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Before the court action, Alabama – which is 27% Black – had only one Black-majority congressional district out of seven seats. The case is expected to land before the all-Republican state Supreme Court, where DeSantis appointees hold most seats. A separate federal case in Georgia challenges the congressional map on constitutional grounds and is slated to go to trial next month. UtahThe state Supreme Court, in a case it heard in July, is considering whether it even has the authority to weigh in on map-drawing decisions by the GOP-controlled state legislature. Advocacy groups and a handful of voters are challenging a congressional map that further carved up Democratic-leaning Salt Lake County between four decidedly Republican districts.
Persons: , , David Wasserman, Amy Walter, Wasserman, Adam Kincaid, Kincaid, it’s, Nick Seabrook, , John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, Ron DeSantis, Al Lawson, Steve Jones, Jones preliminarily, Andy Barr, Amy McGrath, Barr, Kareem Crayton, Brennan, Gabe Vasquez –, Chris Cooper, Jeff Jackson, Wiley Nickel, Kathy Manning, Don Davis, Valerie Foushee –, Davis, Roy Cooper, Nancy Mace, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Republicans, The, Republican, Black, National Republican Redistricting Trust, University of North, House, US, Gov, Black Democrat, Georgia Republicans, – Democratic, Congressional, Republican –, GOP, Louisiana Republicans, Appeals, Brennan Center for Justice . New, Brennan Center for Justice . New Mexico Republicans, New, New York Republicans, North Carolina, Democrats, Western Carolina University, Foushee, North, Democratic Gov, Supreme, Republican Rep, House GOP Locations: North Carolina, New York , Louisiana, Georgia, Alabama, New York, University of North Florida, America, Louisiana, Florida, Black, North Florida, Atlanta, Peach, . Kentucky, Kentucky, Frankfort, Democratic, Brennan Center for Justice . New Mexico, New Mexico, Mexico, Empire, , Charlotte, Raleigh, Greensboro, state’s, Carolina, Charleston, Utah, Salt Lake County, Salt, Texas, Tennessee
Eyes on the SenateCalifornia hosts a high-profile 2024 Senate race, as a crowded field vies to succeed the late Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein. Porter’s report showed her campaign collected $3.4 million and had amassed nearly $12 million in cash on hand by September 30. One of Sinema’s top challengers, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego, had a strong fundraising quarter by contrast. And in Pennsylvania, Democratic Sen. Bob Casey raised $3.2 million and had nearly $7.4 million on hand for another top race. Kim outraises MenendezFederal prosecutors last month lodged bribery-related charges against Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez of New Jersey, just days before the end of the fundraising quarter.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, DeSantis, meanwhile, Trump’s, Haley, Christie, Nikki Haley’s, Haley’s, Chris Christie, Democratic Sen, Dianne Feinstein, Adam Schiff, Schiff, Katie Porter, Barbara Lee, Porter’s, Lee, Sen, Laphonza Butler, Gavin Newsom, Kyrsten Sinema, Sinema, hasn’t, Ruben Gallego, Gallego, Kari Lake, Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Jim Justice, Alex Mooney, Matt Dolan, Bernie Moreno –, Sherrod Brown, Dolan, Moreno, Brown, Tammy Baldwin, Jacky Rosen, Sam Brown, Debbie Stabenow’s, Elissa Slotkin, Slotkin, Hill Harper, Bob Casey, Republican Dave McCormick, McCormick, Kim outraises Menendez, Bob Menendez, Menendez, Andy Kim, Kim, George Santos, Santos, , Amy Walter, Curtis Hertel, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Gavin de Becker, Trump Organizations: CNN, White, Florida Gov, White House, Trump, N2024D, GOP, PAC, South Carolina Gov, Former New Jersey Gov, Senate California, Democratic, Los, Democratic Gov, Democratic Party, Senate, Democratic Rep, Arizona Republicans, Pinal County Sheriff, West, Cleveland Guardians MLB, Republican, Bob Menendez of New, Republicans, Congressional District, RFK Jr, Associates Locations: Florida, Trump, South Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, Los Angeles, Arizona, Pinal County, Ohio, Cleveland, Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Bob Menendez of, Bob Menendez of New Jersey, York, Long, Michigan’s, Democratic, California
CNN —Proof of Congress’ ongoing dysfunction is in its current paralysis. Republicans have a few more votes in the House, but they don’t exactly have a governing majority. The lack of competitive seats makes it feel like we are stuck with a closely divided House and a closely divided Senate for the foreseeable future. Half as many competitive House seatsThe Cook Political Report with Amy Walter assigns a partisan score to every congressional district. The partisan tone he took to placate the ultra-right lawmakers meant Democrats were never going to save his job.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy, it’s, Steve Scalise, Donald Trump, Jim Jordan, Joe Biden, Amy Walter, , Cook, CNN’s Simone Pathe, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, he’s, Biden, didn’t, McCarthy, Nancy Pelosi’s, Pelosi Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Republican, Democratic, Senate Locations: Louisiana, Ohio, , It’s, West Virginia
CNN —Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. Twenty states have likewise voted for the GOP presidential nominee in all four of those contests. That means 40 of the 50 states, or 80%, have voted the same way in four consecutive presidential elections. In the presidential elections of 2012, 2016 and 2020, though, the states where the margin of victory landed within four points of the national vote total dwindled. Eventually a Democratic choice to write off Florida and Ohio could provide a tactical benefit for the GOP presidential nominee.
Persons: , Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama’s, Joe Biden’s, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Trump, hasn’t, Obama, Kyle Kondik, Ball, Kondik, Amy Walter, Biden, Crystal Ball, Cook, Trump’s, headwinds, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Roy Cooper, Erika Franklin Fowler, , George W, Bush’s, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Michael Bloomberg, I’ve, Steve Schale, Schale, don’t, it’s, “ Biden, Ben Tulchin, Fowler Organizations: CNN, Labor, White, Democratic, GOP, University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Electoral College, Trump, Democrats, Crystal Ball, New Hampshire, Republican, White House, Biden, Pennsylvania Senate, Democratic Gov, Wesleyan Media Project, Wesleyan University, Electoral, Republicans, , Wisconsin, District, New, New York City, Sunshine Locations: Indiana , Iowa , Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Arizona , Georgia, New, dislodging Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio, New York, Minnesota, New Hampshire , Virginia, Oregon, Texas
And each time, experts and those close to Trump have predicted the proceedings could energize his supporters and the Republican base. Following the proceedings, former Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale predicted the impeachment would lead to a high Republican turnout in the 2020 presidential election. "Any time people try to lessen this legitimate president, in any way, his voters fight back," Parscale said in December 2019. Prior to the 2022 election, Republicans and pollsters repeatedly predicted the election would result in a "Red Wave," or a GOP landslide victory. Despite repeated predictions and warnings that prosecuting the former president would invigorate his base in upcoming elections, investigations against Trump simply haven't energized his base as expected.
In Arizona Senate, Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is ahead of Republican Blake Masters by 115,000 votes with 80% in. On Dobbs, the national exit poll showed 27% of voters picking abortion as their No. And remember that our final NBC News poll found Trump as one of the most unpopular political figures we measured, especially compared with President Biden. In each state, those Democratic secretaries of state nominees were running against Republicans who cast doubt on the 2020 election result. Two of those five feature Democrat vs. Democrat contests, thanks to the state’s Top 2 primary, so those will stay in the Democratic column.
Most GOP nominees who have denied or actively cast doubt on President Joe Biden's 2020 victory have some shot at winning in November, largely because many of them are incumbents. NBC News has identified at least 272 GOP nominees for House, Senate, governor and Secretary of State who have denied or cast doubt on the 2020 presidential results. HouseAbout 78% of House GOP nominees who cast doubt have some shot at winning, per this analysis. Sixteen of the GOP nominees who have cast doubt on Biden's victory are in races the Cook Political Report considers Toss Ups. StatewideAs with House races, a majority of GOP nominees running for governor, Senate or Secretary of State who have cast doubt on the 2020 presidential election have a chance at winning.
Ron DeSantis overpowered his own Legislature to pass a map that adds an additional four GOP seats. Nationally, Republicans are likely to net three to four House seats from new maps alone — most of the five seats they need to regain the majority. There are 36 House Democrats not running for re-election, mostly because many opted to retire rather than risk serving in the wilderness of the minority. And there’s state Sen. Jen Kiggans, a nurse practitioner and former Navy pilot challenging Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria in Virginia Beach. MAGA primary takeoversIn a handful of races, Republicans have nominated hardcore pro-Trump candidates who could jeopardize their ability to win swing seats.
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