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download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe record market rally has stalled in recent weeks, just as skeptics of stocks became believers. Advertisement9 stocks to put in your portfolio nowAlthough the market's path forward is murky with the pivotal US election season coming up, investors shouldn't fret. A team of BMO strategists headlined by Belski unveiled their latest US strategy portfolios in a June 3 note. For reference, the US tactical equity portfolio surged 4.9% last month, roughly in line with the S&P 500, and has outperformed by 0.9% this year and 2.8% in the last 12 months.
Persons: , Brian Belski, hasn't, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, he's, David Lundgren, Belski Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, UBS, Business, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BMO, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia Locations: Montreal, BMO's US
A soft landing is on the horizon, too — or already here depending on who you ask — and recent data reinforces that. AdvertisementThere has been a ton of moderation in this rate particularly when comparing recent changes to those seen in 2022, another sign pointing to a soft landing. AdvertisementThe soft landing might already be hereDavid Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, believes the US has already achieved a soft landing. "To me, a soft landing is when the unemployment rate has basically hit its full-employment level, and the inflation rate is gradually coming down to a rate that's acceptable," Kelly said. Advertisement"In other words, a fairly comfortable soft landing with occasional turbulence," Draho added.
Persons: , That's, it's, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Briggs, Nick Bunker, Bunker, David Kelly, Kelly, Jason Draho, Draho, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, UBS, Morgan Asset Management, UBS Global Wealth Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: Expect oil prices to gravitate toward mid-80s by the third quarterWayne Gordon of UBS Global Wealth Management discusses OPEC+'s extension of oil output cuts into 2025.
Persons: Wayne Gordon Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management
Oil prices defied the announcement of extended supply cuts from the OPEC+ alliance with brisk declines, with analysts and traders faulting certain trading strategies and the demand picture for the downturn. "I would say that what the market is going through currently is going into an oversold, technically oversold market that is pushing the prices down," he noted. The front-month Nymex WTI contract was at $73.28 per barrel, higher by 3 cents per barrel from the Tuesday settlement. While some blame the OPEC+ meeting for the drop, we believe other factors — such as the option market—have played a role," UBS strategist Giovanni Staunovo said in a Tuesday note to clients. Renewed inventory draws are needed to push oil prices higher, in our view."
Persons: Abdulaziz Almoqbel, CNBC's Dan Murphy, , , Almoqbel, Ice Brent, Giovanni Staunovo Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Ice, bbl, UBS Locations: Huntington Beach , California, OPEC, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need to 'keep the faith' in tech stocks, says UBS' Alli McCartneyAlli McCartney, UBS managing director, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why investors should keep their faith in tech stocks, if these plays work in both higher and lower growth environments, and more.
Persons: Alli McCartney Alli McCartney Organizations: UBS
"Improving domestic ecommerce market share should lead to better monetization eventually," Yao said. The investment firm expects Douyin to match PDD's market share of 21% next year, and surpass it by reaching 22% in 2026. Tencent's WeChat Video Account platform is expected to retain about 2% to 3% of GMV market share through 2026, the Goldman analysis said. The video streaming platform last month reported e-commerce GMV grew by 28.2% year-on-year in the first quarter to 288.1 billion yuan ($40,55 billion). The firm forecasts Kuaishou's e-commerce GMV revenue will grow by 25% this year, although livestreaming revenue — which has accounted for about a third of total revenue — is expected to drop due to a high base.
Persons: James Yang, Bain, Joe Tsai, Emily Tan, Yang, Alibaba, Goldman Sachs, Ronald Keung, David Ma, China's, Morgan Stanley, Eddy Wang, Kenneth Fong, JD, David Beckham, Alex Yao, monetization, Yao, Tmall's GMV, Douyin, Alibaba's, Tencent's, Goldman, Sophie Huang, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bain and Company, PDD Holdings, Goldman, UBS, JPMorgan China, ByteDance, Hong Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, U.S, Alibaba, 2Q24, 2Q24E
The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.
Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks
Wells Fargo reiterates Nvidia as overweight Wells said it's standing by shares of Nvidia. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said it's bullish on an iPhone with artificial intelligence features. "We maintain our Buy rating on Apple for its multi-year upgrade cycle, gross margin upside and secular services growth." Bank of America reiterates Dell as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating on the stock following earnings. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nio as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating on shares of Nio.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Wynn, it's, Jefferies, Tesla, Dell, Wolfe, Alex Chriss, Rivian, Nio, robustly, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, Rosenblatt Organizations: Beazer, Nvidia, MGM, " Bank of America, Apple, Bank of America, Edison International, Qualcomm, JPMorgan, Banks, PayPal, New, Citi, Lionsgate, Lionsgate Studios, UBS, Tesla, Resilience Locations: Macau, Las Vegas, California, Cincinnati, China, Nio, NetApp
The company said just two customers represented 24% of its revenue in the first quarter. UBS thinks the biggest mystery customer — accounting for 19% of revenue last year — is Microsoft. And UBS believes Nvidia's biggest customer of them all is Microsoft. According to supply chain data estimates from Bloomberg, Arcuri is spot on with Microsoft being Nvidia's largest customer. Bloomberg data estimates that Microsoft makes up 15% of Nvidia's revenue, followed by Meta Platforms at 13% of revenue, Amazon at 6% of revenue, and Alphabet at about 6% of revenue.
Persons: , Blackwell, Timothy Arcuri, Arcuri Organizations: Nvidia, UBS, Microsoft, Service, SEC, OpenAI, Bloomberg, Meta, Amazon
Citi, meanwhile, initiated Lionsgate Studios with a buy rating. JPMorgan did lower its price target on Viasat to $23 per share from $30. The analyst reiterated his buy rating, noting that AI adoption is still in the early stages. The bank initiated coverage of the TV and movie studio with a buy rating. Its price target of $14 implies upside of more than 73% from Thursday's close.
Persons: Felix Liu, — Lisa Kailai Han, Sebastiano Petti, Petti, — Jesse Pound, Oppenheimer, Tyler Batory, Batory, — Hakyung Kim, Wynn, Vitaly Umansky, WYNN, Umansky, Wolfe, Eddie, Bill Carrache, Dell Dell, Wamsi Mohan, Dell, Mohan, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Ng, Morgan Stanley, we're, Erik Woodring, Woodring, Jason Bazinet, LION, COVID, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Dell Technologies, Lionsgate Studios, Citi, UBS, JPMorgan, Viasat, Homes, Wynn Resorts, Seaport Research Partners, Wolfe Research, Third Bank Regional, Dell, Bank of America, DELL, Lionsgate Entertainment, Starz Locations: Bilibili, China, Viasat, Macau, Las Vegas, Vegas, Wall, Thursday's
Mark Mobius, Chairman Mobius Emerging Opportunities Fund speaking on CNBC's The Exchange on March 27th, 2024. Adam Jeffery | CNBCVeteran emerging markets investor Mark Mobius said India's election outcome will not change his bullish views on the country. India's election results will be out on Tuesday next week. watch now"The big question mark is whether [Modi] can get a number of seats to change the constitution," Mobius told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Thursday. But India's economic fundamentals remain "very strong and solid."
Persons: Mark Mobius, Adam Jeffery, Narendra Modi, Modi, Mobius, CNBC's, Gautam Chhaochharia, Chhaochharia Organizations: CNBC Veteran, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, UBS Locations: India
Some stocks on Wall Street are absolutely hated by analysts and investors, but their fundamentals are improving, leaving a potential buying opportunity for contrarian investors, according to UBS. Most analysts currently covering the stock have assigned it a hold rating, with predicted upside of about 16% to consensus price targets. "The iconic automaker continues to enjoy strong profits from its core markets and a policy driven investment cycle in the U.S," the analyst wrote. Most analysts have assigned Airbnb stock a hold rating. The analyst consensus has shares at a hold rating, with predictions suggesting the stock could rise an average of 26% from its Thursday close.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska's, Wedbush, Scott Devitt, Ben Chaiken, Jan, Chaiken, Clorox, Estee Lauder, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Stocks, Wall, Ford Motor, Ford, Cruise, Mizuho, Pfizer, Gartner, Northern Trust
The 60/40 portfolio isn't dead — in fact, it tends to outperform over the long term, according to UBS. The strategy revolves around a simple balanced portfolio, allocating 60% to stocks and 40% to fixed income. That theory was tested when both equities and fixed income slumped in 2022. Crafting a balanced portfolio Falconio expects the new 60/40 construction to look a little different with the rise in popularity of alternative assets. When it comes to traditional fixed income assets, UBS suggests holding strategic, diversified exposure throughout fixed income.
Persons: Cash, Mark Haefele, Leslie Falconio, Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Darla Mercado Organizations: UBS, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, U.S . Locations: UBS Americas,
In a Thursday note, analyst Josh Silverstein listed the firm's "most compelling" buy-rated stocks to own across the energy and utilities sectors, including Suncor Energy , Coterra Energy , SLB , NextEra Energy and First Solar . Energy and utilities sectors are faring well this year, gaining 12.5% and 8.9%, respectively, while the broader market has advanced about 9.3%. His $90 price target suggests shares could jump 15.1%. First Solar is another favorite of UBS, which assigned the stock a $350 price target that implies 26.5% upside. Other energy and utility favorites UBS named include Coterra and Suncor Energy .
Persons: Josh Silverstein, William Appicelli, Jon Windham, , SLB Organizations: UBS, Suncor Energy, Coterra Energy, NextEra Energy, . Energy, Big Tech Locations: Schlumberger
"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.
Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon
The three keys USB logo is seen outside the London office of Swiss bank UBS in central London, on March 20, 2023. LONDON — UBS on Thursday announced a shake-up of its executive board in the latest phase of a radical overhaul of the Swiss banking giant, following its takeover of fallen rival Credit Suisse. It marks the first time a divisional UBS president has been based in Asia-Pacific, the bank said. George Athanasopoulos and Marco Valla also join the executive board as co-presidents of the investment bank, alongside Damian Vogel, incoming global chief risk officer. The trio replace outgoing board members Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Korner, UBS Asia-Pacific President Edmund Koh, and UBS Americas Regional President Naureen Hassan.
Persons: Iqbal Khan, Rob Karofsky, Sergio Ermotti, Ermotti, George Athanasopoulos, Marco Valla, Damian Vogel, Ulrich Korner, Edmund Koh, Naureen Hassan Organizations: UBS, LONDON, Credit Suisse, Group, Credit, UBS Americas, Swiss Locations: London, Swiss, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Americas, UBS Asia
Nvidia , the red-hot chipmaker that sells advanced processors to enable artificial intelligence technology, may have a customer bigger than anyone else. That could be Microsoft , UBS speculated in a note. The Wall Street bank pored over Nvidia's filings and estimated that Microsoft was its largest indirect customer, contributing to 19% of Nvidia's revenue in fiscal 2024. It leads UBS to its guess that one of the two could likely again be Microsoft. Nvidia has become so influential to the whole stock market that a good earnings report could unleash a wave of animal spirits that push the market to new heights.
Persons: Jensen Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, UBS, CNBC, Meta
From left to right: Johan Pihl, Doconomy's chief creative officer and co-founder, and Mathias Wikstrom, chief executive officer and co-founder. DoconomySwedish climate-focused financial technology startup Doconomy told CNBC on Thursday that it's raised 34 million euros ($36.9 million) from leading European banks, including UBS and Commerzbank . Credit ratings agency S&P Global came on board as a new investor, while existing shareholders Motive Ventures, PostFinance and Tenity also participated. watch nowDoconomy plans to use the fresh cash to drive expansion into North America and roll out new products, CEO and co-founder Mathias Wikstrom told CNBC in an interview. Mathias Wikstrom CEO, Doconomy
Persons: Johan Pihl, Mathias Wikstrom, it's, Tenity, Wikstrom, Jordan Peterson, It's, Doconomy Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Commerzbank, UBS Next, P Global, Motive Ventures, PostFinance, Boston Consulting Group, Mastercard, United Nations, Dreams Technology, Citi Ventures, Ikea Locations: Sweden, North America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailForeign investors in a 'wait and watch mode' ahead of India's election results: UBSGautam Chhaochharia of the bank says, however, that the economic fundamentals "remain very, very strong."
Persons: UBS Gautam Chhaochharia Organizations: UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Substantial' potential in Chinese equities over the next 6 to 12 months: UBS WMSuresh Tantia of UBS Global Wealth Management is positive on China's economic recovery trajectory, but says there is still a tail risk associated with the possibility of a second Trump presidency.
Persons: Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Trump
Goldman Sachs initiates Abbott Labs as buy Goldman said Abbott is well positioned for growth. UBS reiterates Apple as neutral UBS said its checks show iPhone pressure remains in China and the U.S. for Apple. Goldman Sachs reiterates Eli Lilly as neutral Goldman raised its price target on Eli Lilly to $785 per share from $740. Goldman Sachs reiterates Salesforce as buy Goldman said it's sticking with the stock following earnings on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs initiates AstraZeneca, Novartis and Novo Nordisk as buy Goldman initiated several biotech company's on Thursday and says it sees "innovation momentum a key focus."
Persons: Baird, OKTA, Goldman Sachs, Abbott, Goldman, Piper Sandler downgrades Cava, Piper, Eli Lilly, Wells Fargo, Wells, Mizuho, Wedbush, Daiwa, Stifel, it's, Salesforce, CRM's, Redburn, Guggenheim, Generac Organizations: UBS, Apple, Mizuho, PayPal, Bank of America, Gross, Amicus, USM, First, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, JPMorgan, Nvidia, Technology, Northland, AstraZeneca, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, of America, TAM, Guggenheim Locations: China, Corning, Northland, 4Q24
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Separately, the stock market will also deliver its verdict when markets open on Monday. Nervousness among investors over the results has meant that the India VIX index, the market's so-called fear gauge, has shot up by more than 135% since its April lows. However, some equity strategists point out that even a landslide victory for Modi's BJP could potentially sour the stock market. Meanwhile, Gautam Chhaochharia, head of global markets for India at UBS, said foreign investors are in a "wait and watch mode" ahead of India's election results despite economic fundamentals looking "very, very strong."
Persons: Narendra Modi's, Modi, Bradley Saunders, Saunders, Venugopal Garre, , Garre, Fitch, SRH, Mark Mobius, Gautam Chhaochharia Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, BJP, Traders, " Bank of America, Capital Economics, Modi's BJP, , Reuters, Kolkata Knight Riders, IPL, Sunrisers, Knight Riders, CNBC, UBS Locations: Delhi, India, Kolkata, Sunrisers Hyderabad
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDick’s Sporting Goods raises guidance, says shoppers are spending more on sneakers and athletic gearMichael Lasser, UBS equity research analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to break down Dick's Sporting Goods' quarterly earnings results.
Persons: Michael Lasser Organizations: UBS, Sporting Goods
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Abercrombie & Fitch — Shares popped 22% after the apparel retailer posted fiscal first-quarter sales that grew 22% from a year earlier. Netflix — Morgan Stanley reiterated its overweight rating on the streaming stock, leading shares 2% higher. According to the firm, Netflix can see strong double-digit revenue growth that should extend beyond the benefits it is seeing from its paid-sharing initiative. ConocoPhillips , Marathon Oil — The oil company slipped close to 4% in midday trading following news that ConocoPhillips is acquiring peer Marathon Oil in a $17 billion all-stock deal. Other stocks also tied to the government-run health insurance program, namely Molina Healthcare , Elevance Health and Humana , also slid during Wednesday's trading session.
Persons: Netflix — Morgan Stanley, Dick's, Marathon's, HubSpot, CNBC's David Faber, Chewy, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Abercrombie, Fitch, Netflix, American Airlines, Dick's, LSEG, ConocoPhillips, Marathon, Google, HubSpot, Energy, UBS, Insurance, — Insurance, Molina Healthcare, Elevance, Humana
Investors looking for new ways to capitalize on artificial intelligence should look at Fluence Energy , according to UBS. "FLNC is an under-appreciated beneficiary of increasing AI data center driven electricity demand as a leading supplier of utility-scale battery systems," analyst Jon Windham said. The firm reiterated its buy rating on the energy storage stock alongside a $32 per share price target. Fluence Energy is the second-biggest battery supplier at the utility level in the U.S. behind Tesla, UBS noted. "The more data centers consume electricity, the larger the arbitrage opportunity becomes, driving more demand for energy storage systems," the analyst said.
Persons: Jon Windham, Tesla, Windham Organizations: Fluence Energy, UBS, Energy, Nvidia, Data Locations: U.S
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