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Read previewMidsize stocks are an investment straight out of the "Goldilocks and the Three Bears story," and Goldman Sachs believes they're destined for a fairy-tale ending. Goldman Sachs suspects that a reversal is coming as mid-cap earnings top those of large caps. And while small caps should post even higher earnings growth next year, that cohort is filled with unprofitable companies, Ma noted. "Low-quality segments of the market, such as small caps, will likely remain pressured at these levels due to weak balance sheets and low profitability." Below are 25 mid-cap stocks in the S&P 400 that Goldman Sachs spotlighted due to their solid balance sheets, double-digit expected earnings growth for 2025, above-average sales growth, and cheap valuations based on their forward earnings multiple versus their five-year median.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Jenny Ma, Ma, they've, Goldman Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve
Leading technology stocks led an eye-popping rebound rally the past five days, driving a key ETF texchange traded fund to one of its best weeks in years. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) surged 8.2% this week, the most since Nov. 11, 2022, when the fund gained 10.04%. XLK YTD mountain Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) performance this year. Investors can thank a bounce back in megacap technology and semiconductor stocks this week that lifted all three major U.S. stock indexes. That alone suggests semiconductor stocks have lost their leadership status, at least for now, Turnquist said.
Persons: ChatGPT, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist Organizations: texchange, Microsoft, Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Apple Watch, Semiconductor, Broadcom, LPL Financial, PHLX Semiconductor Locations: XLK
Wall Street still loves the ‘Magnificent Seven’
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Don't get it twisted: Wall Street's love affair with the "Magnificent Seven" is alive and well. That's a greater gain than what strategists forecast for the S & P 500 as a whole — a gain of 11.9%. This dynamic is seen through the relative outperformance of the equal weighted S & P 500 versus its market cap weighted counterpart. .SPX RSP 1M mountain SPX vs RSP in past month Despite this rotation, Wall Street analysts still believe staying with megacap technology stocks are the better bet. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Stifel upgraded Starbucks to buy from hold after naming Brian Niccol its new CEO.
Persons: Jessica Rabe, DataTrek, Rabe, Stifel, Brian Niccol Organizations: Research, Big Tech, RSP, Wall Street Locations: That's
US small drone production may not be ready to meet wartime needs, Defense One reported. The frequent use of drones in the Russia-Ukraine war has put drone production under the spotlight. Experts say the US needs to boost drone demand to increase production and close the gap with China. AdvertisementDespite the prevalence of small drones on the modern battlefield, the US is likely not producing enough of the technology to meet potential wartime needs, a report by Defense One said. While Russia has relied heavily on drones like the Iranian-made Shahed-136, Ukraine has found sucess with small first-person-view (FPV) drones — consumer drones that Ukrainian forces adapt for combat.
Persons: Organizations: Defense, Service, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China
With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.
Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management
Here are the top stocks to own right now, according to UBS
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A handful of stocks may be due for some gains, even as the market sells off. The firm added three new names to the list from the industrials and materials sectors, including Freeport-McMoRan and Norfolk Southern . UBS said Air Products is at "the forefront of the energy transition," citing the progress it is making on large "blue" and "green" hydrogen projects. Meta is trading at a multiple of 23 times earnings on a forward price-to-earnings basis, per FactSet, and UBS sees shares as attractively valued. "The company should benefit from healthy user engagement, improving monetization of Reels, and longer-term monetization of Instagram and WhatsApp offer longer-term opportunities."
Persons: Russell, Nathaniel Gabriel, Gabriel, Robert " Kelly, Ortberg, Meta Organizations: Dow Jones, UBS, Norfolk, Air Products, Chemicals, Air, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Boeing, Max, DOJ Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
With the second half of the year underway, there are three trades that investors should make sure they're on the right side of, Bank of America says. Bank of America expects earnings of the remaining 493 S & P 500 companies to accelerate into the end of the year. Bank of America identified avoiding dividend-paying stocks as another pain trade for later this year. Bank of America also notes that more than 200 S & P stocks currently provide higher real return potential than the 2% offered by the 10-year Treasury . The SPDR Portfolio S & P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD) has surged 10% year to date and more than 7% in the past month.
Persons: CNBC's, Russell, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, Big Tech, of America, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq
Stock futures rose in overnight trading Wednesday as investors weighed the latest corporate earnings reports, including strong results from Meta Platforms. S&P 500 futures gained 0.4%, while Nasdaq-100 futures jumped 0.6%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 30 points, or 0.1%. In extended trading, Meta Platforms rallied 7% on stronger-than-expected second quarter results and upbeat guidance. Stocks are coming off a winning session that saw the S&P 500 rally 1.58% for its best day since February.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Meta, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Meta Platforms, Arm Holdings, Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Nvidia, Devices, VanEck Semiconductor, Apple, Dow, Intel, Booking Holdings, Moderna
With just under 100 days until Election Day, several small-cap and midcap names could get a huge boost if former President Donald Trump wins, according to Jefferies. This could mean a boost for companies, especially smaller ones, as deregulation would reduce costs involved with compliance. Here are some "smidcap" stocks that the firm sees as poised for a lift from a second Trump term: Live Nation shares could stand to get a boost from a Trump win. The stock is up more than 6% over the past three months, and Jefferies sees more room for the stock to run. Jefferies sees even more upside for SoFi Technologies , which also made the list.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jefferies, Trump, Russell, Taylor Swift's Organizations: Trump, U.S . Department of Justice, DOJ, Republican, Technologies
While we are getting a tech rally Wednesday thanks to Advanced Micro Devices (up 7%), this is the month when rotation became more than a one day event. Since small-cap companies often have more debt and higher borrowing costs, the expectation of lower rates is certainly a factor. I noted weeks ago that more fundamentally inclined investors were worried about the slower rate of earnings growth for big cap technology stocks . The Russell 2000 would also benefit any time a rotation out of tech occurs because the weightings are different. While the two sectors that comprise technology in the S & P 500 (Technology and Communication Services) are about 40% of the S & P 500, the Russell 2000 is much more diverse.
Persons: Consumer Staples, Russell Organizations: Micro Devices, Energy, Health Care, Consumer, Communication Services, Care Locations: Banks
In his Sunday column , Jim Cramer wrote that these earnings reports will test that rotation narrative. Another way to help "take the sting away" is management teams providing a rationale behind the spending, Jim also wrote Sunday. Alphabet's second-quarter capex of $13.2 billion was up 91% year over year and higher sequentially from $12 billion in the first quarter. Alphabet's full-year capex spending is expected to total nearly $50 billion, according to estimates compiled by FactSet. Investors fretting about AI spending is not entirely new.
Persons: , Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Jim, Alphabet's, Sundar Pichai, FactSet, Apple, Meta's, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Covello, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Big Tech, Microsoft, Apple, KeyBanc, Markets, Google, Meta, stoke, Wall Street, Wedbush Securities, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: capex
S&P 500 futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors parsed the latest earnings reports and readied for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision coming Wednesday afternoon. Futures tied to the broad index lost 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures ticked higher by 0.2%. Fed funds futures are pricing in a strong likelihood that central bankers will keep rates steady at the 5.25% to 5.5% range, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are tracking to end July down 0.4% and 3.3%, respectively. The Dow and Russell 2000 are slated to finish the month higher by more than 4% and 9%, respectively.
Persons: Dow, Russell, Jerome Powell, CME's, Powell, Bryce Doty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Sit Investment, Fed, Boeing, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Etsy
The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) currently sits 11% off its highs. MAGS YTD mountain Magnificent Seven ETF performance This backdrop sets the tone for a "make or break week" coinciding with the Federal Reserve's July rate decision Wednesday, according to Wolfe Research's Chris Senyek. Now, more than 18 months after the launch of groundbreaking ChatGPT, Wall Street wants results. Some Wall Street analysts believe strong quarterly results may not be enough to reverse the pullback in tech shares. "My gut is that the tech earnings are going to come in better than people expect."
Persons: Morgan, Roundhill, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Jay Woods, Sundar Pichai, Deutsche Bank's David Folkerts, Baird's Ted Mortonson, Senyek, Rowe Price, Dominic Rizzo, CNBC's Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Freedom Capital, Deutsche, Tech, Fed, Trump
That will be the case in this jam-packed week , with the earnings from Microsoft on Tuesday, Meta Platforms on Wednesday, and Apple and Amazon on Thursday. If Alphabet said it cut back on data-center spending, then it would be alleged the company is falling behind Amazon and Microsoft in the AI race. The company also is now dogged by another competitor in search engines after ChatGPT creator OpenAI announced a prototype of SearchGPT . Apple reports on Thursday, and if you think the cloud-computing heavyweights are spending on too much AI, then you should be buying Apple. President Joe Biden always chose to have his agencies wear down tech companies.
Persons: Don Forst, There's, hadn't, OpenAI, Tesla, Elon Musk, , Russell, Mark Zuckerberg, Nvidia's Jensen Huang, It's, Zuckerberg, EssilorLuxottica —, EssilorLuxottica, Andy Jassy, Stanley Black, Decker, it's, Kamala Harris, Tony West, Joe Biden, Harris, Biden, Biden couldn't, Gina Raimondo, Raimondo, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Trump, Xi Jinping's, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, ABT, Jim Cramer, Jim, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: Los Angeles Herald Examiner, Microsoft, Apple, Google, YouTube, Amazon, Nvidia, Siggraph, Federal Reserve, Mohawk Industries, Fortune Brands, Club, Democratic, Uber Technologies, titans, Department of Justice, Federal Trade Commission, Department of Commerce, Republican, Big Tech, Republican Party, Trump, Abbott Laboratories, Drug Administration, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: Los Angeles, Denver, Ray, California, U.S, Ohio, Taiwan, St, Louis , Missouri
The put is OTM because the strike price is below the spot price. Related storiesIf you have a bullish outlook on the IWM, you expect the share price to continue rising or at least not drop below the strike price. Picking the appropriate strike price is subjective and based on a trader's risk tolerance and the premium they're looking for. Tastylive, options chainSince options contracts are purchased in lots of 100, it could seem nerve-racking to think you may need to accept delivery of those shares. Worst-case scenario, you end up owning IWM shares at a cost below what you would have bought them for on the spot market, Dierking said.
Persons: Russell, Liz Dierking, Dierking, IWM, That's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq Locations: IWM
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite suffered their biggest one-day losses since late 2022, dropping 2.3% and 3.6%, respectively. The small-cap Russell 2000 was a relative outperformer, ending the day down 2.1%. The Russell is up 7.2% month to date, while the S & P 500 and Nasdaq have fallen 0.6% and 2.2%, respectively, during that time. "I think for the month of August small caps can do something more than 15% even, because they underperformed so dramatically. And the type of move we've seen just the last two weeks is something that only happens at the start of a pretty significant advance for small caps."
Persons: Tom Lee, Russell, Lee, Donald Trump, Trump, we've Organizations: Fundstrat Global Advisors, Nasdaq, Trump White House, Nvidia
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 24, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures rose Wednesday night after a sharp tech-driven sell-off dragged the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 to their worst session since 2022. S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.3%. In after-hours trading, Ford Motor shares tumbled about 10% after the company's second-quarter earnings came in much lower than analysts had expected. More than 25% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported their second-quarter earnings, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Chipotle, ServiceNow, Yung, Yu Ma, Ma Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Ford Motor, IBM, Nvidia, Microsoft, BMO Wealth Management, American Airlines, Northrop Grumman, Honeywell, Hasbro Locations: New York City, Stock
S&P 500 futures inched up Sunday night after the broad market index suffered its worst weekly losses since April last week as investors rotated out of megacap technology stocks for smaller names. Since Biden's disastrous debate performance in June, many analysts were seeing an increasing likelihood of a win by former President Donald Trump in November. There may be a small unwinding of the Trump trade on Monday as Vice President Harris is perceived to have a slightly better chance of winning," Hatfield said. Traders have been pricing in nearly a 93% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates during its September meeting. During the previous trading week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 2% and 3.7%, respectively, marking their biggest weekly losses since April.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jay Hatfield, Biden, Trump, Harris, Hatfield, Russell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Traders, Democratic, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Federal Reserve, Dow, Verizon
As the 2024 market rally broadens out, some small-cap stocks are poised to do better than others. But with interest rate cuts on the horizon, the prospects for small-cap stocks have improved in recent weeks. The Russell 2000 small-cap index has already risen more than 6% in July alone. Against that backdrop, CNBC Pro screened for the small-cap stocks that could be poised for a boost. "We believe near-term expectations are reasonable, and given the stock's negative sentiment and recent market volatility, we decided to move to the sidelines," wrote analyst Chris O'Cull.
Persons: Russell, tickers, Stifel, Chris O'Cull, Logan Reich, Reich, Shutterstock, Nick Wells Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC Pro, Papa John's, RBC Capital Markets, Canadian, Janus International, MGP
After a difficult two years for small cap stocks, the sector finally appears on path for a comeback, according to Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy Scott Chronert. The small cap benchmark Russell 2000 index is up 4.3% week to date alone amid a 9.4% rally in July. As investors become more enthusiastic on the prospect of forthcoming interest rate cuts, they've started to sell off mega cap technology names — which have led the market rally — in favor of the rate-sensitive small cap sector. Banks currently have an "easier" valuation starting point, according to Chronert. The sector overall contains little exposure to tariffs — which has become a major campaign platform of former president Donald Trump.
Persons: Scott Chronert, they've, Chronert, CNBC's, Russell, Banks, Donald Trump Organizations: Citi Research, Federal, Trump, CNBC, Market, Survey
Wells Fargo says it's time to buy banks as a Trump trade
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Banks are headed for a significant period of outperformance in the near term as the "Trump Trade" heats up, according to Wells Fargo. The analyst replaced health care with banks in the firm's recommended sector barbell under the belief the group will outperform under an improved regulatory environment. Harvey added that banks' macroeconomic backdrop is already improving with the Treasury curve beginning to steepen, the pace of mergers and acquisitions accelerating, and consumer credit in line with expectations. Bank stocks are trading at a "significant discount," Harvey noted. That kind of move implies roughly 15% of outperformance over the next one to three months.
Persons: Banks, Saturday's, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Christopher Harvey, Harvey Organizations: Trump, Republican, Fund, Traders, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo
Investors may want to exercise some caution with this year's leading artificial intelligence stocks, according to Bank of America. The investing and ETF strategist anticipates some profit-taking in megacap technology stocks during the second half as investors become "impatient for an AI killer app" or more revenues. Stocks have rallied this year as investors mount bets on popular AI names such as Nvidia and megacap technology. "No one denies the computing power," Woodard wrote. This includes small-cap value stocks, utilities, energy and banks.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Stocks, Woodard Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia Locations: India, Latin America
Stanley Druckenmiller , still basking in his winning Nvidia bet, has hit another home run in this bull market. When Druckenmiller acquired the position in the first quarter, small caps were significantly underperforming their large-cap counterparts. Druckenmiller once managed George Soros' Quantum Fund and shot to fame after helping make a $10 billion bet against the British pound in 1992. After the stock soared from $150 to above $900, Druckenmiller slashed the stake. A lot of what we recognized has become recognized by the marketplace now," Druckenmiller said on CNBC at the time.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, Russell, George Soros, bullish, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Duquesne Family Office, Investment, SEC, Quantum Fund, Duquesne Capital Management, CNBC
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 11, 2024 in New York City. The Russell 2000 index , the benchmark for the group, hit its highest level since January 2022 on Monday. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF, which tracks the index, was up about 1% in premarket trading Tuesday. The ETF is up 9% over the last one month, nearly triple the gains in the S&P 500. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Russell 2000Fundstrat's Tom Lee, who's been correctly calling the stock market for the past few years, said the rally in small caps could last for more than two months, seeing dramatic gains for this cohort.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Russell, Tom Lee, who's, Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Investment Locations: New York City
The bank said the Federal Reserve can shift its focus to economic growth after the cool June CPI report. "Slowing GDP + accelerating EPS has been the best backdrop for stocks," Bank of America said. AdvertisementThe cooler-than-expected June CPI report is fueling a "Goldilocks" economy that should benefit one specific corner of the stock market: cyclicals. We think the economy is moderating not rolling over, but we expect our view to evolve with the data," Kwon said. "Slowing GDP + accelerating EPS has been the best backdrop for stocks," Kwon said.
Persons: , Ohsung Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Service, Fed, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla
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