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And I think he’s right there with Reagan as far as his track record, what he did overall throughout his presidency. I think it really does set her up well as you do move on into some other states. nick corasanitiSo New Hampshire has a long history of really just going against Iowa, right? Those independents is where the question of the final results really, really come in. They were economic voters, taxation voters, pro-gun voters, not any of those kind of evangelical issues that we heard in Iowa.

Persons: I’m, We’ve, I’m Astead, ”, Iowans, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki ”, Haley, it’s, Ames, Harrison Barnes, Doug McDermott, Troy Hill, Nikki Haley, Vivek, — he’s, wouldn’t, “, aren’t, Reagan, DeSantis, Nikki, Ramaswamy, Ron, he’s, Biden, Ron DeSantis, —, I’ve, who’s, It’s, hasn’t, caucusing, Roe, Astead Herndon, Aaron, it’s Trump, They’re, Mike Pence, you’ll, we’re, Anna, Teresa didn’t, Teresa, haven’t, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nick Corasaniti, astead herndon, Nick, Trump’s, astead, There’s, they’re, Rand Paul, herndon, Bill Clinton, — astead herndon Isn’t, John McCain, George W, Bush, isn’t, They’ve, unquote, astead herndon It’s, He’s, Chris Christie, Christie, that’s, “ Trump, it’ll, she’s, I’d Organizations: Trump, The New York Times, Republican, CNN, Iowa, America, Iowa State University, NBA, Republicans, Republican Party, Associated Press, NBC, CBS, Iowa Republican, New, astead herndon, New Hampshire, Democrat, New Hampshire Republican, Prosperity Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, I’m Astead Herndon, , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines, Trump, Troy, Ukraine, Congo, , New Hampshire, COVID, Indiana, Ames, “, Hampshire, astead herndon, Portsmouth

Ron DeSantis of Florida refocused his campaign strategy to be all-in on Iowa, and right in the midst of debilitating winter weather, the Iowa caucuses are upon us. And “The Run-Up” has everything you need to know to understand what might happen today — and what it will mean for the race going forward. Going into the caucus, Mr. Trump has a dominant polling lead. Iowa voters tend to care more about candidates who can speak more to small-town and religious values. The state’s evangelical leaders have largely backed Mr. DeSantis, but evangelical voters themselves — including people coming out to Trump events in freezing temperatures in the last week — have largely backed Mr. Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis Organizations: Gov, Iowa, Trump Locations: Florida, Iowa

The former president’s legal status is one of the biggest wild cards heading into 2024. Even as he dominates the Republican primary and his party, Trump has been indicted on 91 felony charges, across four criminal cases in state and federal courts. We spent a day talking to our colleagues in The Times’s newsroom, trying to get answers to questions it’s surreal to even be asking. Among them: Are Republicans coalescing around a man who may soon be a convicted felon? And how much will Trump’s legal troubles collide with an election cycle that is unlike any we’ve seen before?

Persons: Trump Organizations: Republican, coalescing

☆ A group of Black voters recently sounded off on Biden, Trump, and their feelings about Democrats. One voter said the party 'has forgot about the Black male.'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-26 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

An a episode of NYT's "The Run-Up," Black voters discussed Biden, Trump, and the Democratic Party. Several Black voters expressed varying degrees of disappointment with the administration. One Black voter told The Times he perceives Democrats as empowering Black women over Black men. Many voters in group told Herndon that they largely backed Democrats due to a GOP agenda which they find intolerable. AdvertisementA Black male in the group, who said that the GOP espoused values of entrepreneurship that might attract some Black men to Trump next year, also spoke openly of how he felt that Democrats empowered Black women at the expense of Black men.

Persons: Trump, —, Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, Herndon, Kamala Harris, we've, Barack, Obama, Harris, they're Organizations: Biden, Democratic Party, Times, Service, Democratic, Black, New York Times, Trump, White, GOP Locations: Georgia , Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Siena, Black

“The Run-Up” is in a particularly good position to try and answer those questions. We convened a focus group — a very special, one-time only focus group in the childhood home of Astead W. Herndon, who hosts “The Run-Up.”For the wide-ranging discussion, he gathered family members, parishioners from his father’s church, community members and people he grew up with, all of whom largely leaned Democratic, but were clear about the ways in which the party had let them down. The conversations were anchored in questions about Black voters and the Democratic Party, but also covered the apparent appeal of Mr. Trump to Black men specifically.

Persons: Herndon, Trump Organizations: Democratic, Democratic Party

Vice President Kamala Harris is crucial to the Biden campaign’s strategy for winning over a skeptical Democratic base. Her central role — combined with President Joe Biden’s advanced age — means that certain questions have taken on renewed importance. Specifically: What does Ms. Harris believe, and what kind of president would she be? The question of what Ms. Harris believes is one Astead returned to in August. That’s when he sat with the vice president for a wide-ranging interview in Chicago, conducted as part of the reporting for a New York Times Magazine cover story on Ms. Harris.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden, —, Joe Biden’s, Harris, Herndon, That’s Organizations: Democratic, New York Times Magazine Locations: Chicago

Over the course of a few days this week, we got two pretty remarkable data points for the 2024 election. In Virginia, Democrats took control of the state legislature, flipping the House of Delegates and preserving control of the Senate. Just a few days earlier, though, The New York Times and Siena College released a new poll of battleground states. Former President Donald J. Trump was leading President Biden in five out of the six states where voters were surveyed. What to make of bad news for the president followed by good news for his party just a few days later?

Persons: Andy Beshear, Donald J, Trump, Biden Organizations: Gov, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Kentucky, In Ohio, State, In Virginia

Clallam County in Washington State is far from Washington, D.C. — almost as far as you can go without leaving the continental United States. It’s right on the border with Canada. It’s home to about 78,000 people and Olympic National Park. It’s home to Forks, perhaps best known as the setting of Stephenie Meyer’s “Twilight” series. It’s also the home of a particular piece of political trivia.

Persons: —, Stephenie Meyer’s, It’s Organizations: Washington , D.C, Olympic Locations: Clallam County, Washington State, Washington ,, United States, Canada, Forks

☆ The Run-Up Returns, Every Week Through Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( The Run-Up | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

We’re just about a year away from Election Day 2024. In a race in which the incumbent Democratic president is running for re-election and the leading Republican candidate is a former president himself, it can be easy to write off this presidential election as one we’ve seen before. It does seem likely that the country is heading toward the same matchup voters faced in 2020. And why it demands a different kind of political reporting. “The Run-Up” and its host, Astead W. Herndon, will be covering this election from the usual early voting states and candidate events.

Persons: Herndon Organizations: Democratic, Republican Locations: Iowa

☆ A prominent Black voting rights activist says there are 'saboteurs' within the Democratic Party who don't want Kamala Harris to succeed, arguing they are worried about her 'outshining' Biden
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Kamala Harris' tenure as vice president has been marked by a series of high-profile ups and downs. Voting rights activist LaTosha Brown told The New York Times Magazine she feels some Democrats have undermined the VP. AdvertisementAdvertisement"I think there have been saboteurs within the administration," Brown told The Times' Astead W. Herndon. The vice president has also been an in-demand speaker among college students — especially at historically Black colleges and universities. Dunn also shut down any rumors that Harris might be replaced as Biden's running mate next year.

Persons: Kamala Harris, LaTosha Brown, Anita Dunn, Harris, —, Barack Obama, Obama, Joe Biden, Brown, Kamala outshining Biden, Roe, Wade, Biden, hasn't, Brown —, Raphael Warnock, Jon Ossoff, Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Lester Holt —, she's, Dunn Organizations: The New York Times Magazine, White House, Service, Black, New York Times Magazine, Times, MSNBC, Democratic Party, Biden, Democratic, NBC News Locations: California, Washington, Herndon, Georgia, Sens, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Mexico

☆ Trump and the Fun Factor
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Astead W. Herndon | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When Donald Trump was indicted on criminal charges in New York City two months ago, I tried to make sense of the political fallout with my colleague Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst. After poring over traditional markers about fund-raising and poll numbers, Nate mentioned another standard I’ve been thinking about over the past few days: Do Trump’s legal challenges make him more (or less) fun? But after Trump’s arraignment in federal court in Miami this week, I’m reminded of its importance. Nate wasn’t calling Trump fun as a self-evident fact, but rather identifying a set of voters who are attracted to showmanship and celebrity, are distinct from Trump’s base and follow politics only casually, if at all. Perhaps you have a friend who doesn’t care about politics, but can’t believe Trump said THAT.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nate Cohn, Nate, I’m, Nate wasn’t, Trump, Marco ” Rubio, “ Lyin, Ted ” Cruz Organizations: New York City, Democracy Fund Locations: New York, Miami

Voters in the 2022 midterms seemed to send a clear message — a rejection of Trumpism and extremism. And yet it appears increasingly likely that he will win the Republican nomination for the 2024 presidential election. Astead W. Herndon, a national political correspondent for The Times and the host of the politics podcast The Run-Up, explains what shifted in Republican politics so that Mr. Trump’s nomination could start to seem almost inevitable.

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