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☆ Morning Bid: Some payback, but bonds hug gains on oil
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The oil price slide was helped by signs from Israel that it's open to pauses in the Gaza fighting. The typically hawkish Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kashkari insisted it was still too early to take another rate hike off the table. Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its policy interest rate again, as expected, by another quarter point to a 12-year high of 4.35%. Overall, the global stocks picture reflected some of the cooling of last week's rally and some of the China export numbers. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, that's, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, Michael Barr, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jeffrey Schmid, Zimmer, Jack Henry, Akamai, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Minneapolis Fed, International Monetary Fund, Reserve Bank of Australia, Asia bourses, UBS, Credit Suisse, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Michael Barr , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Horton, Mosaic, Emerson Electric, Occidental, Devon Energy, Products, Chemicals, Gen, Fidelity, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Israel, Gaza, China, Asia, Japan, Hong Kong, Swiss, Canada, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Michael Barr ,, Lorie Logan , Kansas, eBay, Gilead, Occidental Petroleum

☆ Americans’ debt levels — and delinquencies — are on the rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

The increases in credit card delinquency were the sharpest among borrowers in the range of 30 to 39 years old, according to the New York Fed. Newly delinquent auto loan balances continued to climb, as well, with transitions into serious delinquencies hitting 13-year highs, survey data showed. Still, thanks mostly to higher-quality mortgage loans, overall delinquencies remain below pre-pandemic levels, New York Fed researchers said. Credit card balances, which in the second quarter surpassed the trillion-dollar mark for the first time, continued to grow at historic rates. This year is on pace to have the lowest origination values since 2014, New York Fed data shows.

Persons: ”, Donghoon Lee, “, Mortgage originations Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, ” New York Fed, Mortgage Locations: Minneapolis, New, New York

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors climbed, with information technology (.SPLRCT) and consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) leading gains. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.01-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.24-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Tesla, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jamie Cox, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dish, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Tesla, Reuters, Traders, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Harris Financial, Fed, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Berlin ., Lisa Cook , New

☆ Futures edge up on rate cut hopes; Fed speakers awaited
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Walt Disney (DIS.N), Instacart (CART.O) and Biogen (BIIB.O) are among major companies reporting earnings this week. 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. ET, Dow e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.5 points, or 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 41.5 points, or 0.27%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mohit Kumar, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Walt Disney, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury, Jefferies, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Tesla, Reuters, University of, Dow e, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Lisa Cook , New, Berlin, Beijing

☆ NY Fed to tackle weather-related risks in upcoming research barrage
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/3] A woman passes by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. The New York Fed foray into the topic comes as the central bank has retreated from the climate issue after facing heat from some members of Congress. Meanwhile, the central bank formally joined in late 2020 with other major central banks in efforts to shore up the financial system against climate-related disruptions. Some in Congress have seen the Fed’s climate work as a sign of a politicized central bank. That said, the Fed has not ruled out thinking about how climate disruptions affect the full measure of the economy.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, there's, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester, John Williams, ” Williams, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, “, New York Fed, Fed, Cleveland Fed, Queens College, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Puerto Rico, Congress

☆ India rupee to struggle on US yield concerns; odds of record low seen rising
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.26-83.27 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2575 in the previous session and within a whisker of the 83.29 record low. The Reserve Bank of India has over the last several days intervened to prevent the rupee from falling to a lifetime low. "From what I have seen this week, odds of a new low (on rupee) are now higher." The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.9550% in Asia, the highest in sixteen years.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, John Williams, Jun Rong, Nimesh Vora, Sohini Goswami Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, IG Asia, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Singapore

☆ Fed on pause as policymakers parse mixed data
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"I believe we can wait, watch and see how the economy evolves before making definitive moves on the path of the policy rate," Fed Governor Christopher Waller told the European Economics & Financial Center Seminar in London. It can't continue this way, he said, but it's too soon to know which way the data will break. Should the economy soften, he said, "we can hold the policy rate steady." Speaking at a separate event at Queens College, New York Fed President John Williams offered a similar perspective. Fed policymakers are weighing whether that level is high enough to get inflation on a path to their 2% goal.

Persons: Christopher Waller, it's, John Williams, Waller, Ann Saphir, Michael S, Dan Burns, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Economics & Financial, Queens College, Queens College , New York Fed, Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: London, Washington, Queens College ,

☆ Morning Bid: US growth topping China as megacaps report
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. The combination of high-pressure growth and U.S. crude oil prices back up to their highest in two weeks has re-ignited inflation concerns. And with a 20-year Treasury bond auction also due later in the day, bond markets are back running scared. Two-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2006 on Tuesday at 5.24% and held most of those gains overnight - while 20-year yields are hovering around 5.2% as well. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, megacaps Tesla, Jerome Powell, China's, Republican Jim Jordan, Morgan Stanley, Kinder Morgan, Elevance, Joe Biden, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Patrick Harker, Toby Chopra Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Netflix, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's, Wall St, Republican, Procter, Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, Northern Trust, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, US Bancorp, Zions Bancorp, Discover, Lam Research, Alcoa, Steel Dynamics, Federal, New York Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Graphics Retail, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Gaza, Israel, trepidation, United States, Britain, Wall, Stocks, Asia, Europe, Northern, POPG, Equifax

☆ Morning Bid: Banks, Biden visit buoy markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Biden leaves later on Tuesday for a high stakes visit to Israel and Jordan and Washington said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had agreed to let humanitarian aid reach besieged Gazans. That reversed a pre-weekend 'safety bid' that emerged amid fears an Israeli ground invasion into Gaza could draw other regional countries and groups into the war. Before then, bond markets will have to negotiate tomorrow's 20-year Treasury auction. The relatively new 20-year tenor has often proved unpopular and will be watched closely after a poor reception for the latest 30-year bond last week.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, Biden, Washington, Benjamin Netanyahu, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell's, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, JB Hunt, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, Luis de Guindos, Joe Biden, Olaf Scholz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Federal Reserve, HK, Bank of England, Lockheed, United Airlines, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Richmond Fed, European Central Bank, European Union, Luxembourg Retail, Reuters Graphics Reuters, EIA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Jordan, Israeli, Gazans, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, China, Russian, Beijing, Ukraine, United, Canada, Michelle Bowman , New, Frankfurt, Luxembourg, Venezuela

☆ Student loan payments are back. Here’s where some Americans are trimming their budgets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

Student debt relief activists participate in a rally at the US Supreme Court on June 30, 2023 in Washington, DC. “Of course, the lowest-earning households still collectively owe around $7 billion a year in student loan repayments. After the Supreme Court dashed any hopes of loan forgiveness, more Americans started making loan payments before the official repayment period, as well as interest, kicked in. “It’s just all the supplemental spending, a lot of that will disappear so that we can make room for the [student loan] payments,” he said. Jonnisha McCleod was able to wipe out $12,000 of her student loan debt.

Persons: Minneapolis CNN —, they’re, ”, Justine Lyons, “, pesky, Lyons, — Lyons, Robin Nathan “ It’s, you’ve, it’s, Kevin Dietsch, Emerson Sprick, Biden, Sprick, Shannon Seery, Wells, ” Seery, Nancy Vanden Houten, Brian Snyder, Snyder, “ It’s, Megan Lopez, ” Lopez, you’re, Logan Ricketts, Jamie, they’ve, ” Logan, Jonnisha, ” McCleod, ’, McCleod, Jonnisha McCleod, I’m, “ I’m, Katrice Williams, Williams couldn’t, Edna Monroy “, Williams Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, National Student, Federal Reserve Bank of New, US, Biden, New York Fed, Coalition, Department of Education, Education Department, CNN, Oxford, Oxford Economics, SAVE, Cleveland State University College of Law, Trump Locations: Minneapolis, Decatur , Georgia, States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Washington , DC, Wells Fargo, Baltimore , Maryland, Las Vegas, Cedar Park , Texas, Omaha , Nebraska, undergrad, Cleveland , Ohio

☆ Morning Bid: Spiky quarter ends in uneasy market calm
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. At 4.53% on Friday, the 10-year benchmark was some 15 basis points off Thursday's peak and two-year yields fell back to their lowest since Sept. 18. Some optimism from Beijing about a possible year-end summit between President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Joe Biden helped. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Friday:* US August PCE inflation gauge, personal income and spending. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Thursday's, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Lifeng, Federal Reserve's, Jerome Powell, Thomas Barkin, it's, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, John Williams, Toby Chopra Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Organization of, Petroleum, Wall Street Journal, Federal, Fed, Richmond Fed, Nike, HK, Reuters, Mercedes, Benz, Chicago, University of, Louis Federal Reserve, New York Fed, U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Beijing, China, Washington, Hong Kong, Nio

☆ New York Fed: Many Buy Now, Pay Later users are financially fragile
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Minneapolis CNN —Buy Now, Pay Later installment payment offerings appear to be disproportionately used by people facing financial difficulties, raising concerns about the potential for greater money trouble, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Tuesday. New York Fed researchers delved into recently collected consumer survey data to determine who is being offered BNPL options and who uses them. They drew on data collected as part of the June 2023 Survey of Consumer Expectations Credit Access Survey, which included a set of BNPL-specific questions. “The fact that a disproportionate share of BNPL users are already financially fragile raises questions about the resilience of BNPL lending and its performance following an adverse economic shock,” New York Fed researchers wrote. The New York Fed research substantiates previously raised concerns from critics that BNPL may attract — and could ultimately harm — financially fragile individuals.

Persons: ” Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York Fed, Consumer, Survey, ” New York Fed, Consumer Financial Protection Locations: Minneapolis

☆ 'R-star' is a key tool in the Fed's fight against inflation. But what is it?
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-24 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Both are determined by inflation-adjusted interest rates, which are represented by the variable r in economic models. The interest rate that causes demand for savings to equal demand for investing, is typically denoted as R*. To tame inflation that hit a four-decade high last year, the Fed has been raising interest rates. At the same time, if central bank officials continue to hike rates to get inflation down, they run the risk of overshooting. None of that would be the case at the neutral interest rate.

Persons: New York CNN —, It’s, Jerome Powell, Knut Wicksell, John Williams, Powell, it’s, catchup, we’ve, ” Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, World Bank, New York Fed, Fed Locations: New York, Swedish

☆ The bond market's notorious indicator is correctly signaling a coming recession, and the Fed has made a major mistake, the economist who coined the inverted yield curve says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The gauge has never flashed a false positive - and it's likely saying the Fed made a big mistake, Harvey said. The curve officially inverted on October 26 last year, Fed data shows, meaning the recession signal is just a few days shy of the 11-month milestone. So it's way too early to say this is a false signal. Maybe it does turn out to be a false signal, but you can't say it's a false signal when you're not even at the average," Harvey said. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 13 basis points on Thursday to 4.478%, the highest level since 2007.

Persons: Campbell Harvey, Duke, Harvey, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Service, Federal, Duke University, CNBC, , New York Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon, ,

☆ Fears over access to credit hit highest level in more than a decade, New York Fed survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The results were part of the New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations for August. Fears of credit access have been rising steadily since early 2022, around the same time that the Fed began raising interest rates. While the Fed worries over higher prices, the inflation outlook was mixed. Expectations for inflation one year and five years out rose just 0.1 percentage point on the month, taking them respectively to 3.6% and 3%. That comes with an unemployment rate of just 3.8%, or 0.1 percentage point above its year-ago level.

Organizations: New York Federal Reserve, York Fed's Survey, Fed Locations: New, York

☆ Morning Bid: Transatlantic surprise gap opens up again
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. And the gap between those two gauges, which had halved from July peaks, is starting to yawn wider yet again. Although the steep annual drop in Chinese exports and imports last month was marginally better than forecast, the ongoing funk in activity remains stark and threatens Beijing's overall economic growth target of about 5%. At least six senior Fed officials are in speaking engagements later on Thursday - including Fed board member Michelle Bowman and New York Fed chief John Williams. Events to watch for on Thursday:* U.S. weekly jobless claims, Q2 labor cost and productivity revisions* Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman, New York Fed President John Williams, Chicago Fed chief Austan Goolsbee, Philadelphia Fed chief Patrick Harker, Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic and Dallas Fed chief Lorie Logan all speak.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Mike Dolan, Andrew Bailey, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, bourses steadied, Austan Goolsbee, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, Joe Biden, Susan Fenton Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, U.S, Federal, Treasury, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Fed, New York Fed, Apple, Beijing, Federal Reserve, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, United States, Europe, China, Brent, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Japan, Asia, Michelle Bowman , New, Atlanta, India, New Delhi

The logo of U.S. fast food group Burger King is seen at a restaurant in Bruettisellen, Switzerland October 11, 2016. U.S. District Judge Roy Altman in Miami said Burger King must defend against a claim that its depiction of Whoppers on in-store menu boards mislead reasonable customers, amounting to a breach of contract. He dismissed claims based on TV and online ads, finding none in which Burger King promised a burger "size," or patty weight, and failed to deliver it. Burger King and its lawyers did not immediately respond to requests for comment on Tuesday. The case is Coleman et al v Burger King Corp, U.S. District Court, Southern District of Florida, No.

Persons: Burger, Arnd, Roy Altman, Burger King, Altman, Taco Bell, Coleman, Jonathan Stempel, David Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Restaurant Brands, Yum Brands, Burger King Corp, Court, Southern District of, Thomson Locations: Bruettisellen, Switzerland, U.S, Miami, Burger, Brooklyn , New York, Brooklyn, Southern District, Southern District of Florida, New York

☆ Morning Bid: Bonds calm down but Chinese markets smolder
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanRestive bonds showed signs of calm on Wednesday, but China's struggling economy and markets continue to unnerve world markets. A twin jolt from resurgent western debt yields and China's deepening economic funk and property sector troubles have made for a bumpy August to date. After a slew of dour retail, industrial and property investment numbers earlier this week, China reported on Wednesday that home prices fell for the first time this year. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan Restive, swooned, Goldman Sachs, Neel Kashkari, I'm, Fitch, JPMorgan Chase, Mike Dolan, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Minneapolis Fed, United States, AAA, JPMorgan, Bank of America, of, Cisco, Amcor, New, New York Fed, . Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Wall St, China, United, New York, Canada

ORLANDO, Florida, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Investors are hoping policymakers gathering at the Kansas City Fed's annual Jackson Hole Symposium later this month will shed light on one of the murkiest - yet fundamentally most important - tenets of monetary policy: R-star. Even the New York Fed's two most renowned R-star indicators, the Laubach-Williams model and the Holston-Laubach-Williams model, are, metaphorically speaking, miles apart. Martínez-García's estimate of short-term R-star is negative, while the New York Fed staffers' models suggest it has "increased considerably over the past year". The Fed is near the end of its tightening cycle having raised interest rates by 525 basis points to the highest since 2007. Longer-dated real bond yields have shot up to their highest level since 2009 even as market expectations for inflation and Fed rates have held steady.

Persons: Treasuries, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, Williams, Enrique Martínez, García, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, David Mericle, Jackson, John Williams reckons, Jamie McGeever Organizations: Kansas City Fed's, Fed, New, Dallas Fed, TD Securities, York, Dallas and New York Fed, New York Fed, Citi, Reuters, New York Times, Atlanta, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, New York, U.S, Dallas

☆ Americans’ credit card debt hits a record $1 trillion
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Minneapolis CNN —Americans’ credit card debt levels have just notched a new, but undesirable, milestone: For the first time ever, they’ve surpassed $1 trillion, according to data released Tuesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. During the second quarter, credit card balances shot up by $45 billion, or nearly 4.6%, to land at $1.03 trillion, according to the New York Fed’s latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. Rising credit card debt and auto loan balances helped to drive overall household debt levels up to $17.06 trillion for the quarter, the report showed. “Unfortunately, [credit card debt] is only going to go up from here,” Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst for LendingTree, told CNN. The number of people who made a hardship withdrawal during the second quarter surged from the first three months of the year to 15,950, an increase of 36% from the second quarter of 2022.

Persons: ” Matt Schulz, “ Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New, New York Fed, CNN, Bank of America Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, New York

Household debt ticked up 0.1% to $17.06 trillion, as mortgage balances - the biggest portion, and typically the biggest driver, of overall household debt - were largely unchanged. But the quarter-to-quarter trend appeared less alarming, with New York Fed researchers noting a leveling out near pre-pandemic levels in the most recent two quarters. New York Fed researchers attributed the decline to the timing of the academic year, as well as to some small forgiveness programs kicking in. Overall mortgage balances ticked down to $12.01 trillion, from $12.04 trillion in the prior quarter, reflecting some changes in credit reporting that are expected to reverse next quarter, New York Fed researchers said. Originations rose about 11% to $179 billion, reflecting the sharp rise in car prices; the number of newly opened loans remains below pre-pandemic levels, the report said.

Persons: Lee Jae, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, New York Federal Reserve Bank, Fed, New York, Reuters, New York Fed, Mortgage, Auto, Thomson Locations: Seoul, U.S

☆ Fed's Logan says more rate hikes needed amid unexpected economic strength
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Logan is a voting member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee this year. Officials were still worried about inflation and flagged a still strong job market, while a minority of policymakers expressed interest in raising rates at the June meeting. Logan also said that she doesn’t see anything tied to the Fed’s balance sheet drawdown affecting the Fed’s rate choices right now, and said the Treasury’s work to rebuild its cash account is unlikely to hit bank reserves, with the cash instead drawn from the Fed's reverse repo facility. Logan said after her formal remarks that she was surprised markets expect a sooner end to the balance sheet drawdown than she bets is likely. Reporting by Michael S. Derby Editing by Nick ZieminskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Lorie Logan, ’, ” Logan, ”, Logan, Jerome Powell, John Williams, it’s, “, Michael S, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Columbia University, , New York Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: ,

☆ Stock futures are little changed Tuesday night in a holiday-shortened week: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday night as Wall Street looks to resume a holiday-shortened week. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 33 points, or 0.1%. Stocks rose slightly during the shortened trading day, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 10.87 points, or 0.03%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was the laggard, rising just 3.8%. Economists polled by Dow Jones are anticipating a rise of 0.6%, which would be greater than the 0.4% increase the previous month.

Persons: Stocks, We've, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, CNBC's, Dow Jones, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Markets, Dow Jones, Reserve, , New York Fed, Central Bank Research Association Locations: New York City . U.S, , New, New York City

☆ Credit crunch compounded by office vacancies could have broad economic impact: RXR's Scott Rechler
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCredit crunch compounded by office vacancies could have broad economic impact: RXR's Scott RechlerScott Rechler, New York Fed board member and RXR Realty chairman and CEO, joins 'Last Call' to discuss how a rise in office vacancies could have sweeping implications for the economy.

Persons: RXR's Scott Rechler Scott Rechler Organizations: RXR's Scott Rechler Scott Rechler , New York Fed, RXR Realty Locations: RXR's Scott Rechler Scott Rechler , New

☆ New York Fed says global supply chain pressures further abated in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Kaylee Greenlee BealNEW YORK, June 6 (Reuters) - Supply chain pressures cooled again in May, New York Fed data showed, in a development that further eased what had been one of the key factors that had helped drive surging inflation pressures around the work. The New York Fed said on Tuesday that its latest Global Supply Chain Pressure Index stood at -1.71, from the revised -1.35 for April. The report said supply chain pressures were below average in all regions of the world considered in the index. After peaking in December 2021 at a reading of 4.31, the New York Fed index has been steadily retreating as supply chain kinks generated by the coronavirus pandemic have gotten worked out. Supply chain pressures had been a key factor in pushing up inflation, which in turn drove central banks like the Federal Reserve toward aggressive rate increases to bring price pressures back in line.

Persons: Greenlee Beal, it's, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: San Antonio Shoe, REUTERS, , New York Fed, New York Fed, New, Fed, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Del Rio , Texas, U.S, , New York, Great Britain, Taiwan

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