Earnings for all S & P 500 companies fell 2.9% for the fourth quarter, based on actual reports and estimates.
Rauscher expects a shallow recession, and his view is S & P 500 earnings for 2023 will be about $210, below the street's consensus closer to $230.
According to Refinitiv, analysts expect a 1.2% decline in first quarter earnings, followed by a 2% drop in the second quarter.
Tech earnings have been a mixed bag.
He remains defensive on the market even with the 6.5% gain in the S & P 500 in January so far.
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