UBS is sticking by its view of a "softish" landing for the U.S. economy, saying inflation is moving closer to the Federal Reserve's target without a recession this year.
"August was a tough month for investors," said Mark Haefele, global wealth management chief investment officer at UBS, noting that the S&P 500 ended last month down 1.6%.
Last month's increase in core PCE came out well above the Fed's target, which could sustain the possibility of another rate hike, the analyst said.
UBS is also watching for a potential rebound in savings rates and further cooling in the labor market.
We expect US Treasury yields to fall by year-end as both US economic growth and inflation moderate," Haefele wrote.
Persons:
Mark Haefele, Haefele, — Pia Singh
Organizations:
UBS, Fed
Locations:
U.S