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Following Thursday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 300 shares of PXD, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to 2.4% from 2.2%. PXD @CL.1 YTD mountain Pioneer vs. WTI You might that a stock directly linked to the price of oil would have made a similar move. The divergence here has created an opening to buy more shares as higher oil prices should lead to bigger dividends and larger share repurchases at the company level. U.S. oil prices briefly topped $92 on Tuesday. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, PXD @CL, WTI, Jim, Carley Garner, Rusty Braziel, Jim Cramer, Spencer Platt Organizations: Natural Resources, PXD, Texas, Halliburton, HAL, Coterra Energy, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Russia, China, India
DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday the Federal Reserve is more likely to raise rates again in light of the recent jump in oil prices. "I think the probability of rate hikes is higher than what I thought before this oil spike happened," Gundlach said on CNBC's "Closing Bell. " Oil prices have jumped since July, with West Texas Intermediate crude topping $90 a barrel, as expectations of a tighter supplies grew. "So I think the chance of a rate hike is higher because these oil prices are going to be a real problem." "I think it's quite likely there's going to be rate cuts in the first half of next year.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Consumer, Fed Locations: Texas
The stock market may be losing one of its leaders heading into the release of key inflation reports next week that could clarify the path of future monetary policy. Apple weakness However, even after Apple's drop this week, some investors expect to see further declines in Apple because of deteriorating stock price momentum. A hotter-than-expected price report will likely add to investor concern over sticky inflation and tighter monetary policy, weighing on equities. Monday Sept. 11 Earnings: Oracle Tuesday Sept. 12 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (August) Wednesday Sept. 13 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (August) 8:30 a.m. Initial Claims (09/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (August) 8:30 a.m. Retail Sales (August) 10 a.m. Business Inventories (July) Earnings: Lennar , Adobe , Copart Friday Sept. 15 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Tim Cook, selloff, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Dan Niles, Satori, Wolfe's Ginsberg, Alex McGrath, FactSet, isn't, Price, , Michael Bloom, Gabriel Cortes Organizations: Apple, Wolfe Research, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Tech, Satori Fund, U.S . West Texas, ICE Brent, Federal Reserve, Wealth, Traders, United Auto Workers, UAW, Big Three, General Motors, Ford Motor, Treasury Budget, Retail, Adobe, Price, Index, Manufacturing Locations: China, Apple, U.S, @CL, Michigan
The S & P 500 could decline by 10% by the end of the year to correct for a recent rise in valuation multiples, according to hedge fund manager Dan Niles. @CL.1 YTD line How to play it Niles, whose fund holds a concentrated portfolio of between 20-40 stocks, also revealed that he was short Apple and long Amazon . According to the hedge fund manager, Apple's valuation at 30x P/E has been made unsustainable after the iPhone-maker reported three consecutive quarters of declining revenues and net profits. That's terrific if you own it, but that's not a game I want to play counting on multiple expansion offsetting earnings going down," Niles added. And that's with the backdrop where I'm concerned about this [multiple expansion]," Niles added.
Persons: Dan Niles, CNBC's, Niles, that's Organizations: Federal, The Labor Department, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Apple, Meta Locations: Niles, United States, that's
A slide in crude oil prices has weighed on the Club's three energy holdings. Brent crude — the global oil benchmark — and West Texas Intermediate Crude, the U.S. oil standard, have fallen roughly 7% and 8%, respectively, over the past week. @CL.1 5D mountain West Texas Intermediate crude prices over the past five days. In those instances, Gabelman said he thinks oil prices are unlikely to react significantly. In sum, we find the situation leading up to the OPEC+ meeting too murky to make a move on our oil stocks, despite their recent swoon.
Persons: Saudi Arabia — OPEC's, , Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Alexander Novak, Jason Gabelman, Gabelman, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Joe Klamar Organizations: of Petroleum, Russian, Brent, West, Energy, Natural Resources, Halliburton, HAL, Texas, Cowen, CNBC, OPEC, AFP, Getty Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi, West Texas, U.S, Covid, Europe, Austrian, Vienna, Austria
CNBC Pro looked at the 100-day rolling correlations of S & P 500 stocks to West Texas Intermediate futures to see which names tend to follow oil the closest. In other words, when oil rises, these stocks tend to follow it higher. Clorox and General Mills both have negative current correlations to oil. In other words, when oil rises, these stocks have fallen lately. Both stocks are underperforming oil this week, with Clorox losing 0.1% and General Mills advancing just 1.7%.
Goldman Sachs said in a research note Thursday the recent energy sector pullback should be viewed as a reason to buy since that strategy has worked well since late 2020. West Texas Intermediate crude and energy stocks have been under intense pressure in recent weeks on the back of heightened recession fears. Based on that criteria, Goldman has Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) on its "Americas Conviction List" with a buy rating. Recognizing the ups-and-downs of owning energy stocks, we still believe they should be part of any diversified portfolio. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
The extent of the decline in West Texas Intermediate crude — down 5.5% to under $67 per barrel — seems overdone in an energy market that remains structurally undersupplied. Bad for energy stocks For now, we're holding onto our three oil exploration and production (E & P) stocks — Coterra Energy (CTRA), Devon Energy (DVN) and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) — because their breakeven levels are around $40 per barrel. The big question is whether the federal government will make good on its signals to replenish the nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) at WTI prices below $70 per barrel. In turn, higher energy costs eat into discretionary spending budgets. Now, with energy costs coming down, we would expect these input costs to subside a bit.
Shares of Club holding Devon Energy (DVN) fell sharply Wednesday, one day after delivering disappointing fourth quarter results , reducing its fixed-plus-variable dividend and barely buying back any stock. DVN 1Y mountain Devon Energy (DVN) 1-year performance Devon management on Wednseday did reassure investors of its commitment to financial discipline and shareholder returns. Production guidance On Devon's earnings call Wednesday morning, management said that the first quarter is expected to be the lowest production quarter of fiscal 2023. The facility is expected to be back up and running by mid-March, with no impact to second quarter production expected. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Aimee Dilger | ReutersOil prices are defying expectations and are barely higher on the year, as the outlook for oil demand continues to deteriorate for now. Higher oil prices next year? Analysts expect oil prices to increase next year. Morse said market dynamics have changed and oil demand growth will be smaller as a percentage of gross domestic product. "We are also looking for the peak of oil demand in this decade.
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