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☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street awaits September jobs report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were flat on Thursday night as traders looked ahead to the widely anticipated release of September's jobs report on Friday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also unchanged. These moves came after the major averages ended Thursday's trading session with losses. U.S. oil futures climbed about 5% Thursday, weighing on the major averages. Indeed, all three major averages are already on pace for weekly losses.

Persons: Dow Jones, Barbara Doran, I'd, it's, Doran Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, International Longshoremen's Association, United States Maritime Alliance, Dow, BD8 Capital Partners Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S, East, Iran, Israel

☆ Watch Thursday's full episode of Fast Money — October 3, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Thursday's full episode of Fast Money — October 3, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.

Persons: Melissa Lee

☆ This one-time food stock is struggling now. How to trade it from here with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Conagra Brands' stock fell sharply this week after the packaged-food company reported quarterly earnings that fell well short of analysts' expectations. We'll discuss how to play it with options if this company is caught in a longer-term decline. For the fiscal first quarter ending August 25, Conagra posted an adjusted eps of 53 cents a share, missing estimates. However, the most significant institutional options trades weren't betting on considerable upside. CAG YTD mountain Conagra, YTD Conagra traded eight times the average daily options volume, with puts outpacing calls.

Persons: Conagra, YTD Conagra, Seinfeld, we'll, T Rowe Price Organizations: Brands, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Investing giants want to offer retail traders access to a booming sector of financial markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

It would give retail investors access to a $1.7 trillion market. It could be tricky, as private credit tends to be illiquid while ETF investors need high liquidity. According to The Wall Street Journal, some of the biggest private equity and investment management giants want to offer retail investors access to exchange-traded funds backed by private credit. The race to launch private credit ETFs has heated up in recent months. Last month, State Street proposed a private debt ETF to the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Persons: —, Anna Paglia, Paglia, Eric Mogelof Organizations: Service, Wall Street, Apollo Global Management, BlackRock, Capital Group, KKR, Securities and Exchange Commission, Street's

☆ Dollar hits one-month peak to yen as Fed seen taking time with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The euro languished not far from a three-week trough reached in the previous session, after normally hawkish European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel took a dovish tone on inflation, cementing bets for a rate cut this month. Currently, traders lay 34.6% odds of another 50 basis-point U.S. rate cut on Nov. 7, after the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a super-sized reduction last month. "I do think that if the payrolls report overall is not too shabby tomorrow night, then we will see that pricing (for a 50 basis-point cut) coming in quite significantly." The dollar added 0.09% to 146.575 yen after earlier reaching 146.885 for the first time since Sept. 3. The euro was little changed at $1.10455, sitting not far from Wednesday's low of $1.10325, a level last seen on Sept. 12.

Persons: European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Asahi Noguchi, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Private U.S, ADP, Fed, National Australia Bank, Dovish Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel

☆ Gold rangebound as investors brace for key U.S. economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. economic data that may provide clues about the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts expected later this year. Gold prices were trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. economic data that may provide clues about the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts expected later this year. Investors are watching out for the ISM services data and the initial jobless claims, due later in the day, along with the U.S. non-farm payroll data expected on Friday. Gold tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment and political turmoil. Elsewhere, Perth Mint's gold product sales touched a 10-month high in September, while silver sales hit a seven-month high.

Persons: Brian Lan, —, CME's, Lan Organizations: GoldSilver Central, Investors, U.S . Locations: Singapore, Israel, Beirut, Iran, Perth

☆ U.S. crude oil rises for third day as traders fear Middle East escalation that disrupts supplies
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. crude oil prices rose nearly 2% on Thursday for a third consecutive session of gains, as the market braces for Israel to retaliate against Iran. The risk of oil supply disruptions increases as fighting in the Middle East intensifies, but OPEC+ is sitting on a large amount of spare crude that could step into the breach, according to Claudio Galimberti, chief economist at Rystad Energy. U.S. crude oil has gained 5% this week. "That would add a significant risk premium to oil," he told CNBC's "Street Signs Europe." As a consequence, oil prices could surge to $200 per barrel if Israel hits Iran's oil infrastructure, he said.

Persons: Claudio Galimberti, Galimberti, Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, CNBC's Organizations: Rystad Energy Locations: Israel, Iran, OPEC, Swedish, Strait, Hormuz

☆ Oil prices could surge 161% if Middle East conflict wipes out Iran's energy infrastructure, commodity chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.

Persons: —, SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh

But investing in the stock market should be boring rather than exciting. While some hands-on traders approach betting on the stock market similarly to betting money on sports, the truth is they should have very little in common. Compared to sports betting, investing in the stock market should be "non-adrenaline focused," Egan said. While an explosion of confetti might make trading stocks more entertaining, investing in the stock market should be boring. Historically, the average stock market return is about 10% each year.

Persons: —, Dan Egan, Egan, Robinhood, doesn't, you'll, Ally Invest Organizations: Sports, Service, University of California, University of Southern, SoFi, Ally Locations: Massachusetts, Los Angeles, University of Southern California

☆ The strategy a $69 billion hedge fund uses to make sure it never loses money in the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The $69 billion hedge fund uses a strict trading strategy to make sure it consistently makes money. This trading strategy has helped founder Israel Englander become a billionaire. AdvertisementThe $69 billion Millennium Management hedge fund employs a simple yet effective trading strategy to make sure it almost always makes money in the stock market: cut losing stock positions as quickly as possible. This strict stop-loss trading strategy means the hedge fund goes through a lot of employees, sporting a high turnover rate of about 15%-20% of its staff each year. But the trading strategy is also what turned its founder, Israel Englander, into a billionaire.

Persons: Israel Englander, —, Englander Organizations: Management, Service, Millennium, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Millennium Management

☆ Dollar firm as war widens in Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar held its sharpest gain in a week on Wednesday after an Iranian missile attack on Israel drove buying of safe assets as investors fretted about the widening of conflict in the Middle East. The dollar held its sharpest gain in a week on Wednesday after an Iranian missile attack on Israel drove buying of safe assets as investors fretted about the widening of conflict in the Middle East. The bid for safety kept the yen broadly steady at 143.45 per dollar and the Swiss franc at 0.8463 per dollar. The New Zealand dollar was nursing a 1.1% overnight fall at $0.6283 and oil prices had jumped 2.5%. Westpac strategist Imre Speizer said the Middle East was unpredictable but that in the absence of escalation market sentiment could recover and focus return to economics.

Persons: Sterling, Imre Speizer, Tim Walz, JD Vance Organizations: Swiss, New Zealand, U.S, Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hezbollah, ANZ, Westpac, BNZ, Gulf Coast dockworkers Locations: Iranian, Israel, Early Asia, Iran, Lebanon, Asia, New Zealand, dockside, East, Gulf Coast

☆ Watch Wednesday's full episode of Fast Money — October 2, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Wednesday's full episode of Fast Money — October 2, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.

Persons: Melissa Lee

☆ Israel retaliation may target Iran oil infrastructure, boosting prices further, Wall Street analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The expanding war in the Middle East, however, has reached a new boiling point as Israel has vowed a "painful" response to Iran's attack. The government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could take aim at the Islamic Republic's oil infrastructure in retaliation, geopolitical and crude market analysts say. "The next turn in this retaliation spiral may very well involve oil – via the degrading of Iran's oil capacityor Iran's proxies attacking oil and gas shipping from the Persian Gulf," Piper Sandler analysts told clients in a Wednesday research note. If Iran's oil exports of around 1.8 million bpd were taken offline, prices would likely jump by at least $5 per barrel, McNally said. An escalation on this scale could send oil prices higher in increments of $10 per barrel, the analyst said.

Persons: Ali Mohammadi, Benjamin Netanyahu, Helima Croft, Jack Jacobs, Jacobs, Croft, Piper Sandler, Bob McNally, McNally Organizations: Persian Gulf, Bloomberg, Getty, OPEC, RBC Capital Markets, U.S, Army, Rapidan Energy Locations: Bandar Abbas, Iran, Israel, China, Persian

☆ Stock futures inch higher as traders await jobs report due later this week: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures ticked higher Wednesday night as investors look ahead to September's payrolls report due later this week. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 40 points, or less than 0.1%. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures climbed about 0.2%. October trading is off to a rough start this month as escalating tensions in the Middle East dampen investors' enthusiasm. "Embrace October's volatility, as there is still plenty of fuel left in this bull market," she added.

Persons: September's, Levi Strauss, Stocks, —, Mary Ann Bartels Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dockers, Investors, ADP, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon

☆ India has emerged as one of the best global markets for the long haul. Here are the drivers—and how to play the rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

India's recent stock market surge has investors viewing the country as an emerging market poised for long-term outperformance. The India NSE Nifty 50 Index , the country's domestic stock market benchmark, has soared 18.7% this year, hitting record levels. "The data show that, historically, the Indian market has offered robust returns with reduced volatility." Going back to 2015, INDA has seen bigger annual gains and smaller declines than the broader emerging market fund. How to play the Indian market Financials are among investors' favorite spots in India's booming stock market.

Persons: It's, Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, GlobalX, Russell, —, EEM, INDA, Amr Abdel Khalek, Khalek, Jerome Powell, Venugopal Garre, Krishna Mohanraj, You've, Mohanraj Organizations: India NSE, Global, CNBC, U.S, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, China, MRB Partners, Traders, Barclays, Diamond Hill Capital Management, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, ICICI, HDFC, Whitehaven Coal, Prestige Estates Locations: India, China, Dorson, U.S, Whitehaven

☆ The big catalyst for the week: How to trade Friday’s job report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The best-case scenario for stocks is if Friday's jobs report comes in slightly above consensus, according to JPMorgan. Here are the bank's five scenarios: Above 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 trades flat or as much as 0.5% higher. Between 160,000 to 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 gains between 1% and 1.5%. Between 140,000 to 160,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 rises by 0.75% to 1.25%. Between 110,000 to 140,000 jobs added: JPMorgan traders see the S & P 500 sliding between 0.5% and 1.5%.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, JPMorgan's, Michael Feroli, nonfarm Organizations: JPMorgan, Investors, Federal Locations: U.S

☆ Yale's Stephen Roach: Markets are in danger of being 'whipsawed' by Middle East conflict, U.S. unemployment
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ilia Yefimovich/dpa | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesMarkets are in danger of being "whipsawed" by the combination of regional conflict in the Middle East and rising unemployment in the United States, says Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. Most Asian markets fell on Wednesday, tracking losses on Wall Street overnight, as investors fretted over rising tensions in the Middle East. A higher-than-expected unemployment rate could prompt the Fed to accelerate the easing cycle to achieve a soft landing. The unemployment rate in September is expected to come in at 4.2%, according to data of a Reuters poll on LSEG, unchanged from the August figure. The unemployment rate had jumped to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July, a dramatic rise from the five-decade low of 3.4% in April 2023.watch now

Persons: Ilia Yefimovich, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Hassan Nasrallah, Roach, CNBC's, Stephen Stanley, Kelvin Tay Organizations: Missiles, Getty, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wall, Israel Defense Forces, Santander, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy Information Administration, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, United States, Iranian, Lebanon, U.S .

☆ Oil watchers now see a real threat of supply disruptions after latest Iran-Israel escalation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil watchers are now seeing a genuine threat to crude supplies after Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel, escalating conflict in the Middle East. Iranian oil infrastructure may soon become a target for Israel as it considers a countermove, analysts told CNBC. "The Middle East conflict may finally impact oil supply," said Saul Kavonic, senior energy analyst at MST Marquee. "The scope for a material disruption to oil supply is now imminent." Up to 4% of global oil supply is at risk as the conflict now directly envelopes Iran, and an attack or tighter sanctions could send prices to $100 per barrel again, Kavonic added.

Persons: Hassan Nasrallah, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic Organizations: Tuesday, CNBC Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, East, Iranian, Lebanon, Ukraine

☆ Gold prices flat as dollar strength counters safe-haven demand
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bar bullions ingot, selective focus, crisis safe haven for investment or reserve for country economics. Gold prices were flat on Wednesday, as a firmer dollar partially offset safe-heaven demand amid heightened Middle East tensions, while investors awaited U.S. data for further economic cues. Spot gold held its ground at $2,659.79 per ounce, as of 0325 GMT, after rising more than 1% in the previous session. "Gold benefited from safe-haven demand during a risk-off session on Tuesday. Meanwhile, physical demand for gold in key markets has dropped due to high prices, with some retail consumers selling their holdings to lock in profits, industry players and analysts said.

Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Bullion, Matt Simpson, payrolls, Simpson Organizations: Israel, Index, Federal Reserve, NFP, Traders Locations: Iran, Tehran

☆ Crude oil jumps nearly 3% as Israel vows 'painful' response to Iran missile attack
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. crude oil rose nearly 3% on Wednesday as traders fear Israel could target Iran's oil infrastructure in retaliation for a ballistic missile attack. Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, vowed late Tuesday that Israel will exact a "painful" response against Iran. Danon's threat came hours after the Islamic Republic launched around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for the assassination of top Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Israel might take aim at Iran's oil industry to hit Tehran's income and degrade its ability wage war, they said. OPEC+ is planning to increase oil production in December, and U.S. output has been set records.

Persons: Danny Danon, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby Organizations: United Nations, Islamic Locations: Israel, Iran, Islamic Republic, Persian, China

☆ Watch Wednesday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — October 2, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Wednesday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — October 2, 2024"Mad Money" host and former hedge fund manager, Jim Cramer, provides stock traders with all manner of investing advice.

Persons: Jim Cramer —, Jim Cramer

Mortgage rates are starting the month a little higher, with 30-year rates hovering around 5.90%, according to Zillow data. But if conditions hold up, mortgage rates will likely remain near their current levels through the end of 2024. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they've, Jerome Powell, you'll, They've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Today's, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Nashville, Chevron

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge up amid Middle East turmoil as traders turn to incoming data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks closed higher on Wednesday as traders looked to coming economic data. The September jobs report, a key data point for the next rate move, is due out Friday. AdvertisementUS stocks ended slightly higher on Wednesday as traders anticipated key economic data in the US and looked past simmering tensions in the Middle East. Markets are also taking in positive jobs data, with the private sector adding 143,000 jobs last month, according to ADP. The latter will serve as a key data point when central bankers decide how much further to cut interest rates.

Persons: Traders, —, José Torres, Torres, tomorrow's Organizations: Service, Investors, Interactive Brokers, ADP, Here's Locations: Iran, Israel

☆ Stock market today: Indexes extend losses as traders watch Middle East tensions
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices surged after Iran attacked Israel, fueling the sell-off. AdvertisementUS stocks dropped Wednesday as traders continued to monitor escalating tensions in the Middle East. Major indexes slumped in early morning trading while oil prices spiked for a second day, with the international crude benchmark up 2.7% to $75.63 a barrel. Investors sold stocks Tuesday after Iran launched a missile attack on Israel early Tuesday, causing some to flee to risk-off assets. "The stock market impact of geopolitical tensions largely centers around oil prices, and as long as oil prices remain below $100 per barrel and corporate profits remain strong, that is supportive of higher stock prices."

Persons: —, Mary Ann Bartels, Bartels Organizations: Service, Lombard, Sanctuary Wealth, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel

☆ The godfather of black-swan hedging explains why mounting US debt and the weaponization of the dollar are leading risks today
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

He criticizes the US for high debt and low growth, leading a fragile financial system. He highlighted the four categories of debt-based countries: those with low growth and high or low debt, and those with high growth and high or low debt. The US is in the category of low growth and high debt. However, if a country accumulates high debt, then continued growth is required to absorb it, he noted. At present, Taleb doesn't believe that the ballooning debt could be solved politically or by increased demand for US bonds.

Persons: Nassim Taleb, —, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Scott Patterson, Patterson, Taleb, It's, Brandon Yarckin, isn't, Mark Spitznagel Organizations: Service, Universa Investments, Bank Locations: Russia, US

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