nevada, New York City

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