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Tingshu Wang | ReutersFrom Apple to Starbucks , U.S. consumer brands are reporting yet another quarter of China sales declines. Apple last week reported Greater China sales fell slightly to $15.03 billion in the three months ended Sept. 28, down from $15.08 billion in the year-ago period. The quarterly sales decline reduced Apple's China revenue share to 15.8% of total net sales, down from 16.9% in the year-ago period. Low consumer confidenceU.S. sportswear giant Nike said that Greater China revenue for the quarter ended Aug. 31 fell by 4% year-on-year to $1.67 billion. In Europe, luxury giant LVMH also felt the drag from the China market.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tim Cook, Apple, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Isaac Stone Fish, Cummins, Walt, Fish Organizations: Reuters, Apple, U.S, Starbucks, Nike, Carrier, Coca Cola, RTX Corporation, Honeywell, Walt Disney, Caterpillar Locations: Chengdu, Sichuan province, China, U.S, what's, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Greater China, Europe, Asia, Japan, COVID, Japan Asia
Whoever is elected the 47th president of the United States will start with a rare and clear advantage: a remarkably solid economy. Tuesday’s election will show how much that all matters to voters, who will soon decide which candidate they want to entrust the economy to from here. But to regular American households, it’s more of a “Yes, but” economy: Yes, the job market is strong, but my boss wants me in five days a week, and that doesn’t work for me anymore. Yes, inflation has fallen, but I can’t afford day care. Prices across the rest of the service economy were 4.7% higher overall, and medical care was up 3.9%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Spencer Platt, Yuki Iwamura, they’re, Helene, Milton, Patrick T, Fallon, Harris, , Greg Valliere, Joe Biden wasn’t, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, “ Kamala Organizations: Investment, Stock, Getty, Consumer, Bloomberg, CNBC, First Street Foundation, NBC, AGF Investments, Biden Locations: United States, Ukraine, Israel
Here are 39 quality economically sensitive stocks to buy, according to Morgan Stanley. Economically sensitive stocks, including financials and industrials, took off in anticipation of that result and caught fire after it became official. Several parts of the stock market seem to be preparing for another Trump presidency, according to Morgan Stanley. "Markets generally welcomed a reflationary playbook in 2016," Wilson wrote. AdvertisementRegardless of who's in office, Morgan Stanley outlined a list of 39 economically sensitive stocks that should do well.
Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, , Trump, Kamala Harris, It's, Harris, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, it's Organizations: Service, Trump, Consumer, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Locations: Financials
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. Consumer spending rose 0.5%, topping the outlook by 0.1 percentage point.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
Although sentiment is improving (more on that soon), poll after poll suggests that Americans hold largely negative views about the US economy. And the US economy remains a job-creation machine, adding 368,000 jobs per month on average during the Biden administration, a record high. But they’re still growing at a 3.9% adjusted rate, according to the Department of Labor. A recent study from the Brookings Institution, released last week, found a correlation between economic sentiment and political affiliation with the party in control of the White House. When Trump took office, Republican economic sentiment surged, while Democratic sentiment cratered.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Covid, That’s, Donald Trump, they’re Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Gross, Economic, International Monetary Fund, Labor, BEA, US Department of Housing, Urban Development, Bank of America, Brookings Institution, White, Democratic, Republican, Democrat
Key Fed inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve's target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. In September, the Fed slashed the rate by a half percentage point, a move virtually unprecedented during an economic expansion.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.
Persons: That’s, , James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden
AdvertisementIn the third quarter, US economic growth fell short of expectations but remained strong. "The increase in real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and federal government spending," the news release said. Consumer spending was a particular highlight, with personal consumption expenditures growing at a strong 3.7% annualized rate. AdvertisementThe weaker-than-expected GDP growth doesn't necessarily mean the US is heading toward a recession. Investment in nonresidential equipment had another strong quarter, surging at an annualized rate of 11.1%.
Persons: , David Kelly, Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Investment, Fed, Morgan Asset Management, Commerce Department, Hurricane Locations: Hurricane
Despite a difficult quarter, McDonald’s looks resilient in the face of various pressures, analysts say — something the company shares with U.S. consumers overall. “The spotlight is always on McDonald’s because it’s so big” and something of a “bellwether,” she said. That spurred former President Donald Trump to sling fries this month at a Philadelphia-area McDonald’s in a photo op. Like many major brands, McDonald’s raked in big profits as the economy reopened from the pandemic. “The thing that McDonald’s had struggled with, and why I think we’re seeing kind of an inflection point, is a value proposition,” Senatore said.
Persons: McDonald’s, Mickey D’s, Chris Kempczinski, Kempczinski, Gordon Haskett, ” Kempczinski, Ravi Dhar, , Sara Senatore, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mickey D’s ’, Senatore, they’d, , Eric Thayer, ” Senatore, Sam Oches, Oches, , , Jim Salera, Stephens, Jack Kleinhenz, hasn’t, “ They’re, ” Oches Organizations: U.S, Yale University’s Center, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Getty, Coca, Walmart, Target, Walgreens, JetBlue, Democratic, National Retail, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Philadelphia, Connecticut, Amazon
McDonald's global sales fell for the second consecutive quarter, down 1.5%. AdvertisementGlobal sales at McDonald's have fallen for a second consecutive quarter as the fast-food chain struggled in international markets, especially France, the UK, China, and the Middle East. Sales were down 1.5% in its third quarter, following from a 1% slide in the previous quarter, ending June 30. Comparable sales in the US were virtually flat, up 0.3% from the same period in 2023, while sales in international markets dropped 2.1%. Sales in licensed international markets fell 3.5%.
Persons: , Chris Kempczinski, Neil Saunders Organizations: Service, Consumers Locations: France, China, McDonald's
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Evercore ISI reiterates Amazon as overweight Evercore says it's sticking with the stock ahead of earnings later this week. Evercore ISI reiterates Uber as overweight Evercore says it's bullish on Uber heading into earnings on Thursday. Janney upgrades First Solar to buy from neutral Janney says the solar company is attractive ahead of earnings on Tuesday afternoon. " Evercore ISI reiterates Meta as overweight Evercore says it's sticking with Meta ahead of earnings on Wednesday. Barclays reiterates Tesla as equal weight Barclays raised its price target on the stock to $235 per share from $220.
Persons: Evercore, Uber, it's bullish, Janney, Goldman Sachs, Ford, Goldman, Wells, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein, TD Cowen, Cowen, it's, Mizuho, Stephens, ROA, Guggenheim, HOOD, we've Organizations: Ford, CTV, APP, Citi, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Barclays, Walmart, Mizuho, Netflix, Guggenheim, Six Flags Entertainment Locations: Mexican, Brazil, Mexico, China, U.S
Morgan Stanley initiates FrontView REIT as overweight Morgan Stanley said the commercial real estate investment trust company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Global Foundries to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees rising competition for the semis company. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Nutanix to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the cloud computing software company is well positioned. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more balanced risk/reward for the networking and systems software company. Wedbush adds Roblox to the best ideas list The firm said it sees robust revenue growth ahead.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Morgan Stanley, FrontView, Baird, AAON, Canaccord, Tesla, Jefferies, NTNX, Wells, Raymond James downgrades, Wolfe, DOV, Morgan Stanley downgrades Ciena, Piper Sandler, Bowlero, Piper, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Marcellus, Bernstein, SARO, Stifel downgrades, Oppenheimer, Monness Crespi Hardt, Coinbase, Stifel, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom, MU, JPMorgan, Apple, Dell, Cisco, Spotify, Honeywell, Walmart, " Bank of America, Antero Resources, Bank of America, Macquarie, China EV, Stifel downgrades Colgate, Palmolive, Colgate, Commerce, ~$ Locations: AVGO, 1H25, Dover, Appalachia, Utica, West Virginia
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
“It kept these players alive that couldn’t survive in normal situations.”Competition from juggernauts like Amazon, Walmart, Costco, Home Depot and other big-box retailers has also squeezed smaller chains. In 2017 and 2018, retailers closed a combined 13,400 stores, according to Coresight. Retailers closed a record 9,800 stores in 2019. Around 9,700 stores closed in 2020, according to Coresight. Drug store chains are also shrinking.
Persons: , , Michael Brown, Kearney, ” Brown, Barbara Kahn, Charlotte Russe, Shopko, Ted Decker, Joann Fabric, Denny’s, Kelli Valade, Justin Sullivan, Amazon’s, It’s, ” Kahn, TJ Maxx, TJX Organizations: New, New York CNN, Walgreens, Research, Companies, Consumers, , Walmart, Costco, Home, ” Retailers, United, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Coresight, Retailers, Sears, P Global Market Intelligence, CVS, Aid, Marshalls, Aldi Locations: New York, , Amazon, United States, Gymboree, JCPenney, Tijuana, HomeGoods
Earnings growth is falling short of expectations thus far
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Corporate earnings are not meeting expectations thus far. Roughly 160 S & P 500 companies have posted third-quarter results thus far, with their bottom lines growing an average of just 2.6%, per FactSet. The blended growth rate, which includes the reports already out and estimates for those on the docket, points to overall S & P 500 earnings growing at 3.4% from the year-earlier period. The S & P 500 rebounded slightly from a three-day slide on Thursday due in part to strong earnings reports. Companies slated to report earnings after the close Thursday include Deckers, Capital One and DexCom.
Persons: Joseph Cusick, " Cusick, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Calamos Investments, Research, Whirlpool, PayPal, CNBC, Companies, Tech, Amazon, Apple
In this article KSSNKE Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTAn exterior view of the Kohl's store at the Paxton Town Centre near Harrisburg. 1 active footwear retailer among all four generational cohorts polled for the survey: Gen Z, millennials, Gen X and boomers. 1 department store choice among Gen Z and boomers, while millennials chose Nordstrom and Gen X chose Macy's . "We would see in the data what's important to the Nike consumer. The majority of consumers surveyed, or 66% of respondents, said they'll shop at a different retailer if the product they're looking for isn't in stock.
Persons: Paul Weaver, Emily Elconin, AlixPartners, Z, Gen X, Gen Z, Kohl's, millennials, Nordstrom, Elliott Hill, Sonia Lapinsky, it's Organizations: Nike, Bloomberg, Getty, Adidas, CNBC Locations: Paxton, Harrisburg, Kohl's
LONDON — British bank Barclays on Thursday reported £1.6 billion ($2 billion) net profit attributable to shareholders for the third quarter, beating expectations. The result compared with the £1.17 billion net profit forecast in an LSEG poll of analysts and was 23% higher than the same period in 2023. In the second quarter, Barclays net profit fell slightly year-on-year amid lower income at its U.K. consumer bank and corporate bank, as net profit jumped 10% at its investment bank. Corporate bank income was 1% higher due to a rise in average deposit balances, while investment banking income gained 6%. Amid declines, income at Barclays' private U.S. consumer bank dipped 2% year-on-year as its wealth management unit fell 3%.
Persons: Venkatakrishnan, we've Organizations: LONDON, Barclays, Revenue, Tesco Bank, CNBC
Coca-Cola on Wednesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped analysts' expectations, thanks to a boost from higher prices that offset sluggish demand. Unit case volume fell 1% in the quarter, driven by weakening demand in some international markets. Consumer companies, including Coke, have reported in recent months that customers are more price sensitive, leading to sluggish demand for its products as prices remain high. Pepsi said volume for its North American beverage business fell 3% in its third quarter, fueled by weakening demand for energy drinks. Coke is projecting a low-single-digit headwind for comparable revenue and a mid-single-digit headwind for earnings per share.
Persons: Coke, Quincey Organizations: LSEG, Consumer, PepsiCo, Quaker Foods, Pepsi, CPI Locations: U.S, North America, Chico, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia, Pacific, China, Turkey, Latin America, Argentina
Nearly 10% of restaurant menus have "sweet and spicy" items, up 1.8% over the last 12 months, according to market research firm Datassential. Common menu items have paired fruity flavors and chili powder, or used sauces like hot honey and gochujang, a red chili paste that's a popular Korean condiment. Courtesy: StarbucksAlthough the menu items were largely only available for a limited time, culinary experts think that the swicy trend has staying power. Buzzy, trendy menu items are more important now to restaurants, which are leaning on both discounts and innovation to attract diners and reverse declining sales. Limited-time menu items are particularly attractive to Gen Z customers, a key demographic because they account for roughly a fifth of Americans.
Persons: Randy Shropshire, trendologist Kara Nielsen, Nielsen, Jeffrey Saad, Hadar Cohen Aviram, McCormick, Cohen Aviram, Gen Zwicy Organizations: Coca, Getty, Food Institute, Box Intelligence, Sweet, Food Network, Istock, Nielsen, McCormick Locations: Chico, Thermal , California, U.S, San Francisco, Korean, Cholula
The bank is adding to the growing numbers of forecasts for a "no landing" of the US economy. Inflation will remain low enough to leave room for the Fed to cut interest rates, boosting stocks. The job market is proving resilient, despite tighter financial conditions and higher interest rates. AdvertisementCooling price growth sets the stage for the Fed to continue cutting interest rates, UBS said, which is bullish for stocks. The strategists added that while investors may see some volatility ahead of the November election, it's unlikely to interrupt more positive market catalysts.
Persons: Organizations: UBS, Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New
The Supreme Court is visible on July 29, 2024 in Washington, DC. In an op-ed in The Washington Post, U.S. President Joe Biden laid out his proposed reforms to the Supreme Court including 18 year term limits for Supreme Court Justices and a new code of ethics for the court ahead of a speech tonight at the Lyndon B. Johnson Presidential Library in Austin, Texas. Lawyers for Democratic President Joe Biden's administration had urged the Supreme Court to turn away the appeal, arguing that the plaintiffs lacked the required legal standing to sue the agency and that their claims are foreclosed by Supreme Court precedent. The current Supreme Court, with a 6-3 conservative majority, has taken an expansive view of presidential powers in recent years and has shown skepticism toward broad authority for federal agencies. This case gives the conservative justices a chance to rein in or depart from Humphrey's Executor.
Persons: Joe Biden, Lyndon, Joe Biden's, Jeremy Kernodle, Donald Trump, Kernodle's, Franklin Roosevelt's, Ted Cruz, Darrell Issa Organizations: Washington Post, Supreme, Johnson Presidential, The U.S, Consumers, Research, U.S . Consumer Product Safety Commission, Consumers ' Research, Democratic, Republican, Circuit, Appeals, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Republican U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Washington, Washington Post , U.S, Austin , Texas, The, Texas, United States of America, New Orleans, United States
Several hard-to-predict factors will influence consumers' spending, as they deck the halls and look for the perfect gifts. That's a more modest increase than the 3.9% year-over-year jump from the 2022 to 2023 holiday season, when spending totaled $955.6 billion. Shoppers expect to spend an average of $1,778 on the holidays this year, 8% more than last holiday season, according to consulting firm Deloitte's survey. SharkNinja CEO Mark Barrocas described the election as the "biggest unknown" that will shape the holiday season. A shorter holiday season
Persons: Michael M, Stephen Rogers, Mario Tama, Rogers, Matt Shay, it's, Lance Allen, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Scott Olson, Mark Barrocas, It's, Jen Acerra, Ed Bastian, Evan Gold, Gold, Jack Kleinhenz, Allen, they're Organizations: Herald, Santiago, Getty, Deloitte, National Retail Federation, Shoppers, Deloitte's Consumer Industry Center, Walmart, Catering, Home Depot, Democratic, Republican, Amazon, Delta Air Lines, CNBC, Hurricane Milton, Anadolu, Planalytics, Depot Locations: New York City, Burbank , California, Traverse City , Michigan, Florida, Clearwater, Philadelphia, San Francisco, North Carolina
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . LVMH, the largest of the luxury conglomerates, announced its third-quarter earnings this week, and the results were grim. AdvertisementWhile personal luxury sales in China grew by more than 37% each year from 2019 through 2021, that annual growth is not expected to hit more than 4.2% through 2028, according to EMARKETER data. AdvertisementEMARKETER's Canaves pointed to the collaborations and moves toward streetwear that helped some brands emerge from the last luxury slump. Of course, any expansion into new categories should not take attention from handbags and clothing, the revenue drivers of luxury brands.
Persons: LVMH, , Louis Vuitton, Salvatore Ferragamo, Goldman Sachs, Gucci, Hermès, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Adam Cochrane, Chanel, Canaves, Guiony, Birkin, Deutsche Bank's Cochrane, Cartier, Brunello Cucinelli, Rambourg, Louis Organizations: Service, Revenue, Louis, Burberry, Business, Deutsche Bank, Gucci, Deutsche Bank's, Chez Locations: China, Asia, Japan, COVID, streetwear, Paris
Luxury stocks may be a risky China stimulus bet
  + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
A post-pandemic spending surge led to luxury stocks such as LVMH to reach all-time highs in early 2023, but that soon changed. We believe improved confidence and sentiment is required to reach even our flat year-over-year Chinese luxury growth forecast for 2025," Wallace noted. Luxury stocks are feeling the pressure — year to date, U.S.-traded shares of major players LVMH and Kering are down about 17% and 41%, respectively. Analysts and investors are mixed as to whether the Chinese stimulus measures can revive luxury spending growth among consumers — and whether it will create a meaningful tailwind for luxury companies. Whether the luxury sector can continue growing at the same levels without as much Chinese consumer spending remains in question.
Persons: — stoking, Ben Harburg, Morgan Stanley, Ashley Wallace, Wallace, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Moncler, Hermes, Prada, Richemont, LVMUY CFRUY, , Edouard Aubin, Sauron, Harburg, LVMH's Guiony, we've Organizations: Alpha, Bank of America, of America, Consumers Locations: China, Covid, 3Q24, U.S, LVMH
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