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Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in March, less than expected
  + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A measure of wholesale prices increased less than expected in March, providing some potential relief from worries that inflation will hold higher for longer than many economists had expected. Excluding food and energy, the core PPI also rose 0.2%, meeting expectations. The release comes a day after the BLS reported that consumer prices again rose more than expected in March, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve will be unable to lower interest rates anytime soon. However, wholesale prices for final demand food and goods less food and energy climbed 0.8% and 0.1%, respectively. That contrasted with the consumer price index, which showed gasoline up 1.7% on the month.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Dow, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, BLS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Group
Goldman Sachs still expects stubbornly high U.S. inflation to ease over the coming months, despite investors slashing bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, after yet another print showed that consumer prices remain sticky. The CPI, a broad measure of goods and services costs across the economy, rose 0.4% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 3.5%. In the Goldman Sachs view, the U.S. CPI will fall back to 2.4% this year, down from the current annualized rate of 3.5%. We obviously have oil prices currently going up, and that's certainly something that has been a bit stronger than what we initially anticipated," Mueller-Glissmann said. He added that the inflationary impact of rising oil prices will likely be limited, because the bank expects that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will eventually bring spare capacity online.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Glissmann, CNBC's, Mueller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S, CPI, of, Petroleum Locations: U.S, penciling
But, if you’re President Joe Biden, now is a particularly bad time for inflation to reaccelerate. On the other hand, bad economic data, especially regarding inflation, almost certainly guarantees people aren’t going to be feeling better about the economy. Significant progress over the past two years in getting inflation down from multi-decade highs has been of little help to struggling Americans. “We have more to do to lower costs for hardworking families,” he said. The shelter index, a broader component of the inflation report that covers a majority of housing expenses, is up 5.7% year-over-year.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN — There’s, Joe Biden, Biden, hasn’t, Ron Klain, , Ian Maule, he’s, CNN Biden, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Labor, Politico, Biden, Center, CNN, Republican Locations: New York, Las Vegas , Nevada
New York CNN —Big banks kick off earnings season Friday. “Earnings season just became significantly more important,” said JJ Kinahan, chief executive of IG North America, in a Wednesday note. On one hand, lofty rates could help pad banks’ net interest income, since they can charge a higher borrowing rate for loans and mortgages. Inflation has been a bane on Biden’s presidency, with voters consistently giving him low marks for his handling of the economy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that policymakers want to see more evidence that inflation is headed toward their 2% goal.
Persons: , JJ Kinahan, JPMorgan, Wells, You’ll, Carol Schleif, Wall, Jamie Dimon, , Alicia Wallace, Friday’s, Joe Biden, ” Biden, Bryan Mena, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, IG North America, JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citigroup, PNC Financial Services, BMO Family Office, Federal Reserve, Wall, Traders, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , Federal, Fed Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, pare
But a lot of women haven't been able to take advantage of this remote work perk. Remote work has helped women's progress toward equal pay, but it's had a mixed impact on women's career advancement. On the one hand, remote work has allowed more women to stay in the workforce when they otherwise might forced out due to childcare demands. Women's relationship with remote work both helps and hurtsWomen are working at near-record levels, and the growth of remote work in recent years is among the key reasons. AdvertisementMen and women work from home at very similar rates, but there's some evidence that remote work is even more prevalent among women.
Persons: , haven't, it's, jugging, jugglers, Aaron Terrazas, Nicholas Bloom, Sarah Small, Small, Nicole, Stanford's Bloom, Meredith Whitney, Utah's Organizations: Service, Business, Stanford, University of Utah, of Labor Statistics, WomenTech Network, Labor Department, Bard College Locations: Washington, overemployment
Read previewToday's job market looks to be on solid footing, but there are subtle signs that hiring is starting to weaken, upping the odds that a recession strikes. The job market is already flashing key signs of weakness, and a hiring slowdown could be around the corner, Wall Street strategists have warned. Here are four signs the stellar US job market may be about to stumble:Advertisement1. But job-cut announcements rose to 257,254 over the first quarter, according to the career transitioning firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The risk of a coming recession could rise if the job market continues to slow, some forecasters have warned.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Gary Shilling, it's Organizations: Service, Street, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Challenger, National Federation of Independent Business, CNBC
Gas and shelter costs contributed more than half of that monthly increase, according to the BLS. Economists were expecting a 0.3% monthly increase and an annual rate of 3.4%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. The Fed has been wanting to see meaningful progress on inflation before it starts cutting rates. Excluding gas and food prices, categories that tend to be more volatile, core inflation rose 0.4% from the month before, bringing the annual rate to 3.8%, the same as February’s reading. Economists had anticipated a 0.3% monthly gain and for the annual rate to inch lower to 3.7%, according to FactSet.
Persons: ” Greg McBride, Bankrate, Economists Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS
CNBC's Jim Cramer questioned whether the hotter-than-expected consumer price index data accurately represents the state of inflation, saying Wall Street's wave of Wednesday selling could have been a mistake. "These headline CPI numbers do not reflect reality as I see it." The Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI is a key inflation metric — a broad measure of the cost of goods and services across the economy. Cramer first pointed to the 0.9% month-over-month increase in the price of meat, poultry, fish and eggs, with the latter alone climbing 4.6%. "I'm not talking about the absolute numbers, I'm talking about the trendlines, because the trendlines suggest that selling in response to this report may have been and could be a mistake."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, Cramer Organizations: Labor Statistics CPI, Cal, Maine Foods, U.S Locations: Texas
Inflation came in hotter than expected in March
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
March's year-over-year increase was forecasted to be a higher rate than February's rate. The forecast for March's year-over-year increase in the CPI was 3.4%, a higher rate than the 3.2% increase or the 3.1% increase in February or January respectively. The rate came in above the forecast and was higher than February's year-over-year change. CPI increased 0.4% in March from the preceding month — same as the 0.4% surge in February. AdvertisementAverage hourly earnings increased 4.1% year over year to $34.69 an hour in March, which fell short of the 4.3% year-over-year increase in February.
Persons: , That's, Julia Pollak, Pollak Organizations: Consumer, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: March's, That's
Tom Williams | Cq-roll Call, Inc. | Getty ImagesThe consumer price index accelerated at a faster than expected pace in March, pushing inflation higher and likely keeping the Federal Reserve on hold with interest rates. Shelter and energy costs drove the increase on the all-items index. Food prices increased just 0.1% on the month and were up 2.2% on a year-over-year basis. The measure for meat, fish, poultry and eggs climbed 0.9%, pushed by a 4.6% jump in egg prices. Elsewhere, used vehicle prices declined 1.1% and medical care services prices rose 0.6%.
Persons: Tom Williams, Dow Jones Organizations: Washington , D.C, Cq, Inc, Getty, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Locations: Washington ,
"The big rock in the way here is the cost of shelter," Zandi said. In fact, underlying inflation after stripping out shelter costs is already back to target, Zandi said. watch nowThe increase is largely attributable to higher oil prices. "For most Americans, the thing that bothers them the most about inflation is high food prices." Americans' buying patterns also simultaneously shifted away from services — like entertainment and travel — toward physical goods since they stayed at home more, driving up demand and fueling decades-high goods inflation.
Persons: Eric Thayer, That's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, It's, Hamrick, They're, Sarah House Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, of Labor Statistics, U.S, Energy Information Administration, BLS, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
New York CNN —US stocks fell sharply Wednesday morning after inflation data for March came in higher than expected. That’s up considerably from February’s 3.2% rate and marks the highest annual gain in the past six months. Investors worry this will push back the Fed’s timeline for the rate cuts it has been hinting would come this year. The 10-year Treasury yield, which serves as a standard for mortgage and loan rates, surged after the announcement, approaching 4.5%. Shares of bank stocks fell.
Persons: Dow, “ Today’s, , Seema Shah, Wells Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Asset Management, Treasury, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, Apple Locations: New York, Wells Fargo
Mortgage rates are expected to drop this year, but so far they've remained near two-decade highs. Based on the current economic outlook, mortgage rates should go down in 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched up to 6.06% last week, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: Freddie Mac, you'll, it's Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
New York CNN —Almost every month, economists expect the hot US labor market to start showing signs of exhaustion. The booming labor market has to run out of gas eventually, right? Enjoy it while it lastsHistorically speaking, there’s only so long a really good labor market can last until, for instance, a recession or tighter financial conditions disrupt it. Taken together, that could mean the life expectancy of the current labor market isn’t very long. One big reason why the labor market continues to defy expectations is the result of a surge in immigration over the past year.
Persons: February’s, Jefferies, Thomas Simons “, ” “, Simons, Will Baltrus, That’s, ” Dante DeAntonio Organizations: New, New York CNN, Conference, Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Brookings, Moody’s Locations: New York
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMichael C. Donaldson, 84, is an entertainment lawyer by day — and a record-setting under-ice swimmer by night. And now I eat red meat very rarely. Red meat is high in saturated fats, which can increase the "bad" LDL cholesterol in the blood and can lead to cardiovascular disease. According to the Cleveland Clinic, red meat shouldn't be eaten more than once or twice a week, and choosing white meat or vegetarian options is generally healthier.
Persons: Michael C, Donaldson, , wasn't, Markus Rogan, Rogan, — Donaldson, it's, I've, he's, centenarians, Michael, It's, wouldn't Organizations: Service, Austrian Olympic, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Centers for Disease Control, World Health, International Agency for Research, Cancer, Cleveland Clinic Locations: Los Angeles, Austrian, Austria, Okinawa, Japan, Costa Rica
A recent Wall Street Journal poll of American voters in swing states found that while people think the national economy is in bad shape, they feel good about their personal finances. In Gallup polling from last April, just 16% rated the economy as “good” or “excellent,” but 45% said their personal finances were “good” or “excellent.”But according to available data the economy has improved. But the dichotomy between how people feel about their own finances and the economy at large presents a different conundrum. It’s important to look at consumer behavior and not just sentiment when determining how Americans feel about the economy, said Harris. Those behaviors signal that Americans, overall, actually feel pretty good about their economy.
Persons: New York CNN — Nathan Frederiksen, , , ” Frederiksen, It’s, “ We’ve, I’ve, ” He’s, , Wisconsin —, Joe Biden, Ben Harris, else’s, ” Harris, Harris, Jonathon Barricklow, Barricklow, we’d, Dave Koloskee, he’ll, Megan McCoy, we’re, ” McCoy, Julie Levitch, Suze Orman, she’s, I’m, ’ ”, , they’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Gallup, Economic, Brookings, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Facebook, Kansas State University, , Finance, LinkedIn Locations: New York, Boise , Idaho, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina , Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, it’s, United States, Bowling Green , Ohio, East, Europe, Erie , Pennsylvania, Scottsdale , Arizona
Throughout the U.S., workers earn a median annual wage of about $48,080, according to the latest available data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But in the three states where workers earn the least, the median annual wage sits below $40,000 a year. Check out the map below to see the median wage in every U.S. state. Mississippi has the lowest-earning population in the U.S. with a median annual wage of just $37,500, according to the BLS. These are the 10 states with the lowest median annual wages.
Persons: Louis, Louis Fed Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Louis Fed, Mississippi, CNBC Locations: . Mississippi, U.S, Mississippi, Massachusetts
Hungry at 3 am? You’re out of luck now
  + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Not even all of 24 Hour Fitness’ gyms — the promise is right in its name — are 24 hours. The city that never sleeps, New York, has lost 13% of its 24-hour restaurants. Around half of IHOP’s 1,800 locations are back to being open 24 hours on Friday and Saturday, at the very least. Ed Endicott/Alamy Stock Photo/FilePete’s was open 24 hours, seven days a week from the 1990s until the pandemic hit in 2020. Despite the signage, Mi Tierra is no longer open 24 hours in San Antonio, Texas.
Persons: hasn’t, Waffle, , Alex Barakos, Ed Endicott, Pete’s, Barakos, , Hudson Riehle, Edward Hopper’s, Harold, Kumar Go, Stephen Zagor, Pete Cortez, Michael Silver Geo, “ There’s, ” Cortez, ’ ” Cortez Organizations: New, New York CNN, Walmart, Hollywood, Alamy, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , National Restaurant Association, Edward Hopper’s Nighthawks, Columbia Business School, of Locations: New York, Covid, Los Angeles, Chicago, Denver, Philadelphia, White, , New York City, San Antonio, Mi, San Antonio , Texas, Tierra, tuxedos
About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking
Job creation in March easily topped expectations in a sign of continued acceleration for what has been a bustling and resilient labor market. The unemployment rate edged lower to 3.8%, as expected, even though the labor force participation rate moved higher to 62.7%, a gain of 0.2 percentage point from February. "This report and the February report showed some broadening in terms of job creation, which is a very good sign." Stocks have tumbled this week amid concerns that a strong labor market and resilient economy could keep the central bank on hold for longer than expected. Correction: The unemployment rate edged lower to 3.8%.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Lauren Goodwin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wall, Retail, New York Life Investments, Federal Reserve, Stock
The Bureau of Labor Statistics shared more information about inflation with Wall Street “super users” than previously disclosed, emails from the agency show. The revelation is likely to prompt further scrutiny of the way the government shares economic data at a time when such information keenly interests investors. An economist at the agency set off a firestorm in February when he sent an email to a group of data users explaining how a methodological tweak could have contributed to an unexpected jump in housing costs in the Consumer Price Index the previous month. The email, addressed to “Super Users,” circulated rapidly around Wall Street, where every detail of inflation data can affect the bond market. And they suggest that there was a list of super users, contrary to the agency’s denials.
Persons: , Organizations: Labor Statistics, of Labor Statistics Locations: Wall
Recent pay raises have made commercial airline pilots some of the highest-paid workers in the US. The 3 major airlines, American, Delta, and United, all offer similar base pay for captains of up to $447 per hour. AdvertisementCommercial airline pilots have become some of the highest-paid workers in the US thanks to a suite of post-pandemic pay raises. Airline pilots at Delta and United have gotten heft profit-sharing in recent years. These hours pay the same rate and have guaranteed minimums of 70-75 hours, depending on the airline, according to the Air Line Pilots Association.
Persons: , Tim Boyle, ALPA, Nicolas Economou, widebodies, Boeing narrowbodies Organizations: Service, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta, Airbus, Boeing, Veterans, American, United, Airline, Getty, Air Line Pilots Association, BI, Delta Air Lines Delta Airlines Airbus, United Airlines Boeing Locations: Europe, Americas, South Africa, Japan, Australia, widebodies
Instead, on Friday, yet another jobs report defied expectations. “Today’s jobs report raises the possibility that rather than slowing down, job growth might be holding steady,” Nick Bunker, Indeed Hiring Lab’s economic research director for North America, said in a statement. Last month’s job growth was driven by industries such as health care (+72,300 jobs); government (+71,000 jobs); leisure and hospitality (+49,000 jobs); and construction (+39,000 jobs). President Joe Biden touted March’s jobs report Friday. With today’s report of 303,000 new jobs in March, we have passed the milestone of 15 million jobs created since I took office.
Persons: Nick Bunker, Joe Biden, , ” Biden, , Greg Daco, , ” Daco, we’ve, Erica Groshen, ” Brett House, Daco, Price Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, North, , CNN Business, Cornell University, CNN, Brookings Institution, Congressional, Columbia Business School, Fed, Labor Locations: New York, North America, EY, United States
The labor market has been resilient despite economic headwinds like higher interest rates. "There's still strong, broad-based job growth and real wage growth has been restored," Pollak said. The labor market is in a 'sweet spot'Employers added 303,000 jobs to payrolls in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Job growth in the first three months of 2024 — 274,000, on average — beats the 2019 pre-pandemic average by more than 100,000. "The labor market is settling into a sweet spot," said Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at job site Indeed.
Persons: Lindsey Nicholson, Julia Pollak, There's, Pollak, Nick Bunker Organizations: Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America Locations: Queens , New York, U.S
Health care and social assistance were the top sector for job gains — a common theme in recent years — adding 81,300 jobs. The U.S. labor market surprised economists with its strength once again, adding more than 300,000 jobs in March, with a few key sectors continuing to fuel its growth. Within health care, ambulatory services and hospitals combined to add 55,000 jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Bureau of Labor Statistics noted that the labor force participation has changed little in the past year despite consistent upside surprises for job gains. It's been the key to rebalancing the labor market.
Persons: It's, we've, Stephanie Kelton Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics ., BLS, Labor Statistics, Brook University Locations: U.S
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