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In that case, it may be wise to heed a key bond market signal that's saying we'll avoid a recession after all. But if you look at the bond market, there's a clear answer that seems to be forming: The US economy won't enter a downturn this year or next. That's because the spread between corporate bonds and Treasury yields is steadily narrowing, according to DataTrek Research. The spread between corporate bond yields and US Treasuries helps measure the risk appetite of bond traders. Strategists warned that markets have yet to price in an earnings recession, which could pose a major headwind in 2023.
Shares of movie theater chain AMC (AMC) have soared nearly 65% so far in 2023, and AMC (AMC)’s companion preferred stock (which trades under the ticker APE as a nod to the nickname AMC (AMC) fans have given themselves on social media) has more than doubled. So did investors learn nothing from last year’s market meltdown? I don’t agree with this market rally in meme stocks,” said Erik Ristuben, chief investment strategist with Russell Investments. Another strategist agrees this recent rally for meme stocks and other speculative bets may not end well. If they’re upbeat about spending, that could keep the rally in consumer stocks going.
Earnings season continues next week, with Club holdings Linde (LIN), Emerson Electric (EMR) and Walt Disney (DIS) all set to report. Similarly, shares of Meta Platforms (META) have surged over 20% since CEO Mark Zuckerberg reassured investors Wednesday evening that 2023 would be the technology giant's "year of efficiency." The bull case is further supported by continued signs inflation is easing, a still-robust job market and the breadth of market-buying activity since the start of the year. Lastly on Wednesday, the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, in line with expectations. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
With few economic releases and the earnings season starting to wind down, an appearance by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Tuesday could be among the newsiest events for markets in the week ahead. The Fed chair is speaking at the Economic Club of Washington D.C. at midday Tuesday. If he wanted to walk back anything, he could have done it then," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley. Economists said Friday's surprisingly strong jobs report should encourage the Fed to push forward with planned rate hikes. Earnings, earnings, earnings But there continues to be earnings news.
With recession fears mounting for 2023, Bank of America has small-cap picks it expects will be resilient in a downturn — and even have some upside. Given this, Bank of America picked out 35 of its best small- and mid-cap ideas for 2023, including one e-commerce stock called Xometry that's expected to roughly double from here. These names could rise 24% on average, based on their 12-month price targets, according to the note. Xometry , an online marketplace for industrial parts, will roughly double to its $60 price target, according to Bank of America. Meanwhile, Planet Fitness will benefit in a recession, as consumers trade down from higher-priced gyms, the bank said.
About a dozen people had gathered to show support for the Ely prisoners on the ninth day of their hunger strike. According to the Department of Corrections, two dozen people were participating in the hunger strike as of Friday morning. Marcus Kelley hugs Nina Fernandez, mother of one of the prisoners participating in the Ely State Prison hunger strike, during a rally in Las Vegas, on Dec. 9, 2022. In a statement released hours after the Las Vegas protest, William Gittere, acting director of the Nevada prison system, announced a policy change to “administrative sanctions” in light of the hunger strike. Prior to the hunger strike, prisoners could be punished with “concurrent” sanctions, meaning multiple privileges might be taken from a prisoner at the same time, the statement said.
Markets closed higher for the week after a stellar rally Thursday that saw Big Tech stocks soar on the back of weaker-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) data for October. The S & P 500 closed up more than 5% for the week, its best week since June. Meanwhile, Club holding Amazon (AMZN) is reportedly conducting a broad cost-cutting review , according to The Wall Street Journal. But we think more data is needed before the Fed is able to tone down its hawkish commentary on rates. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
This week, bond yields also came off their highs and were sharply lower, paving the way for gains in tech and growth shares. They include Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard, New York Fed President John Williams and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari to name a few. Hogan said that group includes Bullard, Brainard and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Many strategists are calling the move higher a bear market rally, and some expect it will fizzle in December while others say it could continue into the new year. Friday Earnings: JD.com, Foot Locker, Buckle 8:40 a.m. Boston Fed President Susan Collins 10:00 a.m.
Hone landed clients like Aramark and Indeed and raised a $30 million Series B that 3L Capital led. Unlike large, asynchronous online courses like those LinkedIn Learning and Coursera host, live, vetted, and professional teachers lead Hone's courses. Hone said it was ahead of the curve on this trend, offering online trainings since its founding in 2017. The Hone team hopes to use the new funding to expand their course catalog and offer more hybrid and in-person learning opportunities. Check out the 13-slide pitch deck that Hone used to raise its $30 million Series B round:
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