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REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File PhotoNEW YORK, July 11 (Reuters) - Wall Street banks are expected to report higher profits for the second quarter as rising interest payments offset a downturn in dealmaking. Results for investment banking behemoths will also weaken, with EPS forecast to drop almost 59% at Goldman Sachs (GS.N). That offsets the doldrums in investment banking, where revenues have been depressed by rising interest rates and economic uncertainty. Reuters GraphicsBanking executives have also lowered expectations for the second quarter after mergers, acquisitions and debt offerings plunged in recent months. "We see higher credit risk ahead for lower to middle class families with higher credit card debt that cannot keep pace with higher living costs," Leon added.
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, David Konrad, Keefe, Goldman, Stephen Biggar, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Kenneth Leon, Leon, Konrad, Nupur Anand, Saeed Azhar, Niket, Lananh Nguyen, Marguerita Choy, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank of America, REUTERS, JPMorgan, . Bank of America's, Citigroup, Universal, Argus Research, JPMorgan Chase, Reuters Graphics Banking, Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, Investors, Thomson Locations: Washington, Wells, Refinitiv, Wells Fargo, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
Shutterstock — Shares of the stock image, video and music provider jumped 10% after Shutterstock announced a six-year, expanded partnership with OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT. Newell Brands — Shares of the consumer goods company jumped more than 10% after Canaccord initiated its coverage with a buy rating. Salesforce — Shares gained more than 2% after the software company announced it would hike prices across its cloud-based offerings starting in August. Scotts Miracle-Gro — Scotts Miracle-Gro shares gained 7% after Truist upgraded the stock to buy from hold. U.S. Bancorp — Shares gained more than 3% after Bank of America upgraded them to buy from neutral, saying earnings and strong execution should foster outperformance.
Persons: Shutterstock, ChatGPT, Canaccord, Zillow, Piper Sandler, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Xpeng, JPMorgan Chase, Jefferies, Wegovy, Gro —, Generac, , Alex Harring, Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Yun Li Organizations: OpenAI, Newell, Bank of America, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, Prime, JetBlue Airways —, American Airlines, JPMorgan, Novo Nordisk — Novo Nordisk, Reuters, Scotts Miracle, Gro, Miracle, Truist, Argus Research, Bancorp — Locations: underperform, Xpeng —, Xpeng, U.S
But that plan carries serious risk, as it would jeopardize still-sizable cable revenue without guaranteeing that enough sports fans would support such a product. Several other analysts — including Barton Crockett of Rosenblatt Securities, who has a buy rating for Disney shares — seconded those concerns about cannibalizing cable revenue. Nollen estimated 35 million current cable customers would switch to ESPN DTC. ESPN DTC is zero incremental cost and potentially billions in incremental revenue." An ESPN streamer (in light purple) would gradually drive revenue for Disney, Wells Fargo predicts.
Persons: Disney, that's, Jalen Rose, Todd McShay, Bob Iger, Macquarie's Tim Nollen, Nollen, Barton Crockett, , Crockett, who'd, Will, you've, they'll, William Cohan, Cohan, Joe Bonner, Bonner, Brandon Nispel, Iger, Nispel, We've, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, Hulu —, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, Cahall, Wells Organizations: ESPN, Disney, Bank of America, NBA, Sports, ESPN Disney's ESPN, Rosenblatt Securities, ESPN DTC, Will Disney, Citigroup, NFL, NBC, Apple, Comcast, NBC Sports, Netflix Netflix, Hearst, Argus Research, Netflix, KeyBanc, Hulu, DIS, Wells Fargo Sports Locations: Wells Fargo, it's, Wells, Hulu, Puck
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBiggar: When investing in banks, the larger financial institutions are a safer playStephen Biggar, Director of Financial Institutions Research at Argus Research, discusses the results from the annual bank stress tests.
Persons: Stephen Biggar Organizations: Financial, Research, Argus Research
Disney CEO Bob Iger must decide whether to acquire all of Hulu and fold it into Disney+. By buying all of Hulu, Disney could integrate its content into Disney+, which would make the flagship Disney streamer a formidable challenger to Netflix. "You look at the Disney+ bundle with Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, and it's a pretty powerful combination," Nispel told Insider. Currently, the ad versions of Hulu and Disney+ each cost $8 per month while ad-free Hulu and Disney+ cost $15 and $11, respectively. The consensus among analysts about Disney's Hulu dilemma was neatly summarized by Barton Crockett of Rosenblatt Securities, whose price target implies 26% upside for Disney.
Persons: Bob Iger, Iger, that's, Joe Bonner, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Disney's, Wells, Steven Cahall, Cahall, Hulu, Michael Morris, He's, Morris, Disney, Will Iger, Barton Crockett, Crockett Organizations: Disney, Hulu, Comcast, Netflix, Wall, Argus Research, KeyBanc, ESPN, TAM, Rosenblatt Securities Locations: Hulu
Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line hit 52-week highs Wednesday, while Royal Caribbean did so Tuesday. RCL YTD mountain Royal Caribbean year to date For Farley, Royal Caribbean stands out because it has about 64% of its cruises in the Caribbean, a strong market. Investors now may be waiting to see if there will be more price target increases from analysts after the latest run up. Royal Caribbean has 3% downside to the average analyst price target of $92.77 as of Tuesday's close, per FactSet. Carnival has 21% downside to its average price target of $12.11, and Norwegian has 15% downside to its $16.60 average price target.
Persons: It's, Jason Liberty, Patrick Scholes, Robin Farley, Matthew Boss, Bank of America's Andrew Didora, Josh, Didora, Farley, Truist's Scholes, James Hardiman, Greg Badishkanian, Scholes, Managements, Boss, CNBC's Michael Bloom, Josh Weinstein Organizations: shutdowns, Wall Street, Cruise Line, Royal, CNBC, Royal Caribbean, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, CCL, Bank of America's, UBS, Argus Research, Citi, Wolfe Research, JPMorgan, Investors Locations: Royal Caribbean, U.S, Miami, Tuesday's, Caribbean, Norwegian
TipRanks leveraged its Experts Center tool to recognize the ones with a high success rate. We also analyzed each stock recommendation made by health care sector analysts in the past decade. TipRanks' algorithms calculated the statistical significance of each rating, average return and the analysts' overall success rate. The buy recommendation generated a return of 397.9% from May 12, 2020 to May 12, 2021. Boris Peaker - TD CowenBoris Peaker has the 10th spot on the list, with a success rate of 47%.
The S & P 500 posted its second straight weekly decline, falling 0.3% this week. Given this backdrop, investors have turned to several consumer staples — traditionally seen as defensive stocks — to shore up their portfolios. Mondelez , PepsiCo and Molson Coors — all staples — are the most overbought S & P 500 names through Friday's session. Shares of Mondelez have rallied more than 16% year to date, easily outperforming the S & P 500's 7.4% advance. Estee Lauder is the most oversold S & P 500 stock.
Premarket stocks: This is how the banking crisis ends
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
London CNN —US regional bank stocks look set to rebound Friday but are still down sharply this week, accentuating fears that federal regulators have not yet contained a crisis in the sector that could shake the financial system. Breaking it down: Wall Street is on the hunt for any signs of vulnerability in the banking system after the high-profile demise of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in a matter of weeks. While authorities stepped in to protect depositors at those banks, investors were left with stocks that were suddenly worthless. “I believe it really only ends after we get some type of government intervention,” Michaud told me. The value of short positions in regional bank stocks reached $15.1 billion in mid-April, up from about $13.7 billion one year ago, according to data from S3 Partners.
In late 2020, some 300 Wells Fargo employees were summoned to a conference call. "I actually welcomed that, although I did like Abbot Downing," he said of folding Abbot Downing into the private bank. One team of legacy Abbot Downing employees with $3.5 billion in assets left for Hirtle Callaghan in June 2021. Today, Ginter runs a registered investment advisor called Callan Family Office, which some former Abbot Downing employees refer to as "the new Abbot Downing." Are you a current or former client of Wells Fargo Private Bank or Abbot Downing?
Tucker Carlson's exit from Fox News wiped $962 million from the network's market value on Monday. But analysts are torn about the long-term impact of the host's ouster on Fox Corp stock. But financial analysts are torn about the impact Carlson's departure will have on Fox Corporation's stock — which lost about $962 million in market value on Monday after news broke of the departure. Matthew Tuttle, the CEO and CIO of Tuttle Capital Management, told Bloomberg that Carlson's exit is "definitely going to leave a mark on Fox." But not all analysts shared the gloomy projection for Fox Corp stock in the long term.
Two of them were Citi and Bank of America , both of which exceeded forecasts on revenue and other metrics. Bank of America: 'Superior resiliency' Bank of America continues to demonstrate a "Goliath is Winning" theme, Wells Fargo said in an April 18 note. The bank's earnings came in at 94 cents per share, above Wall Street's estimate of 82 cents, according to Refinitiv. Wells Fargo gave Bank of America a price target of $45, or potential upside of nearly 50% from Wednesday's close. Wells Fargo gave Citi a price target of $62, or potential 24% upside from Wednesday's close — smaller than the upside it gave Bank of America.
April 18 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Group Inc's (GS.N) profit fell 19% as dealmaking and bond trading slumped in the first quarter and it lost money on the sale of some assets in its consumer business. Goldman booked a $470 million loss on the sale of some loans from Marcus, dragging down first quarter results. The logo for Goldman Sachs is seen on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., November 17, 2021. But deposits held in the Marcus business remain core to Goldman and are not under review, a source familiar with the matter had told Reuters earlier this year. Goldman's lackluster trading results contrast with those of Bank of America Corp (BAC.N), which also reported earnings on Tuesday.
Reuters GraphicsIn a quarterly update to shareholders published on March 13, Apollo outlined how Athene's funding model is different than a bank's. In the wake of the banking crisis, however, Apollo has been fielding questions from analysts and investors about Athene's funding model. Following a meeting with Apollo executives, Hone wrote in a note last week that he does not anticipate a spike in withdrawals from Athene's annuity holders and that Athene's funding base was stable. Apollo said in its March 13 presentation to investors that it had seen inflows of $8.8 billion to Athene from the start of the year to March 10. Questions from investors and analysts to Apollo have focused on this subset of annuity policies that have a potentially higher flight risk.
Regulators shuttered Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank, the second and third largest closures in the nation's history. Authorities then took unprecedented action to backstop the collapsed companies' deposits and introduced new measures to shore up confidence. The ups and downs may have helped banks' trading desks as choppy markets fueled client activity. While billions of dollars of those deposits landed at the biggest banks, some analysts said the influx was unlikely to provide a major boost to their earnings. Investors are becoming increasingly focused on the rising cost of funding for banks, which could weigh on earnings, analysts at Piper Sandler wrote in a note last week.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo top bank analysts say the backstopping that's going on at the federal level will help stem the tide of recent losses in the sectorStephen Biggar of Argus Research and Stephen Scouten of Piper Sandler discuss the health of the bank sector -- large-cap, regional and mid-size lenders -- amid the ongoing turmoil in the wake of the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank, pressure on First Republic and UBS' takeover of Credit Suisse.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCollapse of U.S. banks: There's a catharsis happening in bank deposits, says research firmStephen Biggar of Argus Research discusses the collapse of banks like Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, and says "it seems like the contagion … is now a bit contained."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. inflation isn't falling — it's just not rising as quickly as it was, strategist saysKevin Heal of Argus Research says the U.S. Federal Reserve won't change its "mantra" of getting inflation back to 2%.
The weekend came and went without a buyer for SVB Financial Group, the parent company of the failed Silicon Valley Bank. SVB Capital focuses on venture capital and credit investing and SVB Securities is its investment banking arm. Axios reported Monday morning that JPMorgan and PNC were in talks to acquire SVB Financial Group but not the failed commercial bank. SVB Securities, better known as SVB Leerink, the investment banking arm born out of SVB's 2018 acquisition of Leerink, is a very desirable business, he added. "SVB Leerink is a well-known name in the tech and healthcare space that will be attractive to someone," said Healy.
SVB Bank, which catered to startups and tech founders, imploded in three days after a run on the bank. SVB Financial is reportedly looking to find a buyer by Monday. The implosion of Silicon Valley Bank means a working weekend for some bankers. SVB Financial Group is on the hunt for a buyer after regulators closed its Silicon Valley Banking business, according to Bloomberg. Though SVB's bond losses are taking up the headlines, its parent company SVB Financial has two business segments that are enticing.
It read: "Operations of the SVB Securities broker dealer are distinct from the receivership of SVB Financial." The SVB Securities employee called the whirlwind leading up to SVB's meltdown as "scary, scary stuff." Kevin Heal, senior analyst at Argus Research, said he sees both SVB Securities and SVB Private being sold. SVB bought the healthcare investment bank Leerink Partners in 2018, renaming it SVB Leerink and then SVB Securities. PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty ImagesHeal thinks the investment banking operations could be purchased by a smaller investment banking firm that doesn't have tech or healthcare prowess, like US Bancorp or PNC.
Here are the stocks making notable moves in premarket trading on Wednesday, March 8. CrowdStrike — Shares of the cybersecurity firm climbed more than 6% in premarket trading after a stronger-than-expected report for the fourth quarter. Occidental Petroleum — The energy stock climbed nearly 3% in premarket trading after a new regulatory filing showed Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway added to its already large stake in the company over the past trading sessions. Tesla — Shares of the automaker fell less than 1% in premarket trading after Tesla was downgraded to hold from buy at Berenberg. Maxeon Solar Technologies — Shares of the Singapore-based solar panel company jumped nearly 15% in premarket trading after the company's fourth-quarter report.
Goldman Sachs has invited wealth management clients to invest in fintech unicorn Stripe, as reported by Bloomberg. The message was a rare peek into how the richest bank clients can access investments normally off-limits to individual investors. Insider redacted the wealth management vice president's name and email address to protect their privacy. Citi and JPMorgan, for instance, both have teams dedicated to direct private investments for private bank clients. Private wealth is a real power alley for us, and those continue to be good sources of funding," said Salisbury at a conference in September.
Skechers ranks second only to Nike for US shoppers seeking casual footwear, according to Cowen. Skechers' cheaper shoes are helping lure customers away from Nike and Adidas amid high inflation. Skechers is seemingly taking customers away from Nike and Adidas, as high inflation prompts consumers to buy more affordable shoes, Cowen said. While more millennials and Gen Z are buying Skechers, older generations of consumers can largely be credited with the company's evolving reputation in casual footwear. Skechers preference share among adults 55 or older was around three times higher than younger customers in 2022, according to Cowen's study.
"We prefer companies generating cash rather than those that need capital to grow. The higher the free cash flow yield, the better a company's position to meet its debt obligations. A company with a high free cash flow is also able to access cash more quickly in the event of an emergency or opportunity. Using FactSet data, CNBC Pro screened for stocks that boast lots of cash and could be well positioned for a rocky year. U.S.-listed Chesapeake Energy Corporation was the only energy stock to appear on the screen, with its free cash flow yield at nearly 14%.
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