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While mortgage rates are most closely linked to 10-year Treasury bonds, they tend to move in tandem with the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate. Consequently, a rate cut is likely to lower mortgage rates later this year. That's potentially good news for homebuyers, since interest rate cuts would likely make monthly mortgage payments a bit more affordable. Most major housing organizations expect mortgage rates to drop by the end of the year. Mortgage rate forecasts for the end of 2024 differ slightly.
Persons: Fannie Mae, Wells, Kevin McLoughlin Organizations: Federal, Traders, Mortgage, Association ., Federal Reserve Locations: Virginia
Today's high interest rate environment has led to rising borrowing costs for consumers, but there is a silver lining for savers: Their idle cash can generate plenty of income – if they can find the right savings products. The Federal Reserve's key interest rate is sitting at a target range of 5.25% to 5.5%, its highest level in more than 22 years . The firm found that about six out of 10 middle-income Americans are leaving their money in lower-yielding accounts, even as interest rates have risen. "Or, there's a perception that the switching costs, or the friction, related to making a change is more work than the benefit of getting higher rates." Meanwhile, LendingClub offers a 1-year CD at a 4.4% APY, while its high-yield savings account offers a 5% APY.
Persons: Tim Wennes, There's, Wennes, , Darla Mercado Organizations: Santander U.S, Federal, Financial, LendingClub
Serve Robotics' shares soared 241% after Nvidia disclosed a stake in the company. Serve Robotics focuses on self-driving delivery vehicles for last-mile deliveries. AdvertisementShares of Serve Robotics soared as much as 241% on Friday after Nvidia disclosed a stake in the company. The bond was converted to stock following Serve Robotics public debut in April. In February, Nvidia disclosed relatively small investments in SoundHound AI and Nano X Imaging, resulting in similarly big stock price moves.
Persons: , Serve's, Uber Organizations: Robotics, Nvidia, Service, SEC Locations: Los Angeles, San Diego, Dallas, Vancouver
The selloff in the Nasdaq on Wednesday, more specifically in semiconductor stocks, has added a relatively new wrinkle to what has been an unexpectedly exceptional year for stocks: political risk. And by that I do not mean the outcome of the 2024 presidential election , per se, but the risk of trial balloons being floated for the next several months leading up to the election. Two news items on Wednesday rocked the chip stocks as the Biden administration is reportedly considering much tighter constraints on chip sales to China . Competing proposals We've already heard of some of the potential policy prescriptions that either a Biden or Trump administration might pursue beginning in 2025. Some may never see the light of day depending, not only on the outcome of the presidential election, but also on the composition of the next Congress.
Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S, Biden, Federal Locations: China, Taiwan, Trump, U.S
Gold shines on rising Fed rate-cut outlook
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,461.27 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams both noted the shortening horizon toward looser monetary policy. Separately, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he is "very encouraged" on broadening declines in inflation. "Over the next 6-12 months, regardless of who wins the (U.S.) election, we see gold rising to $2700-$3000 and silver to $38," Citi Research said. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $30.35, platinum steadied at $994.81 and palladium gained 0.4% to $955.77.
Persons: Ryan McIntyre, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Thomas Barkin, CME's Organizations: Sprott Asset Management, Holdings, New York Fed, Richmond Fed, Federal, Citi Research, Investors, U.S Locations: U.S, ., China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed is likely to start cutting rates in September, says Citi's Nathan SheetsNathan Sheets, Citi global chief economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the economist's thoughts on the Federal Reserve's rate path, what economic deterioration Sheets is expecting, and if there should've been more of an effort to consider rate cuts in July.
Persons: Nathan Sheets Nathan Sheets Organizations: Citi
Small cap rally has some legs here, says Citi's Scott Chronert
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall cap rally has some legs here, says Citi's Scott ChronertScott Chronert, Citi U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the equity market rotation, his view on the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, and the valuation gap between the small and large caps.
Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi U.S
After First Horizon posted an earnings miss Wednesday morning, the regional bank's CEO Bryan Jordan told CNBC's Jim Cramer there is stiff competition in the industry that could continue for the rest of the year. It tends to be very aggressive for money market and CD deposit rates," Jordan said. "We see a lot of specials in the marketplace, and what we experienced this quarter was a little bit of a shift in what we'd seen in previous quarters." Jordan continued, saying this competition "drove a little bit of an increase in costs," as First Horizon matched rates for customers, raising the cost of deposits. "I think when those two questions get resolved, the economy ought to star to accelerate, loan demand ought to pick up a little bit," he said.
Persons: Bryan Jordan, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Jordan, we'd, Wednesday's Organizations: Horizon, Federal Locations: Memphis , Tennessee
Traders see the odds of a Fed rate cut by September at 100%
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders are now 100% certain the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by September. That put the annual inflation rate at 3%, the lowest in three years. Odds that rates would be cut in September were about 70% a month ago. The CME FedWatch Tool computes the probabilities based on trading in fed funds futures contracts at the exchange, where traders are placing their bets on the level of the effective fed funds rate in 30-day increments. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent hints have also cemented traders' belief that the central bank will act by September.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell Organizations: Bank, Financial, Federal, U.S, Capitol, Washington , DC, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Washington ,
For now, top-yielding online savings accounts and one-year CDs are paying more than 5% — well above the rate of inflation. "Money market brokerage accounts usually pay higher rates than money market or savings accounts at banks," he said in an emailed statement. "Timing your purchase to coincide with lower rates can save money over the life of the loan," Tayne said. However, lower mortgage rates could also boost home-buying demand, which would push prices higher, McBride said. "If lower mortgage rates lead to a surge in prices, that's going to offset the affordability benefit for would-be buyers."
Persons: cardholders, APRs, Tayne, Olga Rolenko, McBride, Mark Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Howard Hook, they've Organizations: Treasury, EKS, EKS Associates Locations: Princeton , New Jersey
Roberto Schmidt | AFP | Getty ImagesIt's no secret that the housing market looks far different than it did a few years ago. While surging mortgage rates and housing prices have taken away consumers' purchasing power, low supply has kept the market competitive. A higher rate, in reality, results in more interest due on a home loan. Housing prices are also central to the equation for everyday Americans decision how much, or if, they can afford to spend. One from the National Association of Realtors found affordability tumbled more than 33% between 2021 and 2023 alone.
Persons: Roberto Schmidt, it's, Dow Organizations: AFP, Getty, Dow Jones, National Association of Realtors, Atlanta Federal, Atlanta Fed Locations: Clarksburg , Maryland
CNBC Daily Open: S&P retreats, yen surges, Tesla sinks
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The declines follow the lowest consumer price index in over three years. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell, while U.S. oil prices rose on hopes of a rate cut. The Fed is "one step closer to a September rate cut," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade.
Persons: Jesse Pound, Chris Larkin, Kit Juckes, Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Dow Jones, Treasury, U.S, Societe Generale, Delta Air Lines, Paris, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
Green day : A lot was working in the stock market on Friday. But it was hard to see through an ugly rotation out of this year's Big Tech winners in favor of more interest rate-sensitive stocks. Many of our hot tech stocks took a breather this week. It's more evidence of why Jim Cramer calls these two names "own, don't trade" stocks. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Russell, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Wells Fargo, NII, toolmaker Stanley Black, Decker, Morgan Stanley, That's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Federal, Nasdaq, PPI, Fed, Meta, Nvidia, Apple, Ford, Abbott Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Financial, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Morphic, Wells, New York City, Mairo
An AI-driven stock market bubble could burst early if Trump wins the 2024 election, according to Capital Economics. Trump's proposed policies on tariffs and immigration could slow economic growth and spark higher inflation, the firm said. Higher inflation would restrict the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates. AdvertisementThe ongoing stock market bubble that has been inflated by a strong rally in AI stocks could pop prematurely if former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election. A second Trump Presidency "could potentially result in the imposition of universal tariffs and reductions in immigration," Higgins said.
Persons: Trump's, , Donald Trump, John Higgins, Higgins, Trump Organizations: Trump, Capital Economics, Service, Trump Presidency, Federal Reserve
Gold climbs as traders brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Any downside surprise in the CPI report could weaken the dollar and push up gold prices to the $2,400 level, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the U.S. central bank would make interest rate decisions "when and as" they were needed. Spot silver climbed 0.7% to $31.04 per ounce, platinum firmed 0.4% to $993.25 and palladium gained 0.7% to $992.90.
Persons: Edward Meir ., Lisa Cook, Meir, Jerome Powell, Wang Tao Organizations: Index, Traders Locations: U.S
The market is only driven by a handful of massive tech stocks – and therefore, it's built on a weaker foundation than a market advancing on a broader swath of its constituents. Companies don't lose dominance or stock leadership because they were dominant the last time we had a bull market. We trimmed Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Palo Alto Networks , and five other tech stocks at the beginning of the year. Would the market suddenly become more investible if we broke up the Super Six into say 15 different companies and stocks? However, we don't think they are a reason to bail entirely on any of these names.
Persons: it's, Jim Cramer, Jim, they've, we've, we're, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Club, Super, CNBC, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, Fed, Barclays, Big Tech, IBM, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto, United Parcel Service, Google, Facebook, Gmail, Amazon, Services, Jim Cramer's Charitable, The New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Getty Locations: Eaton, Dover, 2Q24, U.S, Manhattan, New York City
Along with the top- and bottom-line numbers, Wall Street is also keeping close watch on net interest income and guidance. "We see the greatest sources of potential earnings upside being driven by higher loan growth and capital markets." Barclays analyst Goldberg anticipates a slight decrease in net interest income in the second quarter due to a compression in net interest margin. Last year, the company posted $21.9 billion in net interest income for the period. Despite expectations for seasonally lower trading, he also expects strong investment banking activity and net interest income to drive ongoing positive momentum.
Persons: Jason Goldberg, Jamie Dimon, Goldman Sachs, Richard Ramsden, America's Ebrahim Poonawala, Goldberg, Wells, Mike Mayo, Redburn, John Heagerty Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, LSEG, Barclays, JPMorgan, Bank, America's Locations: United States
Gold rangebound with spotlight on U.S. inflation reading
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rates trajectory. Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rates trajectory. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,367.79 per ounce by 0229 GMT. Non-yielding bullion's appeal tends to shine when interest rates are lower. That may weigh on gold, which could see prices fall back towards the $2,300 level of support," Yeap said.
Persons: Gold, Jerome Powell, Powell, Yeap Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Traders, Global, Gold Locations: U.S, Europe, Asia
He reasoned that while higher interest rates were a concern, solid earnings growth would keep stocks afloat. Since then, the S&P 500 has rallied 11.1% off its early May lows and extended its year-to-date surge to 16.9%. Since UBS GWM is neutral on US stocks, Lefkowitz recommends that investors keep their expectations in check and look for alternatives. Though not flashy, bonds boast attractive yields and should continue to rally if the Fed cuts rates this fall, according to UBS GWM. "We think investors should position for a lower interest rate environment and buy quality bonds, which have attractive yields and the potential for capital appreciation amid the potential for a deeper easing cycle," Marcelli wrote in the note.
Persons: , it's, David Lefkowitz, who's, Lefkowitz, We'll, that's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, UBS GWM, seconding, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS GWM's, Business, UBS GWM, Federal, Nvidia, UBS, White Locations: Washington
Strong consumer demand has helped the U.S. economy weather the Federal Reserve's rate hikes, avoiding a hard landing where growth and employment turn lower. The high-end consumer Inui estimates the net worth of high-end consumers is actually accelerating to a high-single-digit rate. "As a result, discount retailers are facing high shrinkage, restaurants are becoming increasingly promotional to boost traffic and retailers with strong value propositions are gaining share." HSBC called McDonald's one of the stocks that offers "a strong value proposition" to consumers tightening their belts. Another retailer HSBC named was Target , which has an "expect more, pay less" strategy emphasizing private labels to boost sales.
Persons: HSBC's, Nicole Inui, Hilton, Marriott, Inui, Innui, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: HSBC, Viking Holdings, Worldwide Holdings, Marriott International, Royal, Motors Locations: U.S, Americas, Royal Caribbean
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a House Financial Services Committee hearing on the "Federal Reserve's Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report" on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., March 6, 2024. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday expressed concern that holding interest rates too high for too long could jeopardize economic growth. Setting the stage for a two-day appearance on Capitol Hill this week, the central bank leader said the economy remains strong as does the labor market, despite some recent cooling. Powell cited some easing in inflation, which he said policymakers stay resolute in bringing down to their 2% goal. The commentary coincides with the approaching one-year anniversary of the last time the Federal Open Market Committee raised benchmark interest rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Financial, Federal Locations: Washington , U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher: We have a real problem in financing our fiscal policyFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the Federal Reserve's moves around the election, the steady demand for U.S. debt, and much more.
Persons: Richard Fisher Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed, Federal
Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed on Monday as investors awaited key economic data from the U.S. and China later this week, while election results in France overnight signaled a hung parliament. France's left-wing New Popular Front coalition on Sunday unexpectedly thwarted a far-right advance, clinching the largest number of seats but falling short of an absolute majority in a parliamentary run-off vote. Investors await the U.S. consumer price index reading, due Thursday stateside, to assess the Federal Reserve's interest rate path, while China's inflation figures on Wednesday will signal the state of the country's economic recovery. Central bank decisions from South Korea, New Zealand and Malaysia will also be announced this week, although no changes are expected, according to a Reuters poll of economists.
Persons: France's Organizations: Popular Front, Sunday Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, China, France, Central, South Korea, New Zealand, Malaysia
The S&P 500 index and Nasdaq closed at record highs, driven by a 2% gain in Nvidia. UBS raised Nvidia's price target to $150 due to strong demand for its chips and a reasonable valuation. Investors are awaiting June's CPI inflation report Thursday and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 index and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday, driven by a nearly 2% gain in Nvidia stock. The AI darling rose after UBS raised its price target to $150 per share in a Monday note.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Price, Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, UBS, Service, Nvidia's, Blackwell, Federal, Wharton School
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. One such mansion is Hempstead House, which is located in Sands Point Preserve, a 216-acre park about 30 miles outside New York City. The Guggenheims lived in Hempstead House together until 1930, when Daniel died. In July 2024, I paid $15 to park at Sands Point Preserve and then another $10 to take a guided tour of Hempstead House. Here's what it was like inside the 112-year-old mansion and what I learned about life there.
Persons: , Scott Fitzgerald's, Howard Gould, Florence Guggenheim, Daniel, Florence Organizations: Service, Hempstead House, Business, Preserve, Institute of Aeronautical Sciences, US Navy, Guggenheim Locations: Shore, Long, Hempstead, Sands Point, New York City, Daniel, Hempstead House, Sands, Nassau County
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