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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPositioning is still too negative in equities, says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss how Slimmon would consider August's equity market performance, Slimmon's thoughts on the markets next year, and more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management
The pros share their expectations and tips for how investors can trade in the month ahead. The volatility isn't over The "potential bite" of aggressive Fed policy could lead to more volatility, said Richard Saperstein, chief investment officer at investment firm Treasury Partners, in a Tuesday note. Avoid tech — but not completely Avoid mega-cap tech stocks such as the "Magnificent Seven" now, the pros said, referring to Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — tech stocks that have made massive gains this year. "Big tech stocks have run and valuations are richer than they have been. Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar, said on Thursday that not all tech stocks are overvalued.
Persons: Richard Saperstein, Ben Kirby, CNBC's, Carol Schleif, George Ball, Sanders Morris Harris, Schleif, Ball, it's, Dave Sekera, Kirby, Thornburg, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Slimmon Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Treasury Partners, Thornburg Investment Management, BMO Family Office, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Big Tech, Morningstar, Autodesk, Software, Teladoc, CNBC, CME, Hyatt Hotels, Hotels, Resorts, Hilton Hotels, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Investment, United Rentals Locations: U.S, China, Argentine
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets poppedU.S. stocks had a great Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite advancing more than 1% each. Nvidia's record closeNvidia shares popped 4.16% Tuesday to close at a record of $487.84. Here's why Slimmon thinks stocks will rise despite struggling in August — and the three stocks to buy to ride on the wave.
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Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Andrew Slimmon believes markets are set for a "strong rally" by the end of the year. He told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " on Tuesday that he believes the S & P 500 will be "closer" to 5,000 by then. Stock picks Slimmon is positive on three stocks to buy right now: Alphabet , industrial equipment rental firm United Rentals , and building materials firm CRH . As for United Rentals and CRH, Slimmon said they're set to benefit from the increased spending on public works. Analysts covering United Rentals and CRH give them potential average upside of 10% and nearly 18%, respectively, according to FactSet.
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Despite a downbeat August, the S&P 500 index is still boasting impressive year-to-date gains. The benchmark stock-market gauge is up over 17% so far in 2023, and one expert sees it climbing even higher. Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon sees the S&P 500 nearing 5,000 by year-end – what would be an 11% rise. Despite their already-high valuations, Slimmon sees further room to run. Nvidia in particular is one of the biggest success stories of 2023, with its share price soaring by 234% year-to-date.
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However, according to Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, these are all reasons to be a "little cautious" following the busiest week for earnings. All reasons to get a little cautious on the market," Slimmon told CNBC's Squawk Box Asia Thursday. Microsoft and Alphabet kicked off earnings season last week for the mega-caps, while Apple and Amazon are set to report this week. "I am not negative on the mega-cap tech stocks," Slimmon said, acknowledging Microsoft's strong results . Slimmon pointed out that the broadening of investors' interests is also likely at play, adding further selling pressure to Big Tech stocks.
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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings growth will go positive and may boost stocks, says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss earnings growth bringing upside to the market, investors averaging in cash on a monthly basis, and case for a bull market beginning.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management
Andrew Slimmon of Morgan Stanley Investment Management says a "meaningful" correction may not happen right now. "But it's premature and the stock market is right now feeding off … those lower inflation month to month price," Slimmon added. Stock picks Nevertheless, there are pockets of opportunity in the market right now, according to Slimmon. He named three stocks to buy: American equipment rental company United Rentals , financial services company Ameriprise and building materials company CRH . "In my opinion, investors looking to get into the market will view the recent laggards as an opportunity to get more invested," he said of those three stocks.
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But for investors worried that more Fed rate hikes in the coming months could tip the economy into recession, fixed income might be a more attractive bet. "Municipal bond issuers appear well poised to weather a possible recession in 2023/24. Bank of America has the equivalent of a buy rating on several municipal bond ETFs, including JPMorgan Ultra-Short Municipal Income ETF (JMST) and the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) . Some large funds that could fit that description include the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) , the Schwab Intermediate-Term US Treasury ETF (SCHR) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT). The actively managed Flexible Income ETF (BINC) launched in May and has about $76 million in assets so far, according to FactSet.
Persons: Michelle Cluver, Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, Russell, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Cluver, Rick Rieder Organizations: Federal, Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, RSP, Nasdaq, Bank of America, JPMorgan Ultra, Muni Bond ETF, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, BlackRock
"I do not see much upside in the market near-term," Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at the firm, said in notes sent to CNBC on Tuesday. Stocks to buy Slimmon said it's time to buy some "offensive" stocks. Offensive stocks are those that tend to do well when the market goes up, while defensive sectors are the sectors that outperform when the market goes down. "So I think it's very dangerous to own just very defensive stocks … I think you want some offensive in your portfolio," Slimmon told CNBC's " Squawk Box Asia " on Tuesday. Near-term opportunity Slimmon said there's one area he sees as a near-term opportunity: China.
Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon expects an economic slowdown in the U.S. will happen later than many have predicted. And I think that's when we will hit a slowdown and I suspect it's coming later than what many people have been predicting," said the senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Here's what investors can buy and avoid in the face of that uncertainty, according to Slimmon. Be wary of 'very large' stocks He said he would be particularly cautious on "very large" stocks right now, referring to FAANG — Facebook (now Meta ), Amazon , Apple , Netflix and Google (now Alphabet ). "It's not a cheap stock, but to me, that's a defensive stock that you want to own in this environment as well."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWeakened euro has fueled opportunity in foreign markets, says Centerstone's Abhay DeshpandeAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Abhay Deshpande, CIO at Centerstone Investors, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the dollar index under stress, offsetting cyclical stock with defensive ones, and investing in foreign markets.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon and Centerstone's Abhay DeshpandeAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Abhay Deshpande, CIO at Centerstone Investors, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the dollar index under stress, offsetting cyclical stock with defensive ones, and investing in foreign markets.
Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Andrew Slimmon says that stocks are set to rally further. The economy is proving to be "far more resilient" than what the doomsayers had projected, says managing director and senior portfolio manager Slimmon. Stocks went through a difficult year in 2022, with the S & P 500 plummeting nearly 20%. Slimmon predicted that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise rates a few more times, before pausing. Stock picks Although growth stocks such as tech have bounced back this year, Slimmon says the "real opportunity" is in cyclical stocks.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Slimmon says the 'real opportunity' is in this segment of stocksMorgan Stanley Investment Management's Managing Director Andrew Slimmon says that although growth stocks have bounced back, the "real opportunity" is in cyclical stocks. He names three to buy.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is more upside for investors in China, says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss recent comments by Ray Dalio, investment opportunities in China, and the implications of China's reopening.
Wall Street strategists expect this year to end on a much better note than 2022 — but they still warn that the path ahead looks volatile. However, Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon said he believes stocks are going to do "far better" than most expect. Slimmon also likes Pool Corp , a Louisiana-based company that sells swimming pool supplies. Fed pivot in the works His relatively positive read on the economy is a big reason for his optimism about the market. But Slimmon said he believes the bond market is signaling that the U.S. Federal Reserve will pivot "sooner than it expects."
Don't be surprised if economic data coming out over the next week kicks off a rally into the end of the year and potentially 2023, according to Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management's senior portfolio manager. The key period of data releases begins Friday with the producer price index, followed by November's consumer price index and another likely rate hike from the Federal Reserve next week. "The last time those were released they all led to rallies in the stock market because we had better inflation prints," he said. Like many investors, Slimmon expects a downturn ahead, given the inverted yield curve, but does not anticipate the "big earnings collapse," or downturn, many people are predicting in the first quarter. This is in part due to the fact that many consumers have beefed up savings in recent years given the proximity of the most recent recession.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina could be the asset class to own, says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley investment management senior portfolio manager, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the resilience of earnings in the first quarter, a slowdown following the yield curve inversion and worthwhile stock investments.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley Senior Portfolio Manager Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management senior portfolio manager, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the resilience of earnings in Q1, a slowdown following the yield curve inversion and worthwhile stock investments.
At the same time, tech sector valuations remain well above the overall market, while analysts are dimming their profit outlooks for the group. That level, which is still above the 17 times earnings commanded by the S&P 500, is still too lofty for some investors. Still, some investors are considering increasing their positions in tech and megacap stocks if further evidence of easing inflation presents itself. Higher yields can weigh heavily on tech and growth stocks, whose valuations tend to be based heavily on future profits that are discounted more severely as yields go higher. The firm has been underweight large-cap tech and growth stocks, preferring small cap and value shares, Lip said.
The market will rally into the year end, but it won't be led by mega-cap tech stocks, according to Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon. He added that these Big Tech stocks "floated right through" the 2008 global financial crisis because they were still gaining market share. He noted that this time, the bounce has been led by value stocks, while growth stocks drove the summer rally. The outperformance in value stocks has been pretty broad, covering energy, financials and industrials, he said. "While early, we think it makes sense to begin to nibble on early-cycle stocks ... consumer discretionary names that have been crushed," Slimmon added.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon and UBS's Alli McCartneyMorgan Stanley Wealth Management's Andrew Slimmon and UBS Private Wealth Management's Alli McCartney, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss expectations for the FOMC meeting, locating overweight stocks in energy and tech markets, and a recap on Q3 earnings thus far.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market facing 'major regime shift,' says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonMorgan Stanley Wealth Management's Andrew Slimmon and UBS Private Wealth Management's Alli McCartney, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss expectations for the FOMC meeting, locating overweight stocks in energy and tech markets, and a recap on Q3 earnings thus far.
Watch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon
  + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, managing director and senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss 2-year notes increasing value as an alternative to stocks, the time to buy defensives, opportunities for P/E to lift, and the timeline until Fed easing.
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