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The central bank also doesn’t have any incentive to restrict the economy through elevated interest rates if inflation is already under control. The US central bank has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022 to their highest level in 22 years. The US Commerce Department reports new home sales in September. The US Commerce Department reports third-quarter gross domestic product along with September figures on new durable-goods orders. The US Labor Department reports the number of new applications for jobless benefits in the week ended October 21.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Gregory Daco, ” Diane Swonk, Donald Trump, Colin Kaepernick’s, Bud Light’s, Elliott Gotkine, , Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, , Satya Nadella, ” Sundar Pichai, ​ ​, Sherwin, Williams, Clark, General, Hess, Rowe Price Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, The Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Treasury, KPMG, BlackRock, America, Nike, Yale School of Management, Microsoft, ” Disney, Sonnenfeld, Tottenham Hotspur, Whirlpool, Verizon, General Electric, Barclays, 3M, General Motors, Spotify, Quest Diagnostics, Mobile, Boeing, General Dynamics, Old Dominion, Hilton, Meta, IBM, US Commerce Department, Mastercard, Merck, Comcast, UPS, Myers Squibb, Northrop Grumman, Valero, The Hershey Company, Amazon, Intel, European Central Bank, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, Phillips, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, EY, Israel, United States, United Kingdom, London, Gaza, Kimberly, Haliburton, Old, Bristol, AbbVie
Treasury yields rose further and the benchmark 10-year note yield was at a 16-year high of almost 5%. The rate-sensitive real estate sector (.SPLRCR) dropped 2.4% and was the day's worst-performing S&P 500 sector. [1/2]Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The labor market is showing strength even though the central bank has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 525 basis points since March 2022. The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 37 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 370 new lows.
Persons: Tesla, Jerome Powell, Elon Musk, Oliver Pursche, Jay Powell, Powell, Brendan McDermid, Caroline Valetkevitch, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Dhanya Ann Thoppil, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Netflix, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Wealthspire Advisors, Economic, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Data, U.S . Labor Department, Netflix Inc, American Airlines, United Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Westport , Connecticut, New York, U.S, New York City, United States, Britain, France, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Treasury yields rose further and the benchmark 10-year note yield was at a 16-year high of almost 5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 254.24 points, or 0.76%, to 33,410.84. Data this week has pointed to strong consumer demand and a tight labor market. A U.S. Labor Department report on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to a nine-month low last week.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Elon Musk, Oliver Pursche, Jay Powell, Powell, Caroline Valetkevitch, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Dhanya Ann Thoppil, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Netflix, Tesla, Treasury, Wealthspire Advisors, Economic, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S . Labor Department, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Westport , Connecticut, New York, United States, Britain, France, Bengaluru
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting another month of strong job growth as the labor market remains tight. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 198,000 for the week ended Oct. 14, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims hovering in the lower end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Labor Department, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S
Sales rose in the Northeast but fell elsewhere, although sales were down year to year throughout the country. Sales are now running at an annual rate of 3.96 million, down 15.4% from 4.68 million a year ago. On Tuesday, the Census Bureau reported that retail sales rose by 0.7%, more than twice what had been expected, as consumers flocked to eating and dining establishments and shopped more online. Among middle-income households, 25% plan to spend more, while 16% of low-income households will increase holiday spending. “Despite a lot of the negativity you see everywhere, consumers seem pretty resilient,” Rose says.
Persons: , Lawrence Yun, LEI, Justyna, Monica, TransUnion, Mark Rose, ” Rose Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Federal, Conference, The Conference Board, , The, Board, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, Census Bureau, Labor Department
Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits fell to their lowest level in eight months last week as businesses continue to retain workers despite elevated interest rates meant to cool the economy and labor market. Jobless claim applications fell by 13,000 to 198,000 for the week ending Oct. 14, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Despite the low level of weekly first-time jobless benefit applications, the number of Americans remaining on the unemployment rolls — known as “continuing claims” — jumped to its highest level in three months. In August, about 736,000 people re-entered the search for employment, boosting the unemployment rate from 3.5% to 3.8%, where it remains today. In August, American employers posted a surprising 9.6 million job openings, up from 8.9 million in July and the first uptick in three months.
Persons: ” —, , , Nancy Vanden Houten Organizations: Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve
U.S. weekly jobless claims total 198,000, fewer than expected
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Initial filings for unemployment benefits dipped last week, indicating that the U.S. labor market remains tight and a potential factor in persistent inflation. Weekly jobless claims totaled a seasonally adjusted 198,000 for the period ended Oct. 14, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The labor market has been a critical factor in the Federal Reserve's deliberations over monetary policy. The labor market thus far has shown few effects of the United Auto Workers strike as well as other labor unrest. This week's report covers the survey week the Labor Department uses for its nonfarm payrolls report.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Fear Community College, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC Locations: Wilmington , North Carolina, US
US weekly jobless claims hit nine-month low
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims at the very low end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The Fed's Beige Book report on Wednesday said "labor market tightness continued to ease across the nation" in early October and implied cooling wage pressure. The labor market is driving consumer spending and the overall economy, ultimately keeping inflation elevated. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, Jerome Powell's, Jay Hawkins, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Financial, Treasury, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Economic, of New, National Association of Realtors, realtors, BMO Capital Markets, Philadelphia Fed, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Texas , New York , New Jersey, Georgia, California, Tennessee, Michigan, of New York, Toronto, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware
There has been a nationwide increase in "phantom hacker" scams, a type of fraud "significantly impacting senior citizens," who often lose their entire bank, savings, retirement or investment accounts to such crime, according to the FBI. "Phantom hacker" scams are an evolution of tech support scams, a type of cybercrime. As of August 2023, losses from tech support scams were up 40% during the same period in 2022, according to a recent FBI public service announcement. Older adults have generally amassed a larger nest egg than younger age groups, and therefore pose a more lucrative target for criminals. Older adults are also "particularly mindful of potential risks to their life savings," Gregory Nelsen, FBI Cleveland special agent in charge, said in a statement.
Persons: Gregory Nelsen, Nelsen Organizations: FBI, Finance, FTC Labor Department, FBI Cleveland
Tyson Foods workers and activists rallied outside the U.S. meat company's headquarters in Arkansas on Monday to protest child labor and push for improved working conditions in processing plants. Dozens of protesters marched near Tyson's offices in Springdale, Arkansas, with signs saying "Stop child labor" and "Let children be children." Tyson, the biggest U.S. meat company by sales, said it respects people's right to protest peacefully and encourages employees to raise concerns with the company. It did not comment on child labor allegations. The company's code of conduct says suppliers are expected to ensure they do not use child labor.
Persons: Biden, exploitation's, Tyson, Magaly, Licolli, Perdue Organizations: Tyson, Biden Administration, Facebook, U.S . Department of Labor, The Labor Department, Perdue Farms Locations: Arkansas, U.S, Tyson's, Springdale , Arkansas, Guatemala, Tennessee
Pedestrians walk past a billboard announcing the World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund annual meetings, on the side of the International Monetary Fund headquarters in Washington DC on October 5, 2023. Mandel Ngan | Afp | Getty ImagesTop economists and central bankers appear to be in agreement on one thing: interest rates will stay higher for longer, clouding the outlook for global markets. Despite the pause, Fed officials have signaled that rates may have to remain higher for longer than markets had initially expected if inflation is to sustainably return to the central bank's 2% target. The European Central Bank last month issued a 10th consecutive interest rate hike to take its main deposit facility to a record 4% despite signs of a weakening euro zone economy. "We may have more shocks that may drive inflation up, and that's why of course we have to remain very cautious about inflation developments."
Persons: Mandel Ngan, Ajay Banga, Greg Guyett, Guyett, Boris Vujčić, Vujčić, Mārtiņš Kazāks, CNBC's Joumanna Bercetche, Silvia Amaro, Austrian National Bank Governor Robert Holzmann Organizations: World Bank Group, International Monetary Fund, Washington DC, Afp, Getty, U.S . Federal Reserve, World Bank, IMF, Bank, Labor Department, U.S ., HSBC, CNBC, European Central Bank, Council, Croatian National Bank, U.S, Bank of Latvia, ECB, Governing Council, Austrian National Bank Governor Locations: Washington, Central, U.S, Marrakech, Morocco, ECB's, Europe, Marrakech ., Israel
Retail sales increased 0.7% in September, driven by nonstore retailers and spending at food and drinking establishments, the Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. Even after stripping out autos, as some analysts do, the increase was 0.6%, way above estimates of a 0.2% gain. As long as those trends remain positive, consumers will feel they have the wherewithal to continue shopping. “Consumer spending has been fairly flat over the last two months,” according to Bank of America Institute’s Consumer Checkpoint October report. However, the wages and salaries of higher-income households are still growing at slower rates than other income cohorts.”Many retailers will be looking to the critical holiday season for a boost in sales.
Persons: , Ted Rossman Organizations: Census, Bankrate.com, , Federal Reserve, Employers, Labor Department, Bank of America, ” Bank of America, Cyber, Signifyd’s Commerce
Retail sales rose 0.7% in September, more than twice what economists had expected, and close to a revised 0.8% bump in August, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. The government’s monthly retail sales report offers only a partial look at consumer spending; it doesn’t include many services, including health care, travel and hotel lodging. But the robust sales report also means that the Fed officials could leave the door open for additional rate hikes. The retail sales report came as businesses across the U.S. economy ramped up hiring in September, defying surging interest rates, and the ongoing threat of a government shutdown. Consumer prices rose 0.4% from August to September, below the previous month’s 0.6% pace.
Persons: wasn’t, , Christopher S, Rupkey, , Tim Quinlan, Christopher Rugaber, , Anne Organizations: Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fed, FWDBONDS, “ Fed, Analysts, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, , Labor Department Locations: Israel, Wells Fargo, U.S, Washington
REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 16 (Reuters) - Tyson Foods (TSN.N) workers and activists rallied outside the U.S. meat company's headquarters in Arkansas on Monday to protest the industry's use of child labor and push for improved working conditions in processing plants. Dozens of protesters marched near Tyson's offices in Springdale, Arkansas, with signs saying "Stop child labor" and "Let children be children." Tyson, the biggest U.S. meat company by sales, had no immediate comment on the protest. The company's code of conduct says suppliers are expected to ensure they do not use child labor. Asked about child labor in meat plants on Monday, the Labor Department said its Wage and Hour Division has investigations open at Tyson and Perdue Farms.
Persons: Arnd, Tyson, Biden, exploitation's, Magaly, Licolli, Perdue, Tom Polansek, Rod Nickel Organizations: Tyson Foods, REUTERS, Biden Administration, Facebook, U.S . Department of Labor, Labor Department, Tyson, Perdue Farms, Thomson Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Arkansas, U.S, Tyson's, Springdale , Arkansas, Guatemala, Tennessee
Washington, DC CNN —The global economy is facing tremendous uncertainty from the war between Hamas and Israel in the Middle East, on top of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. They say Israel’s declaration of war against Hamas could be yet another catalyst for deglobalization, though the extent of that is still up in the air. If deglobalization does get exacerbated, what would that mean for inflation and monetary policy, globally? With deglobalization, you get a global economic environment that’s less competitive, and when there’s less competition, that is ultimately inflationary, causing prices to rise. Over the Covid era, China shut down production, disrupting the global supply chain, so deglobalization would bring some production back within US borders.
Persons: Wells, Bell, Brendan McKenna, that’s, Trump, there’s, Hanna Ziady, we’ve, , Avi Hasson, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Tesla, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Trump, Hamas, Nation Central, Philadelphia Fed, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Procter & Gamble, United Kingdom’s, National Statistics, American Airlines, US Labor Department, Federal, Fed Locations: Washington, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, China, Wells Fargo, Gaza, deglobalization, United States, Mexico, US, Tel Aviv, New York
And the union’s win is just the latest reason why short strikes are happening more and more. That’s up 86% from the number of short strikes in the same period of 2021. There have been only 98 strikes lasting more than a week so far this year, or half the number of short strikes, a more modest 20% increase from 2021. The short duration strikes pain on employers while not forcing union members to give up as much. “Sometimes the shock of the short strike produces the movement at the table.
Persons: there’s, , Kaiser, , Todd Vachon, John Borsos, Johnnie Kallas, , ” Kallas, “ We’re, Lester Garcia, ” Garcia Organizations: New, New York CNN, Kaiser Permanente, United Auto Workers Union, General Motors, Ford, Hollywood, Writers Guild, SAG, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Los Angeles Unified School District, Rutgers University, , Labor Department, UAW, Sacramento City Teachers Association, Cornell, Starbucks Workers United, Los Locations: New York, Minnesota, Los Angeles
US import prices rise less than expected in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
REUTERS/Hannah Beier/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 13 (Reuters) - U.S. import prices increased less than expected in September as a strong dollar depressed prices of non-petroleum products, which over time will help to lower domestic inflation. Import prices edged up 0.1% last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast import prices, which exclude tariffs, gaining 0.5%. In the 12 months through September, import prices dropped 1.7% after falling 2.9% in August. Annual import prices have now declined for eight straight months.
Persons: Hannah Beier, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: Reading, REUTERS, Rights, Labor Department, Reuters, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, United States
A soft-landing, stagflation scenario is worse than a short recession, a Manulife economist told CNBC. "A soft landing, stagflation type of environment where you get no growth and no Fed cuts, that's worse for most investors." AdvertisementAdvertisementA soft landing would spell more woes for investors compared to a short recession, according to Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist and Strategist Frances Donald. A short recession is the only thing likely to invite rate cuts. A soft landing, stagflation type of environment where you get no growth and no Fed cuts, that's worse for most investors," Donald said.
Persons: Frances Donald, , Donald Organizations: CNBC, Service, Manulife Investment Management Global, Labor
CNBC Daily Open: Inflation reports take center stage
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
In this article JPMCWFCGOOGL Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTA pedestrian passes a Wall Street subway station near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, June 27, 2022. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. This pushed U.S. markets lower, renewing fears of what lies next for the Federal Reserve, which has stuck to its goal of 2% inflation. Investors may now want to take a deep breath to brace themselves before the barrage of earnings reports take markets by storm.
Persons: Michael Nagle, Steven Blitz, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, GlobalData, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells, Bank Locations: New York, U.S
The so-called core CPI was also lifted by a 3.7% rise in the cost of lodging away from home, which ended three straight monthly declines. The core CPI gained 4.1% on a year-on-year basis in September, the smallest rise since September 2021, after advancing 4.3% in August. Over the last three months, the core CPI increased 3.1%. Still-strong demand in the economy, marked by labor market tightness, which is driving core services inflation excluding rents, imply that the higher rates could last for some time. Reuters GraphicsThere is no sign yet that the United Auto Workers (UAW)strike, now in its fourth week, is having a major impact on the labor market.
Persons: Olu Sonola, Stephen Juneau, Bing Guan, Seema Shah, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Higher U.S, Treasury, Fitch, CPI, Reuters, Bank of America Securities, Mobil, REUTERS, Fed, Financial, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Beverly Boulevard, West Hollywood , California
NEW YORK, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The dollar rose sharply on Thursday after U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in September, lifted by an elevated cost of rent that raised the prospect of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates high for some time. The consumer price index increased 0.4% last month, with a 0.6% jump in the cost of shelter accounting for more than half of the rise. The dollar rose more than 1% against sterling, and the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Owners' equivalent rent, a measure of the amount homeowners would pay to rent or would earn from renting their property, rose even though non-official sources show a decline in rental prices. Thursday's CPI release came after Wednesday's mixed report on U.S. producer prices, and minutes from the Fed's September meeting.
Persons: Douglas Porter, Bipan Rai, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, BoE, Wednesday's, Herbert Lash, Alun John, Ankur Banerjee, Emelia Sithole, Mark Potter, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters, New, CIBC Capital Markets, Fed, Bank of England, CPI, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Oakville, Canada, New Zealand, North America, Toronto, New York, London, Bengaluru, Singapore
Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was higher by about 11 basis points at 4.707%, off its lows from earlier in the session. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 5.069% after rising by 6 basis points. Yields extended gains, pushing prices to their lows of the day, after a 30-year Treasury bond auction that saw weak demand. Policymakers were however divided on whether further interest rate hikes will be needed to achieve this.
Persons: Dow Jones, Thursday's Organizations: Treasury, Labor Department, Federal
CNBC's Jim Cramer gave his take on Thursday's consumer price index report for September. "In the end, the CPI report wasn't great but it wasn't that bad either, and investors kept their composure, taking the slightly too hot inflation number in stride," he said. In September, CPI increased 0.4% month over month and 3.7% year over year, slightly higher than Wall Street estimates. Cramer highlighted one category in the report: services excluding energy, which was up 5.7% from September 2022. Cramer also said mortgage rates edging toward 8% will affect the price of homes and eventually filter down to rent.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, nonfarm, , I'm, we've Organizations: Wall
Consumer prices rose 0.4% in September, more than expected
  + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The consumer price index, a closely followed inflation gauge, increased 0.4% on the month and 3.7% from a year ago, according to a Labor Department report Thursday. On a monthly basis, shelter accounted for more than half the rise in the CPI, the Labor Department said. On a 12-month basis, food costs climbed 3.7%, including a 6% increase for food away from home, while energy costs were off 0.5%. "That shelter and food costs rose particularly is especially painful." Correction: The Labor Department said Wednesday that prices at the wholesale level increased 0.5% in September.
Persons: Dow Jones, Robert Frick Organizations: Labor Department, Dow, CPI, Energy, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal, Market Committee, Treasury
WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden lauded Thursday's Labor Department report showing relatively stable inflation, taking credit for a recent spate of positive economic news. The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, increased 0.4% in September and 3.7% compared to a year ago. Republicans consistently poll better than Democrats on dealing with economic issues, a hurdle Biden is trying to overcome as the 2024 election looms. "This morning's report shows core inflation fell to its lowest level in two years," Biden said in a statement Thursday. The president hailed the recent economic numbers as "Bidenomics in action."
Persons: Joe Biden, Dow Jones, Biden, Nonfarm payrolls Organizations: White, WASHINGTON, Thursday's Labor Department, Dow, NBC, Republicans, Labor Department Locations: Washington
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