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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on January 04, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures ticked up Wednesday night as investors looked toward new consumer inflation data for greater insight on the economy. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 38 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures inched up about 0.2% each. "[August's] CPI print was a bit stronger than we anticipated, though the downward trend in core inflation persisted.
Persons: Dow Jones, Andrew Patterson, Raphael Bostic, Susan Collins Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Investors, Federal Reserve, Vanguard, Traders, Atlanta Fed, Boston Fed, Delta Air Lines, Walgreens Boots Alliance Locations: New York City . U.S, Israel
Insider Today: Israel's next steps
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
AdvertisementAdvertisementIn today's big story, we're looking at the latest developments in Israel's war with Hamas, including Israel's devastating airstrikes and a potentially complicated ground invasion of Gaza. What's on deck:Markets: Market experts detail how to cash in on an ailing bond market. Market experts detail how to cash in on an ailing bond market. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Israel war is also impacting another conflict: Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.
Persons: Jimmy Buffett's, margarita, Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, Faiz, NurPhoto, Insider's Kelsey Vlamis, Insider's Chris Panella, Amir Levy, Jake Epstein, Insider's Elias Chavez, David Donabedian, Insider's Bryan Metzger, Brendan McDermid, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, BRYAN R, SMITH Caroline Ellison, Ellison, Linda Yaccarino, X, Arantza Pena Popo, eBay's, they're, They'll, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Rachael Brennan, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Tech, Getty, CNN, Hamas, CIBC Private Wealth, Ukraine, Washington Post, Republican, Elite, Quantum Fund, Soros Fund Management, Atlanta Fed, Dallas, Fed, Alameda Research, Street, Gaza, Boomers, Republicans, Ohio, The Chicago, Tata Consultancy Services, Sam's Club Locations: Florida, Gaza, Israel, Ukraine, Russia, homebuying, Louisiana, New York City, San Diego, London, New York
European stock markets were mixed Wednesday lower after clocking their best one-day performance in nearly a year. The Stoxx 600 was index was 0.19% higher at 8:50 a.m. London time, reversing earlier slight losses. European marketsThe Stoxx gained nearly 2% on Tuesday, according to LSEG data, its strongest session since Nov. 10, 2022. Bullish global trading was boosted by two Federal Reserve officials who suggested Monday that the recent rise in Treasury yields may reduce the need to raise the Federal Funds rate, paring back peak rate expectations. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday said rates did not need to rise any further.
Persons: Raphael Bostic Organizations: Federal, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank Locations: London
That's the steepest one-day decline the 10-year Treasury yield has seen since the implosion of SVB in early March, when banking turmoil led investors to flock to US debt in search of safety. The 10-year Treasury yield continued to slide early Wednesday, trading around 4.577%. AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors were pushed to sell US Treasuries last week amid rising fears over the US debt balance and higher-for-longer interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched a 16-year-high, capping one of the worst selloffs in market history. Meanwhile, several Fed officials delivered dovish comments on the outlook for interest rates this week, which perked up market sentiment.
Persons: SVB, , Raphael Bostic Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Service, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Hamas, Atlanta Fed Locations: Silicon, Israel, Friday's
The public will continue to support them – that is until the strikes begin to affect Americans’ daily lives. CNN reached out to the Justice Department for comment but has not received a response. The US Labor Department releases August figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department reports the number of worker filings for jobless benefits in the week ended September 30. The US Labor Department releases September data on the state of the job market, including payroll gains, wage growth and the unemployment rate.
Persons: , ” Andrew Flowers, , Eva Rothenberg, Suisse’s, Jerome Powell, Patrick Harker, Michael Barr, John Williams, Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Levi Strauss, Tom Barkin, Mary Daly Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN —, Gallup, Guild of America, Teamsters, Reno, United Auto Workers, UAW, Toyota, Honda, CNN, Nationwide, UBS, DOJ, US Department of Justice, Credit Suisse, “ UBS, CS, Bloomberg, Justice Department, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, McCormick, US Labor Department, Atlanta Fed, Constellation Brands, Conagra, Co, US Commerce Department, Carnival Corp Locations: Washington, United States, Hollywood, Las Vegas, Germany, Russia
Fed's Bostic says U.S. interest rates are high enough
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic speaks to reporters at the National Association of Business Economics' annual policy meeting in Washington, U.S. March 21, 2022. "I feel policy is appropriately restrictive," Bostic said in remarks prepared for delivery to the South African Reserve Bank Biennial Conference in Cape Town, South Africa. "We should be cautious and patient and let the restrictive policy continue to influence the economy, lest we risk tightening too much and inflicting unnecessary economic pain." U.S. central bankers are widely expected to leave the Fed's policy rate in the current range of 5.25%-5.5% when they next meet in a little less than three weeks. Bostic has been in the minority at the Fed, cautioning against over-tightening policy and needlessly hurting jobs and livelihoods.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Ann Saphir, Bostic, Bostic's, Richard Chang Organizations: Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank, National Association of Business Economics, REUTERS, South African Reserve Bank Biennial, U.S, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Cape Town , South Africa, U.S
Almost all Federal Reserve officials at their June meeting indicated further tightening is likely, if at a slower pace than the rapid-fire rate increases that had characterized monetary policy since early 2022, according to minutes released Wednesday. Policymakers decided against a rate rise amid concerns over economic growth, even though most members think further hikes are on the way. Citing the lagged impact of policy and other concerns, they saw room to skip the June meeting after enacting 10 straight rate increases. Most recently, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge saw just a 0.3% increase in May, though it was still reflecting a 4.6% annual rate. Fed officials have stressed the importance of reducing that disparity as they look to tamp down the demand that pushed inflation higher.
Persons: hesitance, firming, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic Organizations: Federal Reserve, Market, Market Committee, Fed
July 5 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve meeting minutes from the June policy gathering to be released on Wednesday are likely to show an active debate among policymakers who still on balance appear inclined to support more action to tame inflation. The meeting minutes, due at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT), will arrive after U.S. central bank officials have spent the last three weeks following the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting sketching out their policy outlooks. “Although policy is restrictive, it's not, it may not be restrictive enough and it has not been restrictive for long enough," which keeps alive prospects for more increases, Powell said. It stood at near zero levels in March 2022 and has risen swiftly as Fed officials have sought to tame the worst levels of inflation in decades. The meeting minutes will also add details about what officials and their staff expect for the economy, and some are watching the central bank staff's view with particular interest.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Powell, Raphael Bostic, , Tim Duy, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Macro, Thomson Locations: Portugal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDebt ceiling uncertainty leads to volatility, says fmr. Atlanta Fed presidentFormer Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss the White House meeting to discuss the Federal Reserve's hiking cycle, the debt ceiling, and what a default could mean for the U.S. economy.
The Federal Reserve's policy pendulum has swung back to inflation fighting. "The view is based on banking sector stress remaining contained, the economic expansion continuing and core inflation remaining stubbornly high." A cooling crisis Indeed, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other central bankers in late February and early March were indicating chances of half-point rate hikes . Watching the banks, and the market To be sure, the banking situation remains in flux and could yet shape Fed policy. At the same time, the two-year Treasury note yield, which is most sensitive to Fed policy moves, has jumped about half a percentage point over the past two weeks.
Stocks slip as focus falls back on Fed
  + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The Fed's "beige book" of economic conditions is published later on Wednesday and appearances are due from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and New York Fed President John Williams. Markets are pricing an 86% chance the Fed raises rates by 25 basis points at the May meeting, and that wasn't swayed terribly much by conflicting outlooks from two non-voting Fed officials on Tuesday. St Louis Fed President James Bullard told Reuters the Fed ought to keep raising rates to subdue persistent inflation. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told CNBC he thinks the Fed should hike one more time then pause to consider the next move. The prospect of peak rates has been applying downward pressure on the U.S. dollar.
Solar energy names First Solar and SolarEdge Technologies both made the list of this week's biggest gainers. First Solar was this week's top performer, with shares popping 23.2% following strong guidance for 2023. More than half of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy, but also see it coming down slightly from current levels. Software company Salesforce was also one of this week's notable gainers, with the stock on Thursday having their best day since 2020 following a blowout earnings report. Several non-energy materials stocks were also strong performers this week, with Steel Dynamics and Mosaic gaining 12.5% and 9.4%, respectively.
Morning Bid: Inflation 'blip' or brave new world?
  + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
U.S. Federal Reserve officials wrestled on Thursday with whether recent data showing inflation, jobs and spending all hotter than expected was a flash in the pan. "It could be that progress has stalled, or it is possible that the numbers released last month were a blip," said Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic urged a "slow and steady" course of policy response. The resilience of stock markets more generally to the week's bond market quake is notable and slightly puzzling - with implied volatility in bonds (.MOVE) climbing sharply while stock market equivalents (.VIX) subside. Two-year U.S. inflation expectations in the Treasury market climbed to 3% from 2% since early last month.
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Hawkish sentiment from Federal Reserve officials weighed on stocks and buoyed Treasury yields, giving markets a disappointing start to March. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday he's "open-minded" about raising interest rates by either 25 or 50 basis points. Kashkari, who is a voting member on the Federal Open Market Committee, added he might hike rates even further. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Hawkish sentiment from Federal Reserve officials weighed on stocks and buoyed Treasury yields, giving markets a disappointing start to March. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday he's "open-minded" about raising interest rates by either 25 or 50 basis points. Kashkari, who is a voting member on the Federal Open Market Committee, added he might hike rates even further. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
Morning Bid: Powell's state of the union
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Jerome Powell makes his first speech since the Fed's latest quarter-point interest rate rise last week. More importantly, it's his first chance to comment on Friday's seemingly blockbuster U.S. employment report for January. Perhaps just as significantly, they now price year-end Fed rates higher than the 4.5-4.75% range they are at right now. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic on Monday said of the jobs readout: "It'll probably mean we have to do a little more work." Investors will watch Biden's State of the Union with one eye on the potentially destabilising debt ceiling standoff with Congress.
Investors in the week ahead will focus on how much inflation and the slowing economy have chiseled away at corporate profits, as companies including Goldman Sachs , Netflix and Procter & Gamble report earnings. "This is going to be the start of the clock ticking on an earnings recession," said Amanda Agati, chief investment officer of PNC Asset Management Group. Economic recession talk heats up "There's never been a recession without an earnings recession since World War II," Agati said. Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial, said this coming earnings week could be an important step towards assessing the health of corporate balance sheets. Week ahead calendar Monday Martin Luther King Jr. Day Markets closed Tuesday Earnings: Goldman Sachs , Morgan Stanley , Citizens Financial, United Airlines, Interactive Brokers 8:30 a.m.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,898.57 per ounce, as of 0234 GMT. But we see gold continuing to rise despite cooling inflation because the market is looking at a lower dollar and smaller interest rate hikes," said Edward Meir, metals analyst, Marex. Gold is seen as an inflation hedge, but higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding the asset. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank president Raphael Bostic said the inflation data may allow the Fed to scale back to quarter-point rate hikes at its upcoming meeting. Spot silver edged 0.1% higher to $23.79, platinum gained 0.1% to $1,068.79 while palladium slipped 0.6% to $1,780.91.
[1/3] A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 5, 2023. The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) is expected to show December's headline inflation at 6.5% versus 7.1% in November. "Inflation and what the Fed's response to it is still remains the number one focus and anxiety for the market," said Manulife's Theoret. "The risk going into Thursday is really that the market is more vulnerable to an upside surprise in inflation. U.S. crude settled up 0.66% at $75.12 per barrel and Brent finished at $80.10, up 0.56% on the day.
Then Fed officials get on the tape say they're going to keep raising rates and keep them high until hell freezes over. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic on Monday said the central bank should raise interest rates above 5% and stay there for "a long time." Inflation data continues to show signs of cooling, but it's still high, and the Fed doesn't want to declare victory so they keep jawboning the markets down. The source of tension is that the trading community doesn't want to believe the Fed, and many are arguing the Fed is using stale data. "Wall Street does not believe the story being spun by the Fed," Harry Katica from Saut Strategy told his clients.
Other speakers include Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Monday. On Thursday, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and St. Louis Fed President Bullard all speak at separate events. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Boston Fed President Susan Collins have appearances Friday. The most important inflation report in the week ahead is the consumer price index, released Thursday. Import prices 10:00 a.m. Consumer sentiment 10:00 a.m. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari 10:20 a.m. Philadelphia Fed's Harker 9:00 a.m. Boston Fed President Susan Collins
This week, bond yields also came off their highs and were sharply lower, paving the way for gains in tech and growth shares. They include Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard, New York Fed President John Williams and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari to name a few. Hogan said that group includes Bullard, Brainard and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Many strategists are calling the move higher a bear market rally, and some expect it will fizzle in December while others say it could continue into the new year. Friday Earnings: JD.com, Foot Locker, Buckle 8:40 a.m. Boston Fed President Susan Collins 10:00 a.m.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAfter the latest rate hike, fmr. Atlanta Fed Pres. Dennis Lockhart says policy is moving to 'tactical phase'Former Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart breaks down the Fed's next move. With CNBC's Dennis Lockhart and the Fast Money traders, Steve Grasso, Michael Contopolous, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami.
"There will be impacts, there’s correlations ... some market volatility, and then how it weighs in the global growth picture," said Paul Malloy, head of municipals at Vanguard. The wild swings in the pound have ricocheted across currency markets, where volatility was already climbing. According to the widely watched Deutsche Bank Currency Volatility Index , volatility across currencies on Wednesday hit its highest level since the March 2020 COVID-19- induced market meltdown, jumping more than 20% from levels last week. Closely followed indicators of financial stress remain contained. U.S. stock market volatility as measured by the "fear index," the VIX (.VIX), has also climbed in recent days but remains below its 2022 highs.
The S & P 500, Dow and Nasdaq were all down sharply for the week. The S & P was down 4.6%, ending the week at 3,693. Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard , St. Louis Fed President James Bullard , San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Fed Governor Michelle Bowman are among the speakers. Other global central banks joined the Fed in raising rates, and interest rates around the world rose in tandem. If those levels break, the S & P could touch 3,385 before the selling is over, he said.
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